Understanding the Power Inflow SignalOrder flow analytics analyze real-time buying and selling trends by examining the volume, timing, and order size across both retail and institutional traders. These insights offer a more detailed understanding of price behavior and market sentiment for a stock, allowing the trader or institution to make the most informed decision possible.TSM PerformanceAt the time of the Power Inflow, TSM was priced at $337.15. Following the signal:• Intraday High: $344.20 (+2.09%)Benzi ...

Group 1 - The core index of semiconductor materials and equipment rose by 3.3%, while the cloud computing and big data index increased by 2.6%, and the chip industry index grew by 1.4% [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF managed by E Fund attracted approximately 3 billion yuan in the last month, indicating strong investor interest [1] - China Galaxy Securities noted that the semiconductor equipment sector is performing positively this month, driven by sustained AI computing demand, an upward cycle in storage chips, and the penetration of advanced packaging technology [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment market is expected to continue growing, with a strong outlook for 2026 [1] - TSMC anticipates capital expenditures of $52 billion to $56 billion in 2026, a significant increase from $40.9 billion in 2025, highlighting further market opportunities in semiconductor equipment [1]

Group 1 - Dow futures rose by 0.05%, S&P 500 futures increased by 0.22%, and Nasdaq futures gained 0.51% [1] - Intel's stock rose by 2.27% following a partnership with SoftBank's SaiMemory to develop next-generation memory technology, aiming for prototype production by the end of FY2027 and commercialization in FY2029 [2] - Tesla's stock increased by 1.16% after SpaceX announced the acquisition of xAI, with a total valuation of $1.25 trillion for the new entity [3] Group 2 - Apple's stock fell by 0.93% as it plans to use TSMC's 2nm N2 process for its M6 chip, focusing on architecture upgrades rather than adopting the newer N2P process [4] - Waymo completed a $16 billion funding round, raising its valuation to $126 billion, with plans to expand its autonomous taxi fleet to several international cities [5] Group 3 - AES's stock rose by 6.99% as BlackRock's GIP and EQT are reportedly collaborating to bid for the company, which provides renewable energy services to major tech firms [6] - Uber's stock increased by 0.89% as it announced the restart of its ride-hailing service in Macau, offering various language options and luxury car services [7] Group 4 - Palantir's stock surged by 10.92% after reporting Q4 earnings of $0.25 per share, exceeding expectations, with revenue of $1.41 billion, a 70% year-over-year increase [8] - Tesla launched a new all-wheel-drive version of the Model Y in the U.S. at a price of $41,990, approximately $5,000 lower than the previous base model [9] - Spot gold prices rose nearly 6% to over $4,900 per ounce, while silver prices increased by over 10% [10]

证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 02 月 03 日 行业及产业 AI 算力需求爆发，带动半导体设备、存储赛道景 气度上行 电子 强于大市 投资要点： 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 相关研究 《电子行业周报：Intel 25Q4 服务器与人工智 能业务增长亮眼》2026-01-26 《电子行业跟踪报告：存储封测或将迎来戴维 斯双击》2026-01-26 谱 IPO 成功》2026-01-20 《电子行业周报：台积电 25Q4 单季度业绩创 历史新高》2026-01-19 《电子行业周报：NVIDIA 宣布 Rubin 平台全 面量产》2026-01-12 许亮 S0820525010002 0755-83562506 xuliang@ajzq.com 朱俊宇 S0820125040021 021-32229888-25520 zhujunyu@ajzq.com ——电子行业周报（2026/1/26-2/1） 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 本周（2026/1/26-2/1）SW 电子行业指数（-2.51%），涨跌幅排名 19/31 位，沪深 300 指数（+0.08%）。 ...

Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a surge in demand for AI chips, leading to price increases of 5-20% by companies like ASE, while Taiwanese firms such as Powertech and Nan Ya are also raising prices by up to 30% due to full order books and near-capacity production [1][3] - TSMC has significantly raised its capital expenditure guidance for 2026 to between $52 billion and $56 billion, a 36.9% increase from 2025, with 10-20% allocated to advanced packaging and testing [2] - The demand for advanced packaging is expected to grow, with major companies like Changdian Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics actively expanding their production capacities to meet this demand [2][3] Industry Developments - The semiconductor packaging industry is seeing structural demand growth, particularly for AI and storage chips, which is tightening the capacity for standard storage chip packaging [3] - Rising prices of raw materials such as gold, silver, and copper are contributing to increased packaging costs, prompting packaging companies to raise prices to maintain profitability [3] - Companies are focusing on high-margin businesses and optimizing product structures in response to the favorable market conditions [3] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on domestic companies actively investing in high-end advanced packaging, such as Changdian Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics, as well as the IPO progress of Shenghe Microelectronics [4] - Beneficiary stocks include Yongxi Electronics, Huatian Technology, Shenzhen Technology, and Huicheng Co., among others [4] - Equipment and materials beneficiaries include companies like Changchuan Technology, Jingzhida, and ASMPT, which are positioned to gain from the industry's growth [4]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC expresses strong confidence in the long-term demand for AI, emphasizing that current capacity constraints are internal rather than external, and is determined to face competition head-on [2][3]. Group 1: Investment and Growth Plans - TSMC plans a capital expenditure of $56 billion for 2026, with 70%-80% allocated to advanced processes and 10%-20% to advanced packaging, significantly exceeding the $100 billion spent over the past three years [4]. - The company expects its revenue to reach $122 billion in 2025, a 36% year-on-year increase, driven by high demand for advanced process technologies [4]. - Advanced process technologies contributed 77% of total wafer revenue, with 3nm, 5nm, and 7nm processes accounting for 28%, 35%, and 14% respectively in Q4 [5]. Group 2: Profitability and Cost Pressures - TSMC's gross margin for 2026 is projected to be influenced by high capacity utilization and improved manufacturing efficiency, but may face a 2%-3% dilution from overseas expansions [7][10]. - The introduction of 2nm technology is expected to begin mass production in late 2026, which may dilute gross margins by approximately 1% [8]. - TSMC's advanced process roadmap includes the rollout of 2nm and enhanced N2P technologies, which are crucial for maintaining its market position [8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - TSMC remains confident in its ability to maintain its market position despite competition from Intel, which is also advancing its 2nm technology [14][15]. - The upcoming three years (2026-2028) will be critical for both TSMC and Intel as they compete in the advanced process technology space [17]. - TSMC's long-standing focus on foundry services and deep customer relationships provide a significant competitive advantage over Intel, which is still establishing its external foundry capabilities [16][23]. Group 4: Geopolitical and Market Dynamics - TSMC's global expansion strategy, including facilities in the US, Japan, and Germany, aims to mitigate geopolitical risks while addressing local production demands [10][26]. - The semiconductor industry is becoming a focal point of national strategy, with both TSMC and Intel navigating the complexities of local production and supply chain security [26][27]. - The global wafer market is expected to grow significantly from 2023 to 2026, driven by structural demand, marking a super cycle rather than a typical recovery [27].

