Market Overview - The average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market was 1.81 trillion CNY, a slight decrease of 39 billion CNY compared to the previous week[8] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94% this week, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.74%[12] Market Style Performance - The small-cap index (WIND Micro Index) rose by 1% this week, showing relative strength compared to large-cap indices[12] - Growth stocks outperformed value stocks, with the relative advantage of growth stocks oscillating in positive territory over the past 30 trading days[18] Participant Performance - Active funds showed relative superiority this week, with the National Team Index declining by 1.92% and the Social Security Heavyweight Index down by 1.83%[22] - The overall A-share market saw a decline of 1.09% this week, with the market sentiment index showing a slight increase[21] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased to over 1.98 trillion CNY, reaching a new high for the year[25] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit up was 62, while those hitting the limit down was 12, indicating relatively stable market sentiment[25] Sector Performance - The report highlights strong performance in sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals and AI applications, with significant partnerships announced in the industry[41] - The report also notes the importance of technology self-reliance and expanding openness in the context of ongoing geopolitical tensions[43]

证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 北交所定期报告 20250803 新股上市 ◼ 鼎佳精密（874397.BJ）：2025 年 7 月 31 日上市，首日涨幅达 479%， 振幅 89.61%，成交额 10.60 亿元，换手率 89.34%，总市值 51.70 亿元。 公司主要从事消费电子功能性产品及防护性产品的设计、研发、生产与 销售，产品应用于笔记本电脑、平板电脑、智能手机、一体电脑、服务 器、显示器、AR/VR、智能游戏机等消费电子产品。 投资建议 北证 50 指数周内回调，关注中报高增与产业 催化共振标的 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 北交所市场表现 行业重要新闻 观点 ◼ 产业催化与主题轮动主导盘面，关注中报高增与产业催化共振标的。产 业消息面上，固态电池板块受头部设备厂商陆续出货加速行业量产进度 催化，带动灵鸽科技、纳科诺尔等标的在本周初表现活跃；2025 世界人 工智能大会上，华为 384 超节点真机与基于 CloudMatrix 384 超节点的 华为云新一代昇腾 AI 云服务首次亮相，带动华为概念股明显上涨，*ST 广道于 7 月 31 日涨幅 29.94% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery equipment and robotics industries are expected to benefit from frequent catalysts, with a recommendation for undervalued engineering machinery and semiconductor equipment [1] - The solid-state battery is projected to achieve small-scale production by 2027, with commercial viability expected by 2030, leading to increased demand for related equipment [2] - The robotics sector is experiencing rapid advancements, with significant improvements in motion control capabilities and new application scenarios being demonstrated [3] Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - A comprehensive list of recommended companies includes Northern Huachuang, SANY Heavy Industry, Zhongwei Company, Hengli Hydraulic, CIMC, and others across various sectors [1][4] Investment Highlights - In the lithium battery equipment sector, leading manufacturers are expected to benefit from the solid-state battery timeline, with equipment vendors poised for growth due to increased demand [2] - The robotics industry is seeing advancements in motion control and application scenarios, with companies like Yushu Technology and Zhiyuan showcasing new capabilities [3][4] - The engineering machinery sector is set to benefit from large-scale projects like the Yajiang hydropower project, which is expected to significantly boost domestic machinery demand [5] Industry Trends - The solid-state battery industry is transitioning towards commercialization, with significant changes in manufacturing processes that will create new demand for equipment [39][40] - The robotics industry is evolving towards more intelligent systems, with AI-driven technologies enhancing operational capabilities [36][38] Financial Projections - The report projects significant profit growth for companies involved in solid-state battery equipment, with expected net profits for the company "Xinyuren" reaching 8.5 million, 54.7 million, and 79.4 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [24] - The engineering machinery sector anticipates annual profit increments of 30-40 billion yuan due to the adoption of electric and unmanned machinery [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry [1] Core Viewpoints - Robot teleoperation is defined as using remote control to map human actions onto machines across physical spaces [6] - The primary applications of robot teleoperation include human-machine task execution, safety assurance, and training data collection [7] - Current technical challenges in teleoperation include communication latency and tactile feedback [8] - Investment in robot teleoperation is seen as a means to accelerate the deployment of robots in various scenarios and to enhance safety measures [11] Summary by Sections 1. Definition of Robot Teleoperation - Robot teleoperation refers to the remote control method that allows human actions to be mirrored onto machines [6] 2. Main Purposes of Robot Teleoperation - Human-machine task execution is necessary as humanoid robots currently lack sufficient intelligence for autonomous task completion, especially in hazardous environments [7] - Safety assurance is critical