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股降债升,板块偏向创业板:公募基金2025年四季报剖析
Xiangcai Securities· 2026-02-10 11:50
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In 2025, the number and scale of existing public - funds increased, and the ETF market was much more popular. The new - issuance quantity and share of ETFs increased significantly, with annual growth rates of 114.79% and 119.10% respectively, far exceeding the 37.00% increase in the total number and - 0.69% change in the total share of public funds [2][17]. - In Q4 2025, stock - type, bond - type, and hybrid - type funds generally showed a decrease in stock positions and an increase in bond positions. Public funds shifted from Hong Kong stocks and the Science and Technology Innovation Board to the Growth Enterprise Market [3]. - In Q4 2025, the industries with a relatively large increase in the active position - adjustment ratio were non - banking finance, non - ferrous metals, and communications, while those with a relatively large decrease were electronics, media, and biomedicine. There was an obvious shift from growth and consumption styles to the cyclical style [4]. - Since 2025, the scale of FOF funds has increased against the trend, and the proportion of bond - type funds in the top - five heavy - position funds of FOF in the Q4 2025 report is relatively high [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Public Fund Market Overview 3.1.1 Fund Market Composition and Issuance - As of the end of Q4 2025, there were 13,618 public funds in the market, with an increase of 1,259 this year. In terms of quantity, they were mainly composed of hybrid, bond, and stock - type funds, accounting for 35.33%, 29.32%, and 25.33% respectively. The total scale was 37.67 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.84 trillion yuan compared to the end of 2024, with a 12.85% increase in Q4 2025. In terms of scale, they were mainly composed of money - market, bond, and stock - type funds, accounting for 39.84%, 29.50%, and 16.06% respectively [14]. - From 2021 to 2025, the number and share of newly - issued public funds showed a downward trend, but they increased in 2025. In Q4 2025, 406 public funds were newly issued, with a total issuance share of 280.081 billion shares. In terms of quantity, stock - type funds accounted for 47.29%, and in terms of share, stock - type and bond - type funds accounted for 31.70% and 31.24% respectively [15]. - In 2025, the new - issuance volume and share of ETFs increased significantly. In Q4 2025, the quarterly growth rates of the cumulative number and share of ETFs were 5.81% and 12.17% respectively, exceeding the 2.38% and 3.15% growth rates of public funds. The annual growth rates of the new - issuance quantity and share of ETFs in 2025 were 114.79% and 119.10% respectively, far higher than those of public funds [17]. 3.1.2 Investor Structure - According to the semi - annual report of public funds in 2025, the proportion of institutional holders changed little compared to 2024. The increase in the proportion of institutional investors was mainly reflected in QDII funds and hybrid - type funds, while the proportion of institutional investors in bond - type and hybrid funds increased slightly. The proportion of individual investors increased mainly in alternative investment funds and FOF funds, and also increased in money - market funds [20]. - As of mid - 2025, the holding net values of institutional and individual investors were 16.51 trillion yuan and 17.71 trillion yuan respectively, accounting for 48.25% and 51.75%. Since H2 2017, the proportion held by individual investors has been slightly higher than that by institutional investors [23]. 3.2 Stock - type Funds 3.2.1 Q4 Position Changes - In Q4 2025, compared with Q3, stock - type, bond - type, and hybrid - type funds generally showed a decrease in stock positions and an increase in bond positions, while FOF funds increased their stock positions, mainly in stock - type FOF funds, with an increase of 1.83 pct [25]. - The stock positions of four types of active funds (partial - stock hybrid, flexible allocation, common stock, and balanced hybrid) decreased, and their positions in Hong Kong stocks also decreased, but their bond positions increased [27][28]. 