北新建材:平台型建材,架构初长成-20250606
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-06 00:23
"一体":石膏板消费属性增强,持续降本+扩品类+出海 石膏板市场规模约为 150-200 亿元,公司市占率(产量口径)近七 成。公司近年来致力增强石膏板消费属性,加大渠道布局、增加宣 传力度、提升高端产品占比。主导业务继续重点关注:①降本, 2024 年石膏板单位成本为 3.71 元/平米,同比下降 0.19 元/平米。 ②扩品类,发力轻钢龙骨、粉末砂浆等"石膏板+"业务,拟投资 建设的石膏纤维板可用于内墙和隔墙。③出海,公司于 2017 年启 动全球化布局,2023 年加速推进,主要聚焦东南亚、中亚、中东、 欧洲和环地中海四大区域,25Q1 国际化业务收入、净利润同比分 别增长 73.00%、143.08%。 "两翼":防水+涂料规模逆势扩张 2019 年公司确定"一体两翼"战略目标,当年通过联合重组进入 防水材料业务领域。公司防水卷材收入规模已达行业前 3。涂料同 样收并购为主,建筑涂料方面,2023 年底联合重组嘉宝莉(持股 78.34%,2024 年 2 月并表),涂料年产能由 10.3 万吨提升至 130 万吨以上,2024 年嘉宝莉业绩承诺完成率 81.27%。工业涂料方面, 2021 年、202 ...
恺英网络:出海持续推进,期待《EVE》内测-2025年中期策略会速递-20250606
HTSC· 2025-06-05 23:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 23.88 [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence and has a strong pipeline of new products, including the anticipated internal testing of the AI emotional companion application "EVE" [1][4]. - The successful launch of new games, such as "Dragon Valley World" and "Digital Monster: Source," has garnered significant market attention, indicating the company's ability to leverage classic IPs and innovate gameplay [2]. - The company's overseas mobile game "Party Beast Control" achieved top rankings in various regions shortly after its launch, showcasing its effective market strategy and user growth potential [3]. Summary by Sections Product Performance - The new game "Dragon Valley World" topped the App Store free games chart on its first day of public testing and remains a strong performer in the iOS action game category [2]. - "Digital Monster: Source" has also gained traction, ranking 73rd in the iOS adventure game category as of June 3, 2025 [2]. Overseas Expansion - The company launched "Party Beast Control" in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Macau, achieving top download rankings in these regions [3]. - "MU Immortal" was released in over 100 countries, topping the RPG free charts in Canada and Germany, indicating successful international market penetration [3]. AI Technology Integration - The company is investing in AI technology, with the upcoming "EVE" game expected to enhance user engagement through multi-platform interactions [4]. - The new brand "Warm Star Valley Dream Journey" combines AI technology with interactive experiences, aiming to attract a broader audience [4]. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 20.4 billion, RMB 24.1 billion, and RMB 27.3 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE ratio of 25X for 2025 [5][7]. - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 4.295 billion in 2023 to RMB 6.910 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [7][19].
西部超导(688122):核心技术获得特等奖,下游需求复苏与核聚变项目推进下各业务有望同步迎来增量
Orient Securities· 2025-06-05 14:45
核心技术获得特等奖,下游需求复苏与核 聚变项目推进下各业务有望同步迎来增量 核心观点 事件:公司的 EAST 大科学装置千秒级稳态高参数等离子体关键技术及工程应用成果获 得安徽省科学技术进步奖特等奖。 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据行业需求情况下调营收与毛利率,调整 25、26 年 EPS 为 1.60、1.97 元(前值 为 1.92、2.49 元),新增 27 年 EPS 为 2.41 元。参考可比公司 25 年估值水平,对 应 25 年 42 倍 PE,目标价 67.20 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示:行业需求不及预期;产品价格下降风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 4,159 | 4,612 | 6,028 | 7,337 | 8,839 | | 同比增长 (%) | -1.6% | 10.9% | 30.7% | 21.7% | 20.5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 870 | 1,007 | 1,318 | 1,6 ...
