瑞银发表研报指，李宁上半年净利润符合预期，管理层维持全年收入按年持平及净利润率增长高个位数 的指引。该行预计2025至27年的每股盈利复合年增长率为16%。迈向2028年奥运会，该行预计品牌投资 将提振销售，上调公司2027至28年的纯利预测12%至24%；目标价由15.7港元上调至20.5港元，维持"中 性"评级。 ...

高盛发布研报称，李宁(02331)中期核心经营利润胜预期，管理层对下半年看法较为保守。高盛指出， 期内核心业务利润率胜预期，有助增强投资者对李宁品牌基本面健康的信心，预期税率及减值压力减少 将支持未来几年净利润加速增长。高盛维持2025年销售额及净利润预测大致不变，将2026至2027年净利 润预测上调7%至8%，以反映税率正常化及减值减少。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Li Ning's (02331) interim core operating profit exceeded expectations, while management holds a cautious outlook for the second half of the year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The core business profit margin during the period surpassed expectations, enhancing investor confidence in the health of the Li Ning brand [1] - Future years' net profit growth is expected to accelerate due to a reduction in tax rates and impairment pressures [1] Group 2: Forecast Adjustments - Goldman Sachs maintains its sales and net profit forecasts for 2025 largely unchanged [1] - Net profit forecasts for 2026 to 2027 have been raised by 7% to 8% to reflect normalization of tax rates and reduced impairments [1]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning's stock has seen a significant increase, with a nearly 6% rise, attributed to better-than-expected mid-term performance results [1] Financial Performance - Li Ning reported a revenue increase of 3.3% year-on-year to 14.817 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit was approximately 7.415 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.48% [1] - EBITDA was around 3.513 billion yuan, showing a 2% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Net profit reached approximately 1.737 billion yuan, with basic earnings per share at 67.43 cents [1] - The interim dividend declared was 33.59 cents per share [1] Market Expectations - Nomura noted that Li Ning's key performance indicators exceeded market expectations for the first half of the year [1] - Daiwa indicated that Li Ning's net profit margin was slightly better than their expectations, alleviating concerns regarding management's lowered guidance [1] Strategic Outlook - Dongwu Securities projected that Li Ning will continue to deepen its "single brand, multiple categories, and multi-channels" strategy in the second half of the year [1] - The company plans to enhance its professional sports resources through collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee [1] - Li Ning has restructured its internal organization to focus on a category-based business model, improving category management efficiency [1] - The company aims to expand into multiple categories such as table tennis, badminton, pickleball, tennis, and golf [1] - With a solid operational foundation and healthier channel inventory, Li Ning is expected to benefit from Olympic-themed marketing, potentially enhancing performance elasticity [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue growth of 3% in H1 2025, but net profit declined by 11%. The running category showed good growth, and the management is committed to optimizing channel structure and investing in Olympic marketing resources. The management maintains a guidance for flat revenue and a high single-digit net profit margin for 2025 [1][8] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 2.38 billion, 2.53 billion, and 2.72 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -21%, 7%, and 7% respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE of 20 times for 2025 [1][8] Revenue Breakdown - E-commerce revenue grew by 7% to 4.3 billion yuan in H1 2025, accounting for 29% of total revenue. Offline direct sales revenue decreased by 3% to 3.4 billion yuan, representing 23% of total revenue, while franchise revenue increased by 4% to 6.9 billion yuan, making up 47% of total revenue [2] Store Performance - As of June 2025, the total number of stores was 7,534, a decrease of 143 stores year-on-year. The average store area for flagship stores was 242 square meters, with an average monthly sales of 300,000 yuan, slightly down from 310,000 yuan in H1 2024 [2] Inventory Management - The company's channel inventory increased by a low single-digit percentage year-on-year, maintaining a healthy inventory-to-sales ratio for four consecutive months. New products within six months accounted for 82% of the channel inventory [2] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 14.817 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 3.3% year-on-year increase, while net profit decreased by 11% to 1.737 billion yuan. The board proposed an interim dividend of 0.3359 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 50% [7][8] - The gross margin slightly declined by 0.4 percentage points to 50%, while the operating profit margin decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 16.5% [8] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to maintain its focus on Olympic and technological advancements to enhance brand influence and diversify product offerings. Revenue and profit are under pressure due to weak consumer demand and intensified market competition. The projected revenue for 2025-2027 is 28.744 billion, 29.956 billion, and 31.112 billion yuan, with growth rates of 0%, 4%, and 4% respectively [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning's stock has seen a significant increase, with a rise of nearly 6% and a current price of HKD 20.56, reflecting strong market performance following the release of its interim results [1] Financial Performance - Li Ning reported a revenue increase of 3.3% year-on-year to CNY 14.817 billion [1] - Gross profit reached approximately CNY 7.415 billion, marking a 2.48% year-on-year growth [1] - EBITDA was around CNY 3.513 billion, showing a 2% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Net profit stood at approximately CNY 1.737 billion, with basic earnings per share of CNY 0.6743 [1] - The interim dividend declared was CNY 0.3359 per share [1] Market Expectations - Nomura noted that Li Ning's key performance indicators exceeded market expectations for the first half of the year [1] - Daiwa indicated that Li Ning's net profit margin was slightly better than their forecast, alleviating concerns regarding management's lowered guidance [1] Strategic Outlook - Dongwu Securities projected that Li Ning will continue to deepen its "single brand, multiple categories, and multi-channel" strategy in the second half of the year [1] - The company plans to enhance its professional sports resources through collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee [1] - Li Ning has restructured its internal organization to focus on a category-based business model, aiming to improve category management efficiency [1] - The company is expanding into multiple categories such as table tennis, badminton, pickleball, tennis, and golf [1] - With a solid operational foundation and healthier channel inventory, Li Ning is expected to benefit from Olympic-themed marketing, potentially enhancing performance elasticity [1]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning's mid-term performance exceeded market expectations, leading to a significant increase in stock price and positive analyst outlooks [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 3.3% year-on-year to 14.817 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit was approximately 7.415 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.48% [1] - EBITDA was around 3.513 billion yuan, reflecting a 2% year-on-year increase [1] - Net profit reached approximately 1.737 billion yuan, with basic earnings per share of 67.43 cents [1] - Interim dividend declared at 33.59 cents per share [1] Analyst Insights - Nomura noted that Li Ning's key performance indicators for the first half of the year surpassed market expectations [1] - Daiwa indicated that Li Ning's net profit margin was slightly better than their forecast, alleviating concerns regarding management's lowered guidance [1] Strategic Outlook - Dongwu Securities projected that Li Ning will continue to deepen its "single brand, multi-category, multi-channel" strategy in the second half of the year [1] - The company plans to enhance its professional sports resources through collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee [1] - Li Ning has restructured its internal organization to focus on a category-based business model, improving category management efficiency [1] - The company aims to expand into multiple categories such as table tennis, badminton, pickleball, tennis, and golf [1] - With a solid operational foundation and healthier channel inventory, Li Ning is expected to benefit from Olympic-themed marketing, potentially enhancing performance elasticity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for H1 2025, with revenue growth of 3.3% but a decline in net profit by 11%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability despite revenue increases [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2025 reached 14.817 billion yuan, with a gross margin decrease of 0.4 percentage points to 50% due to deeper discounts in direct sales and an increased share of franchise channels [1] - Operating profit increased by 1.5% to 2.438 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 11% to 1.74 billion yuan, primarily due to adjustments in the domestic and foreign funding structure leading to higher tax provisions [1] - The company maintained a dividend payout ratio of 50%, consistent with the previous year, emphasizing shareholder returns [1] Business Segments Offline Business - Wholesale revenue grew by 5% to 6.48 billion yuan, while direct sales revenue declined by 4% to 3.23 billion yuan due to store adjustments aimed at improving profitability [2] - The number of direct and wholesale stores at the end of H1 2025 was 1,278 and 4,821 respectively, reflecting a net closure of 19 direct stores and an addition of 1 wholesale store [2] E-commerce - E-commerce sales showed strong growth with a high double-digit increase, outperforming offline sales, although retail discounts increased by approximately 1 percentage point [2] Product Performance - The company’s adult apparel revenue grew by 2%, with significant growth in running and training categories at 15% each, while basketball and lifestyle categories saw declines of 20% and 7% respectively [3] - The total sales of professional running shoes exceeded 14 million pairs, with key series performing well [3] - The children’s apparel segment