Market Overview - The beverage and dairy sector increased by 0.46% on January 22, with Zhuangyuan Pasture leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] Stock Performance - Zhuangyuan Pasture (002910) closed at 12.30, up 4.33% with a trading volume of 135,800 shares and a turnover of 165 million yuan [1] - Li Ziyuan (605337) closed at 12.38, up 2.82% with a trading volume of 74,600 shares and a turnover of 91.08 million yuan [1] - Weiwei Co. (600300) closed at 3.79, up 2.71% with a trading volume of 680,500 shares and a turnover of 255 million yuan [1] - Panda Dairy (300898) closed at 29.23, up 2.24% with a trading volume of 67,800 shares and a turnover of 198 million yuan [1] - Dongpeng Beverage (605499) closed at 256.17, up 2.02% with a trading volume of 34,700 shares and a turnover of 886 million yuan [1] - New Dairy (002946) closed at 19.45, up 1.94% with a trading volume of 65,500 shares and a turnover of 127 million yuan [1] - Sanyuan Foods (600429) closed at 5.40, up 1.69% with a trading volume of 341,700 shares and a turnover of 184 million yuan [1] - Tianrun Dairy (600419) closed at 10.29, up 1.58% with a trading volume of 59,900 shares and a turnover of 6.11 million yuan [1] - Western Pasture (300106) closed at 11.22, up 1.45% with a trading volume of 72,200 shares and a turnover of 80.58 million yuan [1] - Huanlejia (300997) closed at 24.24, up 1.42% with a trading volume of 98,700 shares and a turnover of 239 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The beverage and dairy sector saw a net inflow of 267 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 59.87 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Yili Co. (600887) had a significant net outflow of 1.39 billion yuan from retail investors, indicating a negative sentiment [3] - Dongpeng Beverage (605499) had a net inflow of 37.5 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors showed a net outflow of 56.19 million yuan [3] - Weiwei Co. (600300) experienced a net inflow of 34.84 million yuan from main funds, with retail investors also showing a net outflow of 22.32 million yuan [3]

申万宏源研究指出，东鹏饮料预计25年实现营业收入207.6~211.2亿元，同比增长31.1%~33.3%；实现归 母净利润43.4～45.9 亿元，同比增长30.5%~38.0%，符合预期。公司具备优秀的渠道扩张和运作能力， 在公司"全国全面发展，培育第二曲线"的发展计划下，能量饮料业务市场份额持续提升，以"补水啦"为 代表的第二增长曲线逐渐接力增长，此外若未来运作得当，则果之茶等其他新品亦有望放量，成长空间 广阔，维持"增持"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic adjustments made by prominent fund managers at E Fund in their investment portfolios for Q4 2025, focusing on sectors like AI, healthcare, consumer goods, and technology [2][4][6][10] Group 2 - Zhang Kun adjusted the structure of investments in the healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors while maintaining a stable position in top holdings, which include Tencent Holdings, Kweichow Moutai, and Alibaba-W [4][5] - Zhang Kun expressed confidence in the improvement of living standards and social security in China over the next decade, suggesting a narrowing gap with developed countries [4] - The AI wave is seen as a significant driver for innovation, with strong domestic demand expected to attract global resources and talent [4][5] Group 3 - Chen Hao focused heavily on AI-related sectors, increasing allocations in power equipment, new energy, non-bank financials, and chemicals, which yielded positive returns [7][8] - Chen Hao anticipates a transition of the AI industry from an acceleration phase in 2025 to a stable growth phase in 2026, emphasizing the importance of structural opportunities and the integration of AI with local applications [7][8] Group 4 - Xiao Nan reduced allocations in high-end and sub-high-end liquor sectors while increasing investments in the livestock industry, anticipating inflation-driven cost increases over the next two years [10] - The top holdings in Xiao Nan's consumer sector fund remained unchanged, including Kweichow Moutai and Midea Group [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of the consumer sector in China, particularly the growth of brand value for Kweichow Moutai, which increased by 2.2% to reach $59.63 billion, ranking first in the global liquor industry [1] - The China Securities Index shows that the major consumer index has risen by 0.20%, with significant gains from stocks such as Hainan Rubber (+2.15%), Yanjing Beer (+1.64%), and Dongpeng Beverage (+1.53%) [1] - The market is currently favoring sectors like snacks and dairy, which are experiencing clear growth and higher elasticity, driven by policy support and improving monthly data, while the liquor sector is in a "bottoming out" phase [1] Group 2 - The major consumer index includes leading A-share consumer stocks across various categories, with liquor being the largest sector, accounting for over 38% of the index [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the major consumer index, which include Yili, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye, collectively account for 68.63% of the index [1] - Investors can also access the consumer recovery trend through the Consumption ETF linked fund (009180) [3]

