兴业银锡(000426.SZ)今日涨停两连板创历史新高，换手率4.46%，成交额50.18亿元。龙虎榜数据显示，深股通买入2.64亿元，卖出2.05亿元，净买入5883万 元；五家机构买入1.78亿元，卖出4.06亿元，净卖出2.27亿元。(格隆汇) | 序号 | | 交易营业部名称 | | | 买入金额(万) | 占总成交比例 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 深股通专用 | | 885次 49.27% | 2 | 26358.62 | 5.25% | | 2 | 机构专用 | eastmoney.com | 1949次 43.36% | | 3489.29 | 0.70% | | 3 | 机构专用 | | 1949次 43.36% | | 387.45 | 0.08% | | 4 | 机构专用 | | 1949次 43.36% | | 4730.91 | 0.94% | | 5 | 机构专用 | | 1949次 43.36% | | 3226.01 | 0.64% | | | | (买入前5名与卖出前5名)总合计: | | | 52370. ...

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that geopolitical events are accelerating the de-dollarization process, leading to a broad increase in commodity prices [4] - Precious metals are recommended for strong holding due to rising demand driven by political events and net selling pressure on U.S. Treasury bonds, with gold and silver prices increasing by 8.30% and 14.80% respectively [4] - Copper prices have risen by 1.09% due to a temporary easing of European risks, but there are signs of weak demand from downstream sectors [5] - Aluminum prices are expected to rise as supply continues to grow while demand shows signs of stabilization [5] - Tin prices have rebounded significantly due to macroeconomic factors and uncertainties in supply from conflict regions [6] - Lithium prices are on the rise due to low inventory levels and strong demand expectations, indicating a potential upward trend [6] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 9972.0, with a weekly high of 9972.0 and a low of 4295.55 [1] Price Movements - Basic metals saw price changes: copper up 1.09%, aluminum up 0.25%, zinc up 1.08%, lead down 1.43%, and tin up 13.57% [19] - Precious metals experienced significant increases: gold up 8.30% and silver up 14.80% [19] - Lithium carbonate prices surged by 13.25% due to supply constraints [19] Inventory Levels - Global visible inventory changes: copper increased by 38,104 tons, aluminum by 21,952 tons, zinc by 2,662 tons, lead by 12,077 tons, tin by 16 tons, and nickel decreased by 1,711 tons [33][35]

兴业银锡今日涨停，成交额50.18亿元，换手率4.46%，盘后龙虎榜数据显示，深股通专用席位买入2.64 亿元并卖出2.05亿元，1家机构专用席位净买入5022.62万元，有4家机构专用席位净卖出2.77亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metals sector, with the non-ferrous mining ETF (招商, 159690) experiencing a rise of 5.21% and peaking at 6.77% [1] - Major stocks within the sector, such as 白银有色, 中钨高新, and 兴业银锡, reached their daily limit up, while 湖南白银 and 中金黄金 showed notable gains [1] Group 2 - Bank of America has raised its gold price target to $6,000 per ounce, marking the most aggressive forecast among major institutions [3] - Analyst Michael Hartnett noted that historically, gold prices have increased by an average of 300% over approximately 43 months during past bull markets, suggesting a potential peak in spring 2026 [3] - The top three weighted components of the non-ferrous mining ETF are copper (31%), gold (14%), and aluminum (12%), collectively accounting for 57%, indicating a high concentration in leading resources [3] - The ETF acts as a "non-ferrous amplifier," showing significant leverage effects as its net value can increase several times compared to the underlying commodity prices during price uptrends [3] - The mining sector's long-term investment value is expected to benefit from the recovery of the global manufacturing cycle and the ongoing demand from emerging industries such as renewable energy and artificial intelligence [3]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a unique situation where indices are rising, but individual stock sentiment has been lukewarm, indicating a clear cooling of market enthusiasm [1] - Despite maintaining trading volumes above 2 trillion yuan for over 20 consecutive trading days, there are signs of main funds reducing their holdings in broad-based ETFs, suggesting a cautious approach to the current market [1] Precious Metals Sector - The recent surge in the precious metals sector is driven by three core factors: enhanced financial attributes, industrial demand resonance, and supportive funding conditions, alongside geopolitical and policy cycle benefits [1] - Gold and silver have distinct upward trends, with gold's appeal as a "super-sovereign credit asset" becoming more pronounced as global central banks continue to increase their gold reserves [1] - The global central bank gold reserve ratio is projected to rise to 25.94% by January 2026, with China increasing its gold holdings for 14 consecutive months [1] Economic Indicators - Major economies are showing signs of weak recovery, compounded by trade tensions between the US and Europe, which further enhance the safe-haven value of precious metals [3] - The price of gold has surpassed $5,000 per ounce for the first time, with silver futures also experiencing significant gains, reflecting a broader trend of rising commodity prices [3][5] Sector Performance - The rare metals, gold concepts, and insurance sectors are performing strongly, while sectors like sports, aerospace equipment, and military industries are lagging [3] - The solar photovoltaic sector is also seeing substantial gains, with companies like Mingyang Smart Energy and others reaching their daily price limits [3] Index Movements - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high but faced volatility, indicating a mixed performance in individual stocks despite overall index gains [5] - The ChiNext Index showed weakness, with many small and medium-sized stocks struggling, reflecting a challenging environment for growth in this segment [5]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened higher on January 26, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.36% [1] - The Hong Kong market saw the Hang Seng Technology Index drop over 1%, with companies like Xiaopeng Motors, Kuaishou, and Bilibili falling more than 3% [1] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector continued its strong performance, with stocks like Hunan Gold and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit, and Yuguang Gold Lead achieving two consecutive limits [3] - Key stocks in the precious metals sector included: - Hunan Gold: 10.02% increase - Shengda Resources: 10.01% increase - Yuguang Gold Lead: 9.98% increase [4] Basic Metals Sector - The basic metals sector also saw gains, with New Weiling rising over 14% and several other stocks like Yongjie New Materials and Xingye Silver Tin hitting the daily limit [5] - Notable performances included: - New Weiling: 14.44% increase - Yongjie New Materials: 10.01% increase - Xingye Silver Tin: 9.80% increase [6] Solar Energy Sector - The solar energy sector opened significantly higher, with stocks like Oputai rising over 25% and Dongfang Risen achieving a 20% limit [9] - Key stocks in the solar sector included: - Oputai: 25.86% increase - Dongfang Risen: 19.99% increase - Tuo Ri New Energy: 10.07% increase [10] News Impact - Spot gold prices broke through $5080 per ounce, reaching a new high, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange silver contract hit a limit, currently priced at 27,634 yuan per kilogram, up 14.55% [7] - Elon Musk announced at the Davos Forum that SpaceX and Tesla plan to build a total of 200GW of solar capacity in the U.S. over the next three years, with each company contributing 100GW [11]

