Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant decline on November 18, with major companies in the sector reporting losses exceeding 2% [1][2]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - The precious metals sector in A-shares showed a uniform decline, with notable companies such as Hunan Silver, Hengbang Shares, Zhongjin Gold, and Zhaojin Gold all falling by more than 2% [1]. - Specific stock performance included Hunan Silver down by 2.83% to 6.18, Hengbang Shares down by 2.24% to 13.07, Zhongjin Gold down by 2.08% to 21.20, and Zhaojin Gold down by 2.04% to 12.02 [2]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Performance - In the Hong Kong market, Lingbao Gold fell over 6%, Tongguan Gold dropped more than 4%, and both Zijin Mining International and China National Gold fell nearly 4% [2]. - Other notable declines included Shandong Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold, both down over 2% [2]. Group 3: Gold Price Movement - The spot gold price fell below 4020 USD per ounce at one point, indicating a downward trend in gold prices [3].

Market Overview - The precious metals sector experienced a decline of 1.74% on November 17, with Zhaojin Mining leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13202.0, down 0.11% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Zhaojin Mining (000506) closed at 12.27, down 3.54% with a trading volume of 305,600 shares and a turnover of 375 million yuan [1] - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 6.37, down 3.48% with a trading volume of 1,081,300 shares and a turnover of 690 million yuan [1] - Western Gold (601069) closed at 26.74, down 2.41% with a trading volume of 143,900 shares and a turnover of 384 million yuan [1] - Other notable declines include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) down 2.16% and Shandong Gold (600547) down 1.98% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 645 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 543 million yuan [1] - The table indicates that Zhaojin Mining had a net outflow of 6.74 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 17.59 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Hunan Gold (002155) experienced a significant net outflow of 60.43 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 58.24 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in the A-share precious metals sector, with notable drops in specific companies [2] Group 2 - On November 17, the A-share precious metals sector experienced a continuous downturn [2] - Companies such as Zhaojin Gold and Hunan Silver saw declines exceeding 4% [2] - Other companies including Chifeng Jilong Gold, Western Gold, and Hunan Gold also followed the downward trend [2]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector continues to decline, with significant drops in stock prices for several companies, indicating a bearish trend in the market [1] Company Summary - Zhaojin Gold and Hunan Silver both experienced declines of over 4% [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold, Western Gold, and Hunan Gold also followed the downward trend [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the copper, aluminum, and precious metals sectors, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for growth [2][3][4][5]. Core Insights - Copper prices have shown a weekly increase of 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton on the LME, with domestic prices rising by 1.12% to 86,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a recovery in demand as the market approaches the traditional peak season [2][14]. - Aluminum prices also increased, with LME aluminum up 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, supported by low inventory levels and stable demand from downstream processing industries [3][15]. - Gold prices surged by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties in the U.S., indicating strong investor interest in safe-haven assets [4][16]. - The rare earth sector is experiencing upward momentum due to increased demand and the suspension of export control measures, leading to a bullish outlook for companies involved in rare earth production [5][32]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 86,900 yuan per ton [2][14]. - The processing fee index for imported copper concentrate dropped to -$42.21 per ton, indicating supply chain pressures [2][14]. - Domestic copper inventory rose by 0.52 million tons to 20.11 million tons, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [2][14]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 21,800 yuan per ton [3][15]. - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons, indicating a tightening supply [3][15]. - The operating rate of downstream aluminum processing enterprises increased slightly to 62%, suggesting stable demand [3][15]. Precious Metals - COMEX gold price increased by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 6.87 tons to 1,048.93 tons [4][16]. - The market is influenced by U.S. political instability and geopolitical tensions, leading to a strong demand for gold [4][16]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 1.40%, but overall demand is expected to rise due to the suspension of export controls [5][32]. - The rare earth sector is projected to benefit from increased strategic importance and price appreciation [5][32]. Other Metals - Antimony prices increased by 15.5%, driven by a suspension of export controls and a tightening supply situation [5][34]. - Tin prices rose by 3.11%, supported by reduced illegal mining activities in Indonesia [5][35]. - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 3.14% to 83,200 yuan per ton, reflecting strong demand in the energy storage sector [5][61].