Group 1 - XuGong Machinery experienced a decline of 5.19%, with a current stock price of 10.78 CNY per share and a trading volume of 1.736 billion CNY, resulting in a total market capitalization of 126.697 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on December 15, 1993, and listed on August 28, 1996, specializes in the research, manufacturing, sales, and service of various types of construction machinery, including cranes, earthmoving machinery, and high-altitude operation machinery [1] - The main revenue composition of XuGong Machinery includes earthmoving machinery (31.05%), other construction machinery and parts (28.09%), cranes (19.11%), mining machinery (8.64%), high-altitude operation machinery (8.34%), and pile machinery (4.77%) [1] Group 2 - Nord Fund has a significant holding in XuGong Machinery, with the Nord Advantage Industry Fund (010878) holding 220,500 shares, representing 4.74% of the fund's net value, making it the ninth-largest holding [2] - The Nord Advantage Industry Fund was established on March 30, 2021, with a current size of 36.1583 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 19.69% [2] - The fund manager, Zhu Hong, has a tenure of 11 years and 213 days, with the fund's best return during this period being 152.71% and the worst return being -21.53% [3]

Core Viewpoint - XCMG Machinery experienced a decline of 5.19% on October 27, with a stock price of 10.78 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 126.697 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - XCMG Group Engineering Machinery Co., Ltd. was established on December 15, 1993, and listed on August 28, 1996. The company is located in Xuzhou Economic and Technological Development Zone, Jiangsu Province [1] - The main business activities include research, manufacturing, sales, and service of various types of construction machinery and spare parts, including: - Earthmoving machinery: 31.05% - Other construction machinery, spare parts, and others: 28.09% - Lifting machinery: 19.11% - Mining machinery: 8.64% - Aerial work machinery: 8.34% - Piling machinery: 4.77% [1] Fund Holdings - Xinhua Fund has a significant holding in XCMG Machinery through its fund, Xinhua Anxiang Duoyu Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (004982), which increased its holdings by 52,800 shares in the second quarter, totaling 791,400 shares, representing 5.96% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has incurred an estimated floating loss of approximately 466,900 CNY as of the report date [2] - The fund was established on September 13, 2018, with a current size of 103 million CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 17.39% and a one-year return of 31.25% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund is managed by Zhao Qiang, Yao Haiming, and Hou Chun, with the following tenure and performance records: - Zhao Qiang: 11 years and 240 days, total fund size of 1.618 billion CNY, best return of 180.9%, worst return of -41.92% [3] - Yao Haiming: 4 years and 336 days, total fund size of 9.664 billion CNY, best return of 42.8%, worst return of 0% [3] - Hou Chun: 264 days, total fund size of 103 million CNY, best and worst return of 17.33% [3]

Group 1 - XCMG Machinery experienced a decline of 5.19% on October 27, with a stock price of 10.78 CNY per share and a trading volume of 1.736 billion CNY, resulting in a total market capitalization of 126.697 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on December 15, 1993, and listed on August 28, 1996, specializes in the research, manufacturing, sales, and service of various types of construction machinery, including cranes, earthmoving machinery, and high-altitude operation machinery [1] - The main revenue composition of XCMG includes earthmoving machinery (31.05%), other construction machinery and parts (28.09%), cranes (19.11%), mining machinery (8.64%), high-altitude operation machinery (8.34%), and pile machinery (4.77%) [1] Group 2 - The Western Benefit Fund has a significant holding in XCMG Machinery, with the Hongli ETF (159708) maintaining 951,600 shares in the second quarter, unchanged from the previous period, representing 3.27% of the fund's net value [2] - The Hongli ETF, established on June 18, 2021, has a current size of 197 million CNY, with a year-to-date return of 9.57% and a one-year return of 8.2% [2] - The fund has incurred an estimated floating loss of approximately 561,400 CNY as of the latest report [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of Hongli ETF include Tong Guolin, Zhou Ping, and Qi Wei, with Tong Guolin having a tenure of 21 years and 175 days, managing assets totaling 1.431 billion CNY, achieving a best return of 123.85% during his tenure [3] - Zhou Ping has 11 years and 217 days of experience, managing 1.462 billion CNY, with a best return of 81.64% [3] - Qi Wei has been in the role for 186 days, managing 1.214 billion CNY, with a best return of 78.16% [3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery equipment sector, with specific recommendations for stocks such as XCMG, Hengli Hydraulic, SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and YTO Group [10]. Core Insights - The machinery equipment index rose by 4.71% in the last week, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 3.24% [13][15]. - Year-to-date, the machinery equipment index has increased by 35.02%, ranking fifth among 31 primary industry categories [15]. - The report highlights a significant increase in engineering machinery exports, with a total of $43.855 billion from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 13.3% [4][23]. - The report emphasizes the potential growth in quantum computing and controllable nuclear fusion as new economic growth points, supported by top-level policy and funding [4][23]. - Tesla's humanoid robot production plans are seen as a strategic opportunity for the robotics sector, with expectations for significant commercialization by 2026 [4][23]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 4.71% last week, ranking fourth among 31 primary industry categories [13][15]. - Year-to-date performance shows a 35.02% increase in the SW Machinery Equipment Index, compared to an 18.44% increase in the CSI 300 Index [15]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.8% in September, indicating contraction [22]. - Forklift sales in September reached 130,380 units, a year-on-year increase of 23% [22]. Engineering Machinery - In September, total excavator sales reached 19,858 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, with both domestic and international sales showing strong growth [31]. Railway Equipment - The railway equipment sector is experiencing steady growth, with fixed asset investment in railways maintaining a growth rate of around 6% [42]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is seeing a slowdown in price declines, with the global new ship price index at 185.58 as of September 2025 [44]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with an increase in global rig counts and expected growth in oil and gas extraction demand [46]. Industrial Gases - A decrease in raw material prices is expected to improve profitability in the steel sector, which may boost demand for industrial gases [50]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is showing robust growth, with GEV reporting a 39% year-on-year increase in new gas turbine orders in the first three quarters of 2025 [52].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic new energy heavy truck market experienced significant growth in September 2025, with sales reaching a record 24,100 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 206% [1][5]. Sales Performance - In September 2025, the sales of new energy self-dumping trucks reached 2,570 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 36% and a year-on-year increase of 127% [4][5]. - The overall heavy truck sales in September 2025 amounted to 83,400 units, with self-dumping trucks accounting for 5,502 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 68% [11]. Market Share and Trends - In September 2025, new energy self-dumping trucks held a market share of 10.65% within the new energy heavy truck segment, slightly down from 10.67% in the previous month [7]. - From January to September 2025, the market share of new energy self-dumping trucks was 12.21%, down from 16.03% in 2024 and 19.07% year-on-year [7]. Competitive Landscape - The top three companies in the new energy self-dumping truck market for September 2025 were XCMG, Sinotruk, and SANY, with XCMG leading with 584 units sold [20][18]. - The competitive landscape remains intense, with several companies achieving significant year-on-year growth, including Sinotruk and SANY, which both saw substantial increases in their sales figures [20][28]. Technology and Distribution - The primary technology route for new energy self-dumping trucks in 2025 is pure electric, with 96.47% of the 16,800 new energy self-dumping trucks registered being pure electric models [13]. - The distribution of new energy self-dumping trucks across provinces remains uneven, with the top seven provinces accounting for nearly 60% of total sales [14]. Future Outlook - The new energy self-dumping truck market is expected to remain vibrant, with an increase in market participants from 25 in 2024 to 26 by September 2025, indicating ongoing interest from heavy truck manufacturers [22][28].

