2月2日，A股市场整体下跌。截至收盘，上证指数收报4015.75点，下跌2.48%，深证成指收报 13824.35点，下跌2.69%，创业板指收报3264.11点，下跌2.46%，北证50指数下跌2.03%。 1. A股市场全天资金净流出539.77亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出143.2亿元，尾盘净流出157.11亿元，A股市场全天资金净流出 539.77亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | | 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | 2026-2-2 | -539.77 | -143. 20 | -157. 11 | -384. 36 | | 2026-1-30 | -595. 71 | -279.84 | -50. 70 | -303.01 | | 2026-1-29 | -602. 22 | -221.16 | -98.94 | -296. 09 | | 2026-1-28 | -274.87 | -58.90 | -29.34 | -118. 55 | | ...

志邦家居：2025年归母净利润为1.7亿元到2.2亿元 1月21日，志邦家居发布2025年业绩预告。根据公告，志邦家居预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润1.7亿元到2.2亿元。预计2025年度实现归属 于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润1.1亿元到1.5亿元。 尚品宅配预计2025年净利润亏损2.5亿元至2亿元 尚品宅配公告，预计2025年度归母净利润亏损2.5亿元至2亿元，上年同期为亏损2.15亿元。受房地产市场持续低迷的传导拖累，家居行业整体需求端持续 承压。面对行业下行压力，公司主动出击、积极破局，在AI技术深化应用、门墙柜一体化布局、渠道结构优化升级、整装业务模式革新、海外布点加速 等关键领域持续发力，同时坚定不移推进降本增效与精细化费用管控，以一系列务实举措稳步积蓄发展动能。但受房地产行业下行态势的持续影响，公司 整体经营业绩承压，营业收入同比有所下滑；叠加部分成本具有刚性特征，毛利率面临一定压力，最终导致净利润仍然亏损。 | म् 目 | | 本报告期 | | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司 | -25,000 | ...

Market Overview - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a decline of 4.35% on February 2, with Gu Di Technology leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Huali Co., Ltd. (603038) with a closing price of 17.80, up 3.61% [1] - Yangzi New Materials (002652) at 4.01, up 1.78% [1] - Significant decliners included: - Gu Di Technology (002694) at 3.33, down 10.00% [2] - Fangda Group (000055) at 3.84, down 9.65% [2] - Luyang Energy-Saving (002088) at 12.25, down 7.76% [2] Trading Volume and Value - Huali Co., Ltd. had a trading volume of 151,500 shares and a transaction value of 274 million yuan [1] - Gu Di Technology recorded a trading volume of 93,800 shares with a transaction value of 31.23 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net outflow of 380 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 310 million yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Gu Di Technology had a net inflow of 3.05 million yuan from institutional investors but a net outflow of 3.73 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Huali Co., Ltd. experienced a net inflow of 3.01 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 13.28 million yuan [3]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 地产链有望震荡向上 2026 年 02 月 02 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《继续看好地产链估值修复》 2026-01-26 《社融增速小幅回落，关注红利高股 息等方向》 2026-01-19 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2026.1.23–2026.1.30，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.73%，同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数涨跌幅分别为 0.08%、-1.59%，超 额收益分别为 0.65%、2.32%。 ◼ 大宗建材基本面与高 ...

