证券研究报告|策略定期报告 2026 年 2 月 9 日 AI 应用加速产业渗透，机器人商业化时间节点前移 ——全球产业趋势跟踪周报（0209） 本周产业趋势主要集中在 AI 应用和人形机器人。AI 应用方面，腾讯元宝于 2 月 1日正式启动总额 10亿元的春节现金红包活动，单个红包最高金额达 1万元。 自活动启动以来，元宝 AI 生图功能日均调用增长 30 倍，新用户平均每天跟元 宝的互动问答超过 8 轮，用户单日使用元宝时长增长超 80%。人形机器人方面， 马斯克表示将在今年一季度推出 Optimus 第三代版本，并提及量产规划与产线 调整；Figure AI 发布新一代人形机器人 Helix 02，行为拟人性大幅上升；宇树 宣布开源 UnifoLM-VLA-0；银河通用发布首款工业级重载机器人 Galbot S1； 机器人产业投融资市场活跃度上升，多家车企确认切入人形机器人。 【主题与产业趋势】春节营销点燃竞争，AI 应用加速产业渗透。腾讯元宝于 2 月 1 日正式启动总额 10 亿元的春节现金红包活动，用户通过更新 App 至 2.55.0 版本即可参与抽奖，单个红包最高金额达 1 万元。腾讯董事会主 ...

Core Insights - The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) is a passively managed ETF launched on December 16, 1998, designed to provide broad exposure to the Consumer Discretionary - Broad segment of the equity market [1] - The ETF has become increasingly popular among retail and institutional investors due to its low costs, transparency, flexibility, and tax efficiency [1] Fund Overview - Sponsored by State Street Investment Management, XLY has over $23.14 billion in assets, making it the largest ETF in the Consumer Discretionary - Broad segment [3] - The ETF aims to match the performance of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index, which represents the consumer discretionary sector of the S&P 500 Index [3] Cost Structure - XLY has annual operating expenses of 0.08%, positioning it as one of the least expensive ETFs in its category [4] - The ETF offers a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 0.8% [4] Sector Exposure and Holdings - The ETF is fully allocated to the Consumer Discretionary sector, minimizing single stock risk through diversified exposure [5] - Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) constitutes approximately 23.76% of total assets, with Tesla Inc (TSLA) and Home Depot Inc (HD) also among the top holdings; the top 10 holdings represent about 70.25% of total assets [6] Performance Metrics - As of February 9, 2026, XLY has experienced a loss of about 1.19% year-to-date but is up approximately 3.39% over the past year [7] - The ETF has traded between $88.17 and $124.52 in the last 52 weeks, with a beta of 1.25 and a standard deviation of 20.44% over the trailing three-year period, indicating medium risk [7] Alternatives - XLY carries a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting it is a viable option for investors seeking exposure to the Consumer Discretionary sector [8] - Other ETF options in this space include iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR), with respective assets of $3.04 billion and $6.20 billion [10]

Peter Thiel's hedge fund is making a contrarian AI bet that avoids the sector's most obvious winners. ...

0:00 足。 惊爆财经圈！特斯拉市值要冲100万亿美元？据智通财经报道，随着特斯拉涉足AI、机器人领域，有激 进投资者直言其市值有望达100万亿美元。要知道，目前全球市值前十公司总合才约26万亿美元，这个 目标听着离谱却被马斯克认可！ 投行预测，2026年将是特斯拉爆发之年，机器人、自动驾驶市场规模惊人，100万亿美元市值，你觉得 能实现吗？ 马斯克铁杆粉丝、方舟投资掌门人凯茜•伍德表示，特斯拉的长远野心足以支撑这一目标。因为马斯克 手握独家数据，比如特斯拉的道路场景数据，再加上各项技术融合，使其成为最有潜力的企业。 有网友算过，特斯拉当前市值1.5万亿美元，要冲100万亿需增长65倍。马斯克回应，这需要巨大努力和 运气，但并非完全不可能。如今他旗下企业加速融合，Robotaxi、人形机器人项目持续推进，潜力十 ...

