Core Viewpoint - The company, 德业股份 (605117.SH), has stated that it currently does not have any research and development related to solid-state battery products [1] Group 1 - The company confirmed on an interactive platform that there are no ongoing projects for solid-state batteries [1]

Core Viewpoint - DeYe Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.01% decline in stock price, closing at 71.34 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 647.60 billion CNY as of October 17 [1] Company Overview - DeYe Co., Ltd. is located in Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, and was established on August 4, 2000. The company went public on April 20, 2021. Its main business includes the research, production, and sales of evaporators, condensers, variable frequency control chips, dehumidifiers, and air source heat pump hot air machines [1] - The revenue composition of DeYe Co., Ltd. is as follows: inverters 47.77%, energy storage battery packs 25.69%, heat exchangers 15.68%, dehumidifiers 7.36%, and others 3.16% [1] Fund Holdings - Anxin Fund has a significant holding in DeYe Co., Ltd., with its Anxin Consumer Medicine Stock A fund (000974) holding 213,900 shares, representing 5.38% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 804,100 CNY [2] - The Anxin Consumer Medicine Stock A fund was established on March 19, 2015, with a current size of 206 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 36.15%, ranking 1232 out of 4218 in its category, while the one-year return is 41.22%, ranking 1258 out of 3865 [2] Fund Manager Performance - The fund managers of Anxin Consumer Medicine Stock A are Chen Songkun and Xu Yanpeng. Chen has been in position for 4 years and 139 days, with a total fund size of 209 million CNY, achieving a best return of 33.24% and a worst return of -32.57% during his tenure [3] - Xu has been in position for 3 years and 34 days, managing a fund size of 229 million CNY, with a best return of 33.24% and a worst return of 7.26% during his tenure [3]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a decline, with the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index down 4.33% as of October 17, 2025, and significant drops in major stocks such as Sungrow Power (down 8.10%) and LONGi Green Energy (down 7.84%) [1][2] - The industry may enter a "de-involution" phase, with key events such as the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee scheduled for October 20-23, which is expected to discuss the "14th Five-Year Plan" and potential policy implications [1] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports for listed companies are anticipated to show significant improvements, particularly in the silicon material segment, following price increases since July [1] Industry Overview - The photovoltaic sector is currently characterized by low valuations, which may present investment opportunities in a volatile market environment [2] - The China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index includes a maximum of 50 representative companies from the photovoltaic industry chain, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this sector [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 58.02% of the total index, with major players including Sungrow Power, LONGi Green Energy, and TBEA [2]

Summary of China Energy Storage Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the energy storage systems (ESS) market in China, highlighting significant growth and demand trends in September 2025. Key Points Market Demand and Growth - The PRC ESS market completed a total of **11.7GW/33.3GWh** of energy storage systems, representing a **57.5%** increase in capacity and a **103.7%** increase in energy storage volume year-over-year [1] - Strong demand was noted particularly from **Xinjiang** and **Inner Mongolia**, which accounted for nearly half of the month's total orders [1] - By project type, **22.3GWh** (or **67%**) of the completed projects were EPC (including equipment), while **11GWh** (or **33%**) were ESS capacity [2] Pricing Trends - The average price of **2-hour lithium-ion ESS** increased by **31% month-over-month** to **Rmb0.641/Wh**, returning to the June average [3] - The average price of **4-hour systems** rose by **9% month-over-month** to **Rmb0.464/Wh** [3] - Price fluctuations were attributed to a large number of commercial and industrial energy storage cabinets and grid-connected string systems available in the market [3][6] Project Specifics - Standalone energy storage projects accounted for over **80%** of the procurement volume, with five large projects exceeding **2GWh** completed in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang [2] - Renewable energy storage projects made up **7.5%** of the total volume, with five projects completed in Gansu [2] Company Ratings - **Sungrow (300274 CH)** and **Deye (605117 CH)** received Buy ratings due to the positive outlook on PRC ESS demand and ASP increases [1] - **Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)** was also highlighted with a target price of **HK$20.00**, based on expected revenue and margin improvements in coal-fired power equipment [13] Risks - Key risks for **Dongfang Electric** include rising steel prices, decreasing ASP, and weak new order flows [14] - For **Deye**, risks include lower-than-expected energy storage demand and increased price competition among peers [16] - **Sungrow** faces risks from slower solar installation growth and intensified trade tensions affecting exports [18] Additional Insights - The report indicates a volatile pricing environment for ESS in 2025, with prices showing a slowly declining trend earlier in the year before rising again in September [6] - The analysis suggests that the increased demand and rising prices are favorable for PRC ESS manufacturers, indicating potential investment opportunities in this sector [1][3] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding the current state and future outlook of the energy storage market in China, along with specific company evaluations and associated risks.