3.2.2 Sector Allocation - In Q4 2025, public funds shifted from Hong Kong stocks and the Science and Technology Innovation Board to the Growth Enterprise Market. The allocation market value of the Growth Enterprise Market increased by 2.65%, and the allocation ratio increased by 1.98%, reaching 18.61% at the end of Q4, second only to the main board [37]. 3.2.3 Industry and Style Allocation - In Q4 2025, 16 Shenwan primary industries had an increase in the active position - adjustment ratio, and 15 had a decrease. The industries with a relatively large increase were non - banking finance, non - ferrous metals, and communications, while those with a relatively large decrease were electronics, media, and biomedicine [43]. - There was an obvious shift from growth and consumption styles to the cyclical style in Q4 2025. The cyclical style had the largest increase in market - value proportion after removing the passive increase caused by the increase in Q4, with an active position - adjustment ratio increase of 2.06% [48]. 3.2.4 Individual Stock Allocation - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top 3 stocks in terms of market value of shares held were Zhongji Innolight, Xinyisheng, and Contemporary Amperex Technology, and the top 3 in terms of the proportion of market value of shares held to the floating market value were BeiGene - U, Reagent Biotech, and Ninebot Inc. - WD [4][49]. - In Q4 2025, the top 3 stocks with active position - increases were Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Shandong Precision, and Tianhua New Energy, and the top 3 with active position - decreases were Foxconn Industrial Internet, Alibaba Group Holding Limited, and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation [4]. 3.3 Bond - type Funds - As of the end of Q4 2025, there were 3,993 bond - type funds, an increase of 57 compared to the previous quarter, with a total scale of 11.11 trillion yuan, an increase of 373.431 billion yuan compared to the previous quarter. The increase in the scale was mainly due to the increase in the scale of passive index - type bond funds and hybrid bond - type secondary funds [63]. - In Q4 2025, except for convertible bond - type funds and enhanced index - type bond funds, the durations of other types of bond - type funds changed little. The durations of mixed - level - 1 bonds, mixed - level - 2 bonds, medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, and partial - bond hybrid funds showed a downward trend in the second half of 2025 after reaching a historical high at the end of Q2 2025 [5]. 3.4 FOF Funds - Since 2025, the scale of FOF funds has increased against the trend. In Q4 2025, the total scale of FOF funds increased by 50.699 billion yuan, with a faster growth rate than in Q3. The top 3 FOF funds in terms of scale proportion were partial - bond hybrid, partial - stock hybrid, and target - date FOF funds, accounting for 60.92%, 14.50%, and 11.01% respectively [70]. - Among the 43 FOF funds issued in Q4 2025, 41 were hybrid - type FOF funds. E Fund Ruyi Ying'an 6 - month Holding A had the largest issuance share of 3.164 billion shares [71]. - According to the top - ten heavy - position funds of FOF funds in the Q4 2025 report, the top - five heavy - position funds were all bond - type funds, and most of the FOF heavy - position funds were bond - type funds, with Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing Bond ETF having the highest total holding market value of 5.976 billion yuan [76].
“易中天”业绩预告出炉 光模块“三剑客”利润暴涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 09:33
2026年2月,光通信行业迎来业绩集中兑现期。以中际旭创、新易盛、天孚通信三家被市场戏称为 "易 中天"的组合,凭借2025年业绩预告的亮眼表现,成为资本市场焦点。 三家公司均在业绩预告中明确指出,业绩增长的核心驱动力是终端客户对算力基础设施的强劲投入,尤 其是AI集群建设带来的800G、1.6T等高速率光模块需求爆发式增长。 业绩爆发:头部企业利润翻倍,技术卡位成关键 国内市场同样火热。据悉,中国厂商字节跳动、阿里巴巴、腾讯的800G需求逐步起量,三家合计可达 几百万只。值得注意的是,字节跳动跳过传统800G模块,直接推进LPO(线性直驱光学)技术,若验 证成功,可能成为800G领域的"黑马"路线。 挑战与机遇:供应链博弈与新兴技术布局 尽管行业景气度持续攀升,但光芯片供应短缺仍是主要瓶颈。根据野村估算,2025年全球先进光芯片产 能同比增长80%,仍落后需求5%-15%,导致部分企业交付延迟。例如,剑桥科技因硅光引擎供应问 题,将1.6T光模块量产时间推迟。 头部企业通过垂直整合与技术创新破局。中际旭创通过自研光芯片降低对外部供应商依赖,新易盛则通 过收购硅光企业完善技术布局。天孚通信凭借1200+项专利 ...