每经记者｜宋欣悦 每经编辑｜程鹏 高涵 记者|宋欣悦 编辑|程鹏 高涵 杜恒峰 校对|陈柯名 ① 【三大期指齐涨，太空概念股盘前走高】截至发稿，道指期货涨0.22%、标普500指数期货涨0.16%、 纳指期货涨0.17%。太空概念股走高，Rocket Lab、AST SpaceMobile涨近3%。 ⑧ 【或无缘Rubin首年订单，美光科技跌超2%】美光科技跌超2%。消息面上，英伟达或将把美光 HBM4排除在Rubin架构的首年量产之外。 ⑨ 【QuantumScape涨超22%，已于上周启动固态电池试生产】截至发稿，QuantumScape涨超22%。消 息面上，美国固态锂金属电池公司QuantumScape已于2月4日在其位于加州圣何塞的总部正式启用Eagle 生产线，进行固态电池试生产。 ⑩ 【高盛预计美股2026年IPO募资总额有望翻两番至创纪录的1600亿美元】高盛分析师表示，美国股市 IPO活动预计在2026年出现大幅反弹。随着SpaceX、OpenAI和Anthropic等知名企业临近上市，全年募资 总额有望翻两番至创纪录的1600亿美元。 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the optimistic sentiment in the market, particularly in the U.S. stock market, with indicators suggesting a peak in positions and liquidity, while also identifying key investment opportunities in international stocks, Chinese consumer sectors, and emerging market resource producers [1][3]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Indicators - The Bull & Bear Indicator from Bank of America has reached 9.6, the highest level since March 2006, indicating a peak in positions, liquidity, and inequality [1]. - The recent market rebound has led to a surge in optimism, with investors positioning themselves ahead of the holiday season [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The best investment directions towards 2026 include international stocks, the Chinese consumer sector, and emerging market resource and commodity producers [3]. - The AI computing demand is still in its early growth phase, with Nvidia's CEO stating that high investments will continue for the next 5-10 years, alleviating concerns about "overcapacity" in computing power [3]. Group 3: Sector Performance and Trends - The optical communication sector has seen significant gains, driven by Nvidia's rebound and the growing demand for AI computing [3][10]. - The A-share market has shown strong performance, with major indices rising and significant trading volumes, particularly in the optical communication and AI application sectors [10]. Group 4: Industry Developments - Nvidia's CPO (Coherent Photonic Optics) is expected to begin mass production in Q4 2026, with major clients likely to include Microsoft and Oracle [7]. - The AI application sector is gaining traction, with companies like Rongxin Culture and Haikan Co. seeing stock price surges due to advancements in AI models [10][12]. Group 5: Chemical and Real Estate Insights - The chemical sector is experiencing price increases, with companies like Xinhecheng raising export prices for vitamin E [19]. - The real estate market shows a year-on-year increase in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive and technology sectors [5]. Core Insights - Tesla's Q4 gross margin exceeded expectations at 20.1%, driven by a strong performance in the energy business, despite a decline in net profit due to Bitcoin devaluation and increased stock-based compensation [2][10]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of Tesla's physical AI transformation strategy, with a focus on autonomous driving and robotics [10][13]. - The global regulatory framework for Level 4 (L4) autonomous driving is rapidly forming, which is expected to benefit companies with global compliance capabilities [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - Tesla's Q4 performance shows a gross margin of 20.1%, significantly above the expected 17.0%, marking the highest level in two years [10][12]. - The automotive delivery faced pressure, with a total of 418,000 vehicles delivered in Q4, a year-over-year decline of 16% [12]. - The energy business continues to thrive, with a record gross profit of $1.1 billion and a gross margin of 28.6% [12]. Autonomous Driving - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) will transition to a subscription model, eliminating the one-time purchase option, reflecting confidence in the FSD experience and future penetration [14]. - The Robotaxi fleet in Austin has begun operating with a small number of vehicles without safety drivers, marking a significant step towards fully autonomous operation [16]. - Tesla has established a data center in China to support the FSD rollout without the need for data to leave the country [17]. Robotics - The Optimus Gen3 robot is set to debut in Q1 2026, with production lines being repurposed from Model S/X to focus on robotics [18]. - The robotics software ecosystem is evolving, with significant advancements in control systems that enhance autonomous capabilities [23]. - The report highlights the increasing attention on the robotics supply chain as companies prepare for mass production [18]. Market Recommendations - Key stock recommendations include Xiaopeng Motors, Coboda, SOTON, Horizon Robotics, Top Group, Hesai Technology, Minth Group, and Yinlun [7]. - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong production capabilities and those positioned to benefit from the shift towards robotics and autonomous driving [10][18].

