Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a current price of 30.04 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting approximately 1.35 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 40.56%. The non-recurring net profit is expected to be around 1.5 billion CNY, reflecting a 17.02% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company is focusing on a dual-driven strategy of "Automotive + Robotics Tier 1," emphasizing core components and related assembly solutions for both automotive and robotics sectors [11]. - The company has entered into a strategic partnership with a leading autonomous driving firm to jointly explore L4 commercial applications and embodied intelligence technology [11]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 55.86 billion CNY in 2024 to 68.57 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.5% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 960 million CNY in 2024 to 2.15 billion CNY in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.62 CNY in 2024 to 1.39 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 49 to 22 over the same period [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the accelerating demand in the AI sector, with projected net profits for 2025 ranging from 1.88 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 60% [1]. - The growth in net profit is attributed to the rapid development of the AI industry and the ongoing construction of global data centers, which is driving stable demand for high-speed optical device products [8]. - The company is investing heavily in R&D, with a focus on multiple products in the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) space, which is anticipated to become a new growth driver as CPO penetration increases [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 5.14 billion yuan in 2025, 8.31 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.34 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 58.2%, 61.5%, and 24.5% respectively [3][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.997 billion yuan in 2025, 3.239 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.088 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 48.6%, 62.2%, and 26.2% respectively [3][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.57 yuan in 2025, 4.17 yuan in 2026, and 5.26 yuan in 2027 [3][9]. Market Context - The demand for AI-related optical communication is expected to remain robust, with major tech companies projected to significantly increase their capital expenditures, indicating strong demand for computing power [8]. - The company’s second-phase factory in Thailand is expected to enter large-scale production in 2026, further supporting revenue growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ) [3]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the accelerating demand in the AI sector, projecting a net profit for 2025 between 1.88 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 60% [1]. - The growth in net profit is attributed to the rapid development of the AI industry and the ongoing construction of global data centers, which is driving stable demand for high-speed optical device products [8]. - The company is investing heavily in R&D, with a focus on multiple products related to CPO (Co-Packaged Optics), which is anticipated to become a new growth driver as CPO penetration increases [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 5.14 billion yuan in 2025, 8.31 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.34 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 58.2%, 61.5%, and 24.5% respectively [3][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.997 billion yuan in 2025, 3.239 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.088 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 48.6%, 62.2%, and 26.2% respectively [3][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.57 yuan in 2025, 4.17 yuan in 2026, and 5.26 yuan in 2027 [3][9]. Market Context - The demand for AI-related optical communication is expected to remain robust, with major tech companies projected to significantly increase their capital expenditures, indicating strong demand for computing power [8]. - The company’s second-phase factory in Thailand is expected to enter large-scale production in 2026, further supporting revenue growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.56%. The non-recurring net profit is projected to be around 1.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.02% [2] - The company has initiated a dual-driven strategy focusing on "Automotive + Robotics Tier 1," emphasizing core components and related assembly solutions for both automotive and robotics sectors [11] - The company has entered into a strategic partnership with a leading autonomous driving firm to jointly explore L4 commercial applications and embodied intelligence technology [11] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 62.25 billion yuan, 64.99 billion yuan, and 68.57 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 11.4%, 4.4%, and 5.5% [4] - The expected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.35 billion yuan, 1.83 billion yuan, and 2.15 billion yuan, corresponding to earnings per share (EPS) of 0.87 yuan, 1.18 yuan, and 1.39 yuan [4][12] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 34, 26, and 22 respectively, based on the closing price of 30.04 yuan on January 27, 2026 [4][12]

指数增强策略系列： 基于科创债 ETF 的增强策略 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 27 日 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 [Table_Author] 分析师 徐亮 执业证书： S0590525110037 邮箱： xliang@glms.com.cn 科创债背景：2025 年 3 月全国两会期间，中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布推出债 券市场"科技板"，5 月 7 日《关于支持发行科技创新债券有关事宜的公告》正式 发布，在政策推动下，25 年科创债的发行规模与投资热情有明显增长。一级市场 上，各评级的科创债在 3 至 7 月份的发行量有显著增加，其中 AAA-及以上的高 评级科创债发行量相对最大，其发行量从 3 月的 203 亿元上行至 7 月的 988 亿 元，而后随着债市利率处于高位，各品种的发行量有一定的回落，11 月在利率处 于相对低位时科创债又迎来一波发行高峰，其中 AAA-及以上的高评级科创债发 行量达到了 1190 亿元。 总体活跃度表现：我们基于 25 年成交量前 20%的科创债刻画整体科创债收益率 曲线变化特征，来 ...

紫金黄金国际（2259.HK）动态报告 金龙腾跃，势启新章 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位/百万美元 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 2,990 | 5,285 | 8,255 | 9,359 | | 增长率（%） | 32.2 | 76.8 | 56.2 | 13.4 | | 归母净利润 | 481 | 1,561 | 3,382 | 3,928 | | 增长率（%） | 108.9 | 224.3 | 116.6 | 16.2 | | EPS | 0.18 | 0.58 | 1.26 | 1.47 | | P/E | 149 | 46 | 21 | 18 | | P/B | 30.8 | 10.1 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 资料来源：ifind，国联民生证券研究所预测（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 26 日收盘价,汇率 1HKD=0.1283USD） | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | --- ...

