Core Viewpoint - The domestic pet food industry is experiencing a "self-built factory trend," with leading brands actively acquiring factories and expanding production capacity to establish long-term competitive advantages in a rapidly evolving market [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition and Capacity Expansion - The capital operations in the domestic pet food sector have significantly accelerated, exemplified by Jichong Holdings' acquisition of 60% of Liaoning Xianchong and a planned investment of 180 million yuan to upgrade its production line [2]. - Other leading brands, such as Chengshi Yikou and Guobao, are also investing in new factories and expanding existing ones, indicating a shift from a light-asset model to a more capital-intensive approach [3][4]. - The market is transitioning from price and channel competition to brand competition, with domestic brands increasing their market share through enhanced R&D and brand building [2][4]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Competition - The shift towards self-built factories is driven by a fundamental change in industry competition logic, moving from a "traffic era" to a "supply chain competition" era, as brands face rising customer acquisition costs [4][5]. - The price advantage of domestic brands is significant, with domestic cat food priced much lower than imported options, enhancing their competitiveness [4][5]. - The focus is shifting from low-cost products to high-quality offerings, as younger pet owners demand better quality, leading to a competitive landscape centered around supply chain and technology [5][6]. Group 3: Globalization and Market Trends - The self-built factory trend is reshaping the domestic pet food landscape, with larger companies able to invest heavily while smaller brands struggle to keep up [6][7]. - The Chinese pet food market has surpassed a trillion yuan, becoming one of the fastest-growing segments globally, with potential for international competition through overseas factories and acquisitions [7][8]. - The industry is moving towards a model where companies are concentrated while brands may remain dispersed, driven by precise positioning and differentiated demands [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][8]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a long-term revaluation opportunity for the pig industry, indicating that while pig prices are experiencing fluctuations, there is still downward pressure. The industry is expected to transition towards a self-regulatory and stable phase, benefiting leading companies such as Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [4][14]. - The poultry sector is currently facing low prices, but there are signs of marginal improvement in the cycle, with recommendations for companies like Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [5][24]. - The animal health sector is anticipated to see performance recovery and investment opportunities in pet medical services, with a focus on companies like Kexin Biological and Ruipuhua [6][34]. - The planting sector is experiencing a decline in the pig-to-grain price ratio, with ongoing commercialization of genetically modified seeds benefiting early adopters [7][37]. - The feed sector is witnessing price fluctuations, with recommendations for Haida Group and attention to He Feng Stock [7][42]. - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands gaining strength, and the report recommends companies in the pet food sector such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Stock [7][51]. Summary by Sections Pig Industry - The average price of pigs is currently around 14.08 yuan/kg, with fluctuations noted [14]. - The number of breeding sows has increased slightly, indicating a stable supply [14]. - Key recommendations include Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture, with a suggestion to pay attention to Dekang Agriculture [4][14]. Poultry Industry - The price of white feather chicken is low, with a focus on potential marginal improvements in the cycle [5][23]. - The report notes a significant update in the breeding stock, with a mix of imported and self-bred varieties [5][24]. - Recommended companies include Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [5][24]. Animal Health - The report anticipates continued recovery in animal health companies' performance, supported by stable profits in the pig farming sector [6][34]. - The approval of mRNA vaccines for veterinary use marks a significant technological advancement [6][34]. - Recommended companies include Kexin Biological and Ruipuhua, with additional attention to Huisheng Biological and Jinhai Biological [6][34]. Planting Sector - The pig-to-grain price ratio has decreased, with ongoing commercialization of genetically modified seeds [7][37]. - Recommendations include Suqian Agricultural Development and Longping High-Tech [7][37]. Feed Sector - Feed prices are experiencing fluctuations, with specific prices noted for different types of feed [7][42]. - The report suggests that the feed industry is likely to see increased concentration, recommending Haida Group and monitoring He Feng Stock [7][42]. Pet Industry - The pet market is growing, with a significant increase in consumption and brand development [7][51]. - Recommendations include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Stock, and Peidi Stock in the pet food sector, as well as Ruipuhua in the pet medical sector [7][51].