Group 1 - TSMC's 2nm (N2) advanced process technology is expected to reach an initial production capacity of approximately 35,000 wafers per month, with a forecasted increase to 140,000 wafers per month by the end of this year, surpassing previous market estimates of 100,000 wafers per month [1] - The N2 process is anticipated to start contributing to TSMC's revenue from the second half of this year, driven by strong demand and high pricing, potentially making it the "most popular generation" of process technology, surpassing the previous 5nm and 3nm technologies [1] - JPMorgan's report indicates that the number of tape-outs for TSMC's 2nm process is expected to be 1.5 times that of the 3nm process during the same period, with TSMC poised to capture over 95% of the global AI accelerator market share with the 2nm technology [1] Group 2 - TSMC's consolidated revenue for December 2025 is approximately NT$335.003 billion (equivalent to about RMB 74.371 billion), reflecting a decrease of 2.5% month-over-month but an increase of 20.4% year-over-year [2] - Cumulative revenue for TSMC from January to December 2025 is approximately NT$38,090.54 billion (equivalent to about RMB 845.61 billion), representing a year-over-year increase of 31.6% [2]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported fourth-quarter revenue of T$1,046.08 billion ($33.05 billion) [1] Group 1 - TSMC's fourth-quarter revenue reflects a significant financial performance, showcasing the company's strong position in the semiconductor industry [1] - The reported revenue is based on monthly data calculations, indicating a systematic approach to financial reporting [1]

来源：智通财经 1月9日，台积电公布2025年12月营收报告。2025年12月合并营收约为新台币3350.03亿元，较上月减少 了2.5%，较去年同期增加了20.4%。累计2025年1至12月营收约为新台币3.81万亿元，较去年同期增加了 31.6%。 ...

台积电12月销售额3,350亿元台币，同比增长20.4％。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index had a weekly change of +0.13%, while the ChiNext Index decreased by -1.25%. The CSI 300 Index fell by -0.59%, and the CSI 1000 Index remained unchanged at -0.13%. In contrast, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by +4.31%, and the Nasdaq Index decreased by -1.52% [1] - Sector performance showed that the Media Index increased by +2.27%, the Hang Seng Internet Technology sector rose by +4.27%, the CSI Overseas China Internet 50 Index increased by +2.89%, while the Artificial Intelligence Index fell by -1.26% [1] Semiconductor Industry - TSMC's 2nm (N2) technology has commenced mass production as scheduled in Q4 2025. This technology utilizes the first-generation nanosheet GAA transistor technology, offering advancements in performance and power consumption across all process nodes, making it the most advanced semiconductor technology in terms of density and energy efficiency [2][4] AI Sector - Meta announced the acquisition of the AI startup "Butterfly Effect" for several billion dollars, marking its third-largest acquisition in history. The founder of Butterfly Effect will become Meta's Vice President, leading its AI strategy. Companies to watch include Meta, Adobe, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Amazon [2] - In domestic AI, "Moonlight Dark Side" completed a $500 million Series C financing round, led by IDG, with participation from Alibaba and Tencent. Additionally, Beijing Zhiyu Huazhang Technology Co., Ltd. is set to go public on January 8, 2026, with an expected fundraising of HKD 4.3 billion [3] Smart Driving - By the end of 2025, Tesla's smart assisted driving has accumulated over 11 billion kilometers driven globally. The accident rates for major collisions have decreased to 1/8, minor collisions to 1/8, and non-road collisions to 1/6 compared to the average in the U.S. [5] E-commerce - Taobao Flash Sale launched the 2026 New Year Festival, emphasizing 30-minute delivery. The event integrates resources from major supermarkets and offers various discounts, suggesting a focus on consumer behavior during the event [6] - 1688's AI version of Chengxintong has achieved significant improvements since its launch, with a 20% increase in buyers, a 73% increase in GMV, and a 31% increase in repurchase rates, indicating a shift towards intelligent operations for small and medium enterprises [7] Automotive Industry - Xiaomi's Yu7 has surpassed 150,000 deliveries within six months of its launch, achieving 2.3 times the delivery volume of the SU7 during the same period. Xiaomi also announced interest-free benefits for consumers who place orders by February 28, 2026 [8]

