Report Summary 1. Core View The report focuses on the supply and trading situation of local government bonds, analyzing the issuance rhythm, pricing, and secondary - market trading characteristics of local government bonds [3][4]. 2. Summary by Directory 2.1 Primary Supply Rhythm - From January 5 - 9, 2026, local government bonds worth 117.66 billion yuan were issued, including 87.43 billion yuan of new special bonds and 29.23 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds. The main investment areas of special bond funds are "ordinary/project income" and "replacing implicit debts" [3][10]. - As of January 9, 2026, the issuance of special refinancing bonds in January totaled 132.14 billion yuan, accounting for 46.3% of the monthly local bond issuance scale [3][10]. - The average issuance interest rate of 10 - year local bonds in the latest week was 2.03%, slightly down from the previous week. The coupon average of new 20 - year and 30 - year local bonds was above 2.47%, with the 30 - year long - term bond coupon reaching a 25 - year high. The spread of ultra - long local bonds narrowed marginally, and the spread average of bonds with a term of over 10 years was mostly between 15 - 20bp [3][16]. - In the first week after the new year, local bond issuance was concentrated. Only Shandong and Zhejiang had new bond issuances in January, and the average coupon rates of local government bonds in these regions were above 2.3% [3][16]. 2.2 Secondary Trading Characteristics - The prices of ultra - long local bonds fell significantly. Last week, the weekly declines of 7 - 10 - year and over 10 - year local bond indexes were 0.07% and 0.42% respectively, between those of the same - term treasury bonds and ultra - long credit bonds [4][17]. - The trading volume of Shandong local bonds increased significantly last week, with the weekly trading volume rising from about a hundred before the new year to 201. The trading of local bonds in Sichuan and Jiangsu was also relatively active [4][17]. - In terms of trading returns, the returns of over 20 - year long - term bonds in Shandong and Henan could reach 2.3%, while the average returns of government bonds in other regions were mostly between 1.8% and 2.3% [4][17].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Among the bonds with discounted transactions, "24 Chanrong 08" had a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "24 Hongjian 01" had a relatively high deviation in valuation price. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "24 CCB Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price; among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "25 CEB Bond 02" had a relatively high deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with a transaction yield higher than 5%, transportation bonds ranked high [2]. - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) interval. The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the highest proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 0.5 years; the transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the highest proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 1 year. By industry, the bonds in the household appliances industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2]. Summaries by Related Catalogs Discounted Transaction Tracking - Bonds such as "24 Chanrong 08", "24 Chanrong 06", etc. in the non - bank financial industry had relatively large deviations in valuation price and high valuation yield deviations. "24 Zhonghua 08" in the comprehensive industry and "26 Lanhua MTN001" in the coal industry also had certain deviations in valuation price [3]. Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - "24 Hongjian 01" in the urban investment industry had a relatively high deviation in valuation price. Many bank - related Tier 2 and perpetual bonds also had positive deviations in valuation price, such as "24 CCB Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B", "24 BOC Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B", etc. [5]. Tracking of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transactions - Bonds of state - owned banks such as "24 CCB Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B", "24 BOC Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B" had relatively large deviations in valuation price. Some bonds of joint - stock banks and city commercial banks also showed certain deviations [7]. Tracking of Commercial Financial Bond Transactions - Bonds like "25 CEB Bond 02", "25 Huishang Bank 01" had small positive deviations in valuation price and relatively stable valuation yields [8]. Tracking of Bonds with Transaction Yield Higher than 5% - Bonds such as "24 Ruimao 02" in the transportation industry and "23 Chanrong 05" in the non - bank financial industry had high transaction yields [9]. Distribution of Credit Bond Transaction Valuation Deviations on the Day - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) interval [2]. Distribution of Non - financial Credit Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, and the proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 0.5 years was the highest [2]. Distribution of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, and the proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 1 year was the highest [2]. Discounted Transaction Proportion and Transaction Scale of Non - financial Credit Bonds in Each Industry - The bonds in the household appliances industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of CNY 160 million to CNY 210 million, which represents a year-on-year increase of 103.87% to 167.58% [2]. - The demand for high-end sorting machines is strong, leading to rapid growth in performance, supported by ongoing technological research and product iteration [3]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and upgrading technology, with a notable shift towards high-end products, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge [3]. - The establishment of the "Malaysia Production and Operations Center" is expected to accelerate the company's globalization strategy and support long-term growth by improving responsiveness to international customers [4]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 716 million, CNY 1.226 billion, and CNY 1.816 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 76.18%, 71.08%, and 48.16% respectively [5]. - The expected net profit for the same period is CNY 196 million, CNY 375 million, and CNY 580 million, with growth rates of 149.46%, 91.49%, and 54.61% respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be CNY 3.3, CNY 6.2, and CNY 9.7 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5].

