Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects a significant increase in net profit for the fiscal year 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 51-52 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses of approximately RMB 47.5-48.5 billion for 2025, which indicates a year-on-year increase of about 50%-53% [1] - The increase in performance is primarily attributed to a rise in the production of key mineral products, including approximately 90 tons of gold (up from 73 tons in 2024), 1.09 million tons of copper (up from 1.07 million tons in 2024), and 437 tons of silver (up from 436 tons in 2024) [1] - Additionally, the sales prices of gold, copper, and silver have increased year-on-year [1] Group 2: Production Plans - For the fiscal year 2026, the company has set production targets for key mineral products, including 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 120,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, and 520 tons of silver [1]

Group 1 - The State Council of China has announced the implementation of the Value-Added Tax Law, effective from January 1, 2026, detailing taxpayer scope, tax rates, tax calculation methods, tax incentives, and management measures [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have released a policy for a large-scale replacement and recycling program for consumer goods, effective in 2026, covering categories such as automobiles, home appliances, and digital products [2] - Starting January 1, 2026, individuals selling residential properties purchased for more than two years will be exempt from value-added tax, while those selling properties purchased for less than two years will be subject to a 3% tax rate [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a plan for the digital transformation of the automotive industry, aiming for significant improvements in smart manufacturing capabilities by 2027, including a 10% increase in labor productivity and a 20% reduction in product development cycles [4] - The i-Moutai platform will adjust its product offerings in 2026, including the introduction of various Moutai products, while denying rumors of a daily supply of 100 tons [5][6] - The National Investment Fund has issued a warning regarding the risks of investing in high-premium fund shares, highlighting significant price fluctuations in the market [7] Group 3 - The South Korean President will visit China from January 4 to 7, 2026, marking his first state visit since taking office, with expectations for enhanced strategic cooperation between the two countries [8] - Tianpu Co. has seen its stock price increase by 718.39% from August 22 to December 30, 2025, leading to a suspension of trading for verification due to significant deviations from the company's fundamentals [9] - The Ministry of Education plans to introduce policies in 2026 to promote artificial intelligence in education, with a focus on developing high-quality talent for the future [11]

Company Announcements - Tianpu Co., Ltd. has seen a cumulative increase of 718.39% in stock price from August 22 to December 30, leading to a suspension for verification starting December 31, 2025 [1] - Dongjie Intelligent has terminated its major asset restructuring plan and will resume trading on December 31, 2025 [2] - Zijin Mining expects a net profit increase of 59%-62% for 2025, with significant increases in the sales prices of gold, copper, and silver [2] - Jinpan Technology signed a contract for an overseas data center project worth approximately 696 million yuan [3] - Yanhai Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 51% of Wenkang Salt Lake for 4.605 billion yuan to enhance its salt lake industry base [5] - Shengxin Lithium Energy intends to acquire 30% of Qicheng Mining for 2.08 billion yuan, which is developing a lithium mine with an annual capacity of 3 million tons [7] - Mingde Bio plans to acquire 100% of Wuhan Bikaier Rescue Supplies Co., Ltd. in a significant asset restructuring [8] - Guotou Zhonglu plans to issue shares to acquire 100% of China Electronics Engineering Design Institute for 6.026 billion yuan [9] - Zhaoxing Co., Ltd. plans to invest 1.53 billion yuan in intelligent robotics and high-precision components for automotive applications [10] Stock Movements - Chaojie Co., Ltd. reported a reduction of 3.00% in shares by its controlling shareholder from November 25 to December 29, 2025 [6] - Five Continents New Spring's third-largest shareholder reduced holdings by 2.73% from November 3 to December 29, 2025 [13] - Zhongju Gaoxin plans to repurchase shares worth 300 million to 600 million yuan for capital reduction [20] Contracts and Projects - Zhejiang Construction signed an 18 billion yuan construction contract for a campus project [23] - Shen Si Electronics won a 199.8 million yuan project for low-altitude flight management services in Jinan [24] - Wangfujing signed a contract for a duty-free project at Beijing Capital International Airport, with a minimum operating fee of 113 million yuan [25] Investments and Financing - Tianyuan Co., Ltd. plans to invest 1.483 billion yuan in a titanium dioxide project [15] - Zhongke Co., Ltd. plans to invest 1.741 billion yuan in an expansion project for lead-zinc mining [16] - Zongheng Co., Ltd. plans to raise up to 548 million yuan for drone systems and AI technology projects [26]

