本报记者 陈潇 算力基础设施加速建设，光通信行业景气度持续攀升。近期，多家光通信相关上市公司披露2025年业绩 预告，预计净利润同比增幅普遍在30%以上，部分企业甚至有望实现翻倍乃至数倍增长。 与此同时，多家公司同步披露新订单进展，业绩增长与订单落地形成共振，行业高景气特征进一步凸 显。 多家企业业绩增长 从业绩表现来看，光通信相关企业盈利能力显著提升。 例如，1月21日晚间，天孚通信发布2025年业绩预告，预计全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润18.81 亿元至21.50亿元，同比增长40%至60%；扣非归母净利润同比增幅同样接近六成。公司表示，人工智能 行业加速发展及全球数据中心建设提速，带动高速光器件需求持续增长。 天孚通信此前在接受机构调研时透露，公司已具备800G及1.6T高速光引擎的量产能力，1.6T产品已实现 正常交付，并持续推进性能优化与成本控制。在行业需求快速增长的背景下，部分物料存在阶段性提产 瓶颈，公司正通过加强供应链协同来保障交付能力。 同样受益于AI算力与数据中心建设的还有剑桥科技。1月16日，剑桥科技公告称，预计2025年实现归母 净利润2.52亿元至2.78亿元，同比增长51.1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The communication industry experienced a significant increase of 2.83% on January 22, with a net inflow of 8.019 billion yuan in capital, indicating strong investor interest in this sector [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.14% on January 22, with 22 out of 28 sectors showing gains. The top-performing sectors included building materials and defense industries, which increased by 4.09% and 3.23%, respectively [1]. - The communication industry led the gains with a 2.83% increase, while the beauty care and banking sectors faced declines of 0.76% and 0.43% [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - Throughout the day, the main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 21.612 billion yuan, with 12 sectors experiencing net inflows. The communication sector had the highest net inflow of 8.019 billion yuan [1]. - The electronic industry saw the largest net outflow, totaling 13.206 billion yuan, followed by the power equipment sector with a net outflow of 7.206 billion yuan [1]. Communication Industry Details - Within the communication sector, 124 stocks were tracked, with 94 stocks rising and 3 hitting the daily limit. The top three stocks by net inflow were Zhongji Xuchuang (21.50 billion yuan), Xinyi Sheng (21.38 billion yuan), and Tianfu Communication (12.88 billion yuan) [2]. - The stocks with the highest capital outflow included Hengtong Optic-Electric (-3.50%), China Telecom (0.52%), and Zhongtian Technology (-1.67%) [5]. Top Gainers in Communication Sector - The top gainers in the communication industry included: - Zhongji Xuchuang: +6.72% with a capital flow of 2.1499251 billion yuan - Xinyi Sheng: +3.77% with a capital flow of 2.1376988 billion yuan - Tianfu Communication: +5.96% with a capital flow of 1.2876867 billion yuan [3]. Top Losers in Communication Sector - The top losers in the communication industry included: - Hengtong Optic-Electric: -3.50% with a capital outflow of -339.5335 million yuan - China Telecom: +0.52% with a capital outflow of -200.1121 million yuan - Zhongtian Technology: -1.67% with a capital outflow of -173.9190 million yuan [5].

Market Overview - On January 22, A-shares saw all three major indices rise collectively, with significant gains in sectors such as aerospace, mining, shipbuilding, glass fiber, gas, oil, photovoltaic equipment, coal, and cement [1] - The main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets experienced a net outflow of 10.442 billion yuan, while 14 industries saw net inflows [1] Sector Performance - The telecommunications, defense, and non-bank financial sectors had the highest net inflows, amounting to 7.884 billion yuan, 2.916 billion yuan, and 1.371 billion yuan respectively [1] - In contrast, the electronics, power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and basic chemicals sectors faced the largest net outflows, totaling 7.979 billion yuan, 5.42 billion yuan, 2.773 billion yuan, and 2.077 billion yuan respectively [1] Individual Stock Highlights - A total of 51 stocks received net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, with nine stocks seeing inflows over 600 million yuan [1] - The top three stocks attracting main fund inflows were New Yisheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication, with net inflows of 2.193 billion yuan, 2.188 billion yuan, and 1.337 billion yuan respectively [1] Earnings Forecast - Tianfu Communication announced an earnings forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.881 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 60% [2] Tail-End Fund Movements - In the tail-end trading session, the main funds saw a net inflow of 1.797 billion yuan, with the telecommunications sector leading with over 1 billion yuan in inflows [5] - Notable stocks with significant tail-end inflows included China Great Wall, New Yisheng, and Industrial Fulian, each exceeding 200 million yuan [5] Notable Outflows - The robot concept stock Sanhua Intelligent Control experienced a net outflow exceeding 400 million yuan, while other companies like Ningde Times and Tongfu Microelectronics also saw significant outflows [7]