2026 年 02 月 02 日 三棵树(603737.SH) 本报告版权属于国投证券股份有限公司，各项声明请参见报告尾页。 1 公司快报 | | 证券研究报告 | | --- | --- | | | 涂料油墨颜料 | | 投资评级 | 买入-A | | | 维持评级 | | 12 个月目标价 | 66.6 元 | | 股价 (2026-01-30) | 56.86 元 | | 交易数据 | | | 总市值(百万元) | 41,952.30 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 41,952.30 | | 总股本(百万股) | 737.82 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 737.82 | 2025 年归母净利润同比高增，高端零 售战略转型卓有成效 事件：公司发布 2025 年业绩预增公告，预计 2025 年归母净利 润 7.6 亿元-9.6 亿元，同比增加 128.96%-189.21%；预计 2025 年 扣非归母净利润 5.5 亿元-7.5 亿元之间，同比增加 273.57%- 409.42%。 2025 年归母净利润同比高增，2026 年盈利能力改善有望持续。 2025 年公司归母净利润预计 7.6 亿元- ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The records primarily discuss the cyclical sector, including commodities like precious metals, chemicals, oil shipping, and aviation [1][2][12]. Core Insights and Arguments Monetary Policy and Market Impact - **Federal Reserve's Stance**: Kevin Walsh's hawkish position as the new Fed Chair has temporarily alleviated concerns about the Fed's independence, but his proposed policies of balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts may not effectively address issues like deficit monetization and government debt financing costs [1][27]. - **Liquidity Environment**: Both domestic and international liquidity conditions are currently loose, supporting price increases in precious and non-ferrous metals. Geopolitical instability and de-dollarization trends provide long-term support for these assets [1][4]. Commodity Performance - **Cyclical Sector Performance**: The cyclical sector in the A-share market has shown strong performance since early 2026, with significant gains in non-ferrous metals, particularly a 60% increase in precious metals in January [2][23]. - **Chemical Sector**: Despite recent price increases, the chemical sector is in a seasonal demand lull, and valuations are no longer attractive. The long-term outlook indicates a decrease in global chemical capacity growth due to reduced capital expenditure in China [5][6]. Oil Shipping Market - **High Demand and Pricing**: The oil shipping market is experiencing high demand due to OPEC+ production increases, with the VLOC freight index showing significant price increases. The market is characterized by limited supply and high demand, indicating a strong bullish outlook [1][13][14]. Aviation Sector - **Valuation and Recovery**: The aviation sector is currently facing short-term losses, but valuations have reached reasonable levels. Ticket prices are expected to recover and potentially exceed 2019 levels, with profit peaks possibly reaching 15 billion to 20 billion yuan [1][15][16]. Highway Sector - **Investment Attractiveness**: The highway sector has become more attractive relative to the broader market, with specific stocks like Sichuan Chengyu and Shenzhen International offering high dividend yields [1][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Geopolitical Factors**: The significant rise in non-ferrous metals prices in January 2026 was driven by geopolitical factors rather than traditional supply-demand dynamics, including U.S. interventions in various regions and military demand [23][25]. - **Future Trends in Chemical Industry**: The chemical industry is expected to face challenges due to stricter carbon emission regulations and reduced capital expenditure, leading to a decline in capacity growth [7][8][9]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Despite short-term price corrections, the long-term outlook for various commodities remains positive, with potential for price recovery as supply constraints and demand growth align [11][30][31]. Conclusion The cyclical sector is currently navigating a complex landscape influenced by monetary policy, geopolitical factors, and sector-specific dynamics. Investment opportunities exist, particularly in oil shipping, aviation, and select highway stocks, while caution is advised in the chemical sector due to valuation concerns and regulatory pressures.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The real estate market in first-tier cities has shown strong performance, particularly in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1][2] - Government debt issuance has significantly increased, with a total of 863.35 billion yuan in January 2026, reflecting a 204.3% month-on-month increase and a 54.8% year-on-year increase, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal projects [1] - The glass manufacturing sector is approaching a supply-demand balance due to accelerated cold repairs, while photovoltaic glass companies are reducing production to ease supply tensions [1][3] - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming process, with increased off-peak production efforts and a focus on regional demand recovery, particularly in areas like Tibet and Xinjiang [1][2] - The demand for fiberglass remains robust, driven by growth in wind energy and high-end applications, indicating structural investment opportunities [1][6] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the national cement price index is 342.94 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.278 million tons, a decrease of 4.27% [2][18] - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns is 45.19%, up 2.77 percentage points from the previous week, indicating a slight recovery in production [2][18] - The market is currently undergoing structural adjustments, with infrastructure remaining the main support but showing weak growth [2][18] Glass Industry Tracking - As of January 29, 2026, the average price of float glass is 1144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.53% [3][31] - Inventory levels have decreased, with a total of 49.27 million weight boxes, down 500,000 from the previous week [3][31] - Demand is expected to slow down as many small processing plants will shut down for the holiday, leading to a quieter market [3][31] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving remains stable, with demand primarily driven by essential purchases, while supply remains unchanged [6] - The average price of electronic yarn is stable, with expectations of price increases in high-end products due to ongoing demand [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber price remains stable, with a weekly production of 2,369 tons and an operating rate of 76.28% [7] - The industry continues to face profitability challenges, with an average production cost of 113,300 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from the recovery in second-hand housing and renovation demand, with significant potential for market share growth [1][6]

