Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of 430 HKD [1][4] Core Views - The 2025 WeChat Open Class PRO event highlighted the potential for further monetization within the WeChat ecosystem, particularly through the integration of mini-programs, WeChat Stores, and service accounts [1] - WeChat Stores have shown rapid growth, with GMV in 2024 reaching 1.92 times that of 2023, and order volume increasing by 2.25 times [1] - WeChat mini-games continue to grow rapidly, with monthly active users (MAU) reaching 500 million and daily active users (DAU) hitting 100 million, a 10% year-over-year increase [1] - Video accounts have seen significant growth, with live streaming sessions by quality content creators increasing by 100% and their income rising by 110% in 2024 [1] - WeChat's AI capabilities, including the newly launched WeChat Cloud AI Code Assistant, are expected to lower the development threshold for mini-programs and support global and intelligent transformation for enterprises [1] WeChat Store Growth - WeChat Stores have expanded comprehensively, helping merchants transition from single-channel to omnichannel operations, thereby enhancing the operability of WeChat e-commerce and broadening user reach [1] - The integration of WeChat Stores with mini-programs and public accounts has improved multi-scene marketing efficiency, with the "gift-giving" feature expected to drive new e-commerce growth by leveraging WeChat's social attributes [1] Mini-Games Performance - Mini-games have demonstrated strong performance, with over 900 games monetizing through IAA (In-App Advertising) and contributing over 1 million in revenue, with the overall market size expected to double in the next three years [1] - IAP (In-App Purchase) mini-games have benefited from improved infrastructure, with notable performance in MMO, SLG, and tower defense genres [1] - Cross-platform mini-games have shown significant growth in PC gaming duration, payment rates, and ARPU [1] Video Accounts and AI - Video accounts have become a new showcase space for mini-games, with short video views increasing by 170% [1] - The WeChat Cloud AI Code Assistant has been applied to hundreds of Tencent applications, facilitating efficient mini-program development [1] - Enterprise WeChat has introduced intelligent tools like smart tables, aiding in the digital transformation of manufacturing and supporting global expansion [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 6,536.7 billion RMB in 2024E to 7,599.2 billion RMB in 2026E, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2024E to 2026E [3] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase from 2,255.8 billion RMB in 2024E to 2,761.6 billion RMB in 2026E, with a CAGR of 10.6% over the same period [3] - The stock is currently trading at 15x, 13x, and 12x Non-IFRS PE for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E, respectively [1][3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company with a target price of HKD 58.81, representing a potential upside of 7.9% from the current price of HKD 54.5 [3][11]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated solid growth in its core business, with a significant reduction in debt levels, indicating improved financial health [2][11]. - The company operates in 260 cities, serving a population of 140 million, and is one of the largest clean energy distributors in China [1]. - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2024 was RMB 54.59 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.8% to RMB 2.57 billion [2]. Financial Performance - The gross profit for the first half of 2024 was RMB 6.47 billion, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced opportunities in the international market and a decline in gas wholesale business [2]. - The company reported a core profit of RMB 3.26 billion, down 16.6% year-on-year, with domestic core business showing a growth of 9.5% to RMB 3.08 billion [2]. - The company’s operating cash inflow was RMB 3.27 billion, with free cash flow reaching RMB 630 million, indicating a stable cash position [2]. Business Segments - The gross profit margin from the company's natural gas sales, energy services, and smart home businesses accounted for 87.3% of total gross profit, reflecting an improvement of 8.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company has a robust customer base and continues to expand its operational reach, indicating significant growth potential [2]. Debt and Capital Expenditure - The company has effectively optimized its debt structure, reducing interest-bearing liabilities to RMB 19.83 billion from RMB 21.92 billion in 2023, with a comprehensive financing cost of 3.4% [2]. - Capital expenditures were RMB 2.74 billion, a significant decrease of 20% year-on-year, reflecting a prudent investment strategy to maintain stable cash flow [2]. Future Outlook - The company projects a 5% growth in natural gas retail volume and a 10%+ increase in gross profit from the natural gas retail business for the year [11]. - The report anticipates that the company will benefit from the seasonal increase in natural gas demand during winter, which may offset the decline in summer sales [11].