Core Viewpoint - The AI and computing power sectors are experiencing a strong rebound, with the ChiNext AI index rising by 3% on January 22. Key stocks in the optical module sector, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication, saw significant gains, indicating a positive market sentiment towards AI applications and computing power [1][4][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - Tianfu Communication, a leader in the optical module sector, has forecasted a net profit of 1.881 billion to 2.150 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 60%. This growth is attributed to increased demand for high-speed optical devices driven by AI and global data center construction, along with cost reduction and efficiency improvements [3][8]. - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock rose by 5.72%, while Tianfu Communication's stock increased by 5.96%. Other companies like Jinxin Nuo and Guangku Technology also saw gains exceeding 5% [1][4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Investment Insights - The "Computing Power + AI Applications" ChiNext AI ETF (159363) saw a 3% increase, returning above all moving averages with a daily trading volume of 681 million yuan. The fund experienced a net inflow of 22 million shares on the last trading day, with cumulative purchases exceeding 1 billion yuan over the previous five days [1][6]. - Analysts from Tianfeng Securities are optimistic about the computing power industry chain, particularly in high-demand segments like optical modules. Meanwhile, Xinyi Securities noted significant upward revisions in profitability within the telecommunications sector, which may attract investor attention during earnings announcements [3][8]. - The AI application sector remains active, with insights from Jensen Huang comparing AI to a "five-layer cake," emphasizing the application layer as a key economic driver. CITIC Securities believes that AI applications will remain a primary focus through 2026, with domestic advantages in implementation pace and user scale, indicating substantial growth potential [3][8].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.14% to close at 4122.58 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.50% to 14327.05 points, and the ChiNext Index up 1.01% to 3328.65 points [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 27.166 trillion yuan, an increase of 926 billion yuan compared to the previous day, marking the 14th consecutive trading day above 2.5 trillion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The core driving force in the Shanghai market was the "Three Oil Giants," which contributed over six points to the Shanghai Composite Index. Without their rise, the index would likely have declined [4] - In the Shenzhen market, the performance of Tianfu Communication, which reported an annual earnings growth of 40% to 60%, positively influenced related stocks, leading to a significant impact on the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index [4] - The most active sector today was commercial aerospace, driven by news of SpaceX potentially accelerating its IPO process, which boosted market sentiment [5] Fund Flows and ETF Operations - Main funds saw a net outflow of approximately 27.7 billion yuan, indicating a continued outflow trend. Northbound trading volume remained stable at around 330 billion yuan, accounting for about 12% of the total A-share trading volume [7] - The ETF operations by state-owned funds required selling corresponding stock holdings, with the financial sector, particularly the insurance and banking sectors, being the primary targets for reduction [6] Market Sentiment and Adjustments - The market displayed a broad upward trend with approximately 3,500 stocks rising and about 1,800 stocks falling, resulting in a near 2:1 ratio of gainers to losers [5] - Despite the active individual stock performance, the overall market sentiment was influenced by regulatory cooling measures, which have led to confusion among long-term value investors [6] - The commercial aerospace sector's rebound exemplifies the current market dynamics, where speculative stocks are experiencing significant fluctuations amid regulatory adjustments [6]

证券之星消息，1月22日通信设备板块较上一交易日上涨2.94%，高新兴领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4122.58，上涨0.14%。深证成指报收于14327.05，上涨0.5%。通信设备板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300098 | 高新兴 | 7.13 | 7.70% | 241.56万 | 17.21亿 | | 688283 | 坤恒顺维 | 48.26 | 7.27% | 2.39万 | + 1.13亿 | | 300308 | 中际旭创 | 621.00 | 6.72% | 40.19万 | 242.75亿 | | 600105 | 永鼎股份 | 27.80 | 6.39% | 181.52万 | 49.55 Z | | 300394 | 天孚通信 | 199.98 | 5.96% | 50.81万 | 100.19亿 | | 301191 | 菲菱科恩 | 112.08 | 5.35% | 3.27万 | 3.61亿 | | 688387 | 信科移 ...

