Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: Semiconductor and Technology - **Outlook for 2026**: Upstream sectors are favored while downstream sectors face challenges due to demand uncertainty, particularly in consumer electronics and automotive applications in the first half of 2026 [1][3][4] Key Insights - **End Demand Uncertainty**: The primary concern for 2026 is the uncertainty in end demand, especially for consumer electronics and automotive applications, attributed to a high base and unfavorable memory costs [1][3] - **Preference for Upstream Supply Chain**: Focus on upstream sectors such as Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE) and foundry sub-sectors due to: - Sustainable capital expenditure (capex) driven by China's indigenous AI supply chain - "China-for-China" demand from international semiconductor clients [1][3] - **Selective Downstream Investment**: Caution advised for downstream sectors like fabless and OEMs, which may experience margin squeezes due to weakening demand and rising costs. Preference for high-end market share gainers [1][4] Financial Performance Expectations - **WFE Sector Growth**: Anticipated benefits from sustainable fab capex supporting indigenous AI demand, with localization expected to increase from 20% in 2024 to 50% by 2030 [3] - **Foundries and IDMs**: Expected to operate at elevated utilization rates with potential price increases into Q1 2026, driven by demand from international clients [3] - **High-End Consumer Electronics Resilience**: Demand for high-end products (e.g., Apple, DJI) expected to remain strong, while low-end products (e.g., Android smartphones) may face significant challenges [3][4] Stock Recommendations - **Top Picks**: - NAURA - AMEC - OmniVision - Luxshare - Zhongji Innolight - **Investment Strategy**: Maintain a pecking order favoring WFE > Foundry > IDM > OSAT > Fabless, with a cautious stance on downstream OEMs and ODMs [4][1] Additional Considerations - **Valuation Re-rating**: Limited re-rating expected for the downstream sector, with potential performance reliant on upward revisions in earnings per share (EPS) rather than valuation expansion [4] - **Market Dynamics**: The report highlights the importance of understanding the shifting dynamics in the semiconductor market, particularly the impact of AI and localization trends on future growth [1][3][4]

Core Insights - Private equity firms have conducted over 44,000 research activities on A-share listed companies in 2023, with a focus on hard technology sectors such as electronics, biomedicine, and machinery [1][2] - The most researched industries include electronics, biomedicine, and machinery, with significant interest in artificial intelligence, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption trends [1][4] Group 1: Research Activities - A total of 2,579 private equity firms participated in A-share research, covering 2,184 stocks across 30 primary industries, resulting in 44,702 research instances [2] - The electronics sector was the most researched, with 8,732 instances, followed by biomedicine with 6,341 and machinery with 5,437 [2][4] - Notable companies in the electronics sector include Luxshare Precision, which was researched 335 times, and other leading firms in biomedicine such as United Imaging Healthcare and Mindray Medical [2][3] Group 2: Private Equity Firm Activities - The most active private equity firm, Zhengyuan Investment, conducted 1,002 research activities, while other major firms like Panjing Investment and Gao Yi Asset also showed high engagement [2][3] - Panjing Investment focused on nearly 30 stocks with multiple research instances, including Luxshare Precision and Jiangbolong [3] - Gao Yi Asset showed a preference for biomedicine, electronics, and machinery, conducting six research activities on Zhongkong Technology [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - The electronics industry is thriving due to accelerated domestic semiconductor replacement and the initiation of a consumer electronics innovation cycle [4] - The biomedicine sector is favored for its diverse stock options and the rapid approval of innovative drugs, alongside a recovery in medical consumption [4] - The power equipment sector benefits from the continuous growth of new energy installations, attracting significant research interest from private equity firms [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is expected to shift from valuation-driven to performance-driven, with a focus on high-growth sectors such as artificial intelligence, innovative pharmaceuticals, and machinery [5][6] - Investment strategies will emphasize structural growth potential in emerging sectors and cyclical opportunities arising from "anti-involution" policies [6]