Core Viewpoint - The colored metal ETF (512400) is experiencing significant growth, driven by rising prices in precious and industrial metals, with expectations for continued upward momentum in the sector due to various macroeconomic factors [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 26, 2026, the colored metal ETF (512400) increased by 4.62%, with a trading volume of 1.108 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.8% [1]. - The index tracking the colored metal sector, the Zhongzheng Shenwan Colored Metal Index, saw notable gains in individual stocks, including silver rising by 10.03%, Hunan Gold by 10.01%, and Xingye Silver Tin by 9.99% [1]. - The colored metal sector has attracted significant investment, with over 36 billion yuan net inflow into colored metal-themed ETFs (excluding gold) this year, bringing the total scale to over 100 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Price Trends and Predictions - On January 26, spot gold prices surpassed $5,080 per ounce, marking a new high with an intraday increase of over 2%, while spot silver rose over 3% to reach $106.83 per ounce [2]. - Historical patterns suggest that gold prices may increase between 10% and 35% in 2026, influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, instability in the US dollar, midterm elections, and geopolitical uncertainties [2]. - The recent surge in metals such as gold, silver, tin, and lithium indicates a potential bull market for colored metals, with ongoing valuation adjustments lagging behind commodity price increases [2]. Group 3: Investment Sentiment and Strategies - Fund companies and investors are increasingly focusing on the colored metal sector, with public funds significantly increasing their positions in this industry by the fourth quarter of 2025 [2]. - Current market narratives driving global asset performance include the weakening of the US dollar credit cycle, the formation of a new monetary system anchored by gold pricing, and the reconfiguration of global supply chains [3]. - The colored metal ETF (512400) closely tracks the Zhongzheng Shenwan Colored Metal Index, which comprises 50 listed companies in the colored metal and non-metal materials sectors, reflecting the overall performance of this industry [3].

Group 1 - Gold prices have reached a historic high, with spot gold surpassing $5000 per ounce and silver hitting $107, indicating strong demand in the precious metals market [1][3] - Central banks globally are increasing their gold purchases, with a net buying of 45 tons reported in November, maintaining a high level compared to previous months [3] - The Chinese central bank has consistently increased its gold reserves for 14 consecutive months, reaching 7.415 million ounces, which boosts market confidence [3] Group 2 - The rise in precious metal prices is attributed to weakened dollar credit and heightened geopolitical tensions, leading to increased safe-haven demand [3] - Industrial metals such as copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc are also experiencing price increases, driven by low global inventories and anticipated recovery in the Chinese economy [3][4] - The performance of the non-ferrous mining ETF has been strong, with a one-year increase of 128.68%, indicating high price elasticity and responsiveness to rising metal prices [5]

Group 1 - Precious metals sector continues to surge, with notable performances from companies such as Zhaojin Gold (000506) achieving three consecutive trading limits in six days [1] - Sichuan Gold (001337) has reached four trading limits in eight days, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies like Xingye Silver Tin (000426), Hunan Gold (002155), Shengda Resources (000603), Hunan Silver (002716), and Yuguang Gold Lead (600531) also hit trading limits, reflecting a broad rally in the sector [1] Group 2 - Xiaocheng Technology (300139) saw a significant increase of over 15%, reaching a new high, showcasing investor confidence [1] - Shanjin International (000975) followed the upward trend, indicating a positive sentiment across the precious metals industry [1]

Group 1 - The gold market has reached a historic moment, with both spot and futures prices surpassing $5000 per ounce for the first time, with COMEX futures at $5073.4 and London spot gold at $5077.32, reflecting increases of 1.88% and 1.79% respectively [1] - The A-share gold sector experienced a surge, with multiple stocks such as Hunan Gold, Xinye Silver, and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit [2][3] - The price of gold jewelry continues to rise, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Miao reporting prices of 1574 RMB and 1575 RMB per gram respectively [5][6] Group 2 - International gold prices have been on a continuous rise, setting historical records at $4700, $4800, and $4900 per ounce amid geopolitical tensions and a declining US dollar index [9] - There is a growing interest in structured deposit products linked to gold prices, with banks launching various offerings that are quickly sold out, indicating strong demand [11] - The demand for gold investment and storage has increased, leading to a surge in bank safe deposit box rentals, with reports of boxes being fully booked in Beijing [12]