Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in 2025, with net profit projected to be between 280 million and 420 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 428.38% to 692.57% [9] - The core driver of this growth is the non-degree training business, which benefits from strong demand for examination training, regional operational reforms, and technological upgrades that enhance profitability [9] - The company is strategically transforming into a leader in vocational education, focusing on civil service and healthcare examination training, which is expected to lead to geometric growth in its non-degree examination training business [9] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.83 billion yuan in 2024 to 4.78 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 1046.3%, 17.5%, 25.0%, and 15.0% respectively [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 53 million yuan in 2024 to 520 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 157.6%, 483.8%, 22.7%, and 37.0% respectively [2] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 2.64 yuan in 2027 [2] Business Strategy - The company is implementing a "Three Good" strategy focusing on quality teachers, courses, and services, which is supported by the controlling shareholder [9] - The company has established strategic partnerships, including one with an online leader in education technology, to enhance its offerings and profitability [9] - The company is well-positioned in the civil service examination market, which is experiencing increased demand as the number of applicants surpasses that for graduate school entrance exams [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tongguan Gold (0340.HK) with a current price of HKD 3.49 [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience significant growth in revenue and profit driven by rising gold prices and strategic acquisitions [10][42]. - The company has successfully expanded its resource base and operational efficiency through multiple acquisitions, including the purchase of mining companies in the Tongguan and Gansu regions [10][15]. - The company’s gold production is projected to increase significantly, with expectations of reaching 3.8 to 4.4 tons by 2027 [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Expansion - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 938 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 21%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 312 million, a remarkable increase of 272.6% compared to the previous year [13][14]. - The company has undertaken several initiatives to drive business expansion, including acquiring mining companies and forming strategic partnerships to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [15][10]. 2. Resource Growth Potential - The company's total gold resource has increased to 81 tons, with an average grade of 6.5 g/t. The acquisition of Yixin Mining added 26 tons to the resource base [20][22]. - The company operates two mining sites in Su Bei and Tongguan, with significant potential for further resource expansion through ongoing exploration and development efforts [20][30]. 3. Internal Growth and Production Increase - Gold production is expected to reach 2.52 tons in 2024, representing an 85.27% increase year-on-year. The company anticipates continued growth in production, with estimates of 2.6 to 2.9 tons in 2025 and 3.8 to 4.4 tons by 2027 [38][39]. - The company has a strong internal growth potential, particularly in the Tongguan and Su Bei mining areas, as exploration and production transition efforts progress [38]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of HKD 1.017 billion, HKD 1.264 billion, and HKD 1.569 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The expected EPS for the same years is HKD 0.19, HKD 0.24, and HKD 0.30 [3][42]. - The report emphasizes that the company's gold mining business is entering a new development phase, with strong internal dynamics and favorable market conditions expected to drive growth [42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion to 1.1 billion yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in previous years [8] - The fourth quarter of 2025 showed better-than-expected performance, with a net profit of 1.50 to 1.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.90 to 3.25 billion yuan [8] - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 7.32 billion yuan in 2025, 9.04 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.75 billion yuan in 2027, representing growth rates of 32.2%, 23.5%, and 18.9% respectively [2][9] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024 is estimated at 5.54 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.5% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 94 million yuan in 2025, 416 million yuan in 2026, and 651 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 117.1%, 341.7%, and 56.6% respectively [2][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.78 yuan in 2025, 3.47 yuan in 2026, and 5.43 yuan in 2027 [2][9] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is actively involved in the commercial aerospace sector, providing comprehensive technical systems and solutions throughout the lifecycle of commercial aerospace projects [8] - The company has established partnerships in satellite payload development and is contributing to the domestic C919 aircraft's avionics system integration, breaking foreign monopolies in this field [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from advancements in high-level intelligent driving technologies, with a focus on domain controllers, perception, and safety compliance [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tongguan Gold (0340.HK) with a current price of HKD 3.49 [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience significant growth in revenue and profit driven by rising gold prices and strategic acquisitions [10][42]. - The company has successfully expanded its resource base and operational efficiency through multiple acquisitions, including the purchase of mining companies in the Tongguan and Gansu regions [10][15]. - The company’s gold production is projected to increase significantly, with a forecasted production of 2.52 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.27% [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Expansion - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 938 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 21% [13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 312 million, a remarkable increase of 272.6% compared to the previous year [13]. - The company has undertaken several initiatives to expand its business, including acquiring mining companies and forming strategic partnerships to enhance operational efficiency [15][18]. 2. Resource Growth and Potential - The company's total gold resource has increased to 81 tons, with an average grade of 6.5 g/t following the acquisition of Yixin Mining [20]. - The company operates two mining sites in Su Bei and Tongguan, with significant potential for further resource expansion due to ongoing exploration activities [20][30]. - The average grade of gold resources in Tongguan County is 7.46 g/t, while in Su Bei County, it is 10.21 g/t, indicating high-quality deposits [20]. 3. Internal Growth and Production Increase - Gold production is expected to rise, with projections of 2.6 to 2.9 tons in 2025 and 3.8 to 4.4 tons by 2027 [38]. - The company has shown a consistent increase in gold production since its transition to gold mining in 2017, with a notable increase in production capacity following the acquisition of North East Mining [38][39]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of HKD 1.017 billion, HKD 1.264 billion, and HKD 1.569 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.19, HKD 0.24, and HKD 0.30 [3][42]. - The report emphasizes the strong internal growth dynamics and favorable market conditions for gold prices, supporting the recommendation to buy the stock [10][42].

