Summary of Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - The conference call was organized by Guojin Securities, focusing on professional investment institutions and invited clients Core Points and Arguments - The content of the meeting is intended for the exchange of research views and does not constitute investment advice for any individual or entity [1] - The opinions expressed by the experts during the call represent their personal views [1] - There is a strict prohibition on the dissemination, reproduction, or modification of the meeting content without prior written permission from Guojin Securities [1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The meeting emphasizes the confidentiality of the information shared and the importance of adhering to the guidelines set by Guojin Securities [1]

经营分析 公司业绩短期承压，看好交换芯片 25 年上量。根据公司 24 年快 报，预计公司 2024 年度实现营业收入为 10.8 亿元，同比增加 4.28%；实现归母净利润为-0.69 亿元，较上年同期亏损增加 0.49 亿元。虽然公司营收实现增长，但公司与海外头部交换芯片厂商在 产品丰富度以及产品性能上仍存在差距，公司仍处于高研发投入 的发展阶段，再叠加产品销售结构变化以及部分产品毛利率波动 的影响，导致公司仍处于亏损状态，但是亏损幅度缩窄。 持续加大研发费用投入，期待 25 年新品放量。公司为实现长期战 略发展目标，抓住当下国产化、集成电路和网络通信行业发展趋势 带来的机会，公司持续加大高端领域芯片的研发投入，积极推进中 低端产品迭代与升级，高强度的研发投入导致 2024 年度利润表现 承压，预计在产品的进一步升级和丰富完善后，能够为公司的长远 发展注入新的动能。 事件简评 4 月 14 日，公司收到股东国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公 司出具的《关于减持计划时间届满的告知函》，截至 2025 年 4 月 11 日收盘，产业基金通过集中竞价或大宗交易的方式累计减持了 公司股份 10,307,874 股 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a recovery in profitability, with revenue of 84.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14 billion yuan, up 33% year-on-year and down 5% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company expects a stable production schedule for Q2 2025, with a projected shipment growth of 25% to 30% for the year, driven by increased market share in Europe and additional contributions from commercial vehicles and data center storage batteries [2][4] Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - Q1 2025 saw a shipment of 125 GWh, a 30% increase year-on-year, although down 13% quarter-on-quarter. The increase in energy storage's share has extended the revenue recognition cycle [2] - The average unit price of batteries in Q1 was 0.6 yuan/Wh, down 17% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to lower raw material costs [2] - The company's Q1 operating and net profit per unit were 0.084 and 0.099 yuan/Wh, respectively, both showing a nearly 10% increase [2] Future Outlook - The company anticipates minimal impact from U.S. tariffs, with exposure remaining in the low single digits. The tariff policies in other countries are stable, and European shipments are expected to grow over 20% [2] - The company maintains a target return on equity (ROE) of 24% to 25% [2] Research and Development - The company is significantly investing in R&D, with innovations such as the "Shenxing" ultra-fast charging battery and "Tianxing" heavy-duty commercial vehicle battery being developed. The company is also enhancing manufacturing efficiency through automation technologies [3] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 70 billion yuan in 2025 and 83.9 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14x and 12x [4][7]