due to potential hacking risks and algorithmic flaws that could lead to accidents [7] - Training data collection is essential for humanoid robots to learn physical actions through human demonstrations, which require teleoperation [7] 3. Current Technical Challenges in Teleoperation - Communication latency affects the real-time operation of teleoperation, particularly in long-distance tasks [8] - Tactile feedback devices are expensive, and the autonomous reasoning capabilities for tactile intelligence are still under development [8] 4. Main Methods of Teleoperation - Current mainstream teleoperation methods include VR controllers, motion capture devices, master-slave robotic arms, exoskeletons, and Cartesian coordinate controllers [9][10] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that robot teleoperation can facilitate the integration of robots into various applications and is crucial for collecting training data [11] - The market for teleoperation is promising, with a recommendation to focus on companies like Changhong Technology, which is developing remote control solutions for robots [11]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic development amidst external uncertainties, suggesting that the core idea of "concentrating efforts to do our own things well" will continue to be reflected in the 15th Five-Year Plan [2] - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to include around 20 chapters, with potential standalone themes such as "National Unified Market Construction," "Technological Innovation Leading New Quality Productivity Development," "Digital Economy and Artificial Intelligence," and "High-Quality Urban Development" [3] - The report anticipates a shift in urban development focus from rapid growth to quality improvement and efficiency enhancement, indicating that the 15th Five-Year Plan will likely continue this trend [4] National Unified Market Construction - The concept of "anti-involution" in supply-side policies is expected to be further developed in the 15th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on optimizing market competition order and regulating local investment attraction [3] Technological Innovation - The report highlights the significance of "new quality productivity," which aims to break away from traditional economic growth models and focus on high-tech, high-efficiency, and high-quality development [5] Digital Economy and AI - The integration of artificial intelligence with the digital economy is anticipated to be a key theme in the 15th Five-Year Plan, with AI serving as a core engine for driving high-quality economic development [7] Domestic Demand and Consumption - The report notes that domestic demand is becoming increasingly important, with significant potential for consumer spending to be released, particularly in the service sector [8] Investment in Infrastructure - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to outline significant investments in large-scale infrastructure projects, including major water conservancy, transportation, and energy projects [9][19] Supply Chain Security - The necessity for enhancing supply chain security and addressing technological bottlenecks in critical areas such as semiconductor manufacturing is highlighted as a priority in the upcoming plan [10] Industrial Upgrading and Future Industries - The report suggests that the 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on upgrading traditional industries and fostering emerging industries, with an emphasis on high-end, green, and intelligent development [11][12] Modern Infrastructure Development - The report anticipates that the 15th Five-Year Plan will continue to prioritize modern infrastructure development, particularly in new infrastructure and transportation sectors [13] Cultural Development - The promotion of cultural confidence and the enhancement of national cultural soft power are expected to be included in the 15th Five-Year Plan, aligning with the goal of building a "cultural strong nation" [14] International Relations - The report indicates that the 15th Five-Year Plan will likely address the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind, emphasizing the importance of multilateral diplomatic relations [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the financial products sector [1]. Core Views - The report expresses a viewpoint of "not fearing adjustments, expecting wide fluctuations" in the market [1][17]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview (July 28 - August 1, 2025) - The top three broad indices were: - Wind Micro-Pan Daily Equal Weight Index (1.09%) - Sci-Tech Innovation Index (0.65%) - Sci-Tech 100 (0.52%) - The bottom three broad indices were: - North Certificate 50 (-2.70%) - Dividend Index (-2.67%) - China Securities Dividend (-2.65%) [10][11]. A-share Market Outlook (August 4 - August 8, 2025) - The monthly macro model score for August is 0, with a historical probability of 75% for an increase, indicating a high likelihood of continued upward movement in the A-share market [24]. - The technical timing model shows that the Wind All A Index has a risk level of 103.88, indicating an overheated market, which may lead to increased volatility [17][21]. - The report suggests that the