【中标合同】 浙江建投(002761.SZ)：子公司签订18亿元建设工程施工合同 金盘科技(688676.SH)：签订约6.96亿元用于数据中心项目合同 神思电子(300479.SZ)：中标济南数字低空飞行管理服务平台低空保障设施建设项目 【股权收购 】 | | | 12月30日重要公告精选 | | --- | --- | --- | | 类型 | 公司 | 主要内容 | | 热点 | 锋龙股份 | 未来36个月内,优必选不存在通过上市公司重组上市的计划或安排 | | | 吴志机电 | 机器人、商业航天领域的业务合计占主营业务收入约1% | | 签约项目 | 中色股份 | 控股子公司拟投资165万吨/年铅锌矿采选扩建项目 | | 合同中标 | 金盘科技 | 签订约6.96亿元用于数据中心项目合同 | | 股权转让 | 洁特生物 | 拟791.99万元收购洁科膜70%股权 | | 回购 | 中矩高新 | 拟斥资3亿元-6亿元回购股份 | | 增减持 | 凯迪股份 | 实际控制人周殊程拟减持不超2%股份 | | 其他 | 紫金矿业 | 2025年度净利润预增约59%-62% | | | 纵横股份 | 拟定增募资不 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1]. Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a weekly increase of 6.43%, ranking first among all primary industries, with industrial metals rising by 7.07% and precious metals by 4.06% [1][13]. - The market is currently characterized by low liquidity due to the Christmas holiday, leading to a lack of effective guidance and a reliance on momentum trading [1][25]. - Investors should be cautious of potential pullback risks as liquidity returns and adjustments in commodity indices occur in early January [1][48]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.88%, with the non-ferrous metals sector outperforming by 4.54 percentage points [13]. - The industrial metals sector saw significant gains, with copper prices reaching 98,720 CNY/ton, up 5.95% week-on-week, and aluminum prices at 22,405 CNY/ton, up 0.99% [2][3]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: LME copper closed at 12,133 USD/ton, up 3.37% week-on-week. The TC price for imported copper ore fell to -43.2 USD/ton, indicating a significant drop from previous benchmarks [2][29]. - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum prices increased to 2,957 USD/ton, up 1.76% week-on-week, with domestic production capacity rising to 44.245 million tons [3][34]. - **Zinc**: LME zinc prices rose to 3,087 USD/ton, up 0.42% week-on-week, while SHFE zinc prices increased to 23,170 CNY/ton, up 0.46% [39]. - **Tin**: LME tin prices reached 42,490 USD/ton, up 0.51% week-on-week, with supply gradually increasing as production resumes in Myanmar [45]. Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at 4,562.00 USD/oz, up 4.54% week-on-week, while SHFE gold reached 1,016.30 CNY/g, up 3.71% [48][49]. - **Silver**: COMEX silver surged by 21.71% week-on-week, closing at 79.68 USD/oz, with SHFE silver up 19.14% to 18,319.00 CNY/ton [48][49]. Inventory Changes - Copper inventories on LME decreased by 2.10% to 15.70 million tons, while SHFE inventories increased by 16.59% to 11.17 million tons [30]. - Aluminum inventories on LME rose by 0.28% to 52.11 million tons, and SHFE inventories increased by 6.64% to 12.85 million tons [34]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights the impact of low liquidity and mixed economic data on market trends, emphasizing the need for investors to remain vigilant regarding potential market corrections in the coming weeks [1][48].

政策红利打开低价购金窗口，一场千里淘金盛宴正在海南上演。 出品｜虎嗅商业消费组 作者｜柳柳 编辑｜苗正卿 题图｜AI生成 12月18日海南自贸港正式启动全岛封关，到今天已超过10天，多项相关政策，相继实现了首批业务落地。 海口海关数据显示，封关首周，海南新增外资备案企业1972家，同比增长2.3倍。 封关后，海南将以"零关税、低税率、简税制"为重点核心政策。政策指出，"零关税"政策主要包括："一 线"（国境线）全面放开：除极少数例外（如危害国家安全、生态环境等特殊物品），绝大多数境外货物进 入海南自贸港时，免征进口关税、进口环节增值税和消费税； "二线"（海南与内地之间）有限监管：海南与内地之间的货物流动视为"进口"，需按规定补税，但对岛内 企业生产的货物加工增值超过30%（含）进入内地时，免征进口关税（已在洋浦保税港区试点，封关后推 广至全岛）；特定清单"零关税"则全覆盖。 一个重要变化在于，"零关税"商品税目比例从封关前的约21%大幅跃升至74%。企业进口自用的生产设备、 运营所需的交通工具、原辅料，基本全部免征进口关税、增值税和消费税。个人购物享受的免税额度也提 升至每人每年10万元。 对于普通消费者来 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that China is entering a period of prosperity similar to Japan in 1978, driven by high industrial value added and export ratios, along with continued trade surpluses and wage growth [1][11] - The cash flow statements of the real economy in China have been damaged from 2022 to 2024 due to the Fed's interest rate hikes and a decline in real estate prices, leading to capital outflows and reduced cash flow [2][12] - The resumption of the Fed's interest rate cuts is expected to reverse the outflow of cross-border capital, thereby repairing the cash flow statements of enterprises and households [3][13] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the necessity of debt restructuring in China, drawing parallels with Japan's experience in the 1990s, where failure to act led to prolonged economic stagnation [4][14] - The potential for the Fed's quantitative easing (QE) to provide the necessary liquidity for China's central bank to undertake debt restructuring is highlighted, which could alleviate external constraints on the yuan [4][14] - The year 2026 is projected to mark the beginning of a new prosperity phase for China's economy, with a cyclical shift expected in manufacturing and consumption sectors [6][15] Group 3 - The report recommends a selection of stocks for January 2026, including Huafeng Aluminum, Zijin Mining, and TCL Technology, among others, indicating a focus on sectors poised for growth [9][10] - The automotive sector is highlighted, with Great Wall Motors and Leap Motor being noted for their strategic positioning in high-end and global markets [32][38] - In the chemical sector, Dongfang Tower is recognized for its growth potential driven by increasing potassium and phosphorus production [41][43]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% due to rising core mineral product prices and a significant breakthrough in lithium carbonate business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit increase of 18.9 billion to 19.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year's profit of 32.051 billion yuan [1] - The production of major mineral products is expected to increase steadily, with gold production around 90 tons (up from 73 tons in 2024), copper production approximately 1.09 million tons, and silver production around 437 tons [1] Group 2: Lithium Business Growth - The explosive growth in lithium carbonate business is attributed to the global layout of the "Two Lakes and Two Mines" lithium resource projects entering a concentrated production phase [2] - By the end of 2024, the company will hold lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) resources of 17.88 million tons, ranking among the top ten globally [2] - The successful launch of the Argentinian 3Q lithium salt lake and the Tibet Lagocuo lithium salt lake projects in 2025, with the latter utilizing low-cost lithium extraction technology [2] Group 3: Future Production Plans - For 2026, the company has set production targets of 105 tons of gold, 120 tons of copper, 520 tons of silver, and 120,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, representing a 380% increase from the expected 2025 output [3] - New projects, including the Manono lithium mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo, are set to commence production, with a goal of achieving an annual capacity of 250,000 to 300,000 tons of LCE by 2028 [3] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - The company has established a long-term supply agreement with CATL to secure downstream demand and mitigate market risks associated with lithium price fluctuations [2] - The implementation of a "Five Rings Integration" management model and self-developed collaborative processes have improved the recovery of by-product metals, enhancing overall project efficiency [2]

