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有红包没段子的行情
Datayes· 2026-02-09 11:52
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the optimistic sentiment in the market, particularly in the U.S. stock market, with indicators suggesting a peak in positions and liquidity, while also identifying key investment opportunities in international stocks, Chinese consumer sectors, and emerging market resource producers [1][3]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Indicators - The Bull & Bear Indicator from Bank of America has reached 9.6, the highest level since March 2006, indicating a peak in positions, liquidity, and inequality [1]. - The recent market rebound has led to a surge in optimism, with investors positioning themselves ahead of the holiday season [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The best investment directions towards 2026 include international stocks, the Chinese consumer sector, and emerging market resource and commodity producers [3]. - The AI computing demand is still in its early growth phase, with Nvidia's CEO stating that high investments will continue for the next 5-10 years, alleviating concerns about "overcapacity" in computing power [3]. Group 3: Sector Performance and Trends - The optical communication sector has seen significant gains, driven by Nvidia's rebound and the growing demand for AI computing [3][10]. - The A-share market has shown strong performance, with major indices rising and significant trading volumes, particularly in the optical communication and AI application sectors [10]. Group 4: Industry Developments - Nvidia's CPO (Coherent Photonic Optics) is expected to begin mass production in Q4 2026, with major clients likely to include Microsoft and Oracle [7]. - The AI application sector is gaining traction, with companies like Rongxin Culture and Haikan Co. seeing stock price surges due to advancements in AI models [10][12]. Group 5: Chemical and Real Estate Insights - The chemical sector is experiencing price increases, with companies like Xinhecheng raising export prices for vitamin E [19]. - The real estate market shows a year-on-year increase in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [21].
智驾、机器人双周报1:Tesla物理AI战略全面提速-20260209
HTSC· 2026-02-09 11:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive and technology sectors [5]. Core Insights - Tesla's Q4 gross margin exceeded expectations at 20.1%, driven by a strong performance in the energy business, despite a decline in net profit due to Bitcoin devaluation and increased stock-based compensation [2][10]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of Tesla's physical AI transformation strategy, with a focus on autonomous driving and robotics [10][13]. - The global regulatory framework for Level 4 (L4) autonomous driving is rapidly forming, which is expected to benefit companies with global compliance capabilities [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - Tesla's Q4 performance shows a gross margin of 20.1%, significantly above the expected 17.0%, marking the highest level in two years [10][12]. - The automotive delivery faced pressure, with a total of 418,000 vehicles delivered in Q4, a year-over-year decline of 16% [12]. - The energy business continues to thrive, with a record gross profit of $1.1 billion and a gross margin of 28.6% [12]. Autonomous Driving - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) will transition to a subscription model, eliminating the one-time purchase option, reflecting confidence in the FSD experience and future penetration [14]. - The Robotaxi fleet in Austin has begun operating with a small number of vehicles without safety drivers, marking a significant step towards fully autonomous operation [16]. - Tesla has established a data center in China to support the FSD rollout without the need for data to leave the country [17]. Robotics - The Optimus Gen3 robot is set to debut in Q1 2026, with production lines being repurposed from Model S/X to focus on robotics [18]. - The robotics software ecosystem is evolving, with significant advancements in control systems that enhance autonomous capabilities [23]. - The report highlights the increasing attention on the robotics supply chain as companies prepare for mass production [18]. Market Recommendations - Key stock recommendations include Xiaopeng Motors, Coboda, SOTON, Horizon Robotics, Top Group, Hesai Technology, Minth Group, and Yinlun [7]. - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong production capabilities and those positioned to benefit from the shift towards robotics and autonomous driving [10][18].
