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大行评级|美银:上调赣锋锂业及天齐锂业H股评级至“买入” 大幅上调目标价
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-11 03:17
美银证券发表研究报告指,宁德时代江西宜春锂矿工厂因采矿许可证到期,自8月10日暂停生产。由于 当地政府要求8个锂矿工厂完成资源核查报告,如果检查变得更加严格,部分供应或需要暂停。该行表 示,宁德时代的供应减少,加上旺季需求,或导致每月5000至1万吨碳酸锂当量(LCE)去库存,今年底 的库存或会下降至介乎约10万至11万吨的水平。 该行将赣锋锂业H股评级由"跑输大市"一举上调至"买入",目标价由17港元大幅升至35港元,又将天齐 锂业H股评级由"跑输大市"一举升至"买入",目标价由21港元大幅上调至50港元。 ...
锂矿价格有望反转!稀有金属ETF(562800)年内涨超36%,规模位居同类第一
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-11 03:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a surge in lithium mining stocks, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy, Tianqi Lithium, and Yongshan Lithium reaching their daily limit up, while others like Zhongmin Resources and Ganfeng Lithium saw increases of over 7% [1] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) rose by 2.29%, with a trading volume exceeding 152 million yuan, and has experienced a year-to-date increase of over 36% [1] - In the past 20 trading days, the net inflow of funds into the Rare Metals ETF exceeded 280 million yuan, with the latest scale reaching 1.269 billion yuan, indicating strong capital attraction and leading the sector [1] Group 2 - The lithium price is expected to rise due to supply disruptions, as CATL announced a suspension of mining operations at its Yichun project after the mining license expired on August 9, and is in the process of applying for an extension [1] - Reports suggest that CATL's Jianxiawo lithium mine will be offline for at least three months, contributing to supply tightening [1] - Under the backdrop of the "anti-involution" policy, Everbright Securities continues to maintain a positive outlook on the new materials sector, anticipating that the combination of CATL's mine suspension and other mines like Cangge Mining will lead to upward pressure on lithium prices [1]
利好突袭,罕见全部涨停!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-08-11 03:09
Group 1: Lithium Market Dynamics - Lithium mining stocks surged following the expiration of the mining license for CATL's (宁德时代) Jiangxia Wokeng mine, leading to a collective rise in lithium, salt lake lithium extraction, rare metals, and lithium battery stocks [2][4] - All contracts for lithium carbonate futures hit the upper limit, with the main contract (2511) increasing by 8% to a price of 81,000 yuan per ton [6][7] - The price of lithium has risen to 90,000 to 100,000 yuan per ton, up from a previous low of approximately 58,000 yuan per ton, indicating strong market demand [6] Group 2: Stock Performance - Notable lithium stocks such as Jiangte Electric (江特电机), Yongshan Lithium Industry (永杉锂业), and Tianqi Lithium (天齐锂业) reached their daily limit up, while Ganfeng Lithium (赣锋锂业) and others also saw significant gains [4][5] - In the Hong Kong market, Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium both experienced substantial increases, with Tianqi Lithium rising by 18.24% and Ganfeng Lithium by 16.86% [5] Group 3: Regional Market Activity - The Xinjiang revitalization concept stocks remained active, with companies like Xinjiang Torch (新疆火炬) and Xinjiang Communications Construction (新疆交建) showing strong performance, each achieving nearly 10% gains [8][9] - The establishment of the New Tibet Railway Company, with a registered capital of 95 billion yuan, is expected to enhance the connectivity of the western railway network, facilitating the transportation of mineral resources [10]
港股通汽车ETF(159323)早盘震荡走高,持仓股小鹏汽车涨近7%,“锂业双雄”大涨
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 02:56
民生证券在最新行业周报中指出,近期乘用车基本面改善,看好新车密集催化。7月下旬起终端销量环 比回暖,7月第1、2、3、4周销量分别40.5万、37万、39.7万、44.8万辆,8月第一周销量47万辆。上 周,理想i8上市后应市场需求调整配置及售价;全新小鹏P7、智界新款S7/R7开始预售;吉利银河A7正 式上市,新车共推出7款车型,限时先享价8.18万~11.78万元,新产品催化密集。该机构预计,后续伴 随新车密集上市、交付上量(重点新车包括全新问界M7、吉利银河A7、M9、零跑B01、享界S9T、特 斯拉ModelYL、问界M8纯电等),车市基本面将陆续向好。 公开信息显示,港股通汽车ETF(159323)标的指数为港股通汽车指数(931239.CSI)。该指数高度聚 焦港股整车板块,乘用车含量在同类指数中领先,且拥有相对A股稀缺的造车新势力。此外,港股通汽 车指数囊括知行科技、地平线机器人、舜宇光学科技、浙江世宝等智驾产业链标的,相较于A股汽车主 题指数,该指数智驾含量更高,更契合汽车行业发展的趋势。截至8月8日,指数市盈率(TTM)仅为 20.31倍,显著低于中证新能源汽车指数、中证汽车指数、中证全指汽 ...