Industry Environment - The emergence of diverse business formats such as fresh food restaurants, smart products, and health management is noted, with the pet economy driving demand for quality and refined consumption [3][4] - The Chinese baking market has expanded to 365,000 stores, with a focus on health-conscious options and social experiences, while pet baking is growing rapidly with a year-on-year growth rate of 51.43% [5] - A report by Hema outlines five consumer trends for 2025, including the rise of night economy, increased demand for health products, and the popularity of new Chinese-style products among young consumers [6] - The ready-to-drink coffee market is being reshaped by local brands like Dongpeng and Nongfu Spring, with a sales growth of 50.49% and a shift towards affordable pricing and innovative flavors [7] Key Brand Dynamics - The acquisition of yogurt brand Suan Nai Guan by Mo Yogurt reflects a trend of consolidation in the ready-to-drink tea and coffee industry, as brands adapt to a competitive landscape [25] - Yili is engaging in significant capital operations, including repaying 36 billion yuan in short-term debt and establishing five investment subsidiaries, amidst a challenging dairy market [26][27] - Huabin Group is revitalizing its "War Horse" brand to compete with Dongpeng, launching new sugar-free products to align with health trends [28] - The retail market in Shanghai is witnessing a shift from traditional hypermarkets to new hybrid formats that integrate supermarkets, markets, and restaurants, emphasizing supply chain integration [29] Emerging Trends - The market for sugar-free beverages is expected to double in the next five years, driven by rising health awareness, with a projected market size of 22.74 billion yuan by 2025 [21] - The new trend of "lazy health" is emerging, with new Chinese health drinks gaining popularity, indicating a shift towards convenient health solutions [11][12] - The rise of community bakeries is characterized by precise targeting and emotional connections with customers, enhancing loyalty and operational efficiency [10]

市公司 食品饮料 2026 年 01 月 21 日 东鹏饮料 (605499) —— 25 年收入业绩符合预期，26 年平台化战略全面推 讲 报告原因：有信息公布需要点评 撸持(维持) | 市场数据: 2026年01月20日 | | --- | | 收盘价（元） 257.38 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） 338.92/208.80 | | 市净率 15.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） 1.94 | | 133,841 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) | | 上证指数/深证成指 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 16.92 | | 资产负债率% | 63.24 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 520/520 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | 年内股价与大儒对 相关研究 证券分析师 周缘 A0230519090004 zhouyuan@swsresearch.com 目昌 A0230516010001 lvchang@swsresearch.com 王子昂 ...

上 市 公 司 食品饮料 2026 年 01 月 21 日 东鹏饮料 (605499) —— 25 年收入业绩符合预期，26 年平台化战略全面推 进 报告原因：有信息公布需要点评 增持（维持） | 市场数据： | 2026 年 01 月 20 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 257.38 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 338.92/208.80 | | 市净率 | 15.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 1.94 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 133,841 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 4,113.65/14,155.63 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 16.92 | | 资产负债率% | 63.24 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 520/520 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -20% 0% 20% 40% 01-20 02-20 03-20 04-20 05 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% on January 21, with 18 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains. The top-performing sectors were non-ferrous metals and electronics, with increases of 2.79% and 2.62% respectively [1] - The banking and coal sectors saw the largest declines, with drops of 1.58% and 1.57% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 11.983 billion yuan, with 14 sectors receiving net inflows. The electronics sector led with a net inflow of 16.369 billion yuan, while the non-ferrous metals sector followed with a net inflow of 7.289 billion yuan [1] - Conversely, 17 sectors experienced net outflows, with the power equipment sector seeing the largest outflow of 6.688 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military sector with an outflow of 2.906 billion yuan [1] Food and Beverage Sector Performance - The food and beverage sector declined by 1.53%, with a net outflow of 2.416 billion yuan. Out of 124 stocks in this sector, 23 rose while 97 fell, including one stock that hit the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflows in the food and beverage sector were "Hao Xiang Ni" with 61.106 million yuan, "*ST Chun Tian" with 12.8997 million yuan, and "Wei Zhi Xiang" with 12.7381 million yuan [2] - Major stocks with significant net outflows included Kweichow Moutai with 9.52 billion yuan, Wuliangye with 3.66 billion yuan, and Shanxi Fenjiu with 1.33 billion yuan [2][4] Food and Beverage Sector Capital Inflow and Outflow - The capital inflow leaderboard in the food and beverage sector included "Hao Xiang Ni" (+8.11%), "*ST Chun Tian" (+4.85%), and "Wei Zhi Xiang" (+1.43%) [2] - The capital outflow leaderboard featured Kweichow Moutai (-1.64%), Wuliangye (-1.77%), and Shanxi Fenjiu (-2.34%) [4]

