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2025年12月三十大标的投资组合报告:岁末政策窗口期,均衡配置如何布局?
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-12-05 13:38
Market Overview - In November, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a trend of high-low switching, with the ChiNext Index down 4.23% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 5.23%[5] - The market's focus shifted towards defensive sectors as funds moved from high-valuation growth stocks to low-valuation cyclical stocks and dividend assets[5] Investment Strategy - December's market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with a short-term oscillating structure anticipated[5] - Key events include the Central Economic Work Conference and various industry conferences that may create investment opportunities[5] Key Investment Themes - Focus on "anti-involution" policies which are expected to improve industry performance, particularly in resource sectors benefiting from rising commodity prices[5] - Emphasis on overseas expansion themes, with Chinese high-end manufacturing expected to gain market share globally[5] Recommended Stocks - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) projected EPS growth from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.83 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 23.62 to 10.10[7] - Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) expected to see EPS rise from 2.38 in 2024 to 2.75 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 10.9 to 9.45[27] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's revenue is projected to grow from 303.64 billion yuan in 2024 to 381.84 billion yuan in 2027, with a net profit increase from 32.05 billion yuan to 75.22 billion yuan[18] - Electric Power Investment's revenue is expected to increase from 298.59 billion yuan in 2024 to 371.25 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit rising from 5.34 billion yuan to 6.17 billion yuan[27] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, underperformance in commercialization, and slower-than-expected product development[5]
储能全线爆发62.87%,谁能笑到最后?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 12:48
Core Viewpoint - The energy storage sector has transformed into one of the hottest investment areas in the capital market this year, characterized by strong overall performance but significant fluctuations in funding [2][3]. Market Demand - The market demand for energy storage is experiencing explosive growth, with domestic lithium battery shipments reaching 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, surpassing the total for 2024. Global shipments reached 240.21 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 106.1% [4][20]. - Chinese companies secured 308 new overseas energy storage orders totaling 214.7 GWh in the first nine months of 2025, marking a 131.75% increase year-on-year [4][20]. Policy Support - The government has introduced multiple policies to promote high-quality development in the new energy sector since 2025. The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration's action plan aims for a new energy storage capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, driving direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [4][20]. Material Prices - Key materials for energy storage, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, have seen significant price increases, with some market quotes exceeding 150,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a more than 200% rise since July [4][20]. Market Transition - The energy storage sector is shifting from being a "mandatory allocation" to an "economic choice," marking a significant change in the industry's profitability model. The cancellation of mandatory storage requirements allows energy storage to participate as an independent market entity [5][21]. Revenue Models - As the electricity market reforms deepen, energy storage is transitioning from a cost burden to a profitable asset. Projects in leading provinces can now establish diverse revenue models, significantly enhancing profitability [6][22]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The previous oversupply and low-price competition are easing, with sustained market demand leading to full production capacity among leading battery manufacturers and stabilization of raw material prices [7][23]. Company Performance - Several companies in the energy storage sector have reported significant earnings growth. For instance, CATL's net profit reached 49.034 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 36.2% increase year-on-year [9][25]. - Long-term funds have increased their holdings in energy storage stocks, with 11 stocks receiving support from social security funds, indicating investor confidence in the sector's long-term prospects [10][26]. Institutional Interest - The interest from institutional investors has surged, with 17 energy storage stocks receiving attention from over a hundred institutions since October, further boosting stock performance [11][27].
兴业证券:氢能市场前景和生态价值广阔 推荐绿色甲醇生产环节
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 09:12
智通财经APP获悉,兴业证券发布研报称,氢能在十五五期间走向规模化的规划更加清晰。同时展现出 广阔的市场前景和生态价值,但是具备经济性、可持续性的商业模式仍是氢能迈向真正商业化的核心壁 垒。商业模式的打通有望率先从绿色燃料领域打通,该行推荐有望率先实现经济性的绿色甲醇生产环 节,首推具备绿色甲醇产能的金风科技(02208,002202.SZ)、阳光电源(300274.SZ)。 兴业证券主要观点如下: 十五五氢能产业有望迎来规模化阶段 10月28日,中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议发布。其中明确,前瞻布局 未来产业,探索多元技术路线、典型应用场景、可行商业模式、市场监管规则,推动包括氢能在内的新 兴产业等成为新的经济增长点。相较于十四五期间"组织实施未来产业孵化与加速计划,谋划布局一批 未来产业"的表述,氢能在十五五期间走向规模化的规划更加清晰。 行业处于商业化关键节点,下游消纳场景是关键 氢能产业链涵盖制取、储运、应用三大核心环节,形成了一个多维度、跨行业的能源生态体系。绿氢的 生产过程能有效消纳可再生能源电力,提高风电、光伏等清洁能源的利用效率。展现出广阔的市场前景 和生态价值。但是 ...