Core Insights - The report suggests a high probability of an upward breakout in the market, leading to a cross-year rally, particularly due to anticipated positive economic policy adjustments from the upcoming political meetings [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of December as a strategic month for investment, with increased demand for equity funds expected due to the influx of new insurance premiums and favorable currency conditions [2][3] - The report identifies three main investment directions: infrastructure and real estate, service consumption, and self-sufficiency, with a focus on policy-driven adjustments [2][3] Investment Recommendations - The report lists a "golden stock" combination including companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, China Merchants Bank, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology [2][4] - Specific insights into Luxshare Precision highlight its strong position in the Apple supply chain and its potential for robust growth across various sectors, including automotive [8][9] - Shengyi Technology is noted for its leading position in the CCL market, with expectations for continued high-end product upgrades and significant growth potential [12][13] - Century Huatong is recognized for its innovative gaming strategies and strong market position, particularly with its successful game releases [17] - Zhongji Xuchuang is positioned to benefit from increasing overseas demand for optical modules, with a strong production capacity [17] - Haiguang Information is expected to see growth in its DCU chip business due to domestic project implementations [24] - China Merchants Bank is highlighted for its prudent management and strong asset quality, with expectations for recovery in performance as economic conditions improve [24] - Alibaba's cloud business is projected to grow significantly, driven by AI demand and a strong competitive position in the market [24] - Zijin Mining is anticipated to benefit from favorable commodity price trends, particularly in gold and copper [24] - Xingye Silver Tin is positioned as a leading silver producer with significant growth potential [20] - XGIMI Technology is expected to see revenue growth driven by market recovery and product innovation [20] Earnings Forecasts - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology are projected to achieve over 30% stable growth in earnings this year [5] Financial Metrics - Luxshare Precision is projected to have an EPS of 1.85 in 2024, with a net profit growth rate of 22.03% [6] - Shengyi Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 0.72 in 2024 to 2.03 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 49.37% in 2024 [7] - Century Huatong's EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.16 in 2024 to 1.11 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 131.51% in 2024 [7] - Zhongji Xuchuang is expected to see significant growth in EPS from 4.61 in 2024 to 17.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 137.93% in 2024 [7] - Haiguang Information's EPS is projected to grow from 0.83 in 2024 to 2.01 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 52.87% in 2024 [7] - Alibaba's EPS is expected to rise from 3.91 in 2024 to 5.82 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 9.93% in 2024 [7] - Zijin Mining's EPS is forecasted to increase from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 51.76% in 2024 [7] - Xingye Silver Tin's EPS is projected to grow from 0.86 in 2024 to 1.39 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 57.82% in 2024 [7] - XGIMI Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 1.72 in 2024 to 5.20 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of -0.3% in 2024 [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the increasing interest from institutions in Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (立讯精密), with 576 institutions participating in recent research activities, indicating strong market attention and potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Company Strategy - Luxshare's strategy involves not pursuing independent AI terminals but instead partnering with companies that have large models and ecosystems, which is seen as a smart move in the AI wave [3]. - The company has released 3,000 robots this year but emphasizes that this is not significant yet, as it is not at the stage of mass production. The focus is on securing a position in the core components of robotics for future industry growth [3][4]. - Despite most of its products being sold internationally, two-thirds of Luxshare's production capacity remains in China, allowing the company to manage costs effectively by understanding different countries' production requirements [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Opportunities - Luxshare's platform capability allows it to quickly adapt across various sectors, from consumer electronics to AI terminals and robotics, which is a unique strength [4]. - Investment opportunities are identified in core components for AI terminals, such as optical modules for smart glasses and acoustic components for headphones, as well as in robotics, focusing on servo motors and reducers [4]. - The article suggests that while institutions are heavily investing in Luxshare, the stock may experience volatility, and a long-term investment perspective is recommended [4].