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting several companies as key investment opportunities [6][7]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the end of the U.S. government shutdown and improving liquidity will support price performance in the metals market. It notes that macroeconomic factors, including weak economic data and interest rate cut expectations, will continue to influence metal prices positively [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, while the SW Nonferrous Index rose by 0.20% during the week [3]. - Precious metals like gold and silver saw significant increases, with gold up by 1.91% and silver by 4.51% [3]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by a decline in the U.S. consumer confidence index and expectations of interest rate cuts, despite a decrease in import volumes due to operational inefficiencies at Tanzanian ports [4][48]. - Aluminum production capacity remained stable, with domestic supply holding firm. However, demand is expected to weaken as the market transitions from peak to off-peak seasons [4][27]. - The report recommends companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum for investment [4]. 2.2 Energy Metals - The report is optimistic about energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, due to sustained demand from the energy storage sector and electric vehicles. Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply shortages [5]. - Key companies recommended include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [5]. 2.3 Precious Metals - The report anticipates continued upward movement in gold and silver prices, driven by central bank purchases and weakening U.S. dollar credit. It highlights geopolitical tensions as a significant factor influencing precious metal prices [5][80]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Western Gold and Shandong Gold [5]. 3. Price and Inventory Changes - The report provides detailed price changes for various metals, noting that aluminum prices are expected to range between 21,700 and 22,400 CNY/ton, while copper is projected to fluctuate between 86,000 and 89,000 CNY/ton [28][49]. - Inventory levels for aluminum and copper have shown mixed trends, with some increases in LME stocks for zinc and lead [14][50]. 4. Company Earnings Forecasts - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with Zijin Mining projected to have an EPS of 1.21 CNY in 2024, and Huayou Cobalt expected to reach 2.50 CNY [6].

Investment Rating - The report gives the company an "Accumulate" rating [4]. Core Views - The company is a state-owned enterprise and a leader in gold and antimony resources, with a dual-driven model of "gold + antimony" ensuring sustainable development [2][11]. - The company has benefited from rising prices of gold and antimony, leading to significant revenue and profit growth in 2025 [21][24]. - The company has a robust resource base, with plans for future projects that are expected to enhance production capacity [4][37]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, smelting, and processing of gold, antimony, tungsten, and other non-ferrous metals, along with the import and export of related products [2][11]. - As of the end of 2024, the company holds 30 mining rights, including 18 exploration rights and 12 mining rights, with a total resource reserve of 6,729 million tons [18][39]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 41.194 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.26%, and a net profit of 1.029 billion yuan, up 54.28% [21][23]. - The company forecasts revenues of 48.925 billion, 58.070 billion, and 63.851 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.812 billion, 2.519 billion, and 2.787 billion yuan [4][6]. Resource and Production - The company has a gold resource reserve of 137,856 kilograms and an antimony reserve of 323,060 tons as of the end of 2024 [18][39]. - In 2024, the company produced 46,328 kilograms of gold, a decrease of 2.87% year-on-year, and 29,209 tons of antimony, down 6.15% [20][42]. Future Projects - The company is investing in the Gansu Jiaxin Yidinan mining project, which is expected to enhance gold production capacity significantly [37][38]. - The project is projected to generate an average annual sales revenue of 319 million yuan and a net profit of approximately 56.43 million yuan after tax [37]. Subsidiary Performance - The company's subsidiaries are