规模方面，科创半导体ETF近2周规模增长10.89亿元，实现显著增长，新增规模位居可比基金1/3； 半导体设备ETF华夏最新规模达27.75亿元。 流动性方面，科创半导体ETF盘中换手5.25%，成交4.31亿元；半导体设备ETF华夏盘中换手 3.68%，成交1.04亿元。 资金净流入方面，科创半导体ETF近4天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得3.43亿元净流入，合 计"吸金"6.16亿元，日均净流入达1.54亿元；半导体设备ETF华夏最新资金净流出5419.15万元。拉长时 间看，近10个交易日内有8日资金净流入，合计"吸金"2.08亿元，日均净流入达2081.40万元。 消息面上，台积电的2nm产能已被全球科技巨头的订单全部预订完毕。其中，AMD计划于2026年 开始生产基于2nm工艺的CPU，而谷歌和AWS据称分别计划于2027年第三季度和第四季度采用该工艺。 此外，英伟达计划于2028年推出其"Feynman AI"GPU，预计将采用台积电的A16工艺，该工艺采用背面 供电设计。 截至2026年2月3日 10:20，上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数强势上涨1.96%，成分股欧莱新材 上涨7.67%，兴 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of the AI sector, with the Zhongzheng AI Theme Index showing a slight increase of 0.04% and specific stocks like Chipone and Huaguan rising significantly [1] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF experienced a minor decline of 0.35%, with a latest price of 2.31 yuan and a trading volume of 1.82 billion yuan during the session [1] - TSMC's 2nm production capacity has been fully booked by global tech giants, with AMD planning to start production in 2026, while Google and AWS are expected to adopt this technology in 2027 [1] Group 2 - According to Dongfang Securities, the demand for high-performance storage devices is surging due to the rapid expansion of AI inference application scenarios, with Enterprise SSD prices expected to increase by 53-58% in Q1 2026, marking a historical high for quarterly growth [2] - Server DRAM contract prices are projected to rise by 90-95%, the highest increase on record, indicating a shift from structural to global storage shortages driven by AI [2] - The Zhongzheng AI Theme Index includes 50 listed companies involved in providing resources, technology, and application support for AI, reflecting the overall performance of AI-related securities [2] Group 3 - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF closely tracks the Zhongzheng AI Theme Index, which is composed of companies that support AI development [3]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.48% to close at 4015.75 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 2.69% to 14128.87 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.46% to 3264.11 points [1] - The Kweichow Moutai Semiconductor ETF (588170) declined by 5.49%, and the Huaxia Semiconductor Equipment ETF (562590) fell by 5.02% [1] - In contrast, the overnight U.S. market saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 1.05%, the Nasdaq Composite increase by 0.56%, and the S&P 500 gain 0.54% [1] Industry Insights - Goldman Sachs indicated that despite fluctuations in the spot market, DRAM contract prices are expected to rise significantly, with global storage supply-demand imbalance worsening in Q1, leading to increased forecasts for DRAM and NAND products [2] - TSMC's 2nm capacity has been fully booked by global tech giants, with AMD planning to produce 2nm CPUs starting in 2026, and Google and AWS expected to adopt this technology in Q3 and Q4 of 2027, respectively [2] - PRAM's recent institutional research highlighted that the overall capacity of NOR Flash is linked, with high-value large-capacity products experiencing early price increases due to supply shortages and demand stimulation, leading to a gradual price increase for medium and small-capacity products [2] Company Performance - According to Citic Securities, the global wafer foundry industry remains robust due to the rapid growth in AI computing demand, with TSMC's revenue expected to reach NT$1.05 trillion in Q4 2025, marking a 20.45% year-on-year increase and setting a quarterly record [3] - TSMC's annual revenue is projected to grow by 31.60% to NT$3.81 trillion, indicating significant growth potential compared to mainland China's wafer foundry companies [3] - The Kweichow Moutai Semiconductor ETF (588170) and its linked funds focus on semiconductor equipment and materials, benefiting from the AI revolution and domestic substitution trends in the semiconductor industry [3]

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