Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 3.91% in stock price on November 4, with a trading volume of 3.279 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 336.532 billion yuan [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [3]. - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction, smelting, and deep processing of metals including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus [3]. - It ranks among the top five molybdenum producers and is the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer globally [3]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [10]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, which produced 16,000 ounces of gold in 2022, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [4]. - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (Keg House Gold Mine) and is advancing development with plans to commence production by 2029 [4]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, up by 28.08% from the previous period [9]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 634 million yuan from major investors today, with a total net outflow of 5.140 billion yuan over the past three days [5][6].

Core Insights - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has successfully positioned itself as a global mining giant, becoming the world's largest cobalt producer in 2023 and entering the top ten copper producers in 2024 [3][12][15] - The company's net profit for the first three quarters of this year reached 14.28 billion yuan, marking a fivefold increase compared to the entire year of 2020 [5][16] - Luoyang Molybdenum's market capitalization ranks 12th globally among mining companies and 2nd in China [6] Company Performance - The company has seen continuous growth in operating performance, with net profit increasing from 2.3 billion yuan in 2020 to an expected 13.5 billion yuan in 2024 [16] - Copper production increased from approximately 210,000 tons in 2020 to 420,000 tons in 2023, while cobalt production rose from 15,400 tons to 55,500 tons in the same period [12][16] - The company has achieved a 14% increase in copper production in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 540,000 tons [15] Strategic Development - The successful development of the TFM and KFM mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo has been pivotal for the company's growth, attributed to strategic acquisitions made during the 13th Five-Year Plan [10][11] - The company plans to invest up to 1.084 billion USD in the KFM Phase II project to enhance its mining and processing capabilities [27] - Luoyang Molybdenum aims to reach a copper production capacity of 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons by 2028 [27] Market Dynamics - The copper market has been in a bullish phase since 2021, with prices rising from 7,750 USD per ton at the end of 2020 to a peak of 11,000 USD per ton [16] - The company has faced geopolitical risks, including disputes over mining rights and export restrictions in the DRC, but has managed to navigate these challenges effectively [17][21] Community Engagement - Luoyang Molybdenum has invested 184 million USD in community development projects since the operation of the TFM mine, focusing on education, healthcare, and infrastructure [25] - The company has received certification from The Copper Mark, indicating compliance with various social and environmental standards [25] Global Strategy - The company is enhancing its operational efficiency and risk management through global collaborations, leveraging partnerships with international suppliers to improve service delivery [23][34] - Luoyang Molybdenum's approach reflects a shift from resource acquisition to ecological integration, emphasizing sustainable practices and community development [33][35]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 150.74% but a recent decline of 4.24% over the past five trading days [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders reached 304,200, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [2] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fourth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 669.5 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares from the previous period [3] - The top five circulating shareholders include various ETFs, with notable changes in holdings, such as a decrease of 3.6543 million shares for Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and a new entry of E Fund CSI 300 ETF holding 86.4742 million shares [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.55% on November 3, with 22 industries experiencing gains, led by Media and Coal, which increased by 3.12% and 2.52% respectively. The Nonferrous Metals and Home Appliances sectors saw the largest declines, down by 1.21% and 0.66% respectively [2]. Fund Flow Analysis - The main funds in the two markets experienced a net outflow of 23.944 billion yuan, with 9 industries seeing net inflows. The Media sector led with a net inflow of 2.031 billion yuan, followed by the Banking sector with a net inflow of 1.831 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.33% [2]. - The Nonferrous Metals sector had the highest net outflow, totaling 7.054 billion yuan, followed by the Electronics sector with a net outflow of 4.571 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included Non-Bank Financials, Computers, and Communications [2]. Nonferrous Metals Sector Performance - The Nonferrous Metals sector declined by 1.21%, with a total of 137 stocks in the sector. Out of these, 49 stocks rose while 87 stocks fell. The sector saw a net inflow of funds into 32 stocks, with 14 stocks receiving over 10 million yuan in net inflows. China Aluminum led with a net inflow of 143 million yuan, followed by Nanshan Aluminum and Yun Aluminum with inflows of 143 million yuan and 105 million yuan respectively [3]. - The sector's outflow was dominated by 20 stocks with net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Zijin Mining experiencing the largest outflows of 1.182 billion yuan, 542 million yuan, and 481 million yuan respectively [3][5]. Nonferrous Metals Sector Fund Inflow and Outflow Rankings - **Top Inflow Stocks**: - China Aluminum: +1.80%, 3.06% turnover, 143.29 million yuan inflow - Nanshan Aluminum: +2.17%, 3.70% turnover, 142.80 million yuan inflow - Yun Aluminum: +5.65%, 2.46% turnover, 105.49 million yuan inflow [4]. - **Top Outflow Stocks**: - Northern Rare Earth: -3.76%, 3.84% turnover, -1.18195 billion yuan outflow - Luoyang Molybdenum: -3.93%, 1.57% turnover, -542.24 million yuan outflow - Zijin Mining: -1.64%, 1.15% turnover, -481.02 million yuan outflow [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony sectors [11]. Core Views - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening are expected to strengthen support for precious metal prices [5]. - Positive macro signals are anticipated to bolster copper and aluminum prices, with ongoing discussions between the US and China contributing to market optimism [6][8]. - Supply constraints are expected to support tin prices, while antimony faces weak demand but long-term supply tightness may provide price support [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) saw a weekly increase of 2.90%, outperforming other sectors [21]. - Over the past month, the non-ferrous metals sector has increased by 5.0%, 41.0% over three months, and 60.6% over the past year [3]. 2. Precious Metals Market Data - Gold prices in London were reported at $4011.50 per ounce, a decrease of $92.90 or -2.26% from the previous week [4]. - Silver prices increased by $0.95 to $48.96 per ounce, reflecting a gain of 1.99% [4]. 3. Copper and Aluminum Insights - LME copper closed at $10,915 per ton, up $74 or +0.68% from the previous week, while SHFE copper fell to ¥87,030 per ton, down ¥670 or -0.76% [6]. - Domestic aluminum prices rose to ¥21,300 per ton, an increase of ¥170 from the previous week [8]. 4. Tin and Antimony Analysis - Domestic refined tin prices rose to ¥284,560 per ton, an increase of ¥1,850 or +0.65% [9]. - Antimony prices fell to ¥150,000 per ton, down ¥6,500 or -4.15% due to weak demand [10]. 5. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends specific stocks across various sectors, including Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and Yun Aluminum [12][15].

