Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly focusing on the significant gains in the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index and the related ETF, driven by supply constraints and stable demand in the copper and aluminum markets [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 6, 2025, the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index (000811) rose by 2.30%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Nanshan Aluminum (600219) up 9.96% and China Aluminum (601600) up 5.47% [1]. - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) increased by 2.40%, with a latest price of 1.49 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 1.32% over the past two weeks [1]. - The trading volume for the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF reached 67.52 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 2.41% [1]. Group 2: Fund Growth and Inflows - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF experienced a significant growth of 2.264 billion yuan in size over the past three months, ranking it in the top half among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's share count increased by 1.431 billion shares in the same period, also placing it in the top half of comparable funds [3]. - Recent net inflows into the ETF totaled 2.88 million yuan, with a total of 546 million yuan attracted over the last 20 trading days [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper production from major mining companies fell by nearly 5% year-on-year in Q3, with expectations of continued contraction in Q4 due to raw material shortages and potential "anti-involution" effects [3]. - The domestic refined copper supply is expected to contract, with stable demand leading to a gradual reduction in domestic inventory [3]. - A projected 50% increase in the global refined copper supply gap is anticipated next year, with LME copper prices expected to exceed 10,000 USD/ton [3]. Group 4: Aluminum Market Insights - The market anticipates a 2.5% growth in domestic electrolytic aluminum consumption in 2025, driven by strong performance in the new energy vehicle and photovoltaic sectors [4]. - The profitability of the electrolytic aluminum industry is expected to continue expanding, enhancing the dividend capacity of aluminum companies [4]. Group 5: ETF Advantages - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has a leading "gold-copper content" among peers, with copper accounting for 33% and gold for 14% of its index [4]. - The ETF focuses on core strategic commodities such as copper, gold, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, with a high concentration of leading companies, achieving a top five concentration of 35% [6]. - The ETF has demonstrated superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return of 31% and a lower maximum drawdown compared to peers [8][9]. Group 6: Growth Potential - The projected compound annual growth rate for the net profit attributable to the parent company of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF index is 16.28% over the next two years, outperforming comparable indices [13].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, with a focus on style rebalancing as several well-known balanced fund managers have proactively adjusted their holdings in anticipation of market changes [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Fund managers are identifying investment opportunities in sectors such as engineering machinery, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals, with some products in these sectors at the bottom of their price ranges [1][4] - Notable companies like China Ping An, Wanhua Chemical, XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Luoyang Molybdenum have been added to the heavy stock lists or continuously increased in holdings by various fund managers [1][2] - The resource sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, has attracted significant attention, with funds increasing their positions in companies like Zijin Mining and Huaxi Nonferrous [3] Group 2: Fund Manager Actions - China Ping An has gained favor among several balanced and growth fund managers, with total holdings in various funds reaching significant values, such as 794 million yuan and 358 million yuan [2] - Fund managers like Zhou Weiwen have increased allocations to non-ferrous metals, engineering machinery, and chemicals, anticipating revenue growth as overseas demand recovers [4] - The mechanical sector has also seen increased interest, with funds like Morgan Emerging Power adding XCMG to their top holdings [2] Group 3: Market Trends and Strategies - The recent shift towards value and cyclical stocks is seen as a response to the high valuation of technology growth stocks, leading to a balanced investment strategy to mitigate risks [1][7] - ETFs tracking various indices have seen significant net inflows, indicating a market trend towards lower valuation and dividend-paying assets [6] - The market is expected to undergo a style switch, with institutions likely to adjust their portfolios in November to prepare for the upcoming spring market [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The tungsten market has experienced a significant price surge, with major tungsten products reaching historical highs due to increased demand and tightened supply conditions [1][2]. Price Trends - Tungsten powder prices have surpassed 700,000 CNY/ton, currently at 710,000 CNY/ton; ammonium paratungstate (APT) is priced at 462,000 CNY/ton, while black and white tungsten concentrates (≥65%) are at 312,000 CNY/ton and 311,000 CNY/ton respectively, each increasing by 2,000 CNY/ton from the previous trading day [1][2]. - Compared to the beginning of the year, prices for major tungsten products have more than doubled, with black tungsten concentrate increasing by 118.18%, APT by 118.96%, and tungsten powder by 124.68% [1][2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The tightening of tungsten supply is expected to continue, with the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicating a reduction in the first batch of tungsten concentrate mining quotas for 2025 to 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% year-on-year [2][3]. - The demand for tungsten has risen significantly due to increased production in sectors such as photovoltaics and automotive, leading to a tight market balance [2][4]. Industry Performance - Companies in the tungsten sector have reported strong financial performance, with Zhongtung High-tech achieving a revenue of 12.755 billion CNY in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 13.39%, and a net profit of 846 million CNY, up 18.26% [2]. - Other companies like Xianglu Tungsten and Luoyang Molybdenum have also shown impressive growth, with net profits increasing by 259.65% and 72.61% respectively [2]. Market Outlook - Analysts predict a favorable supply-demand balance in the tungsten market, with strong pricing support from supply-side constraints and resilient demand from downstream industries [3][4]. - The tightening of mining quotas and limited new production capacity are expected to reinforce the bullish outlook for tungsten prices [4].