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The 2025 618 shopping festival saw a significant rise of domestic high-end pet food brands, with leading companies expanding their brand matrix advantages. Notably, brands like Frigate and leading positions on Tmall have shown remarkable improvements. It is expected that in Q2, Guibao and Zhongchong's proprietary brands will maintain over 30% growth [2][15] - On the export front, the export value of cat and dog snacks to the US in Q2 2025 decreased by 52.5% year-on-year due to tariff impacts. Guibao's export revenue is expected to decline by around 10%, while Zhongchong, benefiting from its US factory layout, is projected to achieve a 15% growth in export revenue [2][5][15] Summary by Sections Export Impact and Factory Layout - In Q2 2025, pet snack exports faced significant declines due to tariffs, with a global year-on-year growth rate of -9.6% and a sharper decline of -52.5% for exports to the US. Guibao's revenue is expected to drop by 10%, while Zhongchong's revenue is projected to grow by 15% due to its factory in the US [5][16][22] Domestic Sales Growth - The domestic pet food market continues to show high growth, with Q2 2025 online sales growth at 9.4%. Guibao's proprietary brand online sales surged by 44%, with its main brand, Maifudi, growing by 16% and the high-end sub-brand Frigate experiencing a remarkable 146% growth [6][25][30] Brand Performance in 618 Festival - The 2025 618 shopping festival highlighted the rise of domestic high-end brands, with four out of the top five brands on Tmall being domestic. Frigate, Xianlang, and other brands have shown continuous ranking improvements, indicating a strong brand matrix advantage among leading companies [7][39][41]

Core Insights - The feed sector experienced a rise of 0.99% on August 4, with Zhongchong Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3583.31, up 0.66%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11041.56, up 0.46% [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891) closed at 58.43, with a gain of 6.33% and a trading volume of 116,900 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 677 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Guobao Pet (301498) at 92.49, up 2.09% [1] - Petty Co., Ltd. (300673) at 15.75, up 2.01% [1] - Lusi Co., Ltd. (832419) at 21.76, up 1.82% [1] Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net inflow of 15.24 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 7.74 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows for specific stocks include: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 48.16 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Guobao Pet with a net inflow of 19.14 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Dabeinong (002385) with a net inflow of 2.24 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector is experiencing a marginal improvement in investment logic for live pigs, driven by both fundamental and policy factors, with expectations of a price increase in the second half of 2025 [26] - The pet sector is witnessing a rise in domestic brands, supported by consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with a projected market size growth of over 10% annually from 2025 to 2027 [28][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The national pig price is under pressure due to group weight reduction and increased market supply, with an average price of 14.02 CNY/kg as of August 3, 2025, down 0.57% from the previous week [5][14] - The average weight of pigs sold has decreased to 127.98 kg, reflecting a downward trend due to weight reduction policies and slow growth in high temperatures [16] Weekly Insights - The investment logic for live pigs is improving, with expectations of price support in the second half of 2025 due to a combination of fundamental and policy factors [26] - The feed sector is benefiting from a recovery in domestic livestock and poultry production, with a total feed output expected to reach 1.4 trillion CNY in 2023 [26] Market Performance - The agricultural sector underperformed the broader market by 2.03 percentage points, with the agricultural index declining by 2.97% during the week [30][31] - The animal health sector showed the highest gains, with stocks like Shenlian Biological and Huisheng Biological leading the performance [30] Price Tracking - As of August 1, 2025, the average price for live pigs was 14.33 CNY/kg, with a slight increase of 1.27% from the previous week [42] - The average price for corn was 2,296 CNY/ton, down 0.78% week-on-week, while soybean meal was priced at 3,004 CNY/ton, down 0.69% [60] Key News - The overall situation in China's livestock industry is stable and improving, with a reported production increase of 2.8% in meat output during the first half of 2025 [38] - The number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, indicating a potential reduction in pig supply, which may stabilize prices [38]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][42]. Core Insights - The SW agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry slightly outperformed the CSI 300 index, with an increase of 1.06% from July 18 to July 31, 2025, surpassing the index by approximately 0.05 percentage points [3][10]. - Most sub-sectors recorded positive returns during the same period, with fisheries, aquaculture, planting, and feed sectors rising by 2.04%, 1.79%, 1.6%, and 0.64% respectively, while agricultural products processing and animal health sectors saw declines of 0.74% and 3.21% [11][12]. - Approximately 57% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, indicating a favorable market sentiment [12]. Industry Data Summary - **Pig