资讯日报：日本自民党在众议院选举中取得胜利 股票市场概览 港股市场表现 美股市场表现 2026 年 2 月 9 日 资讯日报 海外市场主要股市上日表现 | 指数 | 收盘价 | 日常跌 | 周常失 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (%) | 湖铁 | | | | | | (%) | | 恒生指数 | 26.560 | (1.21) | (3.02) | 3.63 | | 恒生科技 | 5.346 | (1.11) | (6.51) | (3.08) | | 恒生国企 | 9.031 | (0.68) | (3.07) | 1.32 | | 上证指数 | 4.066 | (0.25) | (1.27) | 2.44 | | 日经225 | 53.818 | 0.81 | 1.75 | 7.78 | | 新加坡海峡 | 4.976 | (0.83) | 0.60 | 0.00 | | 标普500 | 6.798 | 1.97 | (0.10) | 1.27 | | 纳斯达克 | 22,541 | 2.18 | (1.84) | (0.91) ...

2026年伊始，自动驾驶产业发展的冲锋号，从大洋彼岸吹过来。 在审议《2026年自动驾驶汽车法案》草案的听证会上，美国自动驾驶政策风向发生180 度大转弯。 委员会主席Bilirakis高喊，立法核心动力是"战胜中国"（This legislation is also necessary to successfully compete against communist China）。会议推出了精准解决商业化三大"拦路虎"的方案： 一是产能的解放。 针对无方向盘车辆，此前每家车企每年仅有2500辆的豁免额度，这仅够维持小规模测试。新规将其大幅 提升至90000辆，跨过了量产化的红线，被视为专门为特斯拉Cybercab和Waymo的大规模量产开绿灯。 二是权力的回收。 此前加州等地法规严苛，车企面临法规割裂的困局。新规提出的"联邦优先权（Preemption）"，拟禁止 各州自行制定自动驾驶性能标准，确立了联邦法律的至高地位，以防止类似加州对Robotaxi实施的严苛 限制再次出现。 三是监管逻辑的进化。 企业不再需要向政府提交极其详尽的原始代码，这既涉及核心商业机密，又超出了政府的审计能力。而 是改为提交"安 ...

埃隆·马斯克的个人财富已突破8000亿美元关口，成为全球首位达到这一高度的亿万富翁。据《福布 斯》最新估算，SpaceX完成对xAI的收购后，马斯克的财富达到8520亿美元的历史新高。 这位企业家如今每四个月就能刷新一次个人财富纪录。若按照当前速度，他将在不久后成为人类历史上 首个万亿美元富翁。 2026年2月，马斯克旗下的SpaceX正式收购了他自己创办的AI公司xAI，两家公司合并后，估值直接冲 到了1.25万亿美元。 合并之后，马斯克手里握着合并后公司43%的股份，再加上他在特斯拉的资产，身家一下子涨到了8520 亿美元。 更吓人的是，他的财富几乎每四个月就刷新一次纪录，按照这个速度，用不了多久，他就会成为人类历 史上第一个万亿美元富翁。 咱们先说说特朗普，不是我看不起他，他的威胁真的有限。 特朗普这人，一辈子都在围着"选票"转，他搞的"美国优先"，说白了就是为了讨好选民，给自己拉支 持。 他对中国的那些小动作，比如加关税、限制部分产品进口，确实给我们带来过麻烦，但这些麻烦都是短 期的，我们也有办法应对。 更关键的是，特朗普的影响力，撑死了就是美国的一个政治周期。 看到这，肯定有人要问：就算他有钱，也只 ...