1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report is a weekly briefing on large - scale refining and chemical industries, presenting the latest data on key projects' spreads, various product prices, profits, inventories, and operating rates, as well as the performance of related listed companies [1][2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Big Refining Weekly Data Briefing - **Stock Price and Market Value of Listed Companies**: On August 1, 2025, the stock prices of companies like Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and others were reported, along with their total market values, and the data on their changes in stock prices over different time periods such as the past week, month, three - month, and one - year were presented. The profit forecasts for these companies from 2024 to 2027 were also provided [8]. - **Oil Price and Refining Spread**: The average price of international crude oil (Brent and WTI) this week increased compared to last week, with Brent at $71.2 per barrel (up 3.3%) and WTI at $68.0 per barrel (up 2.7%). The spreads of domestic and foreign key refining projects decreased, with the domestic spread at 2403.5 yuan/ton (down 3.4%) and the foreign spread at 1025.4 yuan/ton (down 7.0%) [8]. - **Polyester Sector**: The average prices of POY, FDY, and DTY increased this week, with POY at 6721.4 yuan/ton (up 142.9 yuan/ton), FDY at 6985.7 yuan/ton (up 171.4 yuan/ton), and DTY at 7907.1 yuan/ton (up 103.6 yuan/ton). The weekly average profits of POY, FDY, and DTY improved, but the inventory days increased, and the operating rate of filament decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 91.9%. The operating rate of downstream looms decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 55.5%, and the raw material inventory of weaving enterprises increased by 1.2 days to 10.4 days, while the finished - product inventory increased by 0.3 days to 30.7 days [2][10]. - **Refining Sector**: The prices of diesel and aviation kerosene in China and the United States decreased this week [2][10]. - **Chemical Sector**: The average price of PX this week was $854.9 per ton (up $5.6 per ton), and the spread compared to crude oil was $335.4 per ton (down $10.8 per ton), with an operating rate of 82.4% (unchanged) [2][10]. 3.2 Big Refining Weekly Report - **2.1 Big Refining Index and Project Spread Trends**: It mainly shows the changes in the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index, the petroleum and petrochemical index, and oil prices, as well as the weekly spreads of domestic and foreign large - scale refining projects [14][19]. - **2.2 Polyester Sector**: It presents multiple data such as the prices, profits, inventories, and operating rates of PX, PTA, MEG, POY, FDY, DTY, polyester staple fiber, polyester bottle chips, and the operating rate of downstream weaving [24][33][38]. - **2.3 Refining Sector**: It includes the prices, spreads, and related data of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in China, the United States, Europe, and Singapore [83][98][111][121]. - **2.4 Chemical Sector**: It shows the prices, spreads, and related data of various chemical products such as polyethylene LLDPE, homopolymerized polypropylene, EVA foaming materials, EVA photovoltaic materials, styrene, PC, acrylonitrile, and MMA [131][132][139].

Market Overview - The refining and trading sector experienced a decline of 0.7% on July 31, with Qixiang Tengda leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3573.21, down 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11009.77, down 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Unification Holdings (600506) closed at 19.62, up 1.13% with a trading volume of 83,300 shares and a turnover of 164 million yuan [1] - Bohai Chemical (600800) closed at 4.02, up 0.50% with a trading volume of 365,100 shares [1] - China Petroleum (601857) closed at 8.87, down 0.11% with a trading volume of 1,751,300 shares and a turnover of 1.548 billion yuan [1] - Qixiang Tengda (002408) closed at 5.04, down 5.26% with a trading volume of 565,300 shares and a turnover of 288 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The refining and trading sector saw a net inflow of 11.88 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 55.74 million yuan [2] - Major stocks with significant capital flow included: - China Petroleum had a net inflow of 1.44 billion yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 90.02 million yuan from retail investors [3] - China Sinopec (600028) had a net inflow of 117 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 67.65 million yuan from retail investors [3]

化工板块今日（7月31日）出现回调。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘后持续走弱，盘中场内价格跌幅一度达到2.25%。 成份股方面，石化、氮肥、农药等板块部分个股跌幅居前。截至发稿，齐翔腾达、新凤鸣、鲁西化工等多股大跌超3%，拖累板块走势。 图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对 阅读者任何形式的投资建议，亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险，基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表 现，基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证，基金投资须谨慎。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 = | | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 叠加 九转 画线 工具 √ ② > | | | 4. TETE 1 | | 516020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.683 | | | | | 516020[化工E ...