碳酸锂期货涨停,锂矿股大涨,创业板涨超1%,券商拉升,国债大跌,恒科指转跌,苹果概念股活跃
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:53
Market Overview - A-shares opened slightly higher with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.13%, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.05%, and ChiNext Index up 1.59% [1][21] - Hong Kong stocks opened higher but turned negative, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.02% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.33% [2][3] A-share Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 3639.91, with a gain of 4.78 points (0.13%) [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index is at 11245.30, with a gain of 116.62 points (1.05%) [1] - The ChiNext Index is at 2370.99, with a gain of 37.04 points (1.59%) [1] Hong Kong Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Index is at 24854.62, down 4.20 points (-0.02%) [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index is at 5442.10, down 18.20 points (-0.33%) [3] Bond Market - Government bond futures fell, with the 30-year main contract down 0.44%, the 10-year down 0.11%, the 5-year down 0.08%, and the 2-year down 0.01% [4][6] Commodity Market - Domestic commodity futures mostly rose, with lithium carbonate futures hitting the limit up and industrial silicon rising over 4% [4][28] - Other commodities such as焦煤, 焦炭, and various metals also saw gains, while fuel oil and eggs declined [4][28] Lithium Sector - Lithium stocks surged, with Tianqi Lithium up over 15% and Ganfeng Lithium up 13% [14][25] - Lithium carbonate futures opened with a limit up of 8% [28][26] New Energy Materials - New energy materials concept stocks saw significant gains, with Xinhan New Materials up over 13% and other related stocks also performing well [8][9] Financial Technology Sector - A-share brokerage and fintech stocks experienced a rally, with Guosheng Financial hitting the limit up and other stocks like Tonghuashun rising over 7% [11][12] Apple Concept Stocks - In Hong Kong, Apple concept stocks continued their upward trend, with Hongteng Precision up over 9% and other related stocks also showing gains [11][13] Xinjiang Sector - The Xinjiang sector remained active, with multiple stocks hitting the limit up, including Xibu Construction and Guotong Shares [17][18]
锂矿飙涨,宁德时代枧下窝锂矿停产!盛新锂能、天齐锂业涨停,新能源汽车ETF(516390)放量涨超2%!邱祖学:行业平衡偏紧,或刺激反转信号
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:34
8月11日,A股市场震荡上行,锂矿板块暴涨!截至9:56,新能源汽车ETF(516390)放量涨超2%,冲击两连阳。有色50ETF(159652)高开震 荡,微涨0.27%。 新能源汽车ETF(516390)标的指数成分股悉数走强,锂矿板块领涨,盛新锂能、天齐锂业10cm涨停,赣锋锂业涨超7%!宁德时代、汇川技 术、比亚迪等微涨。 【新能源汽车ETF(516390)标的指数前十大成分股】 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 估算权重▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300750 | 宁德时代 | 电力设备 | 0.84% | 15.37 Z | 9.89% | | 2 | 300124 | 汇川技术 | 机械设备 | 0.90% | 3.47 亿 | 9.08% | | 3 | 002594 | 比亚迪 | 汽车 | 0.46% | 8.02亿 | 7.80% | | 4 | 000625 | 长安汽车 | 汽车 | 0.70% | 1.98亿 | 4.92% | | 5 | 002050 | 三 ...