今日这些个股异动 主力加仓有色金属、计算机板块





Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 09:05
Volatility - A total of 12 stocks in the A-share market experienced a volatility exceeding 20% today [1] - Notable stocks with high volatility include N-Mole-U, KQ Group, and Lixing Shares [1] Turnover Rate - There are 8 stocks in the A-share market with a turnover rate exceeding 40% today [1] - Leading stocks in terms of turnover rate include N-Mole-U, Chuling Information, and Sichuan Jinding [1] Main Capital Flow - Main capital today saw a net inflow into sectors such as non-ferrous metals, computers, and non-bank financials, while experiencing a net outflow from basic chemicals, home appliances, and pharmaceutical biology [1] - N-Mole-U, BOE Technology Group, and Sunshine Power had the largest net inflows, amounting to 1.711 billion, 918 million, and 806 million respectively [1] - On the other hand, Heertai, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and ZTE Corporation faced significant net outflows, with outflows of 1.921 billion, 1.002 billion, and 913 million respectively [1]
光伏概念大涨,阳光电源涨超2%,同类费率最低档的光伏龙头ETF(516290)涨超2%,“反内卷”持续,行业自律推动光伏排产收缩!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 06:57
份额方面,光伏龙头ETF近1月份额增长2.20亿份,实现显著增长。(数据来源:Wind) 截至2025年12月5日 14:32,中证光伏产业指数(931151)强势上涨1.85%,成分股罗博特科(300757)上涨9.17%,科士达(002518)上涨6.57%,TCL科技(000100) 上涨4.36%,博威合金(601137),阿特斯(688472)等个股跟涨。同类费率最低档的光伏龙头ETF(516290)盘中涨超2%,现涨1.90%,最新价报0.59元。拉长时 间看,截至2025年12月4日,光伏龙头ETF近3月累计上涨10.06%。(以上所列股票仅为指数成份股,无特定推荐之意) 流动性方面,光伏龙头ETF盘中换手4.48%,成交3144.39万元。拉长时间看,截至12月4日,光伏龙头ETF近1月日均成交6129.56万元。 规模方面,光伏龙头ETF近1月规模增长6105.55万元,实现显著增长。(数据来源:Wind) 资金流入方面,光伏龙头ETF近22个交易日内,合计"吸金"1.60亿元。(数据来源:Wind) 数据显示,杠杆资金持续布局中。光伏龙头ETF最新融资买入额达248.46万元,最新融资余额 ...
鑫椤资讯《鑫椤探展》斩获阳光电源“洞察王”奖项
鑫椤储能· 2025-12-05 06:51
阳光电源作为全球新能源电源领域的领军企业,其 "洞察王"奖项旨在表彰在技术创新、市场洞察、产 业分析等领域具有突出贡献的机构或个人。此次评选聚焦于对行业痛点、技术突破及未来趋势的深度挖 掘,而鑫椤资讯凭借《鑫椤探展》系列视频,成为获此殊荣的第三方产业研究机构。 二: 鑫椤资讯的专业积淀:深耕新能源产业研究 关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤储能 资讯~ 在 2025年新能源行业风云变幻的背景下, 鑫椤资讯凭借其深度洞察力与专业内容创作能力,荣获阳 光电源颁发的"洞察王"奖项。 这一殊荣源于其系列视频作品《鑫椤探展》对 阳光电源在 SNEC 期间 发布的 储能 产品的展示 。 一: 奖项背景:新能源产业变革下的价值认可 2025-2029年中国三元材料运行趋势及竞争策略研究报告 2025-2029年中国磷酸铁锂运行趋势及竞争策略研究报告 2025-2029年中国碳酸锂运行趋势及竞争策略研究报告 2025-2029年中国钠离子电池运行趋势及竞争策略研究报告 2025-2029年全球负极材料运行趋势及竞争策略研究报告 2025-2029年全球电解液运行趋势及竞争策略研究报 ...
电池走强,阳光电源涨近3%,电池50ETF(159796)涨超1%强势两连阳,孚能科技牵手广汽埃安,订单电量超10GWh!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 06:41
截至2025年12月5日 14:12,中证电池主题指数(931719)上涨0.90%,成分股科士达(002518)上涨7.25%,孚能科技(688567)上涨4.55%,阿特斯(688472)上涨 3.51%,赢合科技(300457)上涨2.76%,阳光电源(300274)上涨2.68%。电池50ETF(159796)上涨1.05%,最新价报0.96元。拉长时间看,截至2025年12月4日, 电池50ETF近3月累计上涨24.80%。(以上所列股票仅为指数成份股,无特定推荐之意) 流动性方面,电池50ETF盘中换手2.53%,成交2.3亿元。拉长时间看,截至12月4日,电池50ETF近1月日均成交4.98亿元。 规模方面,电池50ETF近3月规模增长60.10亿元,实现显著增长。(数据来源:Wind) 华西证券指出,随着新能源大规模接入,配套电网建设需求大幅提升,同时对于电网协调运行能力要求提升,预计配网侧投资也将具备广阔空间,配电一二 次融合设备领先供应商将持续受益,同时,在AI拉动美国电力需求背景下,电力系统存在升级和扩建需求,相关电力设备需求也有望维持高景气,行业或 将加速发展。 【如何布局"景气上行+ ...
