据上证报，7月30日，国内三大钢铁企业掀起一场"反投机炒作"行动——太钢集团、中信泰富特钢和青 拓集团发布《关于维护钼产业链健康发展的联合声明》，宣布暂停钼铁采购，剑指近期钼铁市场的非理 性上涨。三大钢企在联合声明中措辞严厉："强烈谴责市场上的非理性炒作行为。"声明提到，钼铁价格 的大幅上涨已造成高端含钼不锈钢及特钢原料成本严重倒挂，威胁国家高端制造装备供应链安全。数据 显示，7月30日，60%钼铁价格已攀升至27.3万—28万元/吨，近4个月涨幅高达35%。"三大钢企联合抵 制，这在业内实在罕见。"一位不愿具名的特钢行业人士介绍，钼下游应用领域主要是钢铁行业，其中 不锈钢中钼铁的添加量通常在2%—5%。"一般而言，因为添加量不大，小金属涨价对整体成本影响可 控，但这一波钼铁涨幅并非理性，更多的是贸易商捂货惜售，导致价格快速上涨，下游成本压力攀 升。" ...

证券之星消息，7月30日特钢板块较上一交易日上涨0.34%，西宁特钢领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3615.72，上涨0.17%。深证成指报收于11203.03，下跌0.77%。特钢板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日特钢板块主力资金净流入1285.69万元，游资资金净流入101.03万元，散户资金 净流出1386.73万元。特钢板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600117 | 西宁特钢 | 4.20 | 9.95% | 240.61万 | 10.03亿 | | 002443 | 金洲管道 | 6.96 | 1.90% | 18.06万 | 1.24亿 | | 002318 | 久立特材 | 23.02 | 0.48% | 10.45万 | 2.41亿 | | 000825 | 太钢不锈 | 4.38 | 0.46% | 1 74.63万 | 3.30亿 | | 002075 | 沙钢股份 | 6.12 | 0.16% | 43.29万 | 2.66 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Demand is expected to gradually bottom out, while supply-side adjustments are beginning to show, indicating that the steel industry is slowly emerging from its low point [3]. - The report anticipates that if supply policies are implemented, the speed of supply contraction will accelerate, leading to a quicker recovery in the industry [3]. - The profitability of steel companies has improved, with the average gross profit per ton of rebar rising to 330.1 CNY/ton, an increase of 131.5 CNY/ton [36]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Last week, the apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.6813 million tons, a decrease of 1.98 million tons week-on-week [24]. - The total inventory of steel was 13.365 million tons, down 1.16 million tons week-on-week, maintaining the lowest level for the same period in recent years [5]. - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills was 83.46%, unchanged from the previous week [32]. Raw Materials - The spot price of iron ore increased by 4 CNY/ton to 779 CNY/ton, a rise of 0.52% [48]. - The total inventory of iron ore at ports rose to 137.9038 million tons, a slight increase of 0.04% [49]. - The average available days of imported iron ore for 64 domestic steel companies increased to 21 days, up by 1 day from the previous week [49]. Profitability and Production - The average gross profit for hot-rolled coils rose to 244.1 CNY/ton, an increase of 113.5 CNY/ton [36]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 63.64%, up 3.47% from the previous week [32]. - The total steel production last week was 8.6697 million tons, a decrease of 1.22 million tons week-on-week [33]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [5].

Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.9% on July 29, with Xining Special Steel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41, up 0.64% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xining Special Steel (600117) closed at 3.82, up 10.09% with a trading volume of 4.0612 million shares and a turnover of 1.446 billion yuan [1] - Xianglou New Material (301160) closed at 65.00, up 8.91% with a trading volume of 81,200 shares and a turnover of 501 million yuan [1] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) closed at 40.75, up 5.41% with a trading volume of 82,800 shares and a turnover of 329 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 5.93, up 3.85% with a trading volume of 1.7292 million shares and a turnover of 427 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include Taigang Stainless Steel (000825) up 2.59% and CITIC Special Steel (000708) up 1.42% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 44.0156 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 131 million yuan [2] - The individual stock capital flow indicates that Xianglou New Material had a main fund net inflow of 72.1603 million yuan, while Fangda Special Steel had a net inflow of 62.5260 million yuan [3] - Conversely, stocks like Jiu Li Special Materials (002318) and Fushun Special Steel (600399) experienced significant net outflows from main funds [3]

Industry Overview - The liquid ammonia storage tank is a specialized equipment for storing and transporting liquid ammonia, with a history dating back to the late 19th century. Its development has been driven by advancements in chemical industry and increasing demand in agriculture, medicine, and food sectors [1][4][14] - The market size of China's liquid ammonia storage tank industry is projected to reach approximately 7.788 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.12% [1][14] - The first phase of the world's largest green hydrogen ammonia project, with an initial capacity of 320,000 tons, was officially put into operation on July 8, 2025. This project includes a milestone liquid ammonia storage tank project that is the first large-scale low-temperature tank for storing green ammonia globally [1][14] Industry Development Background - The demand for liquid ammonia has been increasing, with production expected to grow from 45.51 million tons in 2018 to 62.10 million tons in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 5.32% [7] - The growth in liquid ammonia production has spurred the demand for specialized storage equipment, leading to rapid technological advancements in liquid ammonia storage tanks [7] Industry Chain - The upstream of the liquid ammonia storage tank industry includes raw materials and equipment, such as special steel, low-temperature alloys, insulation materials, sealing materials, and welding materials. The core equipment includes compressors, refrigeration units, and safety valves [10] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of liquid ammonia storage tanks, while the downstream applications span across chemical, construction, aerospace, biomedical, and environmental sectors [10] Industry Trends - The trend towards larger liquid ammonia storage tanks is driven by increasing production capacity and import/export demands. The industry is moving towards 50,000-ton capacity tanks to reduce land use and operational costs [22] - The integration of smart technologies, such as IoT sensors and AI monitoring systems, is enhancing safety and efficiency in the liquid ammonia storage tank sector [23] - The green transformation of liquid ammonia storage tanks is essential, focusing on low-energy, corrosion-resistant materials and the adoption of BOG recovery systems to minimize carbon emissions [24] Key Companies - Major companies in the liquid ammonia storage tank market include CIMC Enric, Blue Science and Technology, and various domestic manufacturers that dominate the mid to low-end market, while international brands focus on high-end large storage tanks [15][18][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is Neutral, maintained [8] Core Insights - The current round of supply-side optimization in the steel industry emphasizes the "supporting the strong and eliminating the weak" approach, indicating that underperforming capacities should be limited while leading companies are expected to strengthen [2][6] - The market sentiment has significantly improved with the deepening of the "anti-involution" policy, leading to a positive signal of "volume and price linkage" in the steel market [4] - The report highlights that the execution of the "anti-involution" policy may be smoother compared to previous years due to the absence of large-scale stimulus measures, suggesting a gradual improvement in the industry's long-term trends despite short-term fluctuations [2][6] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The apparent consumption of the five major steel products decreased by 1.03% year-on-year and 0.36% month-on-month, while the average daily transaction volume of construction steel increased by 2.10 thousand tons per day compared to the previous week [4] - The average daily pig iron output of sample steel companies decreased to 2.4223 million tons, a decline of 0.21 thousand tons per day [4] - Total steel inventory decreased by 