紫金黄金国际（2259.HK）动态报告 金龙腾跃，势启新章 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位/百万美元 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 2,990 | 5,285 | 8,255 | 9,359 | | 增长率（%） | 32.2 | 76.8 | 56.2 | 13.4 | | 归母净利润 | 481 | 1,561 | 3,382 | 3,928 | | 增长率（%） | 108.9 | 224.3 | 116.6 | 16.2 | | EPS | 0.18 | 0.58 | 1.26 | 1.47 | | P/E | 149 | 46 | 21 | 18 | | P/B | 30.8 | 10.1 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 资料来源：ifind，国联民生证券研究所预测（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 26 日收盘价,汇率 1HKD=0.1283USD） | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | --- ...

越秀地产（0123.HK）2025 年业绩预告点评 调整阶段业绩下滑，聚焦核心财务稳健 glmszqdatemark 事件 2026 年 1 月 23 日公司发布 2025 年业绩盈利警告，全年预计实现归母净利润 0.5 亿元至 1 亿元，同比降幅约 90%至 95%；预计实现核心净利润 2.5 亿元至 3.5 亿元，同比降幅约 80%至 85%。 行业调整阶段毛利率下降，当期业绩同比下滑。 公司 2025 年归母净利润同比下降主要原因：①2025 年行业仍处于调整阶段，公 司售楼业务的结转毛利率同比有所下降；②2025 年公司结转项目结构出现阶段 性变动，导致 2025 年结转项目的平均权益占比较 2024 年有所下降。 销售规模维持行业前十，投资聚焦核心城市。 公司 2025 年实现销售金额 1062 亿元，同比-7.3%，排名行业第 9；销售面积 295 万方，同比-24.7%。据中指数据，公司 2025 年在大湾区销售金额 332 亿元，居 区域榜单第二。公司拿地聚焦核心城市，2025 年获取优质土地 23 宗，超过 90% 的拿地金额集中在北上广深、杭州及成都 6 个核心城市。 财务状况安全稳健，" ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slight increase in fund holdings in the coal sector, with total market value rising to 6.874 billion yuan in Q4 2025, up 12.13% from Q3 2025, but still at a low level compared to historical data [9]. - The report notes that the coal sector's fund holding ratio is at its lowest in three years, suggesting low investment crowding in the sector [9]. - Key companies such as China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy are favored by funds, with significant increases in holdings for Yancoal Energy and Shanxi Coal International [9]. - Short-term supply tightening and ongoing replenishment demand are expected to stabilize and potentially rebound coal prices, projected to fluctuate between 750-1000 yuan per ton [9]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with high spot market elasticity, such as Jinko Coal Industry and Shanxi Coal International, as well as industry leaders like China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal Industry [9]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - Fund holdings in coal stocks increased to 6.874 billion yuan in Q4 2025, a 12.13% rise from Q3 2025, with a holding ratio of approximately 0.36% of total fund holdings [9]. - The report identifies the top five companies by fund holdings, including China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal Industry, with notable increases in holdings for Yancoal Energy and Shanxi Coal International [9]. Price Outlook - The report anticipates that coal prices will stabilize and rebound due to supply constraints and replenishment needs, with a seasonal fluctuation expected between 750-1000 yuan per ton [9]. - The analysis indicates that the coal industry is likely to return to a state of basic supply-demand balance in 2023-2024, driven by production cuts and regulatory normalization [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the transportation sector, including SF Holding, YTO Express, and Spring Airlines, among others [2][3]. Core Insights - The instant retail industry is experiencing rapid expansion, with China's market expected to reach CNY 1.2 trillion by 2026 and over CNY 2 trillion by 2030, driven by a CAGR of 43.6% from 2018 to 2026 [8][10]. - Alibaba's commitment to the instant retail sector is strong, with significant investments leading to a peak order volume of 120 million for Taobao Flash Sales in December 2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory [12][15]. - SF Express is positioned as a leading independent third-party instant delivery service, benefiting from the industry's rapid growth and increasing demand for delivery services [30][18]. Summary by Sections Instant Delivery Industry - The instant retail market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 43.6% from 2018 to 2026, reaching CNY 1.2 trillion by 2026 and over CNY 2 trillion by 2030 [10][12]. - Alibaba's strategic investments in instant retail are evident, with a focus on expanding beyond food delivery to a broader range of products, resulting in substantial order growth [13][15]. - SF Express is highlighted as a key player in the instant delivery market, with a 49% revenue growth in H1 2025 and a significant increase in order volume [18][21]. Aviation Sector - The aviation industry is recovering from a seasonal downturn, with domestic flight volumes increasing by 1.4% week-on-week, and ticket prices showing a year-on-year increase of 8.4% [32][43]. - The cargo segment is also seeing a recovery, with stable freight rates and increased demand expected as the Chinese New Year approaches [50][57]. - Recommendations include focusing on major airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines, which are expected to benefit from improved demand and pricing [57][61]. Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery industry has shown resilience, with a 6.5% year-on-year increase in total revenue for 2025, despite challenges in pricing [61][75]. - The report notes a stabilization in single-package pricing, with significant growth in market share for companies like SF Express and YTO Express [75][81]. - The ongoing "anti-involution" trend is expected to lead to improved profitability for express delivery companies as competition becomes more structured [81][82].