
Search documents
盐津铺子(002847):公司点评报告:继越南子公司后设立泰国全资子公司并建设生产基地,出海布局加速
方正证券· 2025-02-26 10:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, predicting a relative increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index in the next 12 months [9]. Core Insights - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion by establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary in Thailand and investing approximately 220 million RMB (or 30 million USD) to build a production base focused on konjac and potato chips [3][4]. - The Southeast Asian market is seen as a significant growth opportunity due to its population of nearly 700 million and increasing consumer demand, which aligns with the company's strategy to leverage its supply chain advantages [4]. - The company has established seven food production and processing factories in Southeast Asia, including the largest mango dry processing factory in Cambodia, indicating a strong commitment to regional supply chain development [4]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of 5.25 billion RMB, 6.66 billion RMB, and 8.23 billion RMB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27.61%, 26.77%, and 23.66% [5][6]. - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 657 million RMB, 846 million RMB, and 1.07 billion RMB, with growth rates of 29.97%, 28.67%, and 26.42% [5][6]. - The report forecasts an EPS of 2.41 RMB, 3.10 RMB, and 3.92 RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, indicating a positive trend in earnings per share [5][6].
电力设备与新能源团队团队?行业专题报告:AI电气设备?把握电源、液冷、配套电力设备机遇
方正证券· 2025-02-24 11:31
证券研究报告 | 电力设备 | 2 0 2 5年 2 月 2 2 日 摘要 资料来源:方正证券研究所 2 Ø 电源:数据中心供配电由于其用电特殊性,电源价值量及冗余配置大幅提升,价值量大+技术持续迭代+敏感度不高。 • 机柜外:1)HVDC和UPS的对比:HVDC核心在效率和可靠性上有所升级,效率方面:拓扑结构比 UPS 简单,少半个变压器,成本更低,转化效率 更高,不过 UPS 升级后效率差异有所减小。可靠性方面:蓄电池挂载位置不同,HVDC 直流电流直接挂载在直流母线上,后端出问题时仍能顶上, 宕机率比 UPS 低。2)规模测算:按照UPS电源国内价格大约在0.6元/W(不含铅酸电池);HVDC电源大多是集采所以价格更低,大约0.5元/W (整流器件和PSU的用量减少),国内27年远期规模测算在150亿左右; • 机柜内:非标+定制化需求更高,带来更多溢价。2024-2029 年 AI 服务器平均机架密度将从 40-100kW 增加至 350-500kW。以英伟达最新的主 流机架 GB200 NVL72为例,单机架120kW对应约198kW 服务器电源(单个模块功率为5.5kW,总共36 个模块),容量配 ...
方正科技20250111
方正证券· 2025-01-15 07:05
未经长江证券事先书面许可任何机构或个人不得以任何形式对外公布复制刊载转载转发引用本次会议相关内容否则由此造成的一切后果及法律责任由该机构或个人承担长江证券保留追踪器法律责任的权利 好的那个尊敬的各位投资人大家下午好我是长江证券的电子行业分析师杨洋今天跟各位这个投资人汇报的那个标的呢是防尘科技因为确实我们最近一段时间在跟踪产业变化的时候呢发现确实PCB这个环节的话 在后续服务器包括可能手机里面的下一个变化其实仍然是有一些所以说我们是不断的在挖掘一些PCMB里面的新的标的前期的话我们最新的标的包括像升空科技物件股份然后生意链子等等一系列的标的其实都是比较大的一个展出今期的话我们在今天是下午茶的时间跟各位领导汇报一下这个方程科技这个标的 呃首先呢就是说嗯这个呃公司呃我们这次汇报呢其实分成四个部分啊首先先讲一下方正科技的一个基本情况然后呢第二和第三部分我会讲一下PCB和HDI的这个呃板子这个行业的情况啊简单过一下然后最后一部分呢再讲一下PCB呃这个这个方正科技啊这个公司的一个呃这个详细的一个情况吧啊分成四个环节呃首先先看一下方正科技的一个股东的情况啊呃其实嗯 方正科技呢它其实目前算是全球来看都比较领先的一个PCB的厂 ...
方正总量周周谈
方正证券· 2024-12-02 06:50
各位领导晚上好我是方证证券金融首席徐玉珊今天主要跟各位领导汇报一下受险行业明年一季度的产品策略我们现在其实可以看到在今年8月和9月末的时候整个受险行业是在持续下调产品的预定利率然后从10月份的数据来看各家在去年同期三季度基数比较高的背景下依旧实现了一个正增长 那当前的话各家的这个业务目标达成的都比较好预计已经转向了这个产品的销售培训以及明年的续课那我们可以看到其实一季度的保费占全年保费的比重虽然在近期有略微的下滑但是呢上市公司在这个一季度的保费占比相对来说还是比较高的 我们可以看到20年到23年整个行业一季度的受险保费占比其实大概都在40%到45%左右从最近最完整的年度来看的话就是23年虽然也有预定利率下调然后三季度的基数提升的背景但是23年我们去看整个上市的公司大概它的一季度保费占全年比重都在35%到60%之间 虽然行业最近也是在淡化开门红的概念然后客户的储蓄需求在三季度也有一个提前的消耗但是因为年终奖发放的时间以及居民的储蓄需求比较旺盛的这些客观原因我们觉得明年一季度的开门红保费收入依旧会在全年处于一个比较占比比较高的一个水平 那我们再去看各家的这个新备案的产品以及在售的产品其实现在已经大多都切换到了浮动 ...