Group 1: Economic Growth Production - Power plant daily consumption is higher than the same period last year. On January 13, the average daily consumption of 6 major power generation groups was 826,000 tons, a 2.7% decrease from January 6. On January 6, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.278 million tons, a 9.6% increase from December 30 [5][12]. - The blast furnace operating rate has generally recovered moderately. On January 9, the national blast furnace operating rate was 79.3%, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from January 2; the capacity utilization rate was 86.1%, a 0.8 - percentage - point increase from January 2. However, the blast furnace operating rate of Tangshan steel mills decreased by 3.7 percentage points [5][16]. - The tire operating rate has declined for two consecutive weeks. On January 8, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 58.0%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from January 1; the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 65.9%, a 2.4 - percentage - point decrease from January 1 [5][18]. - The operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions has continued to decline. On January 8, the operating rate of polyester filament in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions was 90.5%, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from January 1, while the operating rate of downstream looms was 57.9%, a 1.7 - percentage - point decrease from January 8 [5][18]. Demand - The sales volume of new homes in 30 cities has weakened month - on - month. From January 1 - 13, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 152,000 square meters, a 44.9% decrease from the same period in December, a 41.8% decrease from January of last year, and a 40.8% decrease from January 2024 [5][23]. - The retail growth of the auto market is weak. In January, retail sales decreased by 32% year - on - year, and wholesale sales decreased by 40% year - on - year [5][26]. - Steel prices are oscillating strongly. On January 13, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil changed by +0.6%, +1.3%, - 0.3%, and +0.1% respectively compared to January 6 [5][33]. - Cement prices have hit a new low. On January 13, the national cement price index decreased by 1.1% compared to January 6. The cement prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions decreased by 0.5% and 0.6% respectively, performing slightly better than the national average [5][34]. - The rebound strength of glass prices has increased. On January 13, the active futures contract price of glass was 1,119 yuan/ton, an 0.8% increase from January 6 [5][39]. - The container shipping freight rate index has shown a pattern of short - term decline and long - term increase. On January 9, the CCFI index increased by 4.2% compared to December 26, while the SCFI index decreased by 0.5% [5][43]. Group 2: Inflation CPI - The rebound strength of pork prices is weakening. On January 13, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.0 yuan/kg, a 0.3% increase from January 6. Since January, the average wholesale price of pork has increased by 2.0% month - on - month [5][47]. - The agricultural product price index has declined moderately. On January 13, the agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.9% compared to January 6. Since January, the index has increased by 4.0% year - on - year but decreased by 0.6% month - on - month [5][52]. PPI - Oil prices have reached the highest level since October. On January 13, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were 68.8 and 61.2 dollars/barrel respectively, an 8.4% and 7.0% increase from January 6 [5][55]. - Copper and aluminum prices have continued to rise. On January 13, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum increased by 0.1% and 2.3% respectively compared to January 6. Since January, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum have increased by 10.4% and 7.0% month - on - month respectively [5][59]. - The domestic commodity index has changed from a decline to an increase month - on - month. On January 13, the Nanhua Industrial Products Index increased by 1.2% compared to January 6, while the CRB index decreased by 1.5% [5][59].