Farming**: - The average price of external three-breed pigs decreased from 14.37 CNY/kg to 14.21 CNY/kg between July 18 and July 31, 2025 [21]. - The cost of corn was reported at 2402.02 CNY/ton, showing a slight decline, while soybean meal prices increased to 2984 CNY/ton [22]. - Profitability for self-bred pigs was 43.85 CNY/head, while purchasing piglets resulted in a loss of 116.78 CNY/head [26]. - **Poultry Farming**: - The average price of broiler chicks rose to 2.57 CNY/chick, while egg-laying chicks averaged 3.85 CNY/chick [28]. - The average price for broiler chickens increased to 6.83 CNY/kg, with a slight improvement in profitability to -0.43 CNY/chick [31]. - **Aquaculture**: - The average wholesale price for crucian carp was 22.69 CNY/kg, while carp saw a slight increase to 15.82 CNY/kg [33]. Industry News - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and nine other departments released a plan to promote agricultural product consumption, focusing on optimizing supply, innovating distribution, and activating market demand [35]. - Among the companies reporting mid-year results, Haida Group achieved a revenue of 588.31 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, with a net profit of 26.39 billion CNY, up 24.16% [36]. Company Insights - Key companies to watch include: - Muyuan Foods (002714): A leading pig farming company with cost and scale advantages [43]. - Haida Group (002311): A top feed company expected to maintain steady market share growth [43]. - Lihua Co. (300761): A leading yellow feather chicken farming company with integrated advantages [43]. - Reap Bio (300119): A leader in the animal health sector with a growing product matrix for pet health [43]. - Zhongchong Co. (002891): A leading pet food company with strong domestic growth prospects [43].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ), confirmed that its pet food products are not affected by the recent tariff adjustments under the USMCA agreement, thus having no impact on its Canadian operations [1] Group 1: Tariff Impact - The company's pet food production complies with the relevant provisions of the USMCA and is not included in the recent tariff adjustments [1] - As a result, the recent tariffs have not affected the company's business in Canada [1] Group 2: Sales Channels - The company emphasizes the importance of developing various market channels and will evaluate its operational strategies, including channel expansion, based on its business planning and market conditions [1]

Group 1: Industry Trends - The pet industry is experiencing a trend of mergers and acquisitions, with companies integrating resources to enhance scale and influence, reflecting the professionalization and concentration of the pet economy [4] - Leading companies are accelerating mergers and capital operations to expand market share, with significant investments flowing into the pet sector [4] - Domestic companies are globalizing their supply chains by establishing overseas factories and expanding markets to cope with tariff pressures [4] Group 2: Policy and Standards - Policies are being continuously improved at both national and local levels to support industry standardization and innovation, including the release of over ten pet-related standards by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs [5] - Local governments are implementing special policies to promote the pet economy, such as pilot programs for pet transportation services on high-speed trains [5] Group 3: Specialization and Technology - The industry is advancing towards data-driven, technological, and specialized development, with increased collaboration between academia and industry [6] - New initiatives include the establishment of a canine and feline behavioral big data center and the launch of an AI model for pet medical services [6] Group 4: Cross-Industry Involvement - Non-pet industry giants are entering the pet market through business extensions or collaborations, diversifying pet consumption scenarios [7] - Examples include the launch of a pet brand by a popular snack company and a delivery service specifically for pets by a ride-hailing company [7] Group 5: Notable Events - Significant events in the first half of 2025 include the establishment of a pet economic industrial park in Beijing and the opening of a new pet food retail brand in Shanghai [9][13] - The first pet-related IPO in the Chinese animal health sector occurred with a company listing on NASDAQ [10] - The establishment of the first undergraduate program in pet studies at a Chinese university marks a milestone in the industry's educational development [6][38]

从资金流向上来看，当日饲料板块主力资金净流出2.65亿元，游资资金净流入1.81亿元，散户资金净流入 8422.43万元。饲料板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000702 | 正虹科技 | 7.48 | -3.36% | 12.08万 | 9127.63万 | | 002696 | 自洋股份 | 6.22 | -2.81% | 12.44万 | 7795.70万 | | 002100 | 天康生物 | 6.39 | -2.14% | 31.59万 | 2.03亿 | | 001313 | 都是與國 | 7.89 | -2.11% | 8.22万 | 6516.54万 | | 300673 | 佩蒂股份 | 15.42 | -2.10% | 5.36万 | 8298.92万 | | 603151 | 邦墓科技 | 24.33 | -2.05% | 2.97万 | 7221.91万 | | 002548 | 金新农 | 4.00 | -1.96% | 26. ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688156 | 路德环境 | 19.90 | -0.60% | 2.99万 | 5997.77万 | | 000702 | 正虹科技 | 7.74 | -0.26% | 9.86万 | 7639.84万 | | 603363 | 傲农生物 | 3.84 | 0.00% | 19.13万 | 7337.09万 | | 002567 | 唐人神 | 4.91 | 0.00% | 34.29万 | 1.69 Z | | 300673 | 佩蒂股份 | 15.75 | 0.06% | 4.10万 | 6458.42万 | | 832419 | 路斯股份 | 21.60 | 0.19% | 1.58万 | 3414.24万 | | 002385 | 大北农 | 4.21 | 0.24% | 120.64万 | 5.08亿 | | 603151 | 邦基科技 | 24.84 | 0.24% | 4.36万 | 1.10亿 | | 002100 | 天康生物 ...