Core Insights - TSMC is expanding its operations in the U.S. by acquiring land in Arizona for over $197 million (approximately NT$6.227 billion) to support its production and operational needs [1] - There are rumors that TSMC plans to transfer some mature process equipment from Taiwan to its partner, World Advanced, in Singapore, which could enhance TSMC's advanced process capacity [2] - Qualcomm is in discussions with Samsung for 2nm wafer foundry services, potentially breaking TSMC's exclusive hold on Qualcomm's advanced process orders [4][5] Group 1: TSMC's U.S. Expansion - TSMC announced the acquisition of new land in Arizona, covering an area of 3,652,651 square meters, to support its expansion plans and respond to strong long-term AI-related demand [1] - The company is currently in a quiet period before its earnings call and has not commented on the rumors regarding the transfer of equipment to Singapore [1] Group 2: Equipment Transfer Rumors - Market speculation suggests that TSMC is moving some mature process equipment to World Advanced's 12-inch factory in Singapore to free up space for advanced process equipment [2] - If true, this move could accelerate TSMC's advanced process layout in both Taiwan and the U.S., potentially boosting future performance [2] Group 3: Qualcomm and Samsung Collaboration - Qualcomm's CEO confirmed discussions with Samsung for 2nm wafer foundry services, marking a return to collaboration after years of exclusivity with TSMC [4] - Samsung is reportedly offering wafer foundry prices that are at least 30% lower than TSMC's, aiming to secure Qualcomm's future orders [4][5] - Qualcomm's upcoming flagship chip, the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6, may adopt a dual-foundry strategy, utilizing both TSMC and Samsung to mitigate supply chain risks and reduce costs [5]

Core Insights - The article highlights the evolution of the partnership between Apple and TSMC, emphasizing how Apple's strategic investments and demand have significantly shaped TSMC's growth and technological advancements [4][5][6]. Group 1: Apple and TSMC Partnership Evolution - In 2013, TSMC invested $10 billion to support Apple's chip manufacturing, leading to a successful collaboration that began with the A8 chip in 2014 [1]. - Apple's annual spending at TSMC increased from $2 billion in 2014 to an estimated $24 billion by 2025, marking a 12-fold growth over 12 years [3]. - The partnership has allowed Apple to dominate the semiconductor market, with its share of TSMC's revenue peaking at 25% and stabilizing at 20% by 2025 [3]. Group 2: Financial Impact and Market Dynamics - TSMC's capital expenditures surged from an average of $2.4 billion annually (2005-2009) to $98 billion from 2019 to 2022, largely driven by Apple's demand [6]. - Apple's manufacturing obligations rose from $8.7 billion in 2010 to $71 billion in 2022, showcasing its critical role in TSMC's financial stability [6]. - The revenue from TSMC's high-performance computing (HPC) segment is projected to grow from 36% in 2020 to 58% by 2025, while smartphone revenue will decline from 46% to 29% [6][9]. Group 3: Technological Advancements and Market Position - Apple has consistently funded advancements in semiconductor technology, maintaining over 50% market share in key process nodes since the introduction of the 20nm process [3][4]. - The article outlines five phases of the Apple-TSMC relationship, indicating a shift from mutual dependence to a diversified reliance on multiple clients, including NVIDIA and AMD [16][34]. - Apple's internal chip development has led to significant cost savings, with over $7 billion saved annually by replacing third-party chips with in-house designs [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Challenges - By 2030, new chip generations are expected to account for 15% of Apple's wafer demand, indicating a shift in product focus [8]. - The article discusses potential challenges for Apple as it faces increased competition from NVIDIA in the HPC space, which may impact its market share in advanced process nodes [7][35]. - Apple's exploration of alternative manufacturing partners, including Intel, suggests a strategic diversification to mitigate risks associated with reliance on TSMC [42][46].

