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国家统计局:6月酒类价格同比下降1.7%,酒价何时止跌?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-11 06:35
今年以来,白酒价格持续波动,降价成市场趋势,国家统计局最新数据为酒类市场释放更清晰信号。 根据国家统计局近日公布的数据,2025年6月份,全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.1%。但酒类价格同比下降1.7%, 环比下降0.3%;而纵观1-6月整体表现,酒类价格更是录得2.0%的同比降幅。持续走低的价格曲线背后,是消费市 场深层逻辑的悄然转变。 | | | 环比涨跌幅 | 同比涨跌幅 | 1-6月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (%) | 同比涨跌幅 (%) | | 居民消费价格 | | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | | 其中:城市 | | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | | 农村 | | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.3 | | 其中:食品 | | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.9 | | 非食品 | | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | | 其中:消费品 | | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | | 服务 | | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | | 其中:不包括食品和能源 | | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | | ...
618低价“厮杀”后:部分白酒价格回调,高端产品跌势难止
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-04 11:08
Core Insights - The 618 shopping festival has concluded, leading to varied price movements in the white liquor market, with some products experiencing price increases while others continue to decline [1][2][3] Price Trends in Major Cities - In Guangzhou, among 21 sampled white liquor products, 9 saw a decrease in average retail price, while 8 experienced an increase, and 4 remained unchanged [2] - Notably, high-end products like Moutai and Guojiao 1573 have seen price drops, with Moutai's average retail price falling to approximately 2304 RMB, a decrease of about 100 RMB from the previous period [2][3] - In Shenzhen, Moutai's average retail price is reported at 2298.5 RMB, with a notable decline in several high-end products due to ongoing market pressures [7][10] - East Dongguan's market shows a mixed trend, with 9 products increasing in price and 5 decreasing, highlighting the volatility in high-end liquor pricing [12][13] Online vs. Offline Pricing - Online platforms, particularly instant retail channels, are showing lower prices compared to offline supermarkets, with Moutai priced at 2229 RMB online, which is about 75 RMB lower than the overall average [3][8] - The price discrepancies between online and offline channels are significant, with products like Junpin Xijiu and Qinghua Lang being sold for much lower prices online compared to their offline counterparts [3][8] Impact of Regulatory Changes - The ongoing "ban on alcohol" has significantly impacted sales, particularly in high-end segments, leading to price reductions as businesses attempt to stimulate demand [9][10] - The combination of the 618 festival and regulatory changes has created a challenging environment for liquor companies, as they navigate maintaining sales volume and pricing stability [1][17] Summary of Average Prices - The average prices for key products as of July 4th are as follows: - Moutai: 2367.62 RMB [19] - Wuliangye: 1010.27 RMB [19] - Junpin Xijiu: 833.17 RMB [20] - Qinghua Lang: 943.11 RMB [20] - Guojiao 1573: 993.42 RMB [20]
白酒价格彻底崩塌,经销商哭诉:卖一箱亏200,挺不住了
商业洞察· 2025-07-01 10:30
快刀财经 . 欢迎关注这个洞察商业真相的公号。快刀财经,商业快媒体、思维孵化器、价值试验场和洗欲中心。 作者: 唐纳德 来源:快刀财经(ID:kuaidaocaijing) 喝不喝白酒没关系!但白酒行业确实日子不那么好过。 先看今年618, 白酒的价格那叫一个"跌跌不休" 。在各大电商平台的补贴"大招"下,茅台、五 粮液等头部产品的"百亿补贴"价,直接击穿了批发价。就拿53度飞天茅台来说,限时补贴后,到 手价最低能到1840元/瓶,跟去年同期比,那可跌了不少。 往远处一点的2025年端午节,济南某经销商望着店内琳琅满目的白酒货架,却丝毫感受不到节日 带来的喜悦,尽管白酒销量勉强与去年持平,客单价却暴跌近60%,且往年备受追捧的头部酒被 冷落,300-600元的产品却成了消费者首选。 "高端酒卖不动了,普通酒也不那么吃香",这是一些经销商老板最典型的感叹。 往深处讲, 现象背后,透露出的是中国白酒产业的集体阵痛 ,作为资本市场和食品消费领域的 一块核心资产,白酒尤其是高端白酒一度被赋予消费和收藏属性。 以下文章来源于快刀财经 ,作者快刀财经编辑部 然而,近年来白酒行业在宏观经济放缓和产业周期调整的双重背景下,迎 ...