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03993 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份 ...

Core Insights - The National Index of Free Cash Flow has increased by 0.15% as of November 3, 2025, with notable stock performances from companies like Yaxing Integration and Hailu Heavy Industry reaching the daily limit up [1] - The Cash Flow ETF from Harvest has seen a net value increase of 20.15% over the past six months, indicating strong performance and investor interest [3] Group 1: Cash Flow ETF Performance - As of October 31, 2025, the Cash Flow ETF from Harvest has achieved a maximum monthly return of 6.91% since its inception, with an average monthly return of 3.13% [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Index of Free Cash Flow account for 54.79% of the index, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) being the largest at 9.80% [3][5] Group 2: Market Environment and Trends - Global monetary and fiscal easing expectations have positively influenced risk assets, creating a favorable macro environment for A-shares [5] - A-share third-quarter reports show improvements in key metrics such as profit, revenue, and ROE compared to the first half of the year, suggesting a potential transition to a fundamental bull market [5]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector stocks experienced a decline in early trading, with Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum falling over 5%, and Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt dropping over 4% [1] - The related ETFs for non-ferrous metals dropped nearly 4% due to adjustments in heavy-weight stocks [1] - Specific ETF performance includes: Non-ferrous Metal ETF at 1.701 (-3.95%), Non-ferrous 60 ETF at 1.629 (-3.89%), and Non-ferrous Leaders ETF at 0.872 (-3.75%) [2] Group 2 - Brokerages indicate that the non-ferrous metal sector will face high market volatility risks in 2025, influenced by uncertainties from both demand and supply sides [2] - Emerging demand in the downstream structure of copper and aluminum has shifted from quantitative to qualitative changes, which is expected to support a long-term upward adjustment in the price center of non-ferrous metals [2]

Core Points - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.16% decline in stock price, trading at 16.16 CNY per share with a total market capitalization of 345.73 billion CNY as of November 3 [1] - The company, established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012, primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Fund Holdings - Zhonggeng Fund holds a significant position in Luoyang Molybdenum, with its "Zhonggeng Value Dynamic Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund" (007497) owning 3.924 million shares, accounting for 5.47% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest holding [2] - The fund has reported a year-to-date return of 36.98% and a one-year return of 31.58%, ranking 2188 out of 8223 and 2610 out of 8115 respectively [2] - The fund manager, Wu Chenggen, has been in position for 5 years and 155 days, with the fund's total assets amounting to 1.127 billion CNY and a best return of 130.96% during his tenure [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the metal, non-metal, and mining industry [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that December interest rate cut expectations have weakened, leading to fluctuations in copper and aluminum prices. The overall industrial metal prices have shown volatility, with domestic prices falling except for aluminum, while external prices have risen for all but copper and nickel. This is attributed to the realization of benefits from the October interest rate cut and US-China talks, alongside hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve that have dampened December rate cut expectations [1][4]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report indicates that gold prices are stabilizing as the interest rate cut approaches, with recession trading remaining the core driver for gold price recovery. The report emphasizes that the current environment suggests gold prices are more likely to fluctuate rather than indicate a trend reversal. The focus is on the potential impact of domestic gold trading tax policies, which may increase the cost of physical gold holdings while stabilizing reserves [3][4]. Industrial Metals - The report expresses a long-term positive outlook for copper and aluminum. It notes that while short-term interest rate cut expectations have decreased, the medium to long-term economic stabilization outlook remains unchanged. The report highlights that supply adjustments in copper and aluminum since late September warrant attention, particularly the potential for overseas copper companies to reduce supply at year-end [5][6]. Energy and Minor Metals - The lithium sector is identified as entering a pivotal year, with demand for lithium expected to grow significantly by 2026 due to stable domestic power demand and the acceleration of solid-state battery industrialization. The report also discusses the strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten, noting that the long-term demand for rare earth materials is expected to recover due to traditional demand bottoming out and the acceleration of applications in humanoid robotics [6][7]. Market Performance - The report notes that the metal materials and mining sector has outperformed the broader market, with a 2.64% increase compared to a 0.11% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index. The energy metals sector has shown particularly strong performance, with a 4.99% increase [15][19].