Group 1 - The current A-share bull market is part of a six-year global liquidity expansion driven by post-2020 monetary easing, with systemic revaluation of key assets such as gold, US tech stocks, and European/Japanese manufacturing [1][11] - The return of cross-border capital to China is expected to systematically reassess the competitive advantages of Chinese manufacturing, particularly in sectors like new energy, chemicals, and medical devices [2][12] - The A-share market is likely to experience volatility in 2026, with either a stagnation of the bull market or a "Davis Double Play" in consumer sectors, as external exports may not drive profits due to high base effects [3][13] Group 2 - The industrialization maturity phase in China has led to a bull market for core assets, driven by improved domestic consumption and the ability of manufacturing to generate national wealth through exports [4][14] - The recommendation for industry allocation focuses on a combination of "existing," "new," and "high" sectors, emphasizing non-ferrous metals, new consumption trends, and high-end manufacturing [5][14] Group 3 - The investment logic for China Hongqiao includes short-term price increases in electrolytic aluminum and long-term growth driven by integrated operations and high dividends [17][19] - For Luoyang Molybdenum, the investment rationale is based on the rising copper cycle and diversified product offerings, with a focus on sustainable growth [20][22] - Huafeng Aluminum is positioned for growth through high-end aluminum processing and international expansion, capitalizing on trends in the automotive sector [25][28] Group 4 - Nanjing Steel's strategy involves creating a fully integrated supply chain and exploring new growth points to stabilize returns on equity [29][32] - Dongfang Tower's investment logic is driven by rising prices of potassium chloride and phosphate rock, with ongoing capacity expansion [33][36] - Luxshare Precision is transitioning to an AI hardware manufacturer, benefiting from increased demand for computing power and AI models [37][40] Group 5 - Great Wall Motors is focusing on high-end SUVs and global expansion, with new model launches expected to drive sales [41][44] - Leap Motor is leveraging competitive pricing and differentiation in the domestic and overseas markets, with new models and subsidies supporting growth [45][48] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical is advancing its clinical pipeline with over 100 innovative products, aiming for significant growth through international collaborations and new product approvals [49][51] Group 6 - Yifeng Pharmacy is expected to improve its market share through enhanced operational efficiency and strategic store adjustments [54][59] - Dongfang Electric is positioned to benefit from rising global demand for gas turbines, driven by AI-related power needs [60][63]

2025 年 11 月 30 日 总量研究 量能决定短期反弹高度 ——金融工程市场跟踪周报 20251130 本周（2025.11.24-2025.11.28，下同）A 股市场震荡反弹，创业板指领涨主要 宽基指数。量能表现方面，本周主要宽基指数量能逆势收缩，当前量能状态与市 场反弹表现不匹配，后续反弹力度或受量能压制收窄。资金面方面，本周融资增 加额转正，股票型 ETF 资金延续净流出，资金方面仍有分歧。 结合本周市场反弹高度、量能表现以及资金分歧状态，后市反弹力度或减弱，市 场再度进入震荡区间。中长线仍看好"红利+科技"主线，红利或在波动方面占 优。 本周上证综指上涨 1.40%，上证 50 上涨 0.47%，沪深 300 上涨 1.64%，中证 500 上涨 3.14%，中证 1000 上涨 3.77%，创业板指上涨 4.54%，北证 50 指数 上涨 0.75%。 截至 2025 年 11 月 28 日，宽基指数来看，上证指数和上证 50 指数处于估值分 位数"危险"等级，沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 和创业板指处于估值分位 数"适中"等级。 中信一级行业分类来看，煤炭、钢铁、建材、轻工制 ...