Group 1 - Two major energy state-owned enterprises, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation and China Aviation Oil Group, announced a merger approved by the State Council, aiming to leverage advantages in refining integration and aviation fuel supply systems to reduce costs and promote high-quality development of the industry [1] - Vanke A announced that Yu Liang, a representative figure in the real estate sector, has retired after 35 years with the company, holding 739,490 shares valued at over 36 million yuan as of January 8 [1] - Gold has officially surpassed U.S. Treasury bonds for the first time in 30 years, becoming the largest reserve asset globally, with a value of $3.93 trillion compared to $3.88 trillion for U.S. Treasury bonds [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce held a press conference addressing recent hot topics, including the evaluation of Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI platform Manus, which must comply with Chinese laws and regulations [2] - The Ministry of Finance expressed confidence in China's economic stability and invited the London Stock Exchange Group to deepen cooperation [2] - The U.S. government is pushing a bill to strengthen sanctions against Russia, which may affect countries like China, India, and Brazil in purchasing cheap Russian oil [2] Group 3 - Guangzhou has introduced a plan to build a strong advanced manufacturing city, focusing on five strategic industries including AI, semiconductors, and new energy [3] - The A-share market saw a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.51%, while the total market turnover reached 2.83 trillion yuan [3] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a drop, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.17%, while the "first global large model stock" Zhiyuan surged over 13% on its debut [3] Group 4 - The margin financing balance in the A-share market reached a historical high of 2.6047 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase of approximately 248 billion yuan in a single day [4] - Ping An Life announced its fourth stake increase in China Merchants Bank H-shares, holding 20% of the total share capital [4] - HSBC and Hang Seng Bank announced the approval of HSBC's proposal to privatize Hang Seng Bank, with shares expected to be delisted on January 27 [4] Group 5 - Bawang Tea Princess is considering an IPO in Hong Kong, with preliminary discussions with investment banks for a potential fundraising of several hundred million dollars [5] - Major announcements from listed companies include Vanke A's announcement of Yu Liang's resignation due to retirement and Industrial Fulian's semi-annual dividend distribution of 6.55 billion yuan [6] Group 6 - The market regulatory authority has warned major polysilicon companies against monopolistic practices, emphasizing the need for compliance in capacity management and pricing [7] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting addressing irrational competition in the battery industry, calling for better capacity management [7] - The Chinese automotive market is experiencing a promotional wave at the start of the year, with several companies offering discounts to counteract the impact of new taxes on electric vehicles [7]

Group 1 - The Guangzhou Municipal Government has issued a plan to accelerate the construction of an advanced manufacturing city, aiming to double industrial added value by 2035 and focusing on new industrialization [2] - The plan emphasizes the development of 15 strategic industrial clusters and six emerging pillar industries, including smart connected vehicles, ultra-high-definition video, biomedicine, green petrochemicals, software and the internet, and intelligent equipment [2] - Five strategic leading industries are to be cultivated, including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new energy, low-altitude economy, and biomanufacturing [2] Group 2 - The plan includes a focus on commercial aerospace, aiming to develop reusable rocket technology and establish testing bases for liquid rockets, which will be open to national research institutions and enterprises [3] - The plan supports the construction of satellite constellations and aims to attract talent and capital to build a complete commercial aerospace ecosystem in Guangzhou [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has warned against irrational competition in the lithium battery industry, involving major companies like CATL and BYD, and has called for a meeting to regulate competition [18] - The meeting included 16 companies and emphasized the need for self-regulation within the industry to prevent monopolistic practices [18] Group 4 - Xiaomi Group plans to invest an additional 200 billion yuan in research and development over the next five years, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [11] - JD.com has established a new business unit to oversee the development and commercialization of AI products, with plans to launch a second batch of self-developed AI toys [9] Group 5 - TSMC is experiencing a shortage in its 3nm process technology, leading to increased prices and a halt on new project initiations due to overwhelming demand [8] - The company is encouraging clients in the early stages of product planning to consider transitioning to 2nm technology for future production [8]

Group 1 - Qualcomm's CEO confirmed discussions with Samsung Semiconductor for 2nm wafer foundry, marking a return to collaboration after five years, aiming to challenge TSMC's dominance in advanced process orders [1] - Qualcomm's previous flagship chip, Snapdragon 8 Gen 1, was exclusively produced by Samsung at 4nm, but performance issues led Qualcomm to switch to TSMC for subsequent products [1] - Samsung is offering wafer foundry prices at least 30% lower than TSMC to attract Qualcomm for 2nm production, with plans to secure orders for the upcoming Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 [1] Group 2 - Qualcomm is expected to launch its latest flagship chip, Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6, in two versions: Pro and Standard, indicating a potential return to a dual foundry strategy with TSMC and Samsung sharing flagship chip orders [2] - The new flagship chip is scheduled for Q4 release, with wafer foundries starting shipments in Q3 for final testing [2] - The CPU architecture will continue to utilize Qualcomm's in-house developed Oryon, with the high-end version expected to support LPDDR6, positioning Qualcomm to deliver a strong AI smartphone for non-Apple brands [2]