酒鬼酒股东大会定调“二低一小”战略!基金持仓仅7家处历史低位
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 07:36
Core Viewpoint - The recent shareholders' meeting of JiuGuiJiu indicates a strategic shift, but declining attendance and changes in institutional holdings suggest that investors are losing patience with the company's short-term performance [1][15]. Financial Performance - JiuGuiJiu's revenue has plummeted from 34.14 billion in 2021 to 14.23 billion in 2024, with a growth rate dropping from 86.97% to -49.70% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders has decreased from 8.94 billion to 0.13 billion, representing a 97.72% decline year-on-year in 2024 [2]. - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit continued to decline by 30.34% and 56.78% respectively [2]. Product Strategy - The company is shifting its focus to a new product strategy centered around "two lows and one small" (low-end liquor, low-alcohol liquor, and small bottles) to address market demands [1][8]. - The core product series, Neican, saw its revenue contribution drop to 16.55% in 2024, while the JiuGui series contributed 58.66% but is under pricing pressure [3][4]. Market Competition - The low-end market is highly competitive, with established brands like Niulanshan and Hongxing dominating, alongside emerging brands like Jiangxiaobai and Fenjiu [8]. - The revenue contribution of the Xiangquan series, which targets the low-end market, is only 5.34%, indicating a lack of competitive advantage [8]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company approved a dividend of 6 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, distributing a total of 1.95 billion, despite a net profit of only 0.13 billion [10][11]. - This marks the second consecutive year of excessive dividends, which may strain cash flow, as the net cash flow from operating activities was -3.61 billion in 2024 [11]. Institutional Holdings - Institutional holdings have significantly decreased, with the number of institutional investors dropping from 115 at the end of 2023 to just 10 by Q1 2025, and the total holding percentage falling from 42.76% to 38.38% [13].
直击股东大会 | 回归半年的酒鬼酒总经理 从这两个角度诠释“信心”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-25 16:26
6月25日下午,酒鬼酒在公司总部湖南省吉首市召开2024年度股东大会,公司董事长高峰、总经理程军、董事会秘书汤振羽等公司高管出席会议,并回答了 投资者关注的问题。 这是程军去年底回归酒鬼酒之后,首度亮相公司年度股东大会。在谈到2025年工作时,程军提到了要提升公司产品吸引力。"以差异化产品满足多元化市场 需求。目前我们已经在分步启动'二低一小'的产品战略,即低端酒战略、低度酒战略、小酒战略。低端产品上,聚焦大众价位段,重点凸显性价比。" 每经记者于垚峰摄 直面经营业绩"脱缰" 程军从两个角度诠释"我们的信心" 作为公司自2016年1月以来的第三位总经理,程军在中粮长城葡萄酒有过多年任职经验,2020年就曾出任过酒鬼酒副总经理(主持工作)。此次回归酒鬼酒 之前,他担任中粮长城酒业有限公司董事、党委书记、总经理。 2020年的那一次出任,恰逢酒鬼酒业绩经历高增长的时期;而这一次,他面对的却是业绩几乎"腰斩"的巨大压力。 在股东大会交流环节,程军首先就直面了2024年的经营业绩。他表示,2024年公司经营业绩出现下滑,营收同比下降49.7%,净利润同比下滑97.7%。"单从 数据上看,经营业绩好像有些'脱缰',在此 ...