2025 年 04 月 15 日 业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 14 日，宁德发布 2025 年一季报，实现营收 847 亿 元，同/环+6%/-18%；实现归母 140 亿元，同/环+33%/-5%；实现 扣非 118 亿元，同/环+28%/-8%。毛利率 24.4%，同/环-2/+9pct； 净利率 17.6%，同/环+4%/+3pct。业绩符合预期。 经营分析 1、盈利环比回升、出货同增 30%。 1）量：1Q25 预计确收 125GWh，同/环+30%/-13%。确收慢于发货 量主要系储能交流侧占比提升，服务较设备确收周期延长。储能、 动力比例为 20%、80%，保持稳定。 2）价/成本：按照公司电池业务收入占比近 90%测算，Q1 单位电 池价格为 0.6 元/Wh，同/环-17%/-5%；主要系碳酸锂等原材料成 本中枢下移，亦影响公司收入增速慢于产品销售。 3）利：测算公司 Q1 单位经营性、归母净利为 0.084、0.099 元 /Wh，假设 90%电池利润占比、不做任何计提减值加回等，同环比 均提升近 10%，单位净利稳健为公司经营策略，目标 ROE 稳定在 24%～25%。 2、Q2、20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a premium income of 8 billion yuan in Q1, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3%, with March alone generating 2.9 billion yuan, up 15.1% year-on-year [2]. - The insurance business is expected to see continued profitability optimization, driven by rapid growth in health and auto insurance premiums, with a projected annual premium growth rate exceeding 10% [3]. - The bank segment is anticipated to break even by 2025, with significant user growth and a comprehensive service offering in the Hong Kong market [3]. - The technology segment is leveraging AI applications to enhance core business operations, with expectations of sustained profitability in 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Insurance Business - Premium income is expected to grow significantly, with health insurance and auto insurance as key drivers. The company launched a new high-end medical insurance product that generated over 140 million yuan in just ten days [3]. - The overall insurance base is improving, with a forecasted underwriting profit growth in double digits for 2025 [3]. Banking Business - The virtual bank is projected to achieve breakeven in 2025, following a substantial reduction in losses in 2024. The user base has surpassed 800,000, positioning the bank as a leader in the Asian market for retail services [3]. Technology Business - AI applications are being integrated into core business functions, with significant cost reduction and revenue enhancement potential. The demand for AI solutions is expected to grow, particularly in the context of the IFRS 17 transition [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of approximately 900 million yuan in 2025, up from 600 million yuan in 2024, indicating high growth elasticity [5]. - The projected price-to-book (PB) ratio for 2025 is 0.67, suggesting a favorable valuation opportunity [5].

事件 4 月 11 日，公司披露原保费收入情况，Q1 实现保费收入 80 亿元， 同比 12.3%；3 月当月保费收入 29 亿元，同比 15.1%。 经营分析 保险业务：盈利持续优化。预计 Q1 保费较快增长由健康险、车险 保费高增带来，其中健康险由产品创新驱动，公司 2 月上市了覆 盖非标体的中高端医疗险众民保，发售仅十天全网保费即超过 1.4 亿元。全年来看，保险基本盘持续优化，25 年承保盈利预计实现 双位数增长：1）全年保费预期增速 10%以上，其中健康险和车险 是重要发力点，退运险将压缩，保证险将审慎发展。2）COR 预期 较 2024 年略有优化，来源于退运险的压缩、健康险费用率的降低、 以及保证险赔付改善。 银行业务：预计 25 年实现盈亏平衡。众安银行香港市场领先的虚 拟银行，25 年预计将实现盈亏平衡（24 年银行净亏损 2.32 亿港 元实现大幅减亏）。用户数量超 80 万人，是当前亚洲唯一同时提 供基金、美股及虚拟资产交易零售服务的持牌银行，业务布局趋 于完善投入减少叠加规模效应显现，预计 2025 年有望实现扭亏为 盈，长期增长潜力大。 科技业务：对内 AI 应用赋能核心业务且 25 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.12 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 570 million RMB, up 31% year-on-year [2][4]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the global freight forwarding and chemical distribution businesses, with freight forwarding revenue increasing by 56% to 3.47 billion RMB and chemical distribution revenue rising by 20% to 5.18 billion RMB [3][4]. - The overall gross margin decreased to 11.4%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a decline in the gross margin of the global freight forwarding business [4]. Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.57 billion RMB, a 20.7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 75 million RMB, which is a significant increase of 164% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.34 billion RMB, reflecting a 15.4% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 170 million RMB, up 14% year-on-year [2]. Financial Forecasts - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 670 million RMB and 810 million RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 970 million RMB [4][8]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with projected revenues of 13.36 billion RMB in 2025 and 14.96 billion RMB in 2026, representing growth rates of 10.25% and 11.99% respectively [8][9]. Strategic Developments - The company is actively expanding its overseas shipping business, with plans to purchase four new bulk carriers to enhance its liquid chemical shipping capabilities [4]. - This strategic move is aimed at leveraging local partnerships and the advantageous position of Singapore as an international shipping hub to support overseas market expansion [4].

