Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic circulation as a more controllable option for China, suggesting that the focus should be on domestic demand and infrastructure investment as a response to the uncertainties brought by the "reciprocal tariffs" initiated by the U.S. [5][6] - The high-purity quartz sector is highlighted as a leading area, with domestic companies expected to benefit from the potential increase in import costs due to tariffs, making long-term domestic substitution promising [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index decreased by 2.4% while the overall market indices saw declines of 3.1% to 6.7% [9] - Notable stock performances included a 29.0% increase for Zhongqi New Materials and a 19.9% decrease for Jingxue Energy Saving [9] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement is 396.3 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.8 yuan/ton week-on-week, but an increase of 39.2 yuan/ton year-on-year [15] - The national cement inventory ratio is 60.2%, up 3.3 percentage points week-on-week [15] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1413.0 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 6.3 yuan/ton week-on-week [33] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 14.3 yuan/square meter, remaining stable week-on-week [38] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price for non-alkali glass fiber yarn is 4745.0 yuan/ton, unchanged week-on-week [45] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price for large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 yuan/kg, stable week-on-week [49] 3. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the ongoing tariff disputes initiated by the U.S. and their implications for the construction materials sector, highlighting the potential for increased domestic production and substitution [14] - The discovery of high-purity quartz mines in China is noted as a significant development that could reduce reliance on imports [14]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommendation" rating to the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][16]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 25.821 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.647 billion yuan, up 3.49% year-on-year [2][9]. - The company is steadily advancing its "one body, two wings" strategy, which is expected to stabilize its performance. The target price is set at 36.45 yuan per share, based on a projected PE ratio of 14x for 2025 [2][9]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: - 2024 revenue: 25.821 billion yuan, up 15.14% year-on-year - 2024 net profit: 3.647 billion yuan, up 3.49% year-on-year [2][9] - **Segment Performance**: - Gypsum board revenue: 13.107 billion yuan, down 4.79% year-on-year - Waterproof membrane revenue: 3.322 billion yuan, up 19.23% year-on-year - Coating revenue: 4.141 billion yuan, up 327.99% year-on-year, driven by the completion of the Gaboli restructuring [9][10]. - **Future Projections**: - Expected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 12.5%, 9.1%, and 7.8% respectively - Expected net profit growth rates for the same period are 20.6%, 14.1%, and 11.6% respectively [4][10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on transforming into a consumer-oriented building materials service provider, enhancing its market coverage in both domestic and overseas markets [9][10]. - The company has launched new service models and expanded its product offerings, particularly in the coatings sector, which has seen significant growth due to strategic acquisitions and market expansion [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.821 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.647 billion yuan, an increase of 3.5% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 3.558 billion yuan, up 1.8% year-on-year [3][6]. - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 5.458 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 34.7% to 502 million yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 37.8% to 489 million yuan [3][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gypsum board, waterproof materials, coatings, and keel businesses generated revenues of 13.1 billion, 4.6 billion, 3.6 billion, and 2.3 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.79%, +18.65%, +812.43%, and -0.13% [9]. - The gypsum board accounted for 50.76% of total revenue, down from 61.38% in 2024. The shares of waterproof materials, keel, and coatings were 17.94%, 8.86%, and 13.91% respectively [9]. - The company maintained a stable gross margin of 38.51% for gypsum boards, slightly up by 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, despite a decrease in product prices [9]. Operational Quality - The company achieved a cash collection ratio of 100.0% for the year, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the Q4 cash collection ratio was 151.1%, up 5.5 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The net cash ratio for the year was 140.8%, an increase of 6.4 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 net cash ratio reaching 483.8%, up 122.7 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Growth Outlook - The company is expected to see stable profitability and continued pricing power, with projected non-recurring net profits for 2025-2027 at 4.58 billion, 5.54 billion, and 6.61 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 11, 9, and 8 times respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [1] Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the gypsum board industry, backed by China National Building Material Group, and is transitioning into a comprehensive building materials manufacturer and service provider [5] - The company has established a strong competitive moat in the gypsum board sector, achieving a market share of approximately 56% by 2024, which provides a stable cash flow even during industry downturns [5] - The company's strategic acquisitions in the waterproofing and coating sectors have significantly contributed to its revenue growth, enhancing its credibility as a leader in consumer building materials [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 22,426 million RMB - 2024: 25,821 million RMB (growth of 15.14%) - 2025E: 27,344 million RMB (growth of 5.90%) - 2026E: 28,961 million RMB (growth of 5.91%) - 2027E: 31,137 million RMB (growth of 7.51%) [4] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 3,524 million RMB - 2024: 3,647 million RMB (growth of 3.49%) - 2025E: 4,025 million RMB (growth of 10.36%) - 2026E: 4,362 million RMB (growth of 8.39%) - 2027E: 4,805 million RMB (growth of 10.14%) [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 2.09 RMB - 2024: 2.16 RMB - 2025E: 2.38 RMB - 2026E: 2.58 RMB - 2027E: 2.84 RMB [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully implemented a dual-wing strategy through significant acquisitions in the waterproofing and coating sectors, enhancing its market position and revenue streams [5] - The waterproofing segment is expected to generate revenue of 3.322 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.23% [5] - The coating business has expanded to a production capacity exceeding 1 million tons, with strategic acquisitions enhancing its competitive advantage [5]