基于动态宏观事件因子的中证港股通大消费指数择时策略 为了探索中国宏观经济对香港大消费主题上市公司整体状况和走势的影响，我们选取中证港股通大消费主题指数作为 研究对象，尝试从动态宏观事件因子的角度构建择时策略框架。我们用经济、通胀、货币和信用四维度的 20 余个宏 观数据指标，基于数据样本内时间段的收益率胜率指标和开仓波动调整收益率指标数值，筛选出这些宏观数据每期最 优的事件因子和最优的数据处理方式，并且从中挑选出了 5 个对中证港股通大消费主题指数择时效果较好的宏观因 子。 在选定了最终使用的宏观指标之后，我们使用这些宏观数据构建的宏观事件因子来搭建择时策略：当大于 2/3 的因子 发出看多信号，则当期该大类因子的信号标记为 1；当少于 1/3 的因子发出看多信号时，则当期大类因子信号标记为 0；若当因子发出看多信号的比例处于两个区间之后，则大类因子标记为对应具体的比例。将每期大类因子的得分作 为当期的择时仓位信号。 建议关注标的介绍：泰康中证港股通大消费 A（006786.OF） 目前跟踪中证港股通大消费主题指数的基金为泰康中证港股通大消费主题基金，是择时策略可投资的标的，该基金成 立于 2019 年 5 ...

Investment Rating - Buy: Expected industry growth exceeding 15% over the next 3-6 months [7] - Hold: Expected industry growth between -5% and 5% over the next 3-6 months [7] Core Insights - The centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables, including drug-coated balloons and urological intervention materials, is set to be implemented by May 2026, following the announcement of selected results [1] - A total of 12 types of medical consumables were included in the procurement, with a high selection rate among mainstream enterprises, ensuring supply stability in the industry [2] - Domestic listed companies performed well in the selection process, with several products selected at competitive prices, indicating potential for rapid market share expansion [3] - The procurement rules reflect principles aimed at stabilizing clinical use, ensuring quality, and preventing price undercutting, which is expected to mature over time [4] - The implementation of this procurement is likely to standardize purchasing behaviors and improve the industry ecosystem, although short-term price declines may impact profit margins for some companies [5]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of 155.6 RMB based on a 100x PE valuation [4]. Core Insights - The company has over 20 years of experience in the micro-drive sector, establishing a leading technology and experience platform, focusing on components with dimensions less than 1mm [2]. - The integrated micro-drive system market is expected to reach 204.9 billion RMB by 2029, with a CAGR of 13.3%, and a domestic CAGR of 17.3% [2]. - The automotive electronics segment is a significant revenue driver, contributing 62.9% of total revenue in the first three quarters of 2025 [3]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in the robotics sector, particularly in dexterous hands, which have a high value proportion [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply involved in the micro-drive system industry since its establishment in 2001, initially supplying precision components to major clients like Panasonic and Nikon [14]. - The company has a concentrated and stable shareholding structure, with the actual controller holding 18.18% directly and controlling entities holding a combined 45.7% [18]. - The business is segmented into three main areas: micro-drive systems, precision parts, and precision molds, with micro-drive systems being the primary revenue contributor [21][22]. Market Potential - The integrated micro-drive and drive system market has high technical barriers and broad downstream applications, with significant growth potential in smart automotive and robotics sectors [2][39]. - The global market for integrated micro-drive systems is projected to grow from 782 billion RMB in 2020 to 2049 billion RMB by 2029, with a CAGR of 13.3% [48]. - The company ranks fourth globally in the integrated micro-drive system market, with a 1.4% market share, and is the leading player in China with a 3.9% market share [59]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a vertically integrated manufacturing system that covers the entire value chain, enhancing its cost and technical barriers [61]. - It has mastered key manufacturing processes such as injection molding, powder metallurgy, and metal injection molding, allowing for high-volume production of complex metal components [63]. - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix that caters to various high-precision industries, including automotive electronics, smart medical devices, and robotics [22][66]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 18.8 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 23%, and net profit is expected to be 2.77 billion RMB, also reflecting a 23% increase [4]. - The company has maintained a stable gross margin of around 30% over the past five years, with revenue growth driven primarily by the automotive and advanced manufacturing sectors [28].