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the energy storage battery sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by new policies and market dynamics [2][3] - Energy storage battery concept stocks saw a rise in early trading, with notable increases in shares of Yangguang Electric (over 7%), Yiwei Lithium Energy (over 4%), and others [1] - The energy storage ETF also increased by approximately 2%, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Analysts believe that the release of the "Document 136" at the beginning of the year marked a turning point for the energy storage industry, leading to improved profitability and demand growth [2] - The introduction of new profit models, such as capacity pricing and peak-valley arbitrage, has significantly enhanced the profitability of energy storage projects [2] - The recent planning of energy storage projects in Hebei province further strengthens the expectation of an upward trend in the industry next year [2]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The global residential energy storage market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20%-30% over the next 3-5 years, with significant growth potential in the commercial energy storage sector due to a low base in overseas markets [1][2] - In 2024, the domestic commercial energy storage installation reached 8 GWh, with expectations for substantial growth in 2025 [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Technological Trends**: Commercial energy storage is moving towards multi-port adaptability and increased single-unit power (400-500 kW), requiring high battery life and favoring brands like CATL and EVE Energy [1][3][4] - **Market Dynamics**: The boundary between residential energy storage and balcony photovoltaic systems is blurring, leading to increased competition focused on channel control and brand building [1][5] - **Regional Demand Drivers**: - European residential energy storage demand is primarily driven by economic factors, contrasting with emerging markets like South Africa, Pakistan, and Ukraine, where demand is driven by power outages [1][7] - The 2022 surge in the European market was fueled by rising natural gas prices and supportive policies, with returns exceeding 20% due to subsidies [1][8] - Current conditions in Europe show a return to normal electricity prices and subsidies, with a projected growth rate of about 10% in 2026 [1][9] Emerging Markets - Emerging markets, particularly Pakistan and Ukraine, showed strong demand in 2024, driven by electricity shortages, although demand in Pakistan weakened in the latter half of the year [1][10] - Australia implemented residential energy storage subsidies in 2025, leading to a significant increase in installations, with a projected growth rate of around 40% [1][11] - Potential growth areas for emerging markets in 2026 include the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Central Asia, with Indonesia expected to see explosive growth [1][12] Investment Opportunities - The commercial energy storage sector is in a rapid development phase domestically and just beginning overseas, presenting higher valuation potential for investors [2][17] - Companies like Airo, Deye, and Goodwe are expected to show significant growth in the commercial energy storage sector, with a projected addition of approximately 3.6 GWh in Europe in 2025 [1][17][19] - The global commercial photovoltaic market is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 25% from 2026 to 2030, indicating higher explosive potential compared to residential energy storage [1][18] Additional Important Insights - The overseas residential energy storage market maintains high profitability due to pulse demand, brand emphasis, and product iteration, with established companies benefiting from first-mover advantages [1][13] - Emerging markets focus on high-cost performance low-voltage products, while European markets prioritize brand and quality, leading to different competitive dynamics [1][14] - The visibility of demand in the residential storage sector is relatively low, relying on monthly production and shipment data, which reflects underlying order visibility issues [1][15][16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the photovoltaic industry chain has reached a price and profit bottom, with significant effects from the "anti-involution" initiative, leading to an expansion of participants and recovery in product prices [1] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to achieve supply-side improvements through a combination of top-level support, market-driven elimination, and technological iteration, with policies related to capacity and product quality expected to be implemented [1] - As of October 13, 2025, the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) has decreased by 2.17%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) include Yangguang Electric (300274), Longi Green Energy (601012), and TBEA (600089), collectively accounting for 58.02% of the index [2]

有机构表示，2024年，光伏产业经历"冰火两重天"，主要环节产能及产量均呈显著增长态势，然而受产品单价下降影 响，总体产业规模有所下降，全球光伏产业规模2730.8亿美元，同比下降20.5%。从新增光伏装机规模来看，2024年全球 新增装机规模451.9GW，同比增长30.8%，中国新增装机规模达277.6GW，占全球新增装机比重最大。未来，随着能源需 求持续增加，光伏制造端成本逐步下降，新技术不断突破，光伏电池及组件转换效率将持续提升，行业集中度将不断升 高，中国光伏产业高质量发展步伐加快。 每日经济新闻 光伏概念股走弱，阳光电源跌超5%，正泰电器、德业股份跌超4%，隆基绿能、TCL科技、特变电工等跌超3%。 受盘面影响，光伏相关ETF跌超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159609 | 光伏龙头ETF | 0.524 | -0.022 | -4.03% | | 516290 | 光伏龙头ETF | 0.561 | -0.023 | -3.94% | | 159857 | 光伏ETF | 0.765 | ...