Core Insights - The event "High-Quality Technology Achievement Promotion Activity for Highway Traffic and Digital Construction Technology Exchange" organized by XCMG Group highlights the importance of digital transformation in highway infrastructure, aligning with national strategic goals [1][2] - The upgrade of the Huhang-Wu Highway features a record-setting dual 10-lane design and 25-meter half-width paving, showcasing XCMG's advanced construction technology [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event took place in Taicang, Jiangsu, with representatives from the China Highway Society and Jiangsu Provincial Transportation Department in attendance [1] - The Huhang-Wu Highway project serves as a key node in Jiangsu's highway network, emphasizing its significance in national infrastructure [1] Group 2: Technological Innovations - A total of 14 road construction machines formed the "world's largest smart construction cluster," utilizing real-time data collection and cloud-based analysis for construction quality evaluation [1] - The AI vision-guided driving system on XCMG's pavers addresses industry challenges such as material segregation and joint paving, enhancing paving uniformity [1] Group 3: New Materials and Practices - The project employs a temperature-sensitive PAC-13 drainage material and a temperature field matrix control system to ensure uniformity in the construction process [2] - The integration of new technologies, materials, processes, and equipment in the Huhang-Wu Highway upgrade accelerates the digital transformation of national highway infrastructure [2]

Core Points - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index (470064) closed at 2305.1 points, down 0.29%, with a trading volume of 34.285 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.32% [1] - Among the index constituents, 20 stocks rose while 28 stocks fell, with China National Materials Technology leading the gainers at 5.67% and Shenzhen Properties A leading the decliners at 8.41% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index include: - BOE Technology Group (sz000725) with a weight of 9.64%, latest price at 4.05, and total market value of 151.26 billion yuan [1] - Wuliangye Yibin (sz000858) with a weight of 7.95%, latest price at 120.29, and total market value of 466.92 billion yuan [1] - Hikvision (sz002415) with a weight of 7.72%, latest price at 33.29, and total market value of 305.10 billion yuan [1] - Luzhou Laojiao (sz000568) with a weight of 6.53%, latest price at 130.24, and total market value of 191.71 billion yuan [1] - XCMG Machinery (sz000425) with a weight of 6.28%, latest price at 11.37, and total market value of 133.63 billion yuan [1] - Changan Automobile (sz000625) with a weight of 3.87%, latest price at 12.72, and total market value of 126.11 billion yuan [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan (sz000166) with a weight of 3.78%, latest price at 5.46, and total market value of 136.72 billion yuan [1] - Yunnan Aluminum (sz000807) with a weight of 3.45%, latest price at 23.18, and total market value of 80.39 billion yuan [1] - Yanghe Brewery (sz002304) with a weight of 3.27%, latest price at 69.22, and total market value of 104.28 billion yuan [1] - Changchun High & New Technology (sz000661) with a weight of 3.17%, latest price at 117.84, and total market value of 48.07 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Summary - The net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 0.881 billion yuan, while speculative funds saw a net inflow of 0.65 billion yuan and retail funds a net inflow of 0.231 billion yuan [3] - Notable capital flows include: - Changan Automobile (000625) with a net inflow of 204 million yuan from main funds [3] - Yunnan Copper (000878) with a net inflow of 71.86 million yuan from main funds [3] - Hubei Energy (000883) with a significant net inflow of 44.39 million yuan from main funds [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic sales of construction machinery in September 2025 continued to grow, with significant recovery in non-excavator categories, and strong export performance, indicating a positive outlook for the industry driven by equipment upgrades and internationalization [1][2][4]. Group 1: Domestic Sales Performance - In September 2025, excavator sales (including exports) reached 19,858 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, with domestic sales at 9,249 units, up 21.5% [1]. - From January to September 2025, excavator sales (including exports) totaled 174,039 units, reflecting an 18.1% year-on-year growth, with domestic sales at 89,877 units, also up 21.5% [1]. - Non-excavator categories showed notable recovery, with loader sales up 25.6%, grader sales up 6.5%, truck crane sales up 40.7%, crawler crane sales up 66.7%, and truck-mounted crane sales up 29.8% in September 2025 [1]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The ongoing replacement cycle in the construction machinery sector is expected to support future excavator sales, with a projected compound growth rate of around 30% in replacement demand over the next few years [2]. - The export of used construction machinery to developing countries has reduced domestic ownership levels, further supporting new machine sales [2]. Group 3: Government Support and Infrastructure Investment - The government plans to issue 1.3 trillion yuan in long-term special bonds, increasing infrastructure investment, which is expected to boost demand for construction machinery [3]. - The government aims to enhance urban infrastructure, including underground engineering and municipal construction, which will sustain demand for construction machinery [3]. Group 4: Export Performance - In September 2025, excavator exports reached 10,609 units, a year-on-year increase of 29.0%, with total exports from January to September at 84,162 units, up 14.6% [4]. - The export value of construction machinery in September 2025 was $5.27 billion, reflecting a 29.6% year-on-year growth, with total export value from January to September at $43.86 billion, up 13.3% [4]. Group 5: Electrification Trends - In September 2025, electric loader sales