Group 1 - Deeply Housing A's controlling shareholder has decided to terminate the agreement to transfer 7.07% of the company's shares to Dongfang Asset, which will not lead to any changes in the controlling shareholder or actual controller of the company [1] - Wuzhou New Spring's controlling shareholder has reduced its stake by 2.73%, with a total of 9.99 million shares sold, and confirmed that there are no undisclosed significant matters affecting the company's stock price [2] - Baiwei Storage's subsidiary plans to acquire 380,066 shares of Niu Xin Semiconductor for 20 million yuan, representing 0.8446% of its total share capital, focusing on high-speed transmission and interconnection technology [3] Group 2 - Zhaofeng Co. plans to change part of its raised funds to invest in the industrialization of embodied intelligent robots and high-end precision components for automotive intelligent driving, with a total investment of 153 million yuan [4] - Tianpu Co. has seen its stock price increase by 718.39% from August 22 to December 30, leading to a suspension for verification due to significant deviation from the company's fundamentals [5] - Jingce Electronics has signed contracts to sell semiconductor front-end detection equipment worth a total of 571 million yuan [6] Group 3 - Jiamei Packaging has announced that it may apply for a suspension of trading if its stock price continues to rise abnormally, despite no significant changes in its fundamentals [7] - Zijin Mining expects a net profit of approximately 51 billion to 52 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 59%-62% year-on-year, driven by rising sales prices of gold, copper, and silver [8][9] - Mingde Bio plans to acquire 100% equity of Wuhan Bikaier Rescue Supplies Co., which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [10] Group 4 - Shengxin Lithium Energy intends to acquire a 30% stake in Qicheng Mining for 2.08 billion yuan, with the latter's lithium mine development progressing [11] - Chaojie Co.'s controlling shareholder has completed a share reduction plan, reducing its stake to 45.37% without affecting the company's control [12] - Shichuang Energy's actual controller has undergone a change in indirect shareholding due to a divorce, but this will not affect the company's control [13] Group 5 - Yilake Co. plans to acquire 51% of Wuku Salt Lake for 4.605 billion yuan, which will become a subsidiary of the company upon completion of the transaction [14] - Various companies have reported significant contract wins, including Changjiang Electric Power's cash dividend distribution and multiple projects won by China Western Electric [18]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects a significant increase in net profit for the fiscal year 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 51-52 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, of approximately RMB 47.5-48.5 billion, which is an increase of about 50%-53% compared to the previous year [1] - The expected increase in net profit amounts to approximately RMB 189-199 million compared to the previous year [1] - The anticipated increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items is about RMB 158-168 million year-on-year [1] Production and Sales - The production of key mineral products is expected to increase year-on-year, with gold production estimated at approximately 90 tons (up from 73 tons in 2024) [1] - Copper production, including the Kamoa equity output, is projected to be around 1.09 million tons (compared to 1.07 million tons in 2024) [1] - Silver production is expected to be approximately 437 tons, slightly up from 436 tons in 2024 [1] - Lithium carbonate equivalent production, including the output from Zangge Mining from December 2024, is projected at about 25,000 tons (up from 261 tons in 2024) [1] Price Trends - The sales prices for gold, copper, and silver are expected to rise year-on-year [1]