人才为核,重塑企业发展格局:金柚GEO解码中国清洁能源重塑全球能源转型逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 03:37
全球能源转型已进入"攻坚期",应对气候危机、发展清洁能源成为各国共识。自2015年《巴黎协定》锚定全球温控目标以来,清洁能源市场迎来爆发式增 长,全球清洁能源投资总额从2010年的2430亿美元攀升至2023年的4550亿美元,增幅达87.2%。在此浪潮中,中国清洁能源企业凭借完整产业链、技术创 新力与成本优势,已从"参与者"成长为"引领者"——截至2024年,中国企业在海外清洁能源项目投资额超1410亿美元,业务覆盖东南亚、中东、非洲 及"一带一路"沿线核心区域。金风科技2023年境外收入同比激增82.9%的亮眼业绩,正是中国清洁能源"出海力"的生动注脚。 然而,蓝海之下暗藏礁石。地缘政治博弈、贸易壁垒高筑、文化认知差异等挑战,正不断侵蚀企业海外盈利空间,而贯穿所有难题的核心瓶颈——全球化 人才布局与海外本地化用工管理,已从"发展议题"升级为"生存议题"。中东地区实施的"阿联酋本地化"用工配额便是典型例证,外籍员工雇佣必须绑定明 确的本地员工比例;与此同时,中企出海职位需求在2025年前三季度同比增长38.4%,新能源行业稳居需求前三。这一"合规约束"与"需求爆发"的矛盾清 晰揭示:能否构建适配全球战略的人 ...
光伏产业链多环节下调12月份排产计划,光伏ETF基金(516180)盘中涨超1.8%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 03:29
数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,中证光伏产业指数(931151)前十大权重股分别为阳光电源(300274)、特变电工(600089)、隆基绿能(601012)、TCL科技 (000100)、通威股份(600438)、TCL中环(002129)、正泰电器(601877)、德业股份(605117)、阿特斯(688472)、晶澳科技(002459),前十大权重股合计占比 61.01%。(以上所列股票仅为指数成份股,无特定推荐之意) 中国光伏产业链多环节下调12月份排产计划。在行业自律等因素影响下,硅料、硅片、组件等光伏产业链多个环节12月份排产环比下降。在业内看来,企业 持续减产也是光伏行业通过自律解决供需矛盾,落实"反内卷"的重要举措。多位业内人士认为,12月份光伏产业链多环节排产继11月份之后继续下降,也与 终端需求不足有关。随着"反内卷"效果显现,2026年光伏行业价格将逐渐回升。 截至2025年12月5日 11:08,中证光伏产业指数(931151)强势上涨1.62%,成分股罗博特科(300757)上涨10.35%,迈为股份(300751)上涨5.74%,科士达(002518) 上涨5.73%,阿特斯 ...
趋势研判!2025年中国高频变压器行业政策、产业链、市场规模、重点企业及未来趋势:下游应用需求旺盛,带动高频变压器规模达800亿元[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-05 01:13
内容概况:高频变压器是一种工作在远高于工频频率下的电能转换装置。与常见的工频变压器不同,它 的核心设计和工作原理围绕着"高频"这一特性展开,使其在现代电力电子技术中扮演着不可或缺的角 色。从日常使用的手机充电器、电脑电源,到工业领域的变频器及新能源发电系统,高频变压器都是实 现高效、小型化电能转换的核心组件。近年来,在新能源、5G通信、智能电网与消费电子等多领域需 求共同推动下,行业呈现强劲增长态势。数据显示,中国高频变压器行业市场规模从2020年的500亿元 增长至2024年的680.27亿元,年复合增长率为8%。作为电力电子技术的"心脏",高频变压器正由单一功 能器件向集成化、智能化平台演进。在"双碳"目标与能源转型背景下,其在新能源并网、电动汽车、数 据中心能效提升等关键领域的作用日益凸显。随着材料科学与数字技术的持续突破,高频变压器将逐步 突破MHz级技术壁垒,推动高效电能转换进入新发展阶段,预计2025年中国高频变压器行业市场规模 将达到800亿元。 相关上市企业:茂硕电源(002660)、京泉华(002885)、伊戈尔(002922)、可立克(002782)、金 杯电工(002533)、宏远股份( ...