surged to 2,586 units, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 176.0%, with an electrification rate of 24.6%, up 13.0 percentage points [5]. - From January to September 2025, electric loader sales totaled 21,407 units, up 157.2%, with an electrification rate of 22.8%, an increase of 13.6 percentage points [5][6]. Group 6: Major Projects Impact - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with an estimated investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly boost demand for construction machinery, with equipment demand projected to reach 120 to 180 billion yuan [7]. - The project will require various types of construction machinery, including large excavators and concrete machinery, further driving industry growth [7]. Group 7: Recommended Companies - Recommended companies include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, Shantui, and China Longgong, along with component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic [8]. - Companies related to the Yarlung Tsangpo project, such as China Railway Engineering Corporation and others, are also suggested for attention [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry [1] Core Views - Domestic excavator sales continued to grow in September 2025, with a total of 19,858 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.4%. Domestic sales reached 9,249 units, up 21.5% year-on-year [3][4] - The report highlights a significant recovery in non-excavator machinery categories, with loader sales increasing by 30.5% year-on-year in September 2025 [3][4] - The government is expected to support infrastructure investment through the issuance of long-term special bonds and local government bonds, which will drive demand for construction machinery [5] - The report notes that the electric loader sales surged by 176.0% year-on-year in September 2025, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the machinery sector [7][8] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project is anticipated to further boost demand for construction machinery, with potential equipment needs estimated between 120 billion to 180 billion RMB [9][10] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In September 2025, excavator sales reached 19,858 units, with domestic sales at 9,249 units, both showing significant year-on-year growth [3][14] - Non-excavator machinery categories also showed strong performance, with loaders up 30.5% and truck cranes up 40.7% in domestic sales [3][14] Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing recovery in domestic demand for construction machinery, driven by equipment replacement cycles and government infrastructure initiatives [4][5] - The electric machinery segment is gaining traction, with electric loader sales increasing significantly, reflecting a shift towards greener technologies [7][8] Export Opportunities - Excavator exports in September 2025 totaled 10,609 units, marking a 29.0% increase year-on-year, with total export value reaching 5.27 billion USD [6][14] - The report identifies opportunities in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East for machinery exports, despite challenges such as U.S.-China tariff uncertainties [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several leading machinery manufacturers, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, indicating a positive outlook for these companies [10][11]

Group 1: Machinery Industry - In September 2025, the total sales of excavators in China increased by 25.4% year-on-year, with domestic sales and exports growing by 21.5% and 29.0% respectively. For the first nine months, total excavator sales rose by 18.1% year-on-year, with domestic sales and exports increasing by 21.5% and 14.6% respectively [2] - In September 2025, the total sales of loaders in China increased by 30.5% year-on-year, with domestic sales and exports growing by 25.6% and 35.3% respectively. For the first nine months, total loader sales rose by 14.6% year-on-year, with domestic sales and exports increasing by 20.7% and 8.3% respectively [2] - The growth in sales for earth-moving machinery is attributed to increased sales efforts by manufacturers, accelerated exports of second-hand equipment, and a low base from the previous year. Future growth in domestic sales is expected to continue due to ongoing demand for equipment updates and contributions from new projects [2] - The overseas market is anticipated to maintain growth driven by demand from emerging markets in Africa and mineral-rich countries like Indonesia and Australia, alongside domestic manufacturers accelerating their international expansion [2] Group 2: Lithium Battery Equipment - In September 2025, the production of power batteries in China increased by 35.4% year-on-year, with a total installed capacity of 76.0 GWh, reflecting a 39.5% year-on-year growth. For the first nine months, the cumulative installed capacity reached 493.9 GWh, up 42.5% year-on-year, while total production grew by 51.4% to 1121.9 GWh [3] - The growth in power battery production is driven by the rapid increase in new energy vehicle sales, which reached approximately 1.604 million units in September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.6% [3] - Future growth in the new energy vehicle market is expected to continue, supported by policy incentives and technological advancements, which will also drive demand for lithium battery equipment [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The manufacturing PMI in China rose by 0.4 percentage points to 49.8% in September 2025, indicating improvements in production, new orders, and new export orders, suggesting a recovery in both supply and demand in the manufacturing sector [4] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the machinery industry, particularly recommending the engineering machinery sector, which is expected to see sustained growth in performance due to the resonance of domestic and international demand [5] - The lithium battery equipment sector is also highlighted for its potential growth driven by rapid end-user demand and technological advancements leading to equipment upgrades [5]