also showed positive growth, with offline revenue increasing by 10%-20% and a net closure of 33 stores [3] Cash Flow and Inventory - Operating cash inflow for H1 2025 was 2.411 billion yuan, a decrease of 12%, but the company maintained a healthy cash reserve of 19.191 billion yuan, up 6% from the beginning of the year [3] - Inventory decreased by 7% to 2.4 billion yuan, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio maintained [3] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue for 2025 to remain flat, with a projected decline in net profit by 21.5% due to increased expenses related to Olympic sponsorships [4] - The company is focusing on optimizing product and marketing strategies, with plans to enhance brand influence through Olympic-related activities [4] - Long-term growth is anticipated through the expansion of product categories and improved operational efficiency [4] Earnings Forecast - Projected earnings for 2025-2027 are 2.366 billion, 2.540 billion, and 2.759 billion yuan respectively, with a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved steady performance in a challenging operating environment, with a focus on improving operational efficiency and anticipating sales growth acceleration in the medium term [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue reached 14.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.74 billion yuan, a decline of 11.0% [1]. - Gross margin slightly decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.0%, primarily due to channel structure adjustments and increased discounts [1]. - Operating profit margin decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 16.5%, and net profit margin fell by 1.9 percentage points to 11.7%, mainly impacted by a significant increase in income tax rate and impairment losses [1]. Sales and Product Performance - The running and cross-training categories led growth, with running shoes achieving a total sales volume of over 14 million pairs, and major products surpassing 5.26 million pairs in sales [2]. - Revenue growth rates for different categories were as follows: shoes +4.9%, apparel -3.4%, and accessories +23.7% [2]. - The company maintained a healthy inventory level, with inventory turnover days decreasing by 1 day to 61 days year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The management indicated that the revenue growth guidance for 2025 remains unchanged, with a focus on steady operations and pragmatic development to build momentum for long-term growth [2]. - The company expects to face short-term marketing expense pressures but anticipates that future investments will gradually convert into sales drivers [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 2.51 billion yuan, 2.83 billion yuan, and 3.04 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -16.6%, +12.5%, and +7.7% respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning Company has demonstrated solid mid-year performance amidst a recovering retail market and intensified competition in the sports goods industry, achieving revenue of 14.82 billion yuan, a 3.3% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.74 billion yuan with a net profit margin of 11.7% [1][3] Group 1: Business Strategy and Performance - The company adheres to a "pragmatic and steady" operational philosophy, focusing on deepening its presence in professional sports, enhancing technological research and development, and collaborating with top-tier sports resources [1][3] - Li Ning's strategy of "single brand, multiple categories, and multiple channels" has proven effective, with core categories like running, basketball, and training accounting for 67% of retail sales, and running category sales growing by 15% [3][6] - New categories such as tennis and pickleball have been strategically developed, with Li Ning being one of the first comprehensive sports brands to enter the pickleball market in China [5][6] Group 2: Technological Innovation and R&D - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, with an 8.7% year-on-year growth, totaling over 3.8 billion yuan in the past decade, establishing a strong technological foundation [11][17] - Li Ning has successfully integrated advanced technologies into its products, such as the "超䨻科技" (Ultra Light Technology), which has been applied to multiple new products and received positive market feedback [11][16] - Collaborations with organizations like the National Space Administration have led to the application of aerospace technology in sports equipment, enhancing product innovation [13][14] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Market Positioning - Li Ning has become the official partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee for the 2025-2028 period, aiming to leverage this partnership to enhance brand recognition and consumer engagement [7][9] - The company has a long history of collaboration with national sports teams, which has deepened its understanding of various sports needs and contributed to its brand positioning [10] - The strategic focus on professional sports resources is seen as a long-term investment rather than a short-term gain, with plans to align product offerings with major upcoming sporting events [9][10]