Group 1 - The chemical industry is undergoing a phase of eliminating and updating old equipment, with a focus on safety and compliance with industry standards. A plan has been issued for the period 2024-2029 to systematically eliminate outdated production facilities and enhance existing ones [2][3] - The domestic polyester filament capacity has grown rapidly from 33.28 million tons in 2019 to 43.16 million tons in 2023, with an annual growth rate of 5%. However, the growth rate is expected to slow down significantly due to high oil prices and weakening supply-demand dynamics [5][6] - The polyester filament industry is experiencing a shift from extensive capacity expansion to refined operations, with a focus on high-value-added products and structural optimization. This trend is expected to enhance the market position of leading companies [5][6] Group 2 - The leading companies in the polyester filament industry, such as Tongkun Co. and New Fengming, hold significant market shares, with Tongkun accounting for 31.1% of the capacity. The industry concentration is high, with the top six companies (CR6) holding 87.9% of the market [6] - The industry is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand and a decline in oil prices, which will likely improve the overall industry outlook. Leading companies are positioned to leverage their advantages in integration, scale, technology, and cost efficiency [6]

证券之星消息，7月30日炼化及贸易板块较上一交易日上涨1.87%，宝利国际领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3615.72，上涨0.17%。深证成指报收于11203.03，下跌0.77%。炼化及贸易板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300135 | 宝利国际 | 4.57 | 6.28% | 110.25万 | | 4.97亿 | | 002221 | 东华能源 | 10.35 | 4.86% | 48.71万 | | 4.98亿 | | 600346 | 恒力石化 | 16.10 | 3.67% | 35.82万 | | 5.77亿 | | 601233 | 桐昆股份 | 12.82 | 3.47% | 1 61.77万 | | 7.90亿 | | 002493 | 荣盛石化 | 9.59 | 3.12% | 52.44万 | | 5.04亿 | | 600028 | 中国石化 | 6.01 | 1.86% | 156.05万 | | 9.36亿 | ...

随着国家发改委提出"实施新一轮钢铁、有色金属、石化、建材等十大重点行业的稳增长工作方案"，旨 在通过调结构、优供给和淘汰落后产能来推动这些关键领域的健康发展，市场对于石化行业的前景也变 得更为乐观。 此外，国家发展改革委与市场监管总局已联合起草《中华人民共和国价格法修正草案（征求意见 稿）》，草案内容显示，监管机构将通过完善低价倾销的认定标准、明确禁止利用算法从事不正当价格 行为等手段，加大对非理性价格战的治理力度。 市场观点认为，国家针对"反内卷"、稳增长持续发声，多项与老旧装置摸底评估相关的文件陆续发布， 以及工信部即将推出石化化工行业稳增长工作方案，有望推动落后产能淘汰、引领行业健康发展。行业 供给端竞争格局有望迎来优化，炼化整体竞争格局有望迎来改善，先进产能竞争优势或将进一步凸显， 相关头部企业有望持续受益。 7月29日，摩根士丹利发布报告，将万华化学（600309）和荣盛石化（002493）的评级上调，此次评级 上调反映了摩根士丹利对两家公司未来表现的积极预期。 摩根士丹利报告指出，中国的"反内卷"政策将主要惠及国有炼厂及现有超大型民营炼厂，因其产能更具 规模效应与效率优势，国内炼油行业的供需格局有 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a strong opening on July 30, with the chemical ETF (516020) rising over 2% during intraday trading, reflecting overall positive momentum in the sector [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including Satellite Chemical, Xin Fengming, and others, saw significant gains, with Satellite Chemical surging over 6% and several others rising more than 4% [1][2] - The basic chemical sector attracted substantial capital inflow, with net inflows exceeding 2.2 billion yuan, ranking second among 30 major sectors [1][3] Group 2 - The domestic chemical industry is facing a cycle of "expansion-price suppression-loss," leading to deteriorating profitability and a need for capacity constraints to break this cycle [3] - Leading companies in the chemical sector are expected to benefit significantly due to their lack of obsolete capacity, cost advantages, and high market share, which positions them well for profitability [3] - Current valuation metrics suggest that it may be an opportune time to invest in the chemical sector, with the chemical ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.08, indicating a low valuation relative to historical levels [4] Group 3 - The market anticipates a policy shift towards "de-involution," which could lead to a re-pricing of cost factors in the chemical sector, similar to the effects seen during the supply-side reform period [4] - Investors are encouraged to focus on cyclical basic chemical products and leading companies with cost advantages as potential investment opportunities [4] - The chemical ETF (516020) provides a diversified investment approach, covering various sub-sectors and concentrating on large-cap leading stocks, which enhances investment efficiency [5]