近日，深圳市东鹏饮料公益基金会获评深圳市4A级社会组织，这份荣誉不仅是对其规范化运作与公益 成效的权威认可，更展现了东鹏饮料深耕公益、践行社会责任的价值追求与担当。秉持"让爱更有能 量"的初心，东鹏饮料将善意转化为系统化、长效化的公益实践，在医疗援助、教育赋能、应急救援等 领域探索前行，展开一场凝聚多方力量、与时代同频共振的公益长跑。 深圳市东鹏饮 料公益基金会获评深圳市4A级社会组织 东鹏饮料的医疗公益着力于构建"硬件支持－人才培养－服务升级"的全链条体系。复明中心不仅配备白 内障微创手术设备，更联动三甲医院为当地眼科医生提供免费培训，实现医疗技术扎根基层；2024年启 动的抑郁症干预项目，通过医务社工培训、精神健康科普等多元形式，联动多方力量构建社会支持体 系。此外，与南方医科大学于2020年开启"白大褂明日之星"奖学金计划。今年7月，该项目升级为五年 战略公益合作，为医学人才成长提供更持续的支持。 "白大褂明日之星奖学 金"发放 教育赋能：以公平与成长点亮希望之灯 医疗援助：从硬件支撑到人文守护的多元关怀 健康是民生之基，医疗是保障之要。东鹏饮料在医疗公益领域的深耕，始于2017年与韩红基金会的携 手。 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the "Spring Excitement" in the snack sector, indicating a historical high relative win rate of 70% for the food and beverage sector in the 40 days leading up to the Spring Festival [7][16] - The report emphasizes that the "Spring Excitement" is not solely dependent on the annual beta of the food and beverage sector, as structural opportunities still exist despite a long-term adjustment period since 2021 [7][16] - Key catalysts for the upcoming Spring Festival include concentrated demand for gifts and gatherings, which leads to more planned channel stocking, creating a positive feedback loop of expectations and validations [7][16][28] Group 2 - In December, the food and beverage sector underperformed the market by 7.5 percentage points, with a decline of 5.2%, ranking last among 31 primary industries [7][61] - The report notes a divergence in performance among sub-sectors, with snacks and soft drinks showing gains while liquor and beer experienced declines [7][61][64] - The absolute and relative valuations of the food and beverage sector are at their lowest since 2010, indicating potential investment opportunities [7][61][64] Group 3 - The report tracks the recovery of consumer confidence, with a 0.9% year-on-year increase in retail sales in December, showing improvement from the previous month [7][63] - It highlights that the liquor sector is facing weak demand and declining prices, with the price adjustments for premium liquor nearing levels seen between 2011 and 2015 [7][63][64] - The report identifies structural differentiation in costs, with some packaging materials and agricultural products experiencing price increases [7][63][64] Group 4 - Investment recommendations include a focus on liquor stocks that have undergone a four-year adjustment period, with potential for a "valuation + performance" double bottom [7][64] - For consumer goods, the report anticipates a moderate increase in industry prices in 2026, with specific recommendations for companies like Anjuke Foods, Qianhe Flavor, and Eastroc Beverage [7][64] - The report suggests that the upcoming Spring Festival will provide a favorable environment for growth narratives, particularly in the restaurant supply chain and certain chain formats [7][64]