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 240415 240715 241015 250115 人民币(元) 成交金额(百万元) 成交金额 青鸟消防 沪深300 业绩简评 盈利预测、估值和评级 预计公司 25~27 年营业收入分别为 51.4/56.4/62.2 亿元，同 比+4.4%/+9.7%/+10.3%；归母净利润分别为 5.5/6.5/7.4 亿 元，同比+55.4%/+19.0%/+12.6%，对应 15X/13X/11X PE， 维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 国内民商用消防行业出清不及预期；住宅更新节奏不及预期； 工业消防大客户突破不及预期；大股东股权质押的风险。 | 公司基本情况（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2 023 | 2 024 | 2 025E | 2 026E | 2 027E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 4 ,972 | 4 ,923 | 5 ,142 | 5 ,640 | 6 ,220 | | ...

2025 年 4 月 14 日，公司披露 25 年一季报，期内实现营收 11.1 亿元，同比+3.0%；归母净利 2.3 亿元，同比+5.8%。25Q1 业绩符 合预期、相对高基数下仍实现平稳增长；公司此前年报已披露 25 年收入目标为 32.8 亿（同比+8.6%）、净利目标为 4.1 亿（+5.1%）。 业绩简评 经营分析 金徽深扎西北地区，核心优势在于有明确且笃定的战略愿景，管 理层稳定且经验丰富。长期战略看得准、短期工作做得实，民营 的体制优势赋予公司形成了比较市场化的激励体制，能在外部环 境波动时灵活地调整路径与步伐，管理层及员工利益绑定度高、 目标向心力强；当下公司正稳健地推进区域深耕、市场边界延展、 用户工程建设等营销举措，看好品牌及经营势能持续提升。 具体营收拆分：1）分产品：25Q1 100 元以下/100-300 元/300 元 以上产品分别实现营收 2.2/6.3/2.4 亿元，同比分别 -32%/+14%/+28%，产品结构提升持续兑现，带动 25Q1 毛利率 +1.4pct 至 66.8%。2）分区域：25Q1 省内/省外分别实现营收 8.6/2.4 亿元，同比分别+1%/+9%，省 ...

2025 年 4 月 14 日，公司发布 2025 年一季报。2025 年一季度公司 实现营业收入 18.75 亿元，同比-49.52%，环比+7.14%，实现归母 净利润-1.06 亿元，环比大幅减亏，业绩改善趋势符合预期。 经营分析 国内电池片盈利改善趋势显著，头部产能升级有望加速出清进程： 受分布式抢装需求拉动，一季度自 2 月中旬起光伏产业链中下游 环节价格明显修复，根据 Infolink 统计，硅片/电池/组件环节涨 幅中枢分别为 7%/13%/7%，截至 Q1 末测算光伏电池行业平均毛利 微亏，考虑到头部企业较行业具备 3 分/W 左右的非硅成本优势， 以及 TOPCon 产品各型号的出货比例，预计 3 月底公司电池片业务 国内市场盈利已修复至盈亏平衡线以上；一季度，公司实现毛利率 约 6%，环比+3PCT，实现净利率约-6%，环比+4PCT，随着头部企业 盈利率先改善，推动现有储备的电池提效和降本工艺导入，TOPCon 存量产能竞争力将进一步分化，龙头企业技术、成本优势放大，电 池环节供需关系有望持续向好。 抓紧海外本土产业链建设机遇，着力打造全球电池片供应能力： 2025 年一季度，公司不断完 ...