科泰电源:发电机组龙头,把握数据中心发展机遇-20250605
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-05 13:25
公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 科泰电源(300153) 证券研究报告 发电机组龙头,把握数据中心发展机遇 以电力设备业务为核心,形成"一主两翼"的业务格局。公司成立于 2002 年,主要以电力设备板块为核心业务。作为高新技术企业,公司向多领域 投资布局,形成了"以电力设备业务为核心,以节能环保和新能源业务为 两翼"的业务格局。 基本数据 A 股总股本(百万股) 320.00 流通 A 股股本(百万股) 318.33 A 股总市值(百万元) 9,148.80 流通 A 股市值(百万元) 9,101.06 每股净资产(元) 2.77 资产负债率(%) 53.86 作者 电力设备需求增长乐观,数据中心为柴油发动机业务带来增长机遇。 公司发挥供应链与品牌优势,把握市场机遇。 盈利预测与估值:预计 2025-2027 年公司总营收分别为 21.25/27.73/35.73 亿元,同增 67%/30%/29%; 归母净利润分别为 2.76/3.76/4.75 亿元,同比 +689%/+36%/+26%。考虑公司目前在高端柴油发电机行业的龙头地位,给 予公司 2025 年 45X PE,对应公司目标价为 38.81 元,首次 ...
长安汽车动态跟踪 —— 深蓝、阿维塔均实现同比高增长,新能源车比重提升
Orient Securities· 2025-06-05 13:20
⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年归母净利润 80.30、94.71、113.13 亿元,维持可比公司 25 年平 均 PE 估值 21 倍,目标价 17.01 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示 长安福特销量低于预期、长安马自达销量低于预期、长安自主品牌销量低于预期、行业 价格战影响盈利。 公司主要财务信息 深蓝、阿维塔均实现同比高增长,新能源 车比重提升 核心观点 ⚫ 盈利预测与投资建议 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 151,298 | 159,733 | 180,654 | 200,457 | 219,509 | | 同比增长 (%) | 24.8% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 10,447 | 6,624 | 8,395 | 9,919 | 11,868 | | 同比增长 (%) | 36.9% | -36.6% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | | 归属母公司净利润( ...
光威复材:大飞机自主可控持续加速,航空装备无人化拉动需求增长-20250605
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-05 13:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking it as the first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in high-performance carbon fiber, benefiting from dual growth drivers in military and civilian markets, with a comprehensive industry chain established since its founding in 1992 [1][13]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.715 billion yuan in 2019 to 2.450 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.38%, while net profit is expected to rise from 522 million yuan to 741 million yuan in the same period, reflecting a CAGR of 7.25% [2][28]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for domestic carbon fiber in the aviation sector, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and the need for self-sufficiency in key materials [3][46]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established a full industry chain from precursor to composite materials, covering both military and civilian applications, and has developed core technologies such as wet and dry spinning [1][18]. - It has a diversified customer base and a strong technological barrier in high-end equipment, which positions it well to expand market share during industry consolidation [2][28]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-performance domestic carbon fiber is entering a strategic expansion phase, particularly in the aviation sector, where the application of composite materials is increasing significantly [3][46]. - The company has seen a substantial increase in its T800 grade products, with a reported 495% year-on-year revenue growth in 2024, indicating strong market traction [3][52]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 898 million yuan, 1.073 billion yuan, and 1.275 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.08 yuan, 1.29 yuan, and 1.53 yuan [4][60]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 28.61, 23.97, and 20.16 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][60]. Business Segments - The company operates across six major business segments, including carbon fiber, general new materials, energy new materials, composite technology, precision machinery, and optical technology, which collectively support its growth strategy [18][19]. - The carbon fiber segment is expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with a projected increase in demand from the aerospace and wind energy sectors [53][55]. Growth Drivers - The ongoing transition towards unmanned and lightweight military equipment is expected to drive substantial growth in carbon fiber demand, with its usage in military aircraft structures increasing from single digits to 30%-50% [4][40]. - The low-altitude economy is anticipated to enter a new era of growth, with the market size projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025, further enhancing the demand for carbon fiber materials [56][58].