货币基金纷纷限购,睿远、宝盈等主动基金却放开限购,传递什么信号?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 07:23
智通财经记者 | 杜萌 随着春节假期的临近,"假期如何赚利息"和"节后如何布局"成为投资者最关心的问题。智通财经记者统计发现,相比货币基金、同业存单基金、纯债基金的 相继限购,却有一些主动权益基金放开了限购。 仅2月9日当天,就有汇添富货币基金、易方达货币基金、江信增利货币、长城中证同业存单AAA指数7天持有等16只基金发布了节前限购的公告。公告显 示,上述基金均在2月12日暂停申购、转换转入,2月24日恢复。江信增利货币则自2月12日起将申购金额调整到500万元以内。 此外,汇添富短债基金宣布2月12日将大额申购金额调整至500万元,长城短债债券基金也从2月12日暂停申购和转换转入。 为何节前密集限制大额申购?智通财经记者了解到,这主要是为了防止大额资金流入摊薄假期收益。假期中债券也会有票息收入,如果出现大额资金流入但 基金经理却未能及时配置资产的情况,就会导致资金空转,摊薄原持有人的收益。 此外,还有防范流动性风险的考量。"节假日前后容易出现资金的'快进快出',很多资金只是想在假期赚个票息收益,节后就会转出。这样导致基金在节后 遭遇集中赎回,基金经理可能被迫抛售资产,影响收益,因此对可能进入的大额资金予以 ...
新易盛(300502):Q4超预期重拾环比增速 新客户与1.6T放量驱动成长上行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 06:40
多重逻辑催化迭代,光通信依旧是算力里最耀眼的环节。随着集群大型化持续发展,gpu 与光模块比例 从传统的1:3 向1:5 甚至更高升级,并同时伴随了800G 向1.6T 升级。与此同时,ASIC 的持续超预期, 其单卡能力较弱需要用更强的网络实现更好的集群性能,也拉动了光模块用量的大幅度提升。我们认为 多重逻辑的叠加是光模块在算力里具备阿尔法的重要条件,光模块依旧是算力里最耀眼的环节。 投资建议:考虑到总体需求量,公司客户结构和产品变化,结合公司长期以来在研发、供应链、保交付 等多方面的优势,以及对2026 年和2027 年的需求测算。我们上调公司业绩指引,我们预计公司2025- 2027 年归母净利润为95.4、217.0、311.7 亿元,对应PE 为43.7、19.2、13.4 倍,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:AI 发展不及预期,竞争加剧,地缘政治影响等。 事件: 1 月30 日,公司发布2025 年度预告,预计2025 年实现归母净利润94-99 亿元,同比增长 231.2%-248.9%,主要受益于算力投资持续增长,高速率产品需求快速提升。报告期非经损益对净利润 影响约3300 万。 Q4 大超预 ...
新易盛成交额达100亿元,现涨1.04%。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 06:17
新易盛成交额达100亿元,现涨1.04%。 ...
美股光通信概念股走高,英伟达推进CPO技术部署,A股融资净买入活跃
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-10 05:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in optical communication concept stocks in the U.S. market, driven by advancements in Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology and supportive government policies [1][2]. - Companies such as Credo Technology, Corning, Ciena Technologies, and Lumentum have shown notable stock price increases, indicating strong market interest in optical communication technologies [1]. - NVIDIA is advancing the scale deployment of CPO technology to address the growing power consumption and reliability challenges of AI supercomputers, integrating optical engines into the same package as switching chips [1]. Group 2 - In the A-share market, as of February 6, ten CPO concept stocks have received net financing purchases exceeding 100 million yuan, with Tianfu Communication and Zhongji Xuchuang leading at 2.542 billion yuan and 2.21 billion yuan respectively [2]. - Tianfu Communication has reported that its 1.6T optical engine products have entered normal delivery stages, and the company is coordinating supply chain resources to enhance production capacity [2]. - New Yisong expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 231.24% to 248.86%, and has successfully mass-produced and delivered 1.6T optical module products [2].