AI应用大航海:4种变现路径及定价对比
方正证券· 2024-10-28 02:00
Industry Investment Rating - The industry is rated as **Recommended** by the research report, indicating a positive outlook for the computer and AI sectors [1] Core Views - AI applications are transitioning from the cognitive phase to industrial penetration, with industries increasingly embracing AI technology [1] - Four main commercialization paths for AI capabilities are identified: MaaS (Model as a Service), SaaS (Software as a Service), solutions and deployment, and traffic monetization [1][8] - MaaS is expected to become the dominant business model by 2027, with its market share projected to grow from 5% in 2023 to 47% by 2027 [1] - SaaS subscription models are gaining traction, especially in B2B sectors, with 71.05% of AI SaaS applications adopting subscription-based pricing [1][8] - Traffic monetization focuses on capturing long-tail C-end users and new users, with the AIGC advertising market in China expected to grow 10x by 2030 [2] MaaS (Model as a Service) - MaaS lowers the barrier for SMEs to adopt AI, with major players like OpenAI, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent offering flexible pricing models [1][8] - The MaaS market is expected to grow significantly, with its share in the AIGC market projected to increase from 13% in 2023 to 47% by 2027 [11] - Major players are reducing prices to cultivate user habits and ecosystems, with Alibaba Cloud reducing prices by up to 85% and Baidu offering free tokens [1][18] - The cost of training large models like GPT-4 is estimated at $78 million, with scaling laws driving non-linear cost increases as model parameters grow [13][14] SaaS (Software as a Service) - SaaS subscription models are dominant, with 71.05% of AI SaaS applications adopting this model, particularly in B2B sectors [1][8] - AI-driven SaaS applications are accelerating the shift from licensing to subscription models, with companies like Foxit Software seeing subscription revenue grow from 21.2% in 2022 to 35.4% in 2023 [1][37] - B2B SaaS applications are monetizing faster than C-end applications, with 50% of B2B AI SaaS applications using subscription models [30] - C-end SaaS applications, such as Character.ai, are leveraging personalized interactions and community features to enhance user stickiness and monetization [31][32] Solutions and Deployment - Customized solutions for large B/G-end clients are driving growth, with 49% of large model procurement in 2023 coming from B-end demand [1] - Companies like Zhongkong Technology and Chinasoft International are leveraging AI to reduce costs and improve efficiency in industrial applications [1][55] - The average project budget for large model procurement increased to 6.18 million RMB in 2023, reflecting growing demand for AI solutions [1] Traffic Monetization - Traffic monetization focuses on capturing long-tail C-end users, with the AIGC advertising market in China projected to reach 150 billion RMB by 2030 [2] - Companies like ASK.AI are leveraging single-point tools to attract traffic and monetize through advertising, with more ad spending expected to shift to AI applications [2] - The AIGC advertising market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing adoption of AI tools in marketing and content generation [2] Key Companies and Their Strategies - **Baidu**: Baidu Cloud's MaaS+BaaS model has achieved a 99% core customer retention rate in 2023, with AI cloud revenue growing by 8% [25] - **Alibaba**: Alibaba Cloud reduced prices for its Qwen series models by up to 85%, aiming to accelerate industry adoption [18][20] - **Tencent**: Tencent's Hunyuan model reduced API prices by up to 87.5%, with plans to expand token limits to 256k [18] - **Foxit Software**: Foxit's subscription revenue grew by 73.3% in Q1 2024, with ARR reaching 281 million RMB [41] - **Wondershare**: Wondershare's subscription renewal rate increased by 5 percentage points in 2023, with monthly active users growing by 30% in the creative drawing segment [1][40] - **Kingsoft Office**: WPS AI has driven subscription growth, with cumulative annual paying users exceeding 1 million by 2026 [1][54]
欢乐家:公司点评报告:加大费用投放短期利润承压,24H2努力提质增效
方正证券· 2024-08-27 03:59
公司研究 2024.08.27 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------|-------------------------------------------------|-------|-------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
方正核电单次核准超预期,四代核电已出鞘,当前怎么看?