今年登上《财富》世界500强排行榜企业的营业收入总和约为41.7万亿美元，超过全球GDP的三分之 一，比去年增长了约1.8%。 此次上榜门槛（最低销售收入）从321亿美元增长至322亿美元。所有上榜公司的净利润总和同比增长约 0.4%，约为2.98万亿美元。 今年，荣盛集团在所有中国上榜企业中位列第33位，相比去年上升4个排名。 北京时间7月29日，美国《财富》杂志发布2025年世界500强榜单，荣盛石化控股股东浙江荣盛控股集团 有限公司以91534百万美元（约合6586亿元人民币）营收位列第118位，比上年上升20位。 《财富》世界500强排行榜每年发布一次，主要以各企业的年度收入为评选准则，被视为是衡量全球大 型公司最著名、最权威的榜单之一。自2021年首次跻身《财富》世界500强以来，荣盛集团已连续上 榜，展现出稳健的发展态势。 作为荣盛集团的核心业务板块之一，荣盛石化主导运营全球最大的单体炼厂浙石化4000万吨炼化一体化 项目，是中国以及亚洲重要的聚酯、新能源材料、工程塑料和高附加值聚烯烃的生产商，是全球最大的 PX、PTA等化工品生产商，聚乙烯、聚丙烯、PET、EVA、ABS、PC 等多个产品上的产 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical and chemical fiber industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the supply-side clearing pattern is improving, and the industry is awaiting a recovery in prosperity [1] - The report emphasizes the ongoing elimination and upgrading of outdated chemical facilities, which is expected to stabilize the supply side of the industry [4] - The polyester filament industry is experiencing a continuous increase in concentration, with leading companies likely to benefit from the recovery in industry prosperity [5][7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chemical industry is undergoing a phase of eliminating outdated facilities, with a focus on safety and efficiency improvements. A plan has been issued for the period from 2024 to 2029 to phase out non-compliant production facilities and upgrade existing ones [4] - The domestic refining capacity is expected to be maintained at around 1 billion tons, with a target utilization rate of over 80% for major products by 2025 [4] Polyester Filament Sector - The domestic polyester filament capacity has grown from 33.28 million tons in 2019 to 43.16 million tons in 2023, with an annual growth rate of 5%. The growth rate is expected to slow down significantly due to high oil prices and weakened supply-demand dynamics [5] - The industry is shifting from extensive expansion to refined operations, with a focus on high-value-added products, which is expected to enhance the market competitiveness of leading companies [5][7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the "refining-chemical fiber" sector, including Tongkun Co., Ltd., Xinfengming Group, Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Hengyi Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing industry recovery [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the basic chemical industry [5] Core Views - The chemical industry is expected to undergo a new round of supply-side reforms, driven by the government's initiatives to eliminate outdated production capacity and improve industry structure [1][21] - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to support the exit of old capacities, benefiting leading companies in sub-industries such as refining, fertilizers, pigments, organic silicon, soda ash, and chlor-alkali/PVC [1][21] Summary by Sections Refining - Strict control of refining capacity and low operating rates of local refineries in Shandong are expected to improve the profitability of major refineries [2][24] - As of 2024, China's refining capacity is projected to be 934 million tons, with a target to keep crude oil processing capacity below 1 billion tons by 2025 [24][25] Urea - Future supply is expected to decrease, with only 493,000 tons of new urea capacity projected by 2025, representing 6.5% of the current total capacity [2][26] - The industry is likely to benefit from supply reductions and potential export opportunities, particularly for leading companies capable of upgrading their facilities [26] Soda Ash and PVC - Increased demand from infrastructure projects is expected to drive recovery in the soda ash and PVC markets [3][27] - New soda ash capacity planned for 2025-2026 is estimated at 868,000 tons, accounting for 20% of the total capacity in 2024 [28] - The PVC industry is also expected to see limited new capacity, with a projected increase of 500,000 tons by 2025-2026, representing 17% of the total capacity in 2024 [29] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in various sub-industries, including: - Refining: China Petroleum, Sinopec, Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Dongfang Shenghong [4] - Fertilizers: Hualu Hengsheng, Chuanheng Co., Hubei Yihua, Salt Lake Potash, Yara International, Sinochem Fertilizer [4] - Pigments: Qicai Chemical, Baihehua, Xinkai Technology, Zhejiang Longsheng, Runtu Co. [4] - Chlor-alkali/PVC: Yangmei Chemical, Chlor-alkali Chemical, Xinjiang Tianye [4] - Organic Silicon/Industrial Silicon: Hoshine Silicon, Xin'an Chemical, Silbond Technology [4] - Soda Ash: Sanyou Chemical, Boyuan Chemical, Shandong Haihua [4]