Group 1: Company Overview and Market Position - North New Building Materials has established a strong competitive moat through nationwide layout, production technology, and R&D innovation, leveraging over 40 years of experience [2][3] - The company has enhanced its market competitiveness with innovative products such as phase change gypsum board and high-end heating gypsum board, solidifying its industry position [3][4] - The company aims to optimize its gypsum board brand matrix and adjust competitive strategies to expand into high-end markets [3][6] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the waterproof business achieved revenue of CNY 4.662 billion, with a net profit of CNY 164 million, reflecting a year-on-year profit growth of 14.15% [4][5] - The coatings business, after integrating with Jiaboli, reported revenue of CNY 3.6 billion, with a staggering profit growth of 605.29%, netting CNY 252 million [4][5] Group 3: International Expansion - The company is advancing its international projects, with full production and sales at the Tanzania base and profitability at the Uzbekistan base [5][6] - Future plans include focusing on Southeast Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, with a phased approach to expand gypsum board and waterproof product lines [5][6] Group 4: Green Development Initiatives - The company is committed to green development, implementing carbon peak action plans and enhancing energy efficiency [6][7] - As of the end of 2024, 33 enterprises have been recognized as national green factories, and 39 as provincial green factories, reflecting the company's commitment to environmental sustainability [6][7] Group 5: Future Development Strategy - The company's strategic vision includes promoting green technology and circular economy, aiming to create a comprehensive green building industry chain [6][7] - The 2024 profit distribution plan proposes a cash dividend of CNY 8.65 per 10 shares, totaling CNY 1.461 billion, with a payout ratio of 40.07% of the net profit [7]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 25.82 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.65 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 5.46 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, but net profit dropped by 34.7% to 500 million yuan [1] - The average price of gypsum boards faced downward pressure, while sales volume and gross margin showed resilience [1] Gypsum Board Business - The company sold 2.171 billion square meters of gypsum boards in 2024, remaining stable year-on-year, with revenue from this segment declining by 4.8% to 13.1 billion yuan [1] - The average price of gypsum boards decreased by 0.30 yuan to 6.04 yuan per square meter [1] - The gross margin for gypsum boards was 38.51%, a slight increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, indicating some cost reduction measures [1] Waterproof and Coating Business - The waterproof business generated revenue of 4.63 billion yuan in 2024, up 18.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 164 million yuan, an increase of 6.6% [2] - The coating business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 3.59 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 812% year-on-year, and net profit of 252 million yuan, up 577% [2] - Accounts receivable and other receivables in the waterproof business totaled approximately 2.34 billion yuan, a decrease of 314 million yuan year-on-year, indicating good control over receivables [2] Financial Performance - The company's expense ratios for sales, management (including R&D), and financial costs were 5.59%, 8.47%, and 0.29%, respectively, reflecting an overall increase of 1.85 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Operating cash flow remained strong at 5.134 billion yuan, up 8.45% year-on-year [2] - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 was maintained at 40%, showing stability [2] Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the home decoration and rural markets, with sales in these segments growing by 17% and 21% respectively in 2024 [3] - There is significant potential for further growth in the home decoration and rural markets as the company enhances its channel coverage [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.4 billion yuan, 5.0 billion yuan, and 5.37 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 11.0, 9.7, and 9.1 based on the closing price on March 27 [4] - The company has been given an "Accumulate" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 37.80 CNY, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.65 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.49%. The total revenue for the year was 25.82 billion CNY, up 15.14% from the previous year [1][4]. - The company's "One Body, Two Wings" strategy continues to progress, with the lightweight building materials segment contributing a net profit of 3.31 billion CNY, despite a slight decline of 3.2% year-on-year. The waterproof and coating segments showed significant growth, with net profits increasing by 5.8% and 581% respectively [2][4]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was stable at 29.88%, with specific margins for gypsum board, waterproof materials, and coatings at 38.5%, 17.1%, and 31.9% respectively [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a net cash inflow from operating activities of 5.13 billion CNY in 2024, marking an 8.45% increase year-on-year. The cash flow from the waterproof and coating segments was 470 million CNY and 630 million CNY respectively [3]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is estimated at 28.92 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 12% anticipated for the following years [6][17]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected to be 2.16 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.46 [6][17]. Global Expansion and Future Outlook - The company is accelerating its global expansion strategy, with profitable operations established in Uzbekistan and ongoing projects in Thailand and Bosnia. A stock incentive plan for 2024 aims to align the interests of the core team with long-term growth [4][6]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 4.56 billion CNY, with further growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 5.84 billion CNY by 2027 [4][6].