Summary of the Conference Call for 德业股份 Company Overview - **Company**: 德业股份 - **Industry**: Energy Storage, specifically focusing on household and commercial storage solutions Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Projections - **Q3 Revenue Expectation**: Projected revenue for Q3 is between 900 million to 1 billion CNY, indicating a quarter-on-quarter growth but facing year-on-year pressure due to a high base last year [2][5] - **Q4 Outlook**: October production may remain flat or slightly decrease due to the National Day holiday, with November expected to see an increase, while December may enter a seasonal downturn [2][5] - **2026 Profit Forecast**: Anticipated profit for 2026 is expected to exceed 4 billion CNY, with a growth rate of around 20% [2][6] - **Market Valuation**: The company's valuation is expected to gradually align with its 2026 and 2027 projections, with an optimistic market capitalization outlook [2][6] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - **Market Share**: 德业股份 holds over 40% market share in Southeast Asia, with some countries reaching 50-60%. It also has significant shares in Africa, South Africa, and Pakistan [2][7] - **Core Competencies**: The company’s strengths lie in product quality, channel advantages, and cost control. It leads in low-voltage household storage with rapid product iteration and high customization capabilities [2][12][13] Industry Dynamics - **Global Household Storage Market**: The global household storage market is expected to grow at an annual rate of around 20%, with emerging markets like Africa showing even higher growth rates [2][8] - **Commercial Storage Systems**: Commercial storage systems have higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, with 德业 currently averaging 10,000 units shipped monthly, indicating significant growth potential [2][19] Inventory and Supply Chain - **Inventory Situation**: The household storage industry has seen a significant alleviation of inventory issues, with a notable demand for battery cells, which are currently in short supply [3][15] - **Impact on Orders**: The real demand is expected to be more directly reflected in future orders due to improved inventory conditions [3][15] Regional Market Insights - **Southeast Asia**: Strong export data from countries like Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand, with significant potential in Indonesia's distributed solar projects [9] - **European Market**: Focus on Eastern European countries where demand for low-voltage household storage is high, while Western Europe shows stable growth in commercial storage [10] Future Growth Potential - **Global Market Growth**: Despite low penetration rates, the global household storage market has a potential demand exceeding 100 million units, suggesting a robust growth trajectory for 德业股份 over the next 3 to 5 years [11] - **Financial Expectations**: Conservative estimates for 2025 project revenues of at least 3.3 billion CNY, with potential to reach 4.5 billion CNY in 2026, leading to a market cap exceeding 80 billion CNY [16] Industry Trends - **Commercial Storage Demand**: The commercial storage sector is experiencing healthy growth, with domestic installations expected to increase by 50% in 2025 [17][18] - **Advantages of Commercial vs. Household Storage**: Commercial systems offer significantly higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, indicating a strategic focus for future growth [19] Strategic Initiatives - **Diversification**: The company is also exploring opportunities in IDC and SST product lines, which may not directly impact current valuations but are expected to contribute positively to long-term growth [20][21] Conclusion 德业股份 is positioned for significant growth in the energy storage market, driven by strong financial projections, competitive advantages, and favorable industry dynamics. The company’s strategic focus on emerging markets and commercial storage solutions further enhances its growth potential in the coming years.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [3] Core Views - Solid-state battery technology continues to make breakthroughs, with significant developments in the lithium battery industry expected by 2025, indicating a potential supply-demand inflection point and a 2-3 year upward cycle for the industry [5][11] - The report highlights the strong demand in the energy storage sector, with September's energy storage procurement reaching 42.6 GWh and a 31% increase in the average price of 2-hour systems [5][19] - The report recommends key companies in the lithium battery sector, including CATL and EVE Energy, and suggests focusing on solid-state battery-related companies [5] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The report notes that China will implement export controls on certain high-end lithium batteries and related materials starting November 8, 2025, which may impact the market [10] - The battery industry index fell by 5.76%, underperforming the broader market, primarily due to the export control announcement [8][10] Energy Storage Sector - In September, the energy storage procurement reached 42.6 GWh, with the average price of 2-hour systems increasing by 31% [5][19] - The demand from Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia contributed nearly half of the total procurement volume [17] - The report indicates a stable EPC pricing environment despite fluctuations in system prices [19] Electric Power Equipment Sector - The report discusses the issuance of the "Energy Planning Management Measures," which will guide energy planning across various levels [23][24] - It highlights the support for green electricity direct connection projects in Shandong, aimed at promoting renewable energy integration [25][26] Photovoltaic Sector - The report mentions stable prices for polysilicon, with no significant changes observed in the market [27][28] - It notes a decrease in demand for photovoltaic components, leading to a downward price trend [5] Wind Power Sector - The report outlines ongoing developments in offshore wind projects in various countries, indicating a robust construction pace in the domestic market [5]