方正证券· 2024-08-21 03:57
各位尊敬的同志大家好我是研究所副所长于璐靖然后感谢大家持续对我们方正军工机械团队的支持然后今天继续由我和赵璐分析师赵璐一块给大家去汇报一下核电的情况因为我们在上周的时候刚请专家跟大家做了交流和预判大家也很多同志也都听了这次我们在上周的核电的重大的推荐这也是我们持续从去年年底一直看好 和这个板块尤其是在去年底的时候除了我们自己核准石台继续核准石台以外呢我们也看到了美国的或者是西方国家在第28次气候大会之中明确强调核电的整个未来发电占比要明显提升200%左右的这个幅度提升之后呢我们也看到了去年年底的时候中国聚变能源公司中和集团组织的聚变能源公司这个筹备那现在还是筹备状态那后续 很有可能在任意的节点出现完成出资和挂牌的这样一个情况那在今年的话其实我们在上周专家会专家也说的很明确今年整个预期确实是11台堆但是这一次像昨天晚上的话是明确的超预期因为之前的话三次核准基本在五台六台这样样子也就是在零核准之后这一次应该是创造了三次核准的记录 其实意义是非常大的之前大家可能预估是分成两次核准一次就核准完了这次主要意义就在于在最近大家看到了这个国际原子能组织对于俄罗斯的关注因为最近其实整个在核电领域的整个全社会的舆情是有一定的在 ...
361度:公司点评报告:量增驱动收入稳健增长,打造专业运动资源矩阵提升品牌势能
方正证券· 2024-08-13 07:55
公司研究 2024.08.12 361 度 ( 01361) 公司点评报告 量增驱动收入稳健增长,打造专业运动资源矩阵提升品牌势能 方 正 证 券 研 究 所 证 券 研 究 报 告 分析师 陈佳妮 登记编号:S1220520080002 联系人 廖捷 | --- | --- | |---------------------------|-----------| | | | | 强烈推荐 ( | 维 持 ) | | 公司信息 | | | 行业 | 运动服装 | | 最新收盘价 (港元) | 3.4 | | 总市值(亿 )(港元) | 70.30 | | 52 周最高/最低价(港元 ) | 4.95/3.22 | 历史表现 -34% -26% -18% -10% -2% 23/8/12 23/11/11 24/2/10 24/5/11 24/8/10 361度 恒生指数 数据来源:wind 方正证券研究所 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------- ...
行动教育:公司点评报告:合同负债增速放缓,拟中期分红回馈股东
方正证券· 2024-08-13 07:50
公司研究 2024.08.11 行动教育( 605098) 公司点评报告 合同负债增速放缓,拟中期分红回馈股东 方 正 证 券 研 究 所 证 券 研 究 报 告 分析师 李珍妮 登记编号:S1220523080002 | --- | --- | |-------------------------|-------------| | 推 荐 ( 维 持 | ) | | 公司信息 | | | 行业 | 培训教育 | | 最新收盘价(人民币/元 ) | 35.15 | | 总市值(亿)(元 ) | 41.50 | | 52 周最高/最低价(元 ) | 55.38/30.76 | 历史表现 -18% -5% 8% 21% 34% 23/8/11 23/11/10 24/2/9 24/5/10 24/8/9 行动教育 沪深300 数据来源:wind 方正证券研究所 相关研究 《行动教育(605098):业绩持续验证,看好大 客户战略下增长可持续性》2024.04.25 《行动教育(605098):高分红+业绩确定性, 看好大客户战略下增长可持续性》2024.04.19 事件:公司发布中报,24H1 实现收入 3.89 ...
方正证券:锦江酒店:公司点评报告:24Q2扣非业绩超预期,关注暑期旺季表现-20240813
方正证券· 2024-08-13 07:50
公司研究 2024.08.12 锦江酒店( 600754) 公司点评报告 24Q2 扣非业绩超预期,关注暑期旺季表现 方 正 证 券 研 究 所 证 券 研 究 报 告 分析师 李珍妮 登记编号:S1220523080002 王雪尼 登记编号:S1220524070003 推 荐 ( 维 持 ) 公司信息 行业 酒店 最新收盘价(人民币/元) 23.87 总市值(亿)(元) 255.42 52 周最高/最低价(元) 47.80/21.75 历史表现 -54% -43% -32% -21% -10% 23/8/12 23/11/11 24/2/10 24/5/11 24/8/10 锦江酒店 沪深300 《锦江酒店(600754):24Q2 扣非业绩超预期, 关注暑期旺季表现》2024.07.17 《锦江酒店(600754):24Q1 收入同增 6.8%,新 开业 222 家符合预期》2024.05.08 《锦江酒店(600754):23 年归母净利润 10 亿 元基本符合预期,分红率超 50%》2024.04.06 《锦江酒店(600754):23 年业绩基本符合预期, 关注 24 年边际改善》2024.02. ...