Group 1: Construction Bank (601939.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 750.2 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 335.6 billion, reflecting a growth of 0.9% year-on-year [3] - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 10.69%, down by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Credit growth remained steady, with a focus on key public sector investments showing high demand [3] Group 2: Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 13.209 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 285 million, down 73.0% year-on-year [4] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 2.735 billion, a decline of 15.2% year-on-year and 17.5% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 102 million, down 45.9% year-on-year but up 122% quarter-on-quarter [4] Group 3: China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH) - The company reported total revenue of 420.5 billion, an increase of 0.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.9 billion, up 11.4% year-on-year [4] - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 94.5 billion, down 13.9% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 21.3 billion, down 18.8% year-on-year and 42.4% quarter-on-quarter [4] Group 4: Beijing New Building Materials (000786.SZ) - The company achieved revenue of 25.82 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.65 billion, up 3.5% year-on-year [5] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 5.46 billion, a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 34.7% year-on-year [5] - The operating cash flow for the year was 5.13 billion, reflecting an increase of 8.5% year-on-year [5] Group 5: Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 9.093 billion, a year-on-year growth of 24.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.008 billion, up 0.81% year-on-year [7] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 2.394 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.10%, while net profit decreased by 57.32% year-on-year [7] Group 6: BYD Electronics (0285.HK) - The company achieved revenue of 177.306 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.266 billion, up 5.57% year-on-year [8] - The results were below market expectations due to asset depreciation and stock incentive costs incurred in Q4 [8] Group 7: Nongfu Spring (9633.HK) - The company reported revenue of 42.896 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.123 billion, up 0.4% year-on-year [9] - In H2 2024, revenue was 20.723 billion, reflecting a decline of 6.7% year-on-year, with net profit also down by 6.7% [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 25.82 billion and a net profit of 3.65 billion for the year 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.1% and 3.5% respectively, indicating stable performance despite challenges in the gypsum board segment [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 25.82 billion, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.65 billion and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.56 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 15.1%, 3.5%, and 1.8% respectively [2]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenues of 5.46 billion, with a net profit of 0.50 billion and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 0.49 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.5% but a decline in net profit by 34.7% and 37.8% respectively [2]. - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 5.13 billion, marking an 8.5% increase year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Segment Performance - The gypsum board and keel segments generated revenues of 13.11 billion and 2.29 billion respectively, with declines of 4.8% and 0.1% year-on-year, indicating pressure from external demand [3]. - The sales volume and unit price of gypsum boards decreased by 0.05% and 4.7% respectively, leading to a calculated gross profit of 2.32 per square meter, down 4.7% year-on-year [3]. - The waterproof membrane and waterproof engineering segments reported revenues of 3.32 billion and 0.41 billion, with increases of 19.2% and a decline of 8.1% respectively, showcasing resilience in the waterproof membrane segment [3]. - The coatings business achieved a revenue of 4.14 billion, a significant increase of 328%, primarily due to the consolidation of Jia Baoli [3]. - The "gypsum board+" related businesses generated revenues of 2.55 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.7% [3]. Group 3: Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin remained stable at 29.9%, with the gypsum board gross margin at 38.51%, a slight increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [4]. - The average prices of recycled yellow board paper and thermal coal decreased by 4% and 11% respectively, contributing to the stable gross margin [4]. - The selling, administrative, and R&D expense ratios were 5.6%, 4.4%, and 4.1% respectively, with increases of 1.4, 0.7, and a decrease of 0.1 percentage points, mainly due to the acquisition of Jia Baoli [4]. - The net profit margin for the company was 14.4%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, with the fourth quarter net profit margin at 9.7%, a decline of 4.9 percentage points [4].

近期泰山石膏提价，盈利或逐渐改善。2025 年2 月，泰山玻纤发布提价函，对全国泰山系列石膏板上涨 0.50 元/m2;非泰山系列石膏板(含OEM贴牌)上涨0.30 元/m2;装饰石膏板上涨0.30 元/m2。我们认为涨价 信号意义较强，或标志着行业需求修复、价格竞争告一段落，后续公司石膏板业务盈利逐步修复可期。 投资分析意见：我们维持原2025-2026 年业绩预测，新增2027 年业绩预测，预计2025-2027 年公司实现 归母净利润45.0、53.0、57.7 亿元，对应市盈率11、9、9 倍。 维持"增持"评级 风险提示：市场竞争加剧价格承压，新并表资产整合期摩擦，海外市场开拓不及预期。 投资要点： 公司发布2024 年年报，2024 年公司实现营业收入258.2 亿元，yoy+15.1%；归母净利润36.5 亿元， yoy+3.5%。单四季度公司实现营业收入54.6 亿元，yoy+1.5%，qoq-19.4%；归母净利润5.0 亿元，yoy- 34.7%，qoq-46.2%。受四季度需求下行以及各项费用增加影响，公司业绩不及预期。 Q4 需求承压竞争激烈，毛利率环比下降。并购带来费用率上行，影响显 ...