performing well, with significant contributions to overall production and revenue [39]. - The main subsidiaries include Hunan Chenzhou Mining, Gansu Chenzhou, and Hunan Golden Cave Mining, each contributing to the company's diverse resource base [39][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The antimony industry is expected to enter a strong prosperity cycle due to a mismatch in supply and demand growth rates [4][8] - China's antimony resource reserves account for 30% of the global total, with a significant increase in reserves from 480,000 tons in 2020 to 670,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 8.7% [4][18] - Global antimony production is highly concentrated, with China accounting for 58% of the total production in 2024, although production has been declining [5][23] - The demand for antimony is projected to grow significantly, driven by the rapid development of photovoltaic installations and the increasing use of antimony in glass for solar panels [6][42] Summary by Sections 1. Antimony Supply Dynamics - Antimony supply is experiencing an unexpected contraction, with China's environmental and export restrictions contributing to a rigid supply growth characteristic [8][27] - The global antimony supply is expected to decline from 137,000 tons in 2024 to 129,000 tons by 2027, with a CAGR of -2% [30][57] - China's reliance on imported antimony concentrates is high, with approximately 45.7% of the supply coming from imports in 2024 [28][31] 2. Antimony Demand Growth - Global antimony consumption is projected to increase by 10.8% year-on-year to 166,000 tons in 2024, with the fastest growth in demand coming from photovoltaic glass [6][45] - The demand for antimony in photovoltaic glass is expected to grow from 49,000 tons in 2024 to 90,000 tons by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 22% [43][49] - The overall global antimony demand is anticipated to rise from 166,000 tons in 2024 to 224,000 tons by 2027, with a CAGR of 11% [45][50] 3. Supply-Demand Gap and Price Outlook - The supply-demand gap for antimony is expected to widen significantly, with projected deficits of 2.8 million tons in 2024 and increasing to 9.5 million tons by 2027 [51][58] - The tightening supply conditions and increasing demand are likely to push antimony prices into an upward trajectory, with potential price increases of up to 56% anticipated [52][52] - The report highlights that changes in China's export policies could fundamentally alter the global antimony trade flow and pricing dynamics [10][52] 4. Related Companies - Companies mentioned in the report include Huayu Mining, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold [11][59]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The suspension of export restrictions to the U.S. is expected to boost China's antimony exports, which accounted for 36% of the country's antimony production in 2023 [2] - The price gap between domestic and international antimony is anticipated to narrow as exports resume [3] - Antimony prices have shown significant fluctuations influenced by export policies and demand changes, with a notable increase of 68% from February 10 to April 17, 2025 [4] Summary by Sections Export Policy Impact - The Ministry of Commerce announced a one-year suspension of export restrictions to the U.S., which is expected to lead to a recovery in antimony exports [2] - The announcement includes stricter controls on dual-use items, particularly for military applications [2] Price Trends - Antimony ingot prices rose from 143,000 CNY/ton to 240,000 CNY/ton between February 10 and April 17, 2025, before declining to 150,000 CNY/ton by November 6, 2025 [4] - The price of antimony in the UK was approximately 31.7 million CNY/ton as of November 7, 2025, indicating a significant premium over domestic prices [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, Hunan Gold, and Huayu Mining, as the resumption of exports is expected to support domestic antimony prices [4]

Market Overview - The precious metals sector experienced a decline of 1.97% on November 14, with Shanjin International leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shanjin International (000975) closed at 20.81, down 3.16% with a trading volume of 316,700 shares [1] - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 6.60, down 2.94% with a trading volume of 1,456,900 shares [1] - Other notable declines include Chifeng Gold (600988) down 2.61% and Sichuan Gold (001337) down 2.59% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 511 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 328 million yuan [3] - Major stocks like Zhongjin Gold (600489) experienced a net inflow of 93 million yuan from institutional investors, while Shanjin International saw a significant outflow of 1.19 billion yuan [3] ETF Information - The Gold Stock ETF (product code: 159562) tracks the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Index and has seen a 3.97% change over the last five days [5] - The ETF's current price-to-earnings ratio is 23.35, with a recent net inflow of 748.9 million yuan [5]