《给投资者的消息内参》:在信息洪流中,为你锚定价值
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-17 23:44
以下文章来源于妙投APP ,作者妙投 妙投APP . 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌,为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解,热门赛道产业链梳理 在这个信息爆炸的时代,投资者面临的挑战早已不是信息不足,而是如何从海量资讯中识别真正有 价值的信号。政策调整、行业变化、市场情绪……每一项都可能影响投资决策,但大多数人要么被 噪音干扰,要么后知后觉。 而妙投专栏作者董小姐的《给投资者的消息内参》正是一套帮助你理解政策逻辑、梳理信息脉络的 工具。它不预测短期涨跌,而是聚焦于长期趋势的底层驱动因素,让你在投资中少一些被动,多一 分从容。 # 01 专栏的核心:从"发生了什么"到"为什么发生" 许多投资者习惯于追逐热点,却很少思考: 董小姐专栏的独特之处,在于它不仅仅告诉你"发生了什么",更是帮你分析"为什么发生"以及"接下 来可能如何演变"。 1、政策解读:超越表面,理解深意 政策文件往往措辞严谨,但真正的信号可能隐藏在字里行间。例如: ● 2021年两会期间,教育行业的讨论从"支持"转向"规范",董小姐在专栏据此提示风险,后续教育 板块经历深度调整。 ● 2022年经济承压时,董小姐通过分析部委调研动态,指出房地产政策可能边际放 ...
白酒激战618:线上线下全面降价,名酒能否以价换量?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-06-13 11:59
Core Viewpoint - The 618 shopping festival has led to significant price reductions in the Chinese liquor market, particularly for high-end baijiu brands, as manufacturers aim to alleviate inventory pressure during a seasonal consumption lull [1][22]. Price Trends in Major Cities - In Guangzhou, 17 out of 21 sampled baijiu products saw a decline in average retail prices, with notable drops in high-end brands like Moutai and Wuliangye [1][2]. - The average retail price of Moutai in Guangzhou is approximately 2404 RMB, down over 100 RMB from the previous period [2]. - In Shenzhen, most products remained stable, but Moutai was largely unavailable, leading to price fluctuations [6][7]. - In Dongguan, Moutai's price increased significantly due to supply instability, rising from 2299 RMB to 2800 RMB [11][12]. Price Changes by Product - High-end products like the Eighth Generation Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573 also experienced price drops, with Guojiao 1573 decreasing from 1075 RMB to 1004 RMB [12][13]. - The average price of the high-end product Junpin Xijiu fell to around 845 RMB in Guangzhou, with significant reductions noted across various retail channels [2][3]. - The price of Qinghualang in Dongguan dropped from 1055 RMB to 965 RMB, reflecting a broader trend of price reductions in the market [12][13]. E-commerce Impact - E-commerce platforms have seen more pronounced price reductions, with many baijiu brands offering discounts and promotional activities during the 618 festival [16][20]. - On Tmall, the price of Hong Xifeng dropped from 1157 RMB to 1056 RMB, while Guojiao 1573 and Gujing Gongjiu also saw minor declines [19]. - The overall sales volume for liquor on Tmall surged by 72% year-on-year during the promotional period, indicating a positive response to lower prices [19][22]. Market Dynamics - The current price declines are attributed to a structural transformation in the baijiu industry, exacerbated by seasonal consumption patterns and increased competition from online channels [22]. - The price index for national baijiu showed a slight decrease of 0.35% in May, reflecting ongoing challenges in maintaining price stability amid aggressive promotional strategies [22]. - Manufacturers are facing pressure to manage inventory while navigating the complexities of pricing strategies in a competitive market environment [22].