宁德时代回应,碳酸锂涨停,这类股集体飙升
中国基金报· 2025-08-11 02:26
Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of mining operations at the Jiangxi Yichun project by CATL has significantly impacted the carbon lithium market, leading to a surge in lithium carbonate prices and related stocks [2][3][10]. Group 1: Company Response - CATL confirmed that mining operations at the Yichun project were suspended after the mining license expired on August 9, and the company is in the process of applying for a renewal [2][3]. - The company stated that the suspension will not have a significant impact on its overall operations [3]. Group 2: Market Reaction - On August 11, lithium carbonate futures surged to a limit-up price of 81,000 RMB per ton, an increase of 8% from the previous closing price of 75,000 RMB [7][10]. - Major lithium-related stocks saw significant gains, with Shengxin Lithium Energy and Tianqi Lithium Industries rising over 8% [5][6]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Analysis - The Yichun mining area and its associated refining facilities contribute approximately 10,000 tons of lithium carbonate per month, accounting for about 12.5% of domestic production [10]. - The suspension may create a supply gap of several thousand tons per month, as the market is expected to remain in a tight balance between supply and demand in Q3 [10]. - Analysts predict that the sentiment from the supply disruption could push lithium prices above 80,000 RMB per ton in the coming days, before stabilizing between 70,000 and 80,000 RMB per ton [10]. Group 4: Financial Implications - If lithium prices rise by 10,000 RMB per ton, CATL's gross margin could face a potential decline of about 4% [11].
锂业「双雄」 天齐锂业、赣锋锂业均大涨超15%,宁德时代江西锂矿确认停产
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:18
锂业股早盘高开,截至发稿,锂业「双雄」 $天齐锂业 (09696.HK)$ 、$赣锋锂业 (01772.HK)$ 均大涨超15%。 01772 贛鋒鋰業 最高 48.800 開市 成交量 1032.2萬 47.160 最低 44.260 前收 41.020 成交額 4.8億 季K @ ▲ 5日 日K 周K 月K 年K 1 से 3 સ 5分 10分 15分 30分 1小時 2小時 3小時 4小時 | | 1月 3月 47.993 47.583 47.260 47.260 46.763 46.353 交易中 08/11 09:56:30 32.340↑ +4.220 +15.01% 最高 2513.99萬 32.400 開市 31.280 成交量 最低 7.86億 30.060 前收 28.120 成交額 ® ▼ 5日 日K 周K 月K 季K 年K 3分 5分 10分 15分 1小時 2小時 3小時 4小時 3月 1分 30分 32.619 32.340 32.057 31.776 31.494 31.213 30.932 30.651 30.370 30.088 成交量 VOL: 25.240 200.00 ...
开盘即大涨!碳酸锂市场突变
| 8.68 | 10.01% 卖 1 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 三1 | 分时成交 ▼ | 8.68 80.7万 | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 234 | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 166 | | 7.89 | 9:34 | 8.68 | 265 | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 342 | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 175 | | | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 520 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 7.10 | | -10.01% | 9:34 | 8.68 | 340 | | | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 182 | | MACD | DIF:0.000 DEA:0.000 M:0.000 | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 1064 | | 0.000 | | V | 9:34 | 8.68 | 375 | | | | | 9:34 | 8.68 | 104 | | 0.000 | | | 9:35 | 8.68 | 271 | | | | | 9 ...
港股异动 宁德时代江西锂矿确认停产 天齐锂业(09696)高开近15% 赣锋锂业(01772)高开逾11%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-11 02:06
天风证券认为,此次宁德锂矿争议落地,对江西地区后续类似问题有代表性意义,碳酸锂供给收缩预期 加剧,或迎来价值重估。财通证券分析称,江西多个锂矿或因矿证审批流程也面临停产可能,或导致每 月7000至8000吨碳酸锂当量受到影响。瓷土矿转锂土矿对应税率也将大幅提高成本,叠加9-11月传统旺 季供需更紧,多重因素推高碳酸锂价格。建议关注锂矿资源相关标的。 本文源自:智通财经网 智通财经获悉,锂业股早盘高开,截至发稿,天齐锂业(09696)涨14.97%,报47.16港元;赣锋锂业 (01772)涨11.24%,报31.28港元。 消息面上,碳酸锂期货主力合约今日开盘涨停,报81000元/吨。据期货日报报道,8月9日,记者从市场 各方及宁德时代相关人士处交叉求证获悉,宁德时代枧下窝矿区采矿端将于当晚12时停产。自8月10日 起,该矿区采矿端就开始停产了,且短期内没有复产计划。今早,宁德时代在互动平台表示,公司在宜 春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批 复后将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 ...