Group 1: Dollar Devaluation Insights - The US dollar has fallen below 96, marking a new low since February 2022, which is significant for macro narratives and asset prices[5] - The recent dollar depreciation is attributed to expectations of currency intervention and a decline in dollar credit, accelerated by geopolitical tensions and domestic issues[5] - The strong dollar narrative has been fundamentally challenged since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has impacted Europe and shifted economic dynamics[5] Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - A weak dollar is expected to benefit non-US equities and commodities, particularly precious metals and industrial metals[5] - Oil prices may see upward movement due to historical performance during weak dollar periods and current supply-demand expectations[5] - The potential for a "Plaza Accord 2.0" is viewed skeptically, as both the US and Japan are unlikely to engage in significant currency intervention without broader cooperation[7] Group 3: Historical Context and Asset Performance - Historical data shows that after significant dollar peaks, various asset classes tend to perform positively, with an average return of 39.5% for oil and 12.0% for gold in the year following a peak[8] - The report indicates that 80% of the time, assets have shown positive returns following dollar peaks, highlighting the potential for favorable market conditions in the wake of dollar weakness[8]

经纬恒润（688326.SH）系列点评七 2025Q4 业绩超预期 商业航天全面布局 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5,541 | 7,324 | 9,043 | 10,748 | | 增长率（%） | 18.5 | 32.2 | 23.5 | 18.9 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | -550 | 94 | 416 | 651 | | 增长率（%） | -153.3 | 117.1 | 341.7 | 56.6 | | 每股收益（元） | -4.59 | 0.78 | 3.47 | 5.43 | | PE | / | 188 | 43 | 27 | | PB | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测；（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 27 日收盘价） 2026 年 01 月 28 日 | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric new energy sector, including CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, and others [2][3]. Core Insights - The electric new energy sector's overall fund holding ratio has decreased, with a notable decline in the holdings of new energy vehicle and power equipment sectors, while the industrial control sector saw a slight increase [6][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy, technology, and demand factors influencing the various sub-sectors within the electric new energy industry, leading to different performance expectations [6][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Overall Fund Holdings in Electric New Energy Sector - As of Q4 2025, the fund holding ratio for the electric new energy sector is 8.73%, down by 0.93 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 1.83 percentage points year-on-year [9][14]. - The market capitalization of the electric new energy sector accounts for 5.92% of the total market capitalization, with a slight decrease of 0.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 0.81 percentage points year-on-year [9][14]. 2. Sub-sector Fund Holdings Analysis - The fund holding ratio for the new energy vehicle sector is 7.24%, down by 1.06 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 1.30 percentage points year-on-year [18][21]. - The new energy power generation sector has a fund holding ratio of 2.19%, with a minor decrease of 0.05 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and a decrease of 0.30 percentage points year-on-year [18][24]. - The power equipment and industrial control sector's fund holding ratio is 1.28%, showing a slight increase of 0.14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [18][26]. 3. Investment Recommendations 3.1 New Energy Vehicles - The report suggests focusing on companies with clear competitive advantages and improving profitability in the battery segment, such as CATL and A123 Systems [28]. - It also highlights the importance of materials and components in the supply chain, recommending companies like Keda and others [28]. 3.2 New Energy Power Generation - The report indicates a shift from policy-driven to market-driven demand for energy storage, recommending companies involved in energy storage integration and battery production [29]. - It emphasizes the growth potential in wind energy, particularly offshore wind, and suggests monitoring companies like Mingyang Smart Energy and Goldwind [30][32]. 3.3 Power Equipment and Industrial Control - The report identifies AIDC as a growth driver for power equipment demand, recommending companies with strong fundamentals and competitive pricing [34]. - It also notes the increasing importance of high-voltage construction in domestic demand, suggesting companies like XJ Electric and others [34][35].