资讯日报:日本自民党在众议院选举中取得胜利-20260209
资讯日报:日本自民党在众议院选举中取得胜利 股票市场概览 港股市场表现 美股市场表现 2026 年 2 月 9 日 资讯日报 海外市场主要股市上日表现 | 指数 | 收盘价 | 日常跌 | 周常失 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (%) | 湖铁 | | | | | | (%) | | 恒生指数 | 26.560 | (1.21) | (3.02) | 3.63 | | 恒生科技 | 5.346 | (1.11) | (6.51) | (3.08) | | 恒生国企 | 9.031 | (0.68) | (3.07) | 1.32 | | 上证指数 | 4.066 | (0.25) | (1.27) | 2.44 | | 日经225 | 53.818 | 0.81 | 1.75 | 7.78 | | 新加坡海峡 | 4.976 | (0.83) | 0.60 | 0.00 | | 标普500 | 6.798 | 1.97 | (0.10) | 1.27 | | 纳斯达克 | 22,541 | 2.18 | (1.84) | (0.91) ...
给特斯拉松绑,向中国下战书:解读2026美国新法
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-09 11:14
2026年伊始,自动驾驶产业发展的冲锋号,从大洋彼岸吹过来。 在审议《2026年自动驾驶汽车法案》草案的听证会上,美国自动驾驶政策风向发生180 度大转弯。 委员会主席Bilirakis高喊,立法核心动力是"战胜中国"(This legislation is also necessary to successfully compete against communist China)。会议推出了精准解决商业化三大"拦路虎"的方案: 一是产能的解放。 针对无方向盘车辆,此前每家车企每年仅有2500辆的豁免额度,这仅够维持小规模测试。新规将其大幅 提升至90000辆,跨过了量产化的红线,被视为专门为特斯拉Cybercab和Waymo的大规模量产开绿灯。 二是权力的回收。 此前加州等地法规严苛,车企面临法规割裂的困局。新规提出的"联邦优先权(Preemption)",拟禁止 各州自行制定自动驾驶性能标准,确立了联邦法律的至高地位,以防止类似加州对Robotaxi实施的严苛 限制再次出现。 三是监管逻辑的进化。 企业不再需要向政府提交极其详尽的原始代码,这既涉及核心商业机密,又超出了政府的审计能力。而 是改为提交"安 ...
中国未来最大敌人,不是特朗普,而是即将手握万亿美元的马斯克
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:51
埃隆·马斯克的个人财富已突破8000亿美元关口,成为全球首位达到这一高度的亿万富翁。据《福布 斯》最新估算,SpaceX完成对xAI的收购后,马斯克的财富达到8520亿美元的历史新高。 这位企业家如今每四个月就能刷新一次个人财富纪录。若按照当前速度,他将在不久后成为人类历史上 首个万亿美元富翁。 2026年2月,马斯克旗下的SpaceX正式收购了他自己创办的AI公司xAI,两家公司合并后,估值直接冲 到了1.25万亿美元。 合并之后,马斯克手里握着合并后公司43%的股份,再加上他在特斯拉的资产,身家一下子涨到了8520 亿美元。 更吓人的是,他的财富几乎每四个月就刷新一次纪录,按照这个速度,用不了多久,他就会成为人类历 史上第一个万亿美元富翁。 咱们先说说特朗普,不是我看不起他,他的威胁真的有限。 特朗普这人,一辈子都在围着"选票"转,他搞的"美国优先",说白了就是为了讨好选民,给自己拉支 持。 他对中国的那些小动作,比如加关税、限制部分产品进口,确实给我们带来过麻烦,但这些麻烦都是短 期的,我们也有办法应对。 更关键的是,特朗普的影响力,撑死了就是美国的一个政治周期。 看到这,肯定有人要问:就算他有钱,也只 ...