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the week from January 5 - 9, 2026, the ultra - long credit bonds showed a downward trend. Affected by multiple factors such as the stock - bond seesaw effect, the withdrawal of impulsive funds, and the supply pressure of long - term bonds, the yields of ultra - long credit bonds generally increased. The number of outstanding ultra - long credit bonds with yields above 2.8% increased to 174 [2][13]. - The supply of ultra - long industrial bonds dropped to a low point. This week, the total supply of new ultra - long credit bonds was 5.03 billion, with issuers highly concentrated in urban investment platforms. The interest rate of new ultra - long urban investment bonds rose to around 3%, but the subscription enthusiasm remained low [3][22]. - The ultra - long credit bond index continued to decline. The sharp rise of the stock market this week impacted the bond market pricing. Most medium - and long - term general credit bond full - price index prices fell, with the price of AA + credit bonds over 10 years dropping by 0.05%. However, the trading activity of ultra - long credit bonds rebounded, and the average trading yield of general credit bonds over 10 years rose above 2.65%. After the New Year, the number of trading transactions of ultra - long credit bonds rebounded to over 350 [4][29][31]. - From a more microscopic perspective, the spread between 7 - 10 - year active ultra - long credit bonds and government bonds of similar maturities was 58bp this week, with good coupon value. In late January, the opening of amortized - cost bond funds may bring local benefits to the ultra - long credit bond market [5][43]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Stock Market Characteristics - Ultra - long credit bonds declined. Affected by multiple factors, the yields of ultra - long credit bonds generally increased, and the number of outstanding ultra - long credit bonds with yields above 2.8% increased to 174 compared with last week [2][13]. 3.2 Primary Issuance Situation - The supply of ultra - long industrial bonds dropped to a low point. This week, the total supply of new ultra - long credit bonds was 5.03 billion, with issuers highly concentrated in urban investment platforms [3][22]. - In terms of issuance interest rates, in the context of overall bond market fluctuations and fragile investor sentiment, the market demanded a higher risk premium for ultra - long credit bonds. The interest rate of new ultra - long urban investment bonds rose to around 3% this week. Despite the continuous increase in coupon rates, the subscription enthusiasm for ultra - long urban investment bonds remained low, and market concerns about the uncertainty of ultra - long urban investment bonds with maturities spanning the debt - resolution node intensified [3][22]. 3.3 Secondary Trading Performance - The ultra - long credit bond index continued to decline. The sharp rise of the stock market this week impacted the bond market pricing. Most medium - and long - term general credit bond full - price index prices fell, with the price of AA + credit bonds over 10 years dropping by 0.05% [4][29]. - The trading activity of ultra - long credit bonds rebounded. The supply pressure of government bonds and the warming of stock market sentiment continuously disturbed long - term interest rates. The secondary - market trading yield of ultra - long credit bonds continued to fluctuate. The average trading yield of general credit bonds over 10 years rose above 2.65%. After the New Year, the number of trading transactions of ultra - long credit bonds rebounded to over 350, partly driven by the market pattern of "credit is better than interest rates" this week. Due to the overcrowded trading of short - and medium - term credit products, some asset allocations shifted to the long - end [4][31]. - Corresponding to the secondary - market trading performance, the TKN ratio of general credit bonds over 10 years rebounded to 60%. The certain high coupon attracted funds to flow from more volatile long - term interest - rate bonds to credit bonds [4][36]. - In terms of investor structure, wealth - management funds have the motivation to extend the duration to increase returns, but their behavior is constrained by net - value fluctuations and tends to be cautious during the interest - rate increase period. Public funds with stronger trading attributes have recently shown a continuous attitude of reducing or holding off on long - duration credit bonds. Traditional allocation players such as insurance companies have承接, but the intensity has weakened, and they may reserve more positions for newly issued local government bonds [4][41].