0.14% month-on-month and 24.22% year-on-year, with long product inventory down by 27.40% year-on-year and plate inventory down by 17.74% year-on-year [4] Price and Profitability - Shanghai rebar prices rose to 3,450 RMB/ton, an increase of 180 RMB/ton, while hot-rolled prices reached 3,520 RMB/ton, up 160 RMB/ton [5] - The estimated profit for rebar is 238 RMB/ton, with a lagging cost profit of 495 RMB/ton [5] - The report suggests that with the support of the "anti-involution" policy and strong determination to curb deflation risks, steel prices may show an upward trend that is easier to rise than to fall [4] Elasticity and Valuation - The report calculates the elasticity of steel stocks based on the assumption that the average net profit per ton of listed steel companies could rise to 200/300/400 RMB/ton, compared to 56 RMB/ton in Q1 2025 [6] - Companies such as Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and CITIC Special Steel are identified as having significant elasticity [6] - The report emphasizes that if the valuation of steel stocks returns to historical averages, it could indicate strong investment opportunities, particularly for companies with low price-to-book (PB) ratios [6][32] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies four main investment lines: 1. Companies benefiting from the release of new capacities in iron ore and coke, such as Nanjing Steel and Hualing Steel [32] 2. Steel stocks with low PB ratios that may experience significant performance and valuation recovery, such as New Steel and Fangda Special Steel [32] 3. Mergers and acquisitions under the state-owned enterprise reform theme, which could enhance asset quality and subsequent valuation recovery [33] 4. High-quality processing leaders and resource leaders, particularly in specialized fields, are also highlighted as worthy of attention [33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the steel sector, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [3]. Core Insights - The demand for special steel is expected to rise due to the commencement of the Yajiang Hydropower Station project, with an estimated special steel demand of approximately 4-6 million tons, significantly exceeding similar hydropower projects [3][7]. - Steel prices have increased, with notable weekly price rises across various steel products, indicating a strengthening market [1][10]. - The profitability of steel manufacturers is recovering, with significant increases in gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel [1][2]. Price Trends - As of July 25, 2025, the price of 20mm HRB400 rebar in Shanghai is 3,450 CNY/ton, up 180 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel prices also saw increases of 170 CNY/ton [1][10]. - The report highlights a 5.5% weekly increase in rebar prices and a 4.6% increase in cold-rolled prices, reflecting a positive price trend in the steel market [11]. Production and Inventory - The total production of the five major steel products decreased to 8.67 million tons, with a slight weekly decline of 1.22 million tons, while total inventory also saw a decrease [2]. - Rebar production increased by 2.9 million tons to 2.1196 million tons, indicating a positive trend in production for this specific category [2]. Profitability Analysis - The report indicates that the gross profit margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel have increased by 46 CNY/ton, 45 CNY/ton, and 79 CNY/ton respectively, showcasing a recovery in profitability for steel manufacturers [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel in the general steel sector, and Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel in the special steel sector, among others [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" for the steel industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [6]. Core Viewpoints - The steel industry is experiencing a warming sentiment combined with cost support, leading to a strong performance in steel prices. The report notes that the prices for five major steel products have shown weekly increases, with rebar prices reaching 3,316 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.83% increase week-on-week [1][2]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to introduce a work plan aimed at stabilizing growth in key industries, including steel, which is expected to optimize supply structure and eliminate outdated production capacity [3]. - The report suggests that the steel industry is likely to see a long-term recovery in both valuation and performance, driven by improved profitability and a reduction in production capacity in certain regions [4][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - As of July 18, 2025, the prices for five major steel products are as follows: rebar at 3,316 CNY/ton, wire rod at 3,629 CNY/ton, hot-rolled coil at 3,345 CNY/ton, cold-rolled coil at 3,775 CNY/ton, and medium plate at 3,425 CNY/ton, with weekly changes of +0.83%, +0.76%, +1.47%, +1.16%, and +0.91% respectively [1][15]. - The total production of the five major products reached 8.6819 million tons, a decrease of 45,300 tons week-on-week [1]. - The average daily molten iron output from 247 steel enterprises was 2.4244 million tons, an increase of 26,300 tons week-on-week, with a blast furnace capacity utilization rate of 90.89%, up by 0.99 percentage points [1][18]. 