对话特斯拉陶琳:FSD入华稳步推进,今年将加大AI软硬件和能源领域
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:49
Core Insights - Tesla plans to exceed $20 billion in capital expenditures (CapEx) in 2026, focusing on AI computing power, robotics factories, Cybercab production, energy storage and manufacturing, charging networks, and battery factories, with increased investment in AI hardware and software in the Chinese market [1][22][30] Group 1: Strategic Shift - Tesla is undergoing a significant transformation, evolving from an electric vehicle company to a technology enterprise centered on AI, robotics, and energy [3][24] - The company aims to shift market perception from focusing on vehicle delivery numbers to evaluating technological potential [6][27] Group 2: AI and Robotics Investment - The 2026 CapEx budget will prioritize AI computing investments, robotics factories, Cybercab production, energy storage, and global charging network expansion [10][31] - A local training center has been established in China for the localization of Tesla's smart driving technology [11][32] Group 3: Delivery and Production Insights - In 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume exceeded 1.636 million units, reflecting an 8% year-over-year decline, attributed to production line transitions rather than reduced demand [6][27] - The Shanghai Gigafactory delivered over 850,000 new vehicles despite production line changes for the Model Y [6][27] Group 4: Full Self-Driving (FSD) Development - Tesla's FSD is progressing rapidly, with global mileage surpassing 7.5 billion miles (approximately 12 billion kilometers) [13][34] - The company is confident that its FSD model, trained in North America, can adapt to China's complex road conditions with minor adjustments [5][26] Group 5: Energy Sector Growth - Tesla's energy sector is expected to become a new growth area, particularly with the establishment of a Megapack production facility in Shanghai, which has already secured over 1 GWh of orders [11][32] - The company is focused on enhancing energy storage systems as a critical component for grid stability and energy quality improvement [11][32] Group 6: Robotics and Supply Chain - Tesla plans to achieve mass production of humanoid robots by the end of 2026, with significant improvements in dexterity compared to previous models [15][36] - The robotics supply chain is still in the early development stage, with many components needing to be self-developed by Tesla [17][37] Group 7: Internal Efficiency and AI Utilization - Tesla utilizes its proprietary AI tools across various internal operations, enhancing efficiency and reducing the need for a large workforce [21][41] - The company has conducted 58 over-the-air (OTA) updates in the past four years, adding 105 significant practical features to its vehicles [18][38]
特斯拉的机器人革命也救不了它了?
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
作者Daniel Jones ,内容为转载编译,仅为呈现不同市场观点与研究视角,并不意味着本公 众号对文中观点结论认可。 分析师对这家公司的负面看法,与管理层或整体野心无关,坦白说,分析师对它很多运营层面 的做法其实是认可的。分析师坚定看好电动汽车市场,也尤其喜爱它的 能源生产与储能业务 。分析师对特斯拉的核心顾虑,真正集中在两点: 较小的问题在于,埃隆・马斯克的一系列决策给公司带来了诸多负面影响与包袱; 更大的问 题,则是估值 。 长期以来分析师一直认为,这家公司股价被 严重高估 。事实上,早在 2024年 12 月 分析师 就断言,特斯拉股东在2025年将会过得非常糟糕。期间,特斯拉一度暴跌约 40%。说实话, 分析师当时认为它还会继续跌。但马斯克的 "炒作" 最终还是成功煽动了投资者情绪,把价格 重新推高。需要明确的是,特斯拉 表现依旧大幅跑输市场 : 【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】 · 自 2024 年 12 月左右至今,特斯拉股价基本 零涨幅 ,而标普 500 同期上涨 16.6%; · 自分析师今年 1 月左右以来,特斯拉下跌 6%,远差于标普 500 仅 0.9% 的跌幅。 这些都还远不及分 ...
AI日报丨阿里新一代模型Qwen3.5曝光,大手笔AI投资之后,市场盯紧亚马逊、谷歌、Meta的资产负债表
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
整理 | 美股研究社 在这个快速 变 化的 时代, 人工 智能技术正以前所未有的速度发展,带来了广泛的机会 。 《AI日 报 》致力于挖掘和分析最新的AI概念股公司和市场趋势,为您提供深度的行 业 洞察和 价 值 分析。 A I 快 报 【阿里新一代模型Qwen3.5曝光】 2月9日,在全球最大AI开源社区HuggingFace的开源项目页面中,最新出现Qwen3.5并入 Transformers的新PR(提交代码合并申请)。业内猜测阿里千问新一代基座模型Qwen3.5发 布在即,引起全球AI开源社区热议,有评论称中国大模型引领的"疯狂2月"即将开启。相关信 息透露,千问3.5采用了全新的混合注意力机制,并且极有可能是原生可实现视觉理解的VLM 类模型,有开发者进一步挖掘出,Qwen3.5或将开源至少2B的密集模型和35B-A3B的MoE模 型。 这一最新动态印证了美媒The Information此前爆料Qwen3.5将在春节期间开源的消息,而在 2月初,智谱首席科学家唐杰也曾发微博称,近期将有包括DeepSeek v4、Qwen3.5、GLM- 5等众多新模型登场。 【本田与Mythic宣布联合研发能效提 ...