新易盛:公司100G至1.6T高速率光模块产品已在全球头部云和AI厂商规模发货
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-10 04:45
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:公司的产品竞争力在行业中怎么样?目前有对3.2t光模 块有预研嘛?有送客户验证嘛? 新易盛(300502.SZ)2月9日在投资者互动平台表示,公司100G至1.6T高速率光模块产品已在全球头部 云和AI厂商规模发货,目前3.2T及更高速率产品正在顺利推进阶段,并与客户保持紧密互动。 ...
融资资金连续5日“加仓”新易盛丨资金流向日报
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.41% to close at 4123.09 points, with a daily high of 4123.16 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.17% to close at 14208.44 points, reaching a high of 14211.7 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 2.98%, closing at 3332.77 points, with a peak of 3340.33 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 26,556.13 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 26,387.82 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 168.31 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 6.15 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 13,475.12 billion yuan, up by 4.76 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 13,081.01 billion yuan, increasing by 1.39 billion yuan [2] - A total of 3,480 stocks had financing funds for purchase, with the top three being Xinyi Technology (25.36 billion yuan), Zhongji Xuchuang (24.32 billion yuan), and Shenghong Technology (17.14 billion yuan) [2][3] Fund Issuance - Eight new funds were issued yesterday, including: - Shangyin Stable and Wise Three-Month Holding (FOF) C - Xinyuan CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index C - Xinyuan CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index A - Shangyin Stable and Wise Three-Month Holding (FOF) A - CITIC Construction Investment Shuangyi Three-Month Holding Period Bond A - Zhaoshang Yutian Mixed Initiation C - CITIC Construction Investment Shuangyi Three-Month Holding Period Bond C - Zhaoshang Yutian Mixed Initiation A [4][5] Top Net Purchases on the Dragon and Tiger List - The top ten net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list were led by: - Zhongwen Online with a net purchase of 715.97 million yuan - TCL Zhonghuan with 517.15 million yuan - Zhongchao Holdings with 406.27 million yuan - Hunan Silver with 354.37 million yuan - Jiecheng Shares with 230.40 million yuan [6][7]
新易盛成功量产并交付1.6T光模块,同指数规模最大通信ETF(515050)开盘走高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-10 03:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the active performance of optical fiber and CPO-related hardware stocks, with significant trading volume and price increases observed in the communication ETF (515050) [1] - New Yi Sheng announced its capability for mass production and delivery of optical modules at 800G and above, including the successful production of the latest 1.6T optical module, with ongoing development for next-generation products [1] - CITIC Securities noted the acceleration of CPO development, with Lumentum reporting several hundred million dollars in CPO-related orders, projecting CPO revenue of approximately $50 million by Q4 2026 and a significant increase in H1 2027 [1] Group 2 - The communication ETF (515050) focuses on electronic and communication hardware, with top holdings including Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yi Sheng, and Lixun Precision [2] - The AI ETF (159381) has a balanced allocation between the optical module CPO sector and AI software applications, with major holdings such as Zhongji Xuchuang and New Yi Sheng [2] - The AI ETF features a low comprehensive fee rate of only 0.20%, making it competitive within its category [2]
445股获融资买入超亿元,新易盛获买入25.36亿元居首
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 01:15
从融资净买入金额来看,有34只个股获融资净买入超亿元。其中,兆易创新、寒武纪-U、阳光电源融 资净买入金额排名前三,分别获净买入4.23亿元、3.94亿元、3.42亿元。 Wind数据显示,A股2月9日共有3767只个股获融资资金买入,有445股买入金额超亿元。其中,新易 盛、中际旭创、胜宏科技融资买入金额排名前三,分别获买入25.36亿元、24.32亿元、17.14亿元。 从融资买入额占当日总成交金额比重来看,有4只个股融资买入额占比超30%。其中风语筑、金达莱、 吉贝尔融资买入额占成交额比重排名前三,分别为57.0%、37.77%、37.09%。 ...