market may experience wide fluctuations, but structural opportunities will continue to emerge [20]. Fund Allocation Recommendations - The report recommends a balanced ETF allocation strategy, considering the current market conditions and potential for future recovery [5][20]. Risk Trend Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three broad indices in the risk trend model were: - Wind Micro-Pan Daily Equal Weight Index (26.99) - China Securities Dividend (26.91) - North Certificate 50 (26.68) - The bottom three were: - ChiNext Index (14.51) - CSI 300 (15.78) - Shenzhen Component Index (16.69) [32][36]. Style Index Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three style indices were: - Large Cap Value (24.87) - Mid Cap Growth (23.18) - Mid Cap Value (21.32) - The bottom three were: - Financial (7.69) - Stability (13.16) - Cycle (15.14) [42][46]. Industry Index Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three industry indices were: - Food and Beverage (58.54) - Banking (40.70) - Beauty and Personal Care (39.96) - The bottom three were: - Non-ferrous Metals (13.27) - Composite (13.71) - Electric Power Equipment (15.80) [53][57].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 6 months [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that coal prices are on the rise due to inventory depletion and increased demand driven by high temperatures, suggesting a potential for further price increases [1]. - The average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim decreased by 14.26% week-on-week, while the average daily outflow increased by 4.88%, indicating a tightening supply situation [1][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring insurance capital inflows and suggests that resource stocks, particularly in the coal sector, are likely to be favored due to ongoing solid premium income growth [2][33]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.06% during the week, while the coal sector index decreased by 2.13% [10]. - The average daily coal price at Qinhuangdao port rose by 10 CNY/ton to 663 CNY/ton [1][16]. 2. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports was 1.5396 million tons, down 25.61 tons week-on-week, while daily outflow was 1.8531 million tons, up 8.61 tons [25][28]. - The total coal inventory at the Bohai Rim ports decreased by 8.22% to 24.727 million tons [28]. 3. Price Trends - The report notes that the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong increased by 32 CNY/ton to 572 CNY/ton, while the price of 6000 kcal coal in Yanzhou rose by 20 CNY/ton to 950 CNY/ton [16]. - The coal price index for the Bohai Rim region increased by 1 CNY/ton to 665 CNY/ton [18]. 4. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on elastic coal stocks, particularly Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are considered undervalued [2][33].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report provides a weekly data tracking of secondary capital bonds from July 28, 2025, to August 1, 2025, covering primary market issuance and stock, secondary market trading, and valuation deviation of individual bonds [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market Issuance and Stock - One new secondary capital bond was issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets this week, with an issuance scale of 2 billion yuan, a maturity of 10 years, the issuer being a local state - owned enterprise in Shanxi Province with a AAA rating [1]. - As of August 1, 2025, the stock balance of secondary capital bonds reached 476.1635 billion yuan, an increase of 2 billion yuan from the end of last week [1]. 3.2 Secondary Market Trading - The weekly trading volume of secondary capital bonds this week totaled approximately 263.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.2 billion yuan from last week. The top three bonds in trading volume were 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 02B(BC) (16.111 billion yuan), 25 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (15.717 billion yuan), and 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (14.209 billion yuan) [2]. - By the region of the issuer, the top three in trading volume were Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong, with approximately 212.2 billion yuan, 20.4 billion yuan, and 10.1 billion yuan respectively [2]. - As of August 1, the changes in the yields to maturity of 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y secondary capital bonds with ratings of AAA -, AA +, and AA compared to last week were all negative [2]. 3.3 Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - The overall valuation deviation of the weekly average trading price of secondary capital bonds this week was not large, with the proportion and amplitude of discount trading greater than those of premium trading [3]. - Among the discount bonds, the top three in discount rate were 21 Jiutai Rural Commercial Bank Secondary ( - 21.5130%), 25 Chouzhou Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 ( - 0.7069%), and 25 Beibu Gulf Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 ( - 0.5666%) [3]. - Among the premium bonds, the top four in premium rate were 24 Lin'an Rural Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.7546%), 24 Shangyu Rural Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5037%), 24 Fudian Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.4851%), and 22 Weihai Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.3267%) [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents a weekly data tracking of green bonds from July 28, 2025, to August 1, 2025, including primary market issuance, secondary market trading, and valuation deviation of the top 30 individual bonds. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - 13 new green bonds were issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a total issuance scale of about 6.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.399 billion yuan from the previous week [1]. - The issuance term is mostly 2 years; the issuer's nature includes state - owned enterprises, Sino - foreign joint - ventures, central enterprise subsidiaries, local state - owned enterprises, and large private enterprises [1]. - The issuer's credit ratings are mostly AAA and AA+; the issuers are located in Beijing, Sichuan, Guangdong, Henan, Hubei, and Yunnan [1]. - The types of issued bonds include ultra - short - term financing bills, science and technology innovation bonds, ABNs of the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors, enterprise ABS, private placement corporate bonds, general corporate bonds, and PPNs [1]. Secondary Market Trading - The weekly trading volume of green bonds totaled 47 billion yuan, a decrease of 14 billion yuan from the previous week [2]. - By bond type, the top three in trading volume are non - financial corporate credit bonds (24 billion yuan), financial institution bonds (17 billion yuan), and interest - rate bonds (4.5 billion yuan) [2]. - By issuance term, green bonds with a term of less than 3 years had the highest trading volume, accounting for about 80.44%, indicating sustained market popularity [2]. - By issuer's industry, the top three in trading volume are finance (24.6 billion yuan), public utilities (11.2 billion yuan), and transportation equipment (1.6 billion yuan) [2]. - By issuer's region, the top three in trading volume are Beijing (19.8 billion yuan), Hubei (4.6 billion yuan), and Guangdong (3.9 billion yuan) [2]. Valuation Deviation of the Top 30 Individual Bonds - The overall deviation of the weekly average trading price valuation of green bonds was not significant, with the discount trading amplitude and proportion greater than the premium trading [3]. - Among the discount bonds, the top three in discount rate are G19 Huangshi (-1.1264%), 21 Fengcheng Green Bond 01 (-0.4837%), and 21 Linchuan Green Bond 02 (-0.3514%), and the other discount rates are within -0.35%. The main industries of the issuers are finance, public utilities, and real estate, and the regions are mostly Beijing, Shandong, and Guangdong [3]. - Among the premium bonds, the top four in premium rate are 23 Bank of Communications Green Bond 01 (0.8747%), 24 China Construction Bank Green Bond 01BC (0.7771%), 23 Postal Savings Bank Green Financial Bond 01 (0.5612%), and 25 Chery Auto Finance Green Bond 02 (0.5437%), and the other premium rates are within 0.52%. The main industries of the issuers are finance, comprehensive, and public utilities, and the regions are mostly Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, and Guangdong [3].

Employment Data - In July 2025, the U.S. added 73,000 non-farm jobs, significantly below the expected 104,000, marking a deviation of 1 standard deviation[3] - The previous month's job figure was revised down from 147,000 to 14,000, with a total downward revision of 258,000 jobs over the past two months, the largest since June 2020[3] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.248%, higher than the expected 4.2% and the previous 4.117%, the highest level since November 2021[3] Sector Analysis - The education and healthcare sectors have become the largest contributors to U.S. non-farm employment, with healthcare jobs up 13% compared to December 2019[3] - In July, the education and healthcare sector added 79,000 jobs according to non-farm data, while the ADP data showed a decrease of 38,000 jobs, indicating a divergence between the two reporting methods[3] - Other sectors, such as federal government and temporary assistance services, continue to see job losses, highlighting a weak employment growth in various industries[3] Data Revision Insights - The significant downward revision of previous non-farm data is attributed to a recalibration of seasonal adjustment factors by the BLS, rather than political motivations[3] - The feedback rates for May's non-farm data were 93.5% and 94.4%, yet the second revision still showed a decrease of 125,000 jobs, indicating potential issues in data collection and reporting[3] Market Implications - Short-term data fluctuations may increase asset price volatility, necessitating a focus on mid-term narratives such as the ongoing accommodative monetary policy and the challenges facing the U.S. dollar's credibility[2] - Risks include unexpected policy shifts from the Trump administration, excessive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve leading to inflationary pressures, and prolonged high interest rates causing liquidity crises in the financial system[2]