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan has reduced its stake in Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. by selling approximately 2.883 million shares at a price of HKD 17.259 per share, totaling around HKD 49.7589 million, resulting in a new holding of approximately 234 million shares, representing 5.94% of the company [1] Summary by Category - **Shareholding Changes** - JPMorgan sold 2.883071 million shares of Luoyang Molybdenum [1] - The sale price was HKD 17.259 per share [1] - The total amount raised from the sale was approximately HKD 49.7589 million [1] - After the reduction, JPMorgan's remaining shares are approximately 234 million, equating to a 5.94% ownership stake [1]

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan has reduced its stake in Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. by selling 2,883,071 shares at a price of HKD 17.259 per share, totaling approximately HKD 49.7589 million, resulting in a new holding of about 234 million shares, representing 5.94% of the company [1] Summary by Category - **Share Reduction Details** - JPMorgan sold 2,883,071 shares of Luoyang Molybdenum at HKD 17.259 per share [1] - The total amount from the sale was approximately HKD 49.7589 million [1] - **Post-Transaction Holdings** - After the reduction, JPMorgan's remaining shares in Luoyang Molybdenum are approximately 234 million [1] - The new ownership percentage stands at 5.94% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the mining industry, particularly in the production of various metals including cobalt, copper, and tungsten, with a focus on expanding its gold business and maintaining a diversified portfolio of precious metals [2][3][7]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, with cobalt products sold in international markets [2]. - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining sector, engaging in the mining, smelting, and deep processing of metals such as copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, and is among the top five molybdenum producers and the largest tungsten producer globally [2]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of phosphorus fertilizer in Brazil [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9]. Production and Growth - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production of 16,000 ounces in 2022 and a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. - In 2025, the company successfully completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (KGHM Gold Mine) and is advancing development with plans to commence production by 2029 [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, reflecting a rise of 28.08% [8]. - The stock has seen a net inflow of 11.586 million yuan today, with a total market capitalization of 338.886 billion yuan [1][5].

Core Insights - The tungsten market has experienced a significant price surge, with major tungsten products reaching historical highs, driven by increased demand and supply constraints [1][2][3] Price Trends - Tungsten powder prices have surpassed 700,000 CNY/ton, currently at 710,000 CNY/ton; ammonium paratungstate (APT) is priced at 462,000 CNY/ton, while black and white tungsten concentrates are at 312,000 CNY/ton and 311,000 CNY/ton respectively, each increasing by 2,000 CNY from the previous trading day [1][2] - Year-to-date price increases for major tungsten products have exceeded 100%, with black tungsten concentrate rising by 118.18%, APT by 118.96%, and tungsten powder by 124.68% compared to the beginning of the year [1][2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The tightening supply situation is expected to continue, with the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicating a reduction in tungsten mining quotas for 2025, down to 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% year-on-year [2][3] - The demand for tungsten has been bolstered by increased production in sectors such as photovoltaics and automotive, leading to a tight market balance [2][3] Industry Performance - Companies in the tungsten sector have reported strong financial results, with Zhongtung High-tech achieving a revenue of 12.755 billion CNY in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 13.39%, and a net profit of 846 million CNY, up 18.26% [2] - Other companies like Xianglu Tungsten and Luoyang Molybdenum have also shown impressive performance, with net profits increasing by 259.65% and 72.61% respectively [2] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a favorable supply-demand balance for tungsten, with strong pricing support from supply constraints and resilient demand from downstream industries [3] - The tightening of mining quotas and limited new capacity are expected to reinforce the bullish outlook for tungsten prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - Copper stocks have risen, driven by news of Glencore's plans to close its smelter and copper refining plant in Quebec, Canada, due to environmental issues and high renovation costs. This is expected to widen the supply-demand gap, leading to higher copper prices