计算机行业动态报告 全球视角看云计算景气拐点 glmszqdatemark 北美云计算龙头开启涨价，产业迎来重要拐点。1）2025Q4，AI 产业链开启通胀 传导，从存储到 CPU 后，云计算或为下一通胀方向。AI 需求持续提升导致 AI 产 业链自上而下出现不同环节依次涨价趋势，云计算厂商涨价或带来价值重估机遇， 据维科网云计算观察微信公众号，AWS 本次涨价标志着二十年来云服务价格只降 不升的行业惯例被彻底打破。 从北美几大云厂商看，其云业务相关收入整体呈现积极增长态势。伴随 AI 需求的 增长，AI 推理等需求整体提升，进而推动云厂商云业务收入持续提升。以亚马逊 云为例，2025 财年第三季度财报显示，得益于 AI 基础设施的强劲需求以及客户 持续加速上云进程，亚马逊云科技第三季度净销售额达到 330 亿美元，同比增长 20%，创下自 2022 年以来最高增速。同时，其季度营业利润由 2024 财年第三 季度的 104.47 亿美元增长至 114.34 亿美元。 英伟达投资 20 亿美元云服务商 CoreWeave，云计算重要性有望进一步提升。 2026 年 1 月，英伟达与 CoreWeave 公司宣 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) [2][8] Core Views - Anta Sports plans to acquire a 29.06% stake in PUMA for approximately €1.51 billion (about 12.28 billion RMB), representing a 62% premium over PUMA's previous closing price [8] - The acquisition aligns with Anta's strategy of "single focus, multi-brand, globalization," enhancing its brand matrix and global competitiveness [8] - PUMA's established brand presence and market positioning in various sports categories complement Anta's existing brands, potentially accelerating growth and resource synergy [8] - The acquisition is expected to be completed by the end of 2026, pending regulatory approvals, and will not affect Anta's annual dividend policy due to its strong cash position [8] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - 2024: 70.826 billion RMB - 2025: 78.479 billion RMB (growth rate of 10.8%) - 2026: 86.250 billion RMB (growth rate of 9.9%) - 2027: 94.396 billion RMB (growth rate of 9.4%) [2][9] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: 15.596 billion RMB - 2025: 13.139 billion RMB (decline of 15.8%) - 2026: 14.140 billion RMB (growth of 7.6%) - 2027: 15.846 billion RMB (growth of 12.1%) [2][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2024: 5.58 RMB - 2025: 4.70 RMB - 2026: 5.06 RMB - 2027: 5.67 RMB [2][9] - Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at: - 2024: 13x - 2025: 15x - 2026: 14x - 2027: 12x [2][9] Market Positioning - PUMA is expected to rank third globally in sports brands with a 2.5% market share by 2024, following Nike and Adidas [8] - The acquisition is anticipated to enhance Anta's global strategy, leveraging PUMA's strengths in Europe, Latin America, and emerging markets [8]

海外市场点评 美国政府还会再度停摆吗？ glmszqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：陶川 分析师：林彦 研究助理：武朔 执业证书：S0590525110006 执业证书：S0590525110007 执业证书：S0590125110064 邮箱：taochuan@glms.com.cn 邮箱：linyan@glms.com.cn 邮箱：wushuo@glms.com.cn 尽管短期内仍存在规避全面停摆的可能性，但随着时间窗口持续收窄，美国政府 再度陷入停摆的概率或较高： 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 继 2025 年 10 月美国政府经历 43 天停摆对社会运行与金融市场造成波动后，时 隔两个多月，市场再次关注政府运转的潜在压力。随着 2026 年 1 月底联邦政府 临时拨款法案的到期日临近，叠加明尼苏达州接连发生的两起执法枪击事件成为 新的导火索，两党围绕国土安全部拨款及移民与海关执法局（ICE）执法改革的分 歧进一步激化升级。当前市场押注停摆概率已上升至近 80%，美国联邦政府再度 直面关门 ...