2. Key Industry Data Tracking (a) Production Data - The report highlights that the production data indicates a slight increase in iron output and a recovery in electric arc furnace operation rates, suggesting a stabilization in the industry despite seasonal demand weakness [2][18]. (b) Consumption Volume of Five Major Steel Products - The total consumption of the five major products was 8.7011 million tons, reflecting a decrease of 29,600 tons week-on-week, with specific changes in consumption for rebar, wire rod, hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and medium plate [1][39]. (c) Inventory Situation - The total steel inventory stood at 13.3766 million tons, a decrease of 19,200 tons week-on-week, with social inventory increasing by 81,000 tons to 9.2211 million tons, while steel mill inventory decreased by 100,200 tons to 4.1555 million tons [1][51]. (d) Profitability Situation - The average molten iron cost for 114 steel mills was reported at 2,256 CNY/ton, remaining stable week-on-week. The gross profit per ton for high furnace rebar, hot-rolled coil, and cold-rolled coil was +171 CNY/ton, +146 CNY/ton, and +32 CNY/ton respectively, with slight variations noted [1][4]. 3. Stock Market Performance - The steel index closed at 2,294.69 points, with a weekly increase of 0.36%, while the overall A-share index rose by 1.40% [4][6]. - The report indicates that the overall valuation of the steel sector remains low, with specific companies showing potential for recovery in both valuation and profitability [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel, among others [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - The upcoming "stability growth plan" from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expected to optimize steel production capacity, focusing on structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated capacity [3][7]. - Steel prices have shown an upward trend, with specific prices for various steel products increasing as of July 18, 2025 [1][10]. - The report indicates a decrease in steel production and inventory levels, with a total production of 8.68 million tons for the five major steel products, reflecting a week-on-week decrease [2][8]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of July 18, 2025, the price of 20mm HRB400 rebar in Shanghai is 3,270 CNY/ton, up 30 CNY/ton from the previous week [1][10]. - Other steel products also saw price increases, including hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel [1][11]. Production and Inventory - The total production of the five major steel products is 8.68 million tons, down 45,300 tons week-on-week [2][8]. - Social inventory of the five major steel products increased by 81,500 tons to 9.21 million tons, while steel mill inventory decreased by 100,200 tons [2][8]. Profitability - The report notes fluctuations in steel profitability, with rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel margins changing by -19 CNY/ton, -7 CNY/ton, and +7 CNY/ton respectively [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel in the flat steel sector, and Xianglou New Materials and CITIC Special Steel in the special steel sector [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The profitability of Chinese steel companies is significantly lower than that of Japanese steel companies, with the CEO of Nippon Steel highlighting the challenges faced by Chinese manufacturers due to low pricing strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance Comparison - In 2024, Nippon Steel's net profit was 350.2 billion yen (approximately 16.9 billion RMB), while the top five Chinese steel companies had net profits of 7.362 billion RMB (Baowu Steel), 5.126 billion RMB (CITIC Special Steel), 2.261 billion RMB (Nanjing Steel), 2.032 billion RMB (Hualing Steel), and 1.49 billion RMB (Jiuli Special Materials) [1][2]. - The combined net profit of the top four Chinese steel companies in 2024 was less than that of Nippon Steel alone [2]. Industry Challenges - The Chinese steel industry is facing overcapacity, price competition, and increasing technical standards, leading to a decline in profitability [2][6]. - In 2024, the total profit of key Chinese steel companies was 42.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 50.3% [6][7]. - The apparent consumption of crude steel in China has decreased from 1.048 billion tons in 2020 to 892 million tons in 2024, indicating a significant drop in demand [8]. Export Dynamics - Despite increasing steel exports, the average export price has declined, with the volume of steel exports doubling from 53.67 million tons in 2020 to 111 million tons in 2024, while the average price fell from 847.2 USD/ton to 755 USD/ton [9][10]. - Trade protectionism against Chinese steel products is rising, with multiple anti-dumping investigations initiated by countries like Vietnam and South Korea [9][10]. Strategic Adjustments - Chinese steel companies are attempting to improve their competitiveness by focusing on high-end steel production and reducing costs through better management practices [13][14]. - The industry is urged to adopt a more flexible production mechanism to balance supply and demand, especially in light of declining domestic demand and increasing export challenges [15].