in the future [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Jiangxi Copper (600362) shares increased by 3.42%, reaching HKD 30.88 [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) shares rose by 2.27%, reaching HKD 13.57 [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) shares gained 1.75%, reaching HKD 15.72 [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Citic Securities reports that the supply-demand gap for copper is expected to widen, with copper prices potentially reaching new peaks by 2026 [1] - Major copper mining companies experienced a nearly 5% year-on-year decline in production in Q3 2025, with Q4 expected to continue this contraction [1] - Domestic refined copper supply is anticipated to shrink due to raw material shortages and stable demand, leading to a moderate reduction in domestic inventory [1] Group 3: Future Price Projections - The global refined copper supply gap is projected to widen by 50% next year due to low supply and steady demand [1] - LME copper prices are expected to demonstrate upward elasticity, potentially exceeding USD 10,000 per ton [1] - The copper sector is recommended for investment opportunities based on these dynamics [1]

Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing an upward trend, with the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) rising by 0.64% as of November 5, 2025, driven by strong performances from key stocks such as Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector is buoyed by the lithium battery segment, which has seen significant price increases in lithium carbonate due to robust demand from the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets [1] - The ETF for non-ferrous metals (159880) has also increased by 0.65%, reflecting the overall positive sentiment in the sector [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - A potential supply disruption in copper is expected to elevate price levels, with projections indicating a tight supply-demand situation for copper in 2026 [1] - The aluminum market is nearing the end of its peak season, with supply-side factors providing rigid support for price levels [1] - Tungsten prices are on the rise, with expectations of recovering export demand [1] Group 3: Lithium Market Insights - Lithium carbonate prices have shown a slight increase this week, attributed to better-than-expected demand in the downstream sector [1] - October's lithium carbonate production continued to grow, with a month-on-month increase of 6% and a year-on-year surge of 55%, indicating strong production enthusiasm within the industry [1] - Despite uncertainties in mining policies in Jiangxi, strong demand is expected to provide robust support for lithium prices, with forecasts suggesting continued price increases in November [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) includes 50 prominent securities from the non-ferrous metal sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 52.91% of the total index, highlighting the concentration of performance among leading companies such as Zijin Mining (601899) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460) [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in Q1-Q3 2025, with total revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 5.99%, and a total profit of 24.068 billion yuan, an increase of 43.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14.280 billion yuan, up 72.61% year-over-year, surpassing the total for the previous year [1]. - The copper production significantly exceeded expectations, with a total output of 543,400 tons in the first three quarters, a year-over-year increase of 14.14%, achieving 86.25% of the production guidance. The sales volume for copper was 520,300 tons, up 10.56% year-over-year [2]. - The company is optimistic about the long-term price and volume growth of copper, gold, and cobalt, with an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 19.5 billion, 25.3 billion, and 28.9 billion yuan respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 1454.85 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, with a net profit of 142.80 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the same period [1]. Production - Copper production reached 543,400 tons, a 14.14% increase year-over-year, with Q3 production at 189,800 tons, up 16.98% [2]. - Cobalt production was 88,000 tons, a 3.84% increase year-over-year, but sales were impacted by export bans, resulting in a 36.08% decrease in sales volume [2]. Cost and Profitability - The total operating cost decreased by 12.35% year-over-year, leading to an increase in gross margins for copper and cobalt, with copper gross margin at 54.07% and cobalt at 63.46% [3]. Expenses - The company managed to reduce its period expense ratio significantly, with financial expenses dropping by 93.87% year-over-year due to reduced borrowing [4]. Financial Forecast - The company expects revenue growth rates of 7.68%, 14.37%, and 7.76% for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, with net profit growth rates of 35.98%, 64.03%, and 44.25% for the same years [5][12].