Market Performance - On January 22, the A-share market experienced a morning surge followed by a pullback, with the three major indices closing in the green, and the ChiNext Index rising nearly 1% [1][6] - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) increased by 1.04%, closing at 1.558 yuan, with a turnover rate of 5.20% and a transaction volume of 1.299 billion yuan, ranking first among similar ETFs [1][6] Liquidity and Trading Data - As of January 22, the ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) recorded a cumulative transaction amount of 38.006 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days, with an average daily transaction amount of 1.900 billion yuan; since the beginning of the year, the cumulative transaction amount over 14 trading days was 27.332 billion yuan, with an average daily transaction amount of 1.952 billion yuan [2][7] - The circulating scale of the ChiNext 50 ETF was 24.900 billion yuan as of January 21, 2026 [2][7] Fund Holdings and Performance - The latest quarterly report indicates that the top ten holdings of the ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) showed mixed performance, including stocks like CATL, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Mindray Medical [3][8] - The fund manager noted that the fourth quarter saw a return to structural market trends, with significant divergence in the ChiNext, particularly in sectors like AI and new energy [10] Investment Outlook - The ChiNext 50 ETF is viewed as a convenient tool for long-term investors interested in China's technology growth sector, with a three-year return of 35.16%, outperforming its benchmark and ranking 526th among 1,633 similar products [5][11] - Recommendations for investors include adopting a dollar-cost averaging strategy or phased investment to smooth out short-term volatility while closely monitoring the performance of constituent stocks and relevant policy developments [5][11]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the Yongying Technology Smart Selection fund, managed by Ren Jie, achieved an impressive annual return of 233.26% in 2025, breaking the 18-year record for the highest annual return previously held by Wang Yawei [1] - The fund significantly outperformed its benchmark, with net asset values for its A and C shares at 3.7795 yuan and 3.7523 yuan respectively by the end of Q4 2025, reflecting growth rates of 13.18% and 13.01%, while the benchmark recorded a return of -2.39% [1] - The fund's equity investment allocation decreased from 91.59% in Q3 to 78.76% in Q4, with increased holdings in bank deposits and clearing reserves, and a complete exit from previous bond investments [1] Group 2 - In Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of the Yongying Technology Smart Selection fund included companies such as Shengyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Hushan Electronics, among others [2] - Compared to Q3 2025, the fund increased its positions in several stocks including Hushan Electronics and Shengyi Technology, while reducing its stake in Zhongji Xuchuang by 17% [3] - The fund continued to focus on global cloud computing investments, leveraging insights from the AI industry and advancements in new technologies [3] Group 3 - The Gemini model has been gaining market share in the consumer sector, while other model companies are also experiencing healthy growth and increasing investments to enhance their capabilities [4] - The application ecosystem is transitioning from rapid user growth to structural upgrades, with a focus on differentiated capabilities and service depth in various sectors, including healthcare and enterprise applications [4] - The global AI model industry is in a phase of continuous capability enhancement and expanding application scenarios, indicating strong sustainability and certainty in its development [5] Group 4 - The architecture of computing power is evolving to meet the changing demands of models and applications, with innovations such as CPO/NPO and orthogonal backplane technologies being introduced [5] - Companies that engage early with leading manufacturers in research and supply chain collaboration are expected to gain significant industry benefits as penetration rates increase [5] - The fund will continue to prioritize investments in the global cloud computing sector, particularly in optical communication and PCB directions [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant expansion in the scale and positioning of equity funds as the 2025 quarterly reports are disclosed, with over 3,300 funds having completed their disclosures by January 21 [1] - More than 40% of actively managed equity funds reported positive returns for the quarter, outperforming benchmarks, driven by a structural market rally influenced by debt reduction policies, expectations of preventive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and marginal improvements in corporate earnings [1] - The technology and non-ferrous metals sectors led the market, contributing to substantial excess returns for funds heavily invested in these areas [1] Fund Performance and Trends - The fund managed by Ren Jie, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A, achieved a cumulative return of 233.29% for the year, with a total scale reaching 15.468 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.26% [2] - A total of 45 funds doubled their scale in a single quarter, with some "mini funds" experiencing scale increases exceeding 40 times, showcasing a typical characteristic of smaller funds being more agile [3] - The rapid scale increase of these funds is attributed to three common factors: small initial scale allowing for performance elasticity, concentrated industry allocation focusing on AI computing power, semiconductor equipment, and copper-aluminum sectors, and decisive actions by fund managers to quickly build positions at the onset of market rallies [3] Challenges and Adjustments - The significant scale growth poses management challenges, leading some funds to limit purchases to control rapid growth and avoid strategy capacity exceeding limits, which could dilute returns [4] - In terms of industry allocation, the technology sector remains the most consensus-driven core line among fund managers, with some funds reducing positions in previously high-performing stocks that have reached reasonable valuation levels, while increasing allocations to second-tier stocks and upstream equipment materials [5] Specific Fund Adjustments - For instance, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A reduced its stock position from 94.41% to 80.34%, a decrease of over 14 percentage points, showing caution towards the core stock "Yizhongtian" [5] - The fund manager Feng Ludan's China Europe Digital Economy also exhibited similar adjustments, slightly reducing stock positions while increasing holdings in Dongshan Precision and Shennan Circuit, and significantly reducing positions in Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng [6] Investment Strategy Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of analyzing "invisible heavy stocks" in quarterly reports, as the real insights may lie in the 11th to 20th largest holdings, which can indicate a shift in fund manager strategies [8] - Tracking changes in "institutional investor share ratios" can serve as a barometer for smart money, with significant increases indicating recognition from long-term funds, which can stabilize future fund redemptions and enhance net value stability [8] - The operational analysis section of the reports is crucial for understanding fund managers' strategies, with key phrases indicating recognition of misjudgments, warnings about current valuations, and adjustments in holdings [9]

Group 1 - The AI sector continues to rebound, with the lowest fee artificial intelligence ETF, Huaxia (159381), rising over 2% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - Tianfu Communication, a leading optical device company, announced an expected net profit of 1.881 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 60% [1] - The growth in Tianfu Communication's performance is attributed to the accelerated development of the AI industry and the ongoing construction of global data centers, which have driven stable demand for high-speed optical device products [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia ETF tracks an index with over 50% weight in CPO and covers domestic software and AI application companies, providing high elasticity [2] - The top three weighted stocks in the ETF are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication [2] - The ETF has a low comprehensive fee rate of only 0.20%, making it the lowest among similar products [2]