酒鬼酒业绩说明会直击:高端失守、经销商流失与转型阵痛
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-06-03 06:18
Core Viewpoint - The company is facing a significant decline in performance, with a 49.7% drop in revenue and a 97.72% decrease in net profit for 2024, primarily due to the poor performance of its high-end product line, "Neican Series" [1][5] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue fell to 1.423 billion yuan, and net profit dropped to 12.49 million yuan, marking the lowest levels since 2015 [1] - The "Neican Series" revenue plummeted from 1.157 billion yuan in 2022 to 235 million yuan in 2024, a decline of 67.06%, with gross margin decreasing from 91.63% to 87.71% [1] Group 2: Inventory Issues - Despite claims of over 100% distribution and sales rates, investors are skeptical about the actual inventory reduction, which is reported to be less than 5% [2] - The company maintains high finished goods inventory levels to ensure "reasonable stocking" for sales, reflecting a lack of confidence in the distribution channels [2] Group 3: Distributor Reduction - The number of distributors decreased from 1,774 to 1,336 in 2024, as the company aims to improve distributor quality by eliminating inefficient clients [3] - This strategy has caused short-term channel disruptions but is intended to optimize the distribution structure and focus on core markets [3] Group 4: Strategic Focus - The company is shifting from aggressive national expansion to a "focus strategy," pausing production capacity expansion and reducing SKU by 50% to streamline operations [4] - The focus will be on the Hunan market and select external markets, abandoning low-return areas like Beijing and Shanghai [4] Group 5: Industry Context - The company's challenges reflect broader issues faced by regional liquor companies during a period of industry adjustment, including high-end market difficulties and channel instability [5] - The management's focus strategy aims to establish a stronghold in the Hunan market, where the current market share is approximately 15% [5]
当白酒回归消费,白酒品牌价值需要重新排序
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-31 15:13
Core Insights - The article highlights the successful brand rejuvenation of Fenjiu in the Chinese liquor market, particularly among younger consumers, as evidenced by its ranking in the CBI500 list [2][5][17] - The white liquor industry is currently facing challenges such as oversupply and high inventory, leading to a competitive landscape where only a few brands thrive [5][7][28] - Fenjiu's strategy focuses on appealing to younger consumers by emphasizing product value and innovative marketing approaches [17][21][30] Group 1: Brand Performance - Fenjiu ranks 163rd in the CBI500 list, with a significant lead among new customers aged 18-24, reflecting its successful youth-oriented strategy [2][5] - The overall white liquor industry is struggling, with only eight brands making it to the CBI500 list, indicating a stark contrast to other sectors like 3C and apparel [5][6] - Fenjiu's revenue reached 319 billion in 2023, with a projected growth to 360.11 billion in 2024, showcasing its resilience in a challenging market [17][20] Group 2: Consumer Trends - The main consumer demographic for white liquor is shifting, with younger generations increasingly becoming the primary market, accounting for 34% of consumers born between 1985-1994 and 18% for those born after 1995 [11][13] - Young consumers prioritize taste and value over brand prestige, indicating a shift in purchasing criteria [13][18] - The demand for lower-alcohol options is rising, prompting brands to expand their product lines to cater to this preference [14][20] Group 3: Marketing and Distribution Strategies - Fenjiu employs a multi-faceted marketing approach, utilizing social media and e-commerce platforms to engage younger consumers and create a complete consumption loop [21][22] - The brand has successfully launched campaigns that resonate with younger audiences, such as the "white liquor innovation" initiatives, which have garnered significant attention online [21][24] - Fenjiu's collaboration with platforms like Tmall has resulted in substantial growth, with a 76% increase in brand performance during promotional events [24][26] Group 4: Industry Challenges and Future Directions - The white liquor industry is entering a new cycle characterized by market segmentation and consumption upgrades, necessitating a comprehensive value redefinition [28][30] - Companies must adapt to changing consumer preferences and enhance their product offerings to remain competitive in the evolving market landscape [30][31] - The future competition will focus on flavor innovation, channel diversification, cultural relevance, and international expansion [30][31]
食饮吾见 | 一周消费大事件(5.26-5.30)
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-05-30 08:04
5月29日,百果园集团发布公告称,董事会欣然宣布,公司已于2025年5月29日就建议实行H股全流通向中国证监会提 交申请,以将合共85,448,554股非上市股份(约占公司截至H股全流通公告日期的已发行股本总额5.5510%)按一比一 的基准转换为H股。于完成所有备案要求(包括向中国证监会备案)并取得所有相关批准(包括联交所的批准)及符 合所有适用法律、法规及规则后,该等非上市股份将转换为H股,并将于联交所上市及买卖。公司将向联交所申请批 准该等H股于联交所主板上市及买卖。 西王食品:将持续改善运动营养业务经营状况 近日,西王食品在投资者互动平台针对提问表示,受原材料价格波动等多重因素影响,运动营养业务业绩近年虽未达 预期,但在长期具有较大的行业市场潜力,且公司已积累了一定的品牌知名度和市场份额,待市场环境改善、业务模 式优化后提升盈利水平。此外,西王食品还谈到,公司将持续改善运动营养业务的经营状况,提升业绩。 五芳斋:决定向股东赠送粽子礼盒产品,并征集意见或建议 近日,五芳斋发布公告称,公司为传承和弘扬中华传统文化,也便于股东更好地了解公司和产品,提高产品的认知度 和影响力,同时使产品精益求精,更好地服务消 ...