- The report tracks the performance of active equity and enhanced index funds, highlighting the top-performing funds in the past week, including those with the highest returns[5][6][32] - The report provides detailed statistics on the net inflows and outflows of various types of ETFs, including cross-border, commodity, stock, and bond ETFs, as well as specific sector and theme ETFs[3][13][14] - The report includes a comprehensive list of newly issued and listed ETFs, covering various themes such as non-ferrous metals, food, and technology[4][26][30] - The report tracks the performance of enhanced strategy ETFs, noting that 11 out of 54 enhanced strategy ETFs outperformed their benchmarks in the past week, with detailed performance metrics for each[24][25] - The report provides a detailed analysis of the trading activity of ETFs in the secondary market, including the top traded ETFs and their respective trading volumes and financing net purchases[15][18][20]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (January 5 - January 9), bond - type ETFs had a net capital outflow of 63.1 billion yuan. Credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 56.1 billion yuan, 9.6 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 2.7 billion yuan respectively. Compared with the previous week, the weekly cumulative unit - net - value changes of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.01%, - 0.17%, and +3.86% respectively [2][4][13]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Issuance Progress Tracking - There were no newly issued bond ETFs last week [17]. 3.2 Existing Product Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 142.2 billion yuan, 404.5 billion yuan, and 66.3 billion yuan respectively, with credit - bond ETFs accounting for 60.6%. The circulating market values of Haifutong CSI Short - term Finance ETF and Boshi Convertible - bond ETF ranked top two, at 61.829 billion yuan and 55.556 billion yuan respectively. Compared with the previous week, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs decreased by 10.5 billion yuan, 38.6 billion yuan, and increased by 5.3 billion yuan respectively. Products with significant scale reduction last week included Harvest CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Yin Hua, and Fullgoal CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, with a month - on - month decrease of over 6 billion yuan each [19][20]. - Among credit - bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - and - technology innovation bond ETFs were 119.9 billion yuan and 311 billion yuan respectively, decreasing by 7.1 billion yuan and 44 billion yuan compared with the previous week [23]. 3.3 ETF Performance Tracking - Based on the average trends of the cumulative unit net values of 16 interest - rate bond ETFs and 35 credit - bond ETFs, the cumulative unit net values of interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs closed at 1.18 and 1.03 respectively. In terms of cumulative returns, the return rate of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs since their establishment has been stable at around 1.20%, while the return rate of science - and - technology innovation bond ETFs has marginally declined to 0.21% [26][28]. 3.4 Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - From a broad - category perspective, last week, the average premium/discount rates of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.25%, - 0.03%, and +0.03% respectively. The average trading price of credit - bond ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. Specifically, the weekly average premium/discount rates of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - and - technology innovation bond ETFs were - 0.39% and - 0.22% respectively [34]. 3.5 Turnover Rate Tracking - The weekly turnover rates of interest - rate bond ETFs, convertible - bond ETFs, and credit - bond ETFs were calculated by dividing the weekly trading volume of ETFs by the fund shares. Last week, the turnover rates showed the order of interest - rate bond ETFs > convertible - bond ETFs > credit - bond ETFs, and the weekly turnover rates of all three types of products increased marginally, reaching 141%, 112%, and 91% respectively. Specifically, products such as Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark - Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF, Guotai CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, and Haifutong CSI Short - term Finance ETF had relatively high turnover rates [39].