Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry in China [6] Core Insights - The focus remains on the combination of IO (Immuno-Oncology) and ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugates), with significant advancements expected in their joint applications [10][11] - The year 2026 is identified as a critical year for the confirmation of IO combined with ADC, with expectations for increased demand for ADCs, particularly in the context of various cancer treatments [11][41] Summary by Sections Section 1: Focus on Second-Generation IO and ADC - Merck's sac-TMT is a strategic focus, with 16 ongoing Phase III clinical trials, particularly in gynecological tumors [14][15] - AstraZeneca has 8 ADCs in clinical stages, with significant data readouts expected in 2026 [19][20] - Pfizer is advancing 4 Phase III trials for its PD-1/VEGF dual antibody SSGJ-707, highlighting its strategic importance in oncology [26][27] - Johnson & Johnson aims to become the leading oncology company by 2030, focusing on multiple myeloma and other cancers [30] - Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) is advancing its PD-L1/VEGF dual antibody with multiple ongoing trials [32] Section 2: Confirming the Year of "IO+ADC" Combination - The combination of IO and ADC is seen as a key development direction, with various clinical trials underway [41] - The first-generation IO combined with ADC is competitive, with sac-TMT emerging as a significant player [42] - The second-generation IO combined with chemotherapy is led by AK112, with multiple milestones expected in the coming years [47] - The second-generation IO combined with ADC is still in early exploration, with AstraZeneca leading the way [49] Section 3: Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report identifies several investment targets, including Kangfang Biotech, 3SBio, and others, emphasizing their potential in the oncology sector [11][56]

1月28日，港股通创新药板块回暖，龙头股石药集团涨超3%，百济神州、中国生物制药、信达生物集体 上涨。 100%创新药研发标的——港股通创新药ETF（520880）一度涨逾1.5%，成交快速突破2亿元。近期资 金面持续升温，截至昨日，520880近5日吸金1.9亿元，份额升至46.18亿份，再创历史新高。 | 分时 多日 1分 5分 * | | | | F9 盘前盘后 霞加 九转 画线 工具 (2 >> | | | | | 港股票创新的ETF (1) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.539 | | | 520880[層胶通创新药ETF] 10:40 价 0.530 温跃 0.005(0.95%) 均价 | | ದ್ರಿ 1.92% | | 0.530 +0.005 +0.95% | | | 520880 | | 0.532 | | TUM | | | 1.28% | | SSE CNY 10:40:41 交易中 查看L2全国 | | | T+0 酸 / 原 用 | | | | | | | | ...

以下文章来源于阿基米德Biotech ，作者阿基米德君 1月2 0日，历史上一个平淡的日子，唯一的热闹，