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 买入（维持） 所属行业：钟表珠宝 当前价格（港元）：288.40 资格编号：S0120523070004 邮箱：yidy＠tebon.com.cn 市场表现 恒 生 指 数 对 比 1M 2M 3M -57% 0% 57% 114% 171% 228% 286% 343% 400% 2024-01 2024-05 2024-09 老铺黄金 恒生指数 绝对涨幅(%) 47.29 43.61 75.68 相对涨幅(%) 53.04 50.79 82.44 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 相关研究 1.《老铺黄金：24H1 业绩高增长，产 品持续迭代提升品牌效能》，2024.9.3 2.《老铺黄金（6181.HK）： 古法传承，奢品营运》，2024.7.28 老铺黄金(06181.HK) 2025 年 01 月 10 日 老铺黄金：高端黄金奢品，比预 期更乐观单击或点击此处输入文字。 投资要点 短期有何变化？渠道扩张+营销活动，门店动销火热： 证券分析师 易丁依 | 主要财务指标 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 利润表(百万元) ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a forecasted investment return exceeding the market benchmark by over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Views - The company is expected to face revenue pressure in 2024, with projected revenue of 4.18 billion RMB, a 12% year-on-year decline, primarily due to a decrease in the Chinese film market box office and underperformance of some invested films [1][4]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in the 2025 Spring Festival box office, with specific films like "Detective Chinatown 1900" anticipated to perform well [3][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s online entertainment ticketing revenue is projected to be 1.94 billion RMB in 2024, down 14% year-on-year, which is less than the overall market decline of 22.7% [2]. - Entertainment content service revenue is expected to reach 2.01 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a 12.7% decrease, with a stable performance anticipated between the first and second halves of the year [3]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 is estimated at 40.3%, with a significant drop in the second half of the year due to high production and promotional costs [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are adjusted to 4.2 billion, 4.6 billion, and 5.0 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a slight downward revision [4][5]. - The net profit forecast for 2024 is revised down to 190 million RMB, an 80% decline year-on-year, primarily due to losses from certain film investments [1][4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a leader in the film ticketing business, with strong correlations to the overall film market performance [4]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong film selection capabilities and its strategic partnerships with top artists, which are expected to enhance its market position [2][3].

食品饮料行业 证券研究报告 |公司深度研究报告 2025/1/8 达势股份：比萨外送第一品牌， 高性价比连锁餐饮成长股 | 证券分析师： | 郭梦婕 | | --- | --- | | 分析师登记编号： | S1190500000001 | | 证券分析师： | 肖依琳 | | 分析师登记编号： | S1190500000001 | | 研究助理： | 林叙希 | | 一般证券业务登记编号： | S1190500000002 | P2 报告摘要 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 守正 出奇 宁静 致远 ◼ 达势股份：达美乐中国区特许经营商，迈入门店快速扩张期，盈利能力改善可期。达势背靠全球最大比萨品牌达美乐，是达美乐在中国内地及 中国香港、澳门的独家特许经营商。1997年达美乐进入中国市场，2017年公司扩大特许经营范围并新聘本土化管理团队，以"高效外送、高性 价比以及本土化改良"为主打特色。2023年公司实现收入30.5亿元，2019-2023年收入CAGR达38.2%。截止2024年底公司拥有超1000家门店，相 较2017年100+家门店来看扩店增长明显。2019-2023年达美乐同店增长CAGR为12 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports with a 6-month target price of HKD 103.8 [6][10] Core Views - Anta Sports' main brand achieved high single-digit growth in Q4 2024, with children's products growing at low double digits and e-commerce growing nearly 20% [7] - FILA returned to growth in Q4 2024, with high single-digit growth in main products, mid single-digit growth in children's products, and high double-digit growth in Fusion products [7] - Other brands, including Descente and Kolon, grew 45-50% and 60-65% respectively in Q4 2024, maintaining a high growth rate [7] - Anta Sports' new store formats, such as ANTA SNEAKERVERSE and Super Anta, have been successful in targeting different consumer segments [8] - The company is expected to benefit from industry development as a leading player in China's sports goods industry [8] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow from RMB 53.65 billion in 2022 to RMB 84.06 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of 9.2% [9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from RMB 7.59 billion in 2022 to RMB 15.07 billion in 2026 [9] - Gross margin is projected to improve from 60.2% in 2022 to 63.3% in 2026 [9] - EPS is expected to grow from RMB 2.82 in 2022 to RMB 5.43 in 2026 [9] - ROE is forecasted to remain stable at around 20% from 2023 to 2026 [15] Operational Highlights - Inventory turnover days improved from 138 days in 2022 to 122.8 days in 2023 and are expected to remain at 123 days from 2024 to 2026 [15] - Accounts receivable days decreased from 50.4 days in 2022 to 46.5 days in 2023 and are expected to stabilize at 50 days from 2024 to 2026 [15] - The company's capital structure is improving, with the debt-to-capital ratio decreasing from 45.3% in 2022 to a projected 31.3% in 2026 [15] Market Performance - The stock price was HKD 78.6 as of January 9, 2025, with a total market capitalization of HKD 221.9 billion [10] - The 12-month trading range was between HKD 74.2 and HKD 80.1 [10] - The stock showed a 14.61% absolute return over the past 12 months, despite a 4.24% relative underperformance [12]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is a leading Tier 2 supplier of automotive-grade intelligent driving chips, with rapid growth driven by its Huashan and Wudang series of chips [1][15] - The company has established partnerships with over 49 automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, including major players like FAW Group and Bosch [1][28] - Revenue has surged from 53 million in 2020 to 312 million in 2023, with a projected revenue of 492 million in 2024 [1][5] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of autonomous driving technology, with the market for ADAS SoCs projected to reach 49.6 billion RMB by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 28.6% from 2023 to 2028 [2][36] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is recognized as the third-largest global supplier of automotive-grade high-performance SoCs based on 2023 shipment data [1][15] - It focuses on providing integrated solutions that include proprietary ISP and NPU IP cores, middleware, and algorithms for autonomous driving applications [15][19] Market Trends - The penetration rate of autonomous driving vehicles is expected to