Group 1: Overall Market Insights - The report highlights the focus on the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts, liquidity recovery, and AI chip competition in December, predicting a volatile recovery in the US stock market with opportunities for low-cost investments [4][14][15] - Domestic PMI shows slight improvement, with attention on policy signals from the Political Bureau and Central Economic Work Conference, indicating a cautious but positive outlook for the A-share market [4][19][21] - The report anticipates a range-bound movement in the A-share market, with a focus on low-consumption sectors, price recovery cycles, and technology themes driven by industrial catalysts [4][22] Group 2: Key Stock Recommendations - The report lists ten key stocks, including Luxshare Precision (002475.SZ) in electronics, Rui Ming Technology (002970.SZ) in new energy, and Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) in non-ferrous metals, among others, with no specific ranking [5][12] - Luxshare Precision is expected to benefit from AI-enabled consumer electronics, with a projected revenue growth from 265.32 billion to 358.63 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026 [23][26] - Rui Ming Technology is positioned as a leader in commercial vehicle AI solutions, with revenue forecasts of 26.7 billion to 41.5 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, driven by policy support and safety requirements [30][34] Group 3: Industry-Specific Insights - The electronics sector, particularly Luxshare Precision, is experiencing growth due to AI integration in consumer electronics, with significant revenue increases expected [23][24] - The storage market is recovering, with companies like Zhaoyi Innovation (603986.SH) benefiting from rising demand and prices for niche DRAM products, projecting revenues of 73.83 million to 107.37 million RMB from 2024 to 2026 [27][28] - The new energy sector, represented by Rui Ming Technology, is set for high growth due to increasing demand for intelligent driving solutions and supportive regulations, with revenue forecasts indicating substantial growth [30][34] Group 4: Financial Performance and Projections - Luxshare Precision reported a revenue of 177.18 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 13.67% [23] - Zhaoyi Innovation's revenue for Q1 2024 showed a year-on-year increase of 21.32%, reflecting a recovery in the consumer market [27] - Zhongmin Resources is enhancing its lithium salt self-sufficiency and expanding its copper mining projects, with projected revenues of 56.91 billion to 97.27 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026 [49][50]

资金面趋于谨慎，观望情绪浓厚 —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W48） [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 11 月 30 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 8 证券研究报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 吴彦锦 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523090002 联系电话：+86 18616819227 邮 箱：wuyanjin@cindasc.com 周君睿 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523110005 联系电话：+86 19821223545 邮 箱：zhoujunrui@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 量化市场追踪周报(2025W48)：资金面趋于谨慎， 观望情绪浓厚 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 11 月 30 日 [Table_Summary] ➢ 本周市场复盘：上证指数结束月 ...

（文章来源：证券时报） 11月获得机构调研的个股有1500多只，立讯精密调研机构数最多。立讯精密11月有576家机构调研，其 中包括148家基金公司、85家证券公司、65家私募、38家保险公司等。汇川技术、爱博医疗、中控技 术、澜起科技等个股也均获得逾百家机构调研。值得一提的是，汇川技术调研机构中有多达103家海外 机构和11家QFII，比如淡马锡富敦、Amber Capital、Morgan Stanley&Co等等。另外，立讯精密、奥普 特、奥比中光-UW、百济神州-U、澜起科技等也获得了众多外资关注。从市场表现来看，11月机构调 研股月内平均下跌超1%。滨海能源、梦天家居、大中矿业、富祥药业等个股均涨逾50%。 ...

11月获得机构调研的个股有1500多只，立讯精密调研机构数最多。立讯精密11月有576家机构调研，其 中包括148家基金公司、85家证券公司、65家私募、38家保险公司等。汇川技术、爱博医疗、中控技 术、澜起科技等个股也均获得逾百家机构调研。值得一提的是，汇川技术调研机构中有多达103家海外 机构和11家QFII，比如淡马锡富敦、Amber Capital、Morgan Stanley&Co等等。另外，立讯精密、奥普 特、奥比中光-UW、百济神州-U、澜起科技等也获得了众多外资关注。从市场表现来看，11月机构调 研股月内平均下跌超1%。滨海能源、梦天家居、大中矿业、富祥药业等个股均涨逾50%。 ...