看好太空算力带动太空光伏需求,关注SpaceX合并xAI
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 10:45
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential growth in the space photovoltaic sector driven by SpaceX's acquisition of xAI, which is expected to create significant demand for solar energy in space [9][18] - The AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector is experiencing a surge in capital expenditure from major cloud companies, indicating strong growth opportunities for related electrical equipment manufacturers [9][13] - The solid-state battery industry is advancing towards commercialization, with significant policy support and technological developments expected to enhance profitability and valuation in the lithium battery sector [17][18] - The energy storage sector is set to benefit from the newly implemented capacity pricing policy, which is anticipated to drive rapid growth in demand for energy storage solutions [19] - The wind power sector is witnessing significant overseas expansion, with Chinese companies successfully securing projects and increasing exports, particularly in the offshore wind segment [20][22] Summary by Sections AIDC Electrical Equipment - Continuous high growth in capital expenditure is observed, with major companies like Alphabet and Amazon significantly increasing their 2026 capital expenditure forecasts [9][13] - The demand for high-density power solutions is expected to rise, providing historical growth opportunities for domestic AIDC manufacturers [10][13] Robotics - The launch of the full-size humanoid robot "Bolt" and advancements in AI-driven robotics are expected to create new investment opportunities in the robotics sector [14] - Companies like Xiaomi and Huawei are positioned to leverage their existing technology in the robotics field, presenting potential investment avenues [14] Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery industry is moving towards mass production, with key technological breakthroughs and supportive policies expected to accelerate the commercialization process [17][18] - Companies with strong technological capabilities and production capacity in solid-state battery materials and equipment are likely to benefit [17] Photovoltaics and Energy Storage - The integration of space computing capabilities is projected to open new growth avenues for the photovoltaic industry, with significant investments planned by SpaceX and Tesla [18] - The newly established capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to enhance investment confidence and drive rapid growth in the sector [19] Wind Power - Chinese companies are making significant strides in overseas markets, particularly in offshore wind projects, with a notable increase in exports expected [20][22] - The wind power sector is anticipated to enter a new growth cycle, supported by favorable policies and technological advancements [20][22] Grid Investment - The State Grid's investment is set to increase significantly, marking the beginning of a new phase of high-quality development in China's grid infrastructure [21][22] - The demand for smart grid solutions is expected to rise, driven by the need for enhanced energy management and integration of renewable sources [21][22]
“木头姐”旗下太空ETF首度买入特斯拉,业界猜测:特斯拉和SpaceX可能合并
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:41
方舟投资掌门人凯茜·伍德(Cathie Wood)近期的一项不同寻常的投资决策引发关注:旗下太空ETF首度买进特斯拉股票。 不少投资者猜测,马斯克未来可能会进一步整合其旗下商业版图。 美股知名科技分析师、韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)本月初预计,特斯拉和SpaceX的合作可能在12到18个月内发生,并成为马斯克控 制更多人工智能生态系统所需的"圣杯"。 知名风险投资人Chamath Palihapitiya也曾提出观点称,马斯克可能会透过反向并购的方式,将SpaceX并入特斯拉,以整合AI、太空与地球交通 的生态系统。 不过,将特斯拉纳入太空ETF也可能与该ETF新增"自适应机器人"作为投资主题有关。 编辑|陈柯名 宋思艰 杜恒峰 校对|许绍航 有分析认为,此举似乎是在押注这家电动汽车巨头与SpaceX进行合并,并为潜在的合并提前布局。特斯拉正积极推进擎天柱(Optimus)人形 机器人项目,且未来有望用机器人参与外星文明建设,这或许是方舟投资将这家以电动汽车闻名的公司纳入太空ETF的原因。伍德日前还在一 场公开对话中表示,考虑到特斯拉横跨多个行业的长远野心,该车企有望实现100万亿美元的市值。 ...