exceed 93.5% in China by 2028, surpassing the global average [2] - The complexity of automotive electronic architectures is driving the demand for SoCs, which are becoming the mainstream core chips in vehicles [2][36] Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 1.105 billion in H1 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 129.63% [1][29] - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 4.92 billion, 10.39 billion, and 17.41 billion for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E respectively [4][5] Product Development - The company has developed two series of automotive-grade SoCs: the Huashan series for high-performance applications and the Wudang series for cross-domain functionalities [19][25] - The Huashan A1000 Pro, launched in 2021, is noted for its performance, providing over 106 TOPS of computing power, making it one of the highest-performing automotive SoCs in China [24][25] Customer Base and Partnerships - The company has seen a steady increase in its customer base, with a retention rate rising from 18% in 2021 to 35% in 2023 [3] - It has secured 23 model orders from 16 automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, indicating strong market demand for its products [3][28]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main brand showed accelerated growth in Q4 2024, with e-commerce performing particularly well, driven by extended Double 11 promotions [8] - Saucony continued its strong growth trajectory, with Q4 2024 sales up 50% YoY and full-year growth exceeding 60% [8] - The company is expected to further expand its running shoe product matrix in 2025, including the launch of the 7th generation of the 160 series and other segmented products [8] - The main brand's discount rate improved YoY, and inventory levels remained healthy at around 4 months [8] - The company is expected to increase store openings in high-tier cities for Saucony in 2025, while also expanding into commuter and retro product lines [8] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is expected to grow from RMB 14,346 million in 2023A to RMB 17,520 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 6.9% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from RMB 1,030 million in 2023A to RMB 1,648 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 16.9% [1] - EPS is forecasted to rise from RMB 0.38 in 2023A to RMB 0.61 in 2026E [1] - P/E ratio is expected to decline from 13.42x in 2023A to 8.39x in 2026E, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Operational Highlights - Main brand's Q4 2024 retail sales grew by high single digits YoY, with e-commerce sales up over 20% [8] - Saucony's Q4 2024 retail sales increased by 50% YoY, with full-year growth exceeding 60% [8] - The company maintained a healthy inventory turnover of around 4 months [8] - The main brand's discount rate improved to 7-7.5折 in Q4 2024, compared to the previous quarter [8] Market Data - Closing price: HKD 5.60 [6] - 52-week range: HKD 3.68 - HKD 7.13 [6] - P/B ratio: 1.57x [6] - Market capitalization: HKD 15,028.44 million [6] Financial Ratios - ROE is expected to increase from 11.62% in 2023A to 13.43% in 2026E [9] - Gross margin is projected to improve from 42.17% in 2023A to 44.43% in 2026E [9] - Net profit margin is forecasted to rise from 7.18% in 2023A to 9.41% in 2026E [9] - Debt-to-asset ratio is expected to decline from 48.50% in 2023A to 43.90% in 2026E [9]

房地产/房地产开发 绿城中国（03900.HK） 2025 年 01 月 10 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/1/9 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 8.670 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 11.720/4.940 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 219.72 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 219.72 | | 总股本(亿股) | 25.34 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 25.34 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 32.35 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 2024-01 2024-05 2024-09 绿城中国 恒生指数 | ——港股公司信息更新报告 | | --- | | 齐东（分析师） 胡耀文（分析师） 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn huyaowen@kysec.cn duzhiyuan@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 证书编号：S0790524070001 证书编号：S0790124070064 | |  销售拿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health, with a target price not specified [4]. Core Viewpoints - JD Health has entered a strategic partnership with China Resources Sanjiu, aiming to set a benchmark in the pharmaceutical retail industry through comprehensive collaboration in areas such as digital marketing and corporate social responsibility [1]. - The company has demonstrated robust growth, with Q3 2024 revenue reaching 13.302 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, and operating profit soaring by 216.0% to 552 million yuan [2]. - The integration of online medical insurance services is expected to enhance market share, with JD Health already providing online insurance payment services in 12 cities, covering over 1 billion people [2]. - During the Double Eleven shopping festival, JD Health saw significant growth in various health-related product categories, with a 140% increase in sales for products targeting the elderly [3]. - The company has set ambitious sales growth targets in collaboration with several health brands, aiming for a 300% increase over the next three years [3]. Summary by Sections Strategic Partnership - JD Health and China Resources Sanjiu have signed a strategic cooperation agreement to enhance pharmaceutical retail capabilities and drive high-quality industry development [1]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, JD Health reported revenues of 13.302 billion yuan, a 14.8% increase year-on-year, and an operating profit of 552 million yuan, reflecting a 216.0% growth [2]. Market Expansion - The company has expanded its online medical insurance services to 12 cities, with nearly 2000 retail pharmacies connected, potentially increasing user penetration [2]. Product Growth - JD Health experienced a significant increase in sales during the Double Eleven event, with a 7.2-fold increase in order volume and nearly tripling transaction value [3]. Strategic Goals - The company aims for a 300% sales increase in collaboration with various health brands over the next three years, reflecting a trend towards diversified health consumption [3].