| | | 【2月1日晚间重要公告摘要】 | | --- | --- | --- | | 类型 | 公司 | 主要内容 | | | 吉华集团 | 控股股东筹划控制权变更 2日起停牌 | | 聚焦 | | 赛力斯等多家车企披露1月产销数据 | | | 福石控股 | 实控人、董事长兼总经理被留置 | | | 指南针 海航控股 | 2025年净利润同比增加118.74% 拟10派0.8元 2025年预盈18亿元至22亿元 同比扭亏 | | | | 11 11 - | | | 南方航空 | 2025年预盈8亿至10亿元 同比扭亏 | | | 奥比中光 | 2025年预盈1.23亿元 同比扭亏 | | | 宏微科技 | 2025年预盈1400万元至2100万元 同比扭亏 | | 业绩精选 | 赛诺医疗 | 2025年净利润同比预增2767%至3233% | | | 博杰股份 | 预计2025年净利润同比增长484.16%至618.97% | | | 太极集团 | 2025年净利润同比预增313% | | | 中际旭创 | 预计2025年净利润同比增长89.50%至128.17% | | | 中金公司 | 2025年净利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from a new round of urban renewal, with significant potential in the consumer building materials segment as it shows resilience against the declining demand in the new housing market [2][9]. - The industry is witnessing a consolidation trend, with leading companies emerging from the profit trough, while smaller firms are being eliminated due to declining profitability [2][9]. - Price increases have been observed in various segments, including waterproofing, coatings, and gypsum board, as companies adjust their strategies post-downturn [2][9]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is entering a traditional off-season, with demand expected to weaken. The average price is around 350 RMB per ton, showing a slight decrease of 2.7 RMB per ton [25][32]. - The average shipment rate for cement companies has increased by approximately 3 percentage points, reaching about 32% [27][32]. - Recommendations include companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on potential new projects post-Chinese New Year [32]. Glass - The glass sector is also entering a demand lull, with the average price of float glass at 1,145 RMB per ton, reflecting a weekly increase of 6 RMB [34]. - Inventory levels have decreased, with a reported stock of approximately 4,927 million weight boxes, down by 1% week-on-week [34]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as the industry anticipates a stabilization point after recent downturns [34][46]. Fiberglass - The fiberglass market is expected to maintain stable prices in the short term, with a potential for price increases post-holiday due to stable demand in wind power and thermoplastic sectors [9][12]. - The price of electronic cloth is currently stable, with expectations for continued high demand in mid-to-high-end products [12]. - Key recommendations include China Jushi and International Composites, with a focus on their growth potential [9][12]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are stable, with the commercial aerospace sector expected to drive new demand growth in 2026 [12][15]. - The industry is currently facing profitability pressures, but the development of commercial aerospace may provide new opportunities [12][15]. - Companies to monitor include Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites, as they may benefit from this emerging demand [12][15].

Core Insights - The construction materials industry is currently at a low valuation level, with a focus on urban renewal and related opportunities. The allocation ratio for construction materials in Q4 2025 is 0.72%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery [6][15]. Group 1: Urban Renewal and Market Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice on January 20, 2026, to support urban renewal actions, providing specific operational guidelines for the "14th Five-Year Plan" urban renewal strategy. This includes a focus on "two renewals and two new projects," emphasizing the construction of underground pipelines and comprehensive utility tunnels [24]. - Companies involved in urban renewal and the renovation of old neighborhoods, such as Dongfang Yuhong, Keshun Co., Sankeshu, Weixing New Materials, and China Liansu, are recommended for attention [24]. Group 2: Construction Materials Sector Overview - The construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026. The supply-side adjustments and structural changes in demand are expected to support this recovery [37]. - The cement market saw a 0.8% decrease in prices week-on-week, with the national average price at 345 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026. The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Shafeng Cement recommended for investment [6][38]. Group 3: Key Company Developments - Keshun Co. established a semiconductor company to explore a second growth curve, focusing on integrated circuit chips and related technologies [20]. - Weixing New Materials plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtiancheng Technology Co., enhancing its capabilities in municipal pipeline systems and expanding its market reach [23]. - Leading companies in the construction materials sector, such as Sankeshu and Huaxin Cement, are expected to report significant profit growth in 2025, driven by strong operational resilience and strategic adjustments [25][27].