长安汽车(000625):深蓝、阿维塔均实现同比高增长,新能源车比重提升
Orient Securities· 2025-06-05 13:17
深蓝、阿维塔均实现同比高增长,新能源 车比重提升 核心观点 ⚫ 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年归母净利润 80.30、94.71、113.13 亿元,维持可比公司 25 年平 均 PE 估值 21 倍,目标价 17.01 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示 长安福特销量低于预期、长安马自达销量低于预期、长安自主品牌销量低于预期、行业 价格战影响盈利。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 151,298 | 159,733 | 180,654 | 200,457 | 219,509 | | 同比增长 (%) | 24.8% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 10,447 | 6,624 | 8,395 | 9,919 | 11,868 | | 同比增长 (%) | 36.9% | -36.6% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | | 归属母公司净利润( ...
光威复材(300699):大飞机自主可控持续加速,航空装备无人化拉动需求增长
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-05 12:50
碳纤维无人化装备结构占比实现跃升,无人化&轻量化牵引军品稳增长 公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 光威复材(300699) 证券研究报告 大飞机自主可控持续加速,航空装备无人化拉动需求增长 高性能碳纤维龙头,军民双轮驱动发展 光威复材作为国内碳纤维国产化先驱,自 1992 年成立以来构建了从原丝到复合材 料的全产业链布局,覆盖军工与民用双领域,掌握湿喷湿纺、干喷湿纺等核心技术, 产品广泛应用于航空航天、风电能源等高精尖场景。公司通过股权架构优化平衡战 略定力与资本弹性,依托六大业务板块协同发展,形成技术突破、产能升级与市场 拓展的闭环生态,奠定行业标杆地位。 多维协同筑牢增长基本盘,技术升级驱动抗周期韧性 公司 2019-2024 年营收规模由 17.15 亿元增至 24.50 亿元(CAGR 7.38%),归母净利 润从 5.22 亿元增至 7.41 亿元(CAGR 7.25%),在行业产能过剩与产品价格下行压力 下业绩有所波动,但公司研发聚焦 T1100 级碳纤维等关键技术突破,支撑新一代武 器装备、低空经济、民机配套等新兴场景布局,其整体盈利能力保持行业领先。我 们认为,公司依托纵向产业链协同优势、分散化客户 ...
铂力特(688333):营收保持稳健增长,布局3C、人形机器人等新领域
CMS· 2025-06-05 12:39
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 06 月 05 日 铂力特(688333.SH) 营收保持稳健增长,布局 3C、人形机器人等新领域 中游制造/军工 2024 年,公司实现营收 13.26 亿元,同比+15.02%,实现归母净利润 1.04 亿, 同比-5.26%,扣非归母净利润 3,567.43 万元,同比-51.98%。25Q1,公司实现 营收 2.27 亿,同比+7.30%,归母净利润-1,495.02 万,同比-1661.37%。公司 扣非归母净利润-2,701.60 万,同比-89.99%。 强烈推荐(维持) 目标估值:NA 当前股价:57.79 元 基础数据 | 总股本(百万股) | 272 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(百万股) | 272 | | 总市值(十亿元) | 15.7 | | 流通市值(十亿元) | 15.7 | | 每股净资产(MRQ) | 17.6 | | ROE(TTM) | 1.9 | | 资产负债率 | 38.0% | | 主要股东 | 折生阳 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 16.57% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -9 ...
科泰电源(300153):发电机组龙头,把握数据中心发展机遇
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-05 11:20
公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 科泰电源(300153) 证券研究报告 发电机组龙头,把握数据中心发展机遇 以电力设备业务为核心,形成"一主两翼"的业务格局。公司成立于 2002 年,主要以电力设备板块为核心业务。作为高新技术企业,公司向多领域 投资布局,形成了"以电力设备业务为核心,以节能环保和新能源业务为 两翼"的业务格局。 电力设备需求增长乐观,数据中心为柴油发动机业务带来增长机遇。 公司发挥供应链与品牌优势,把握市场机遇。 盈利预测与估值:预计 2025-2027 年公司总营收分别为 21.25/27.73/35.73 亿元,同增 67%/30%/29%; 归母净利润分别为 2.76/3.76/4.75 亿元,同比 +689%/+36%/+26%。考虑公司目前在高端柴油发电机行业的龙头地位,给 予公司 2025 年 45X PE,对应公司目标价为 38.81 元,首次覆盖给予"买入" 评级。 风险提示:下游需求增长不及预期;市场竞争风险;原材料供应稳定性风 险;原材料价格波动风险;产业政策调整风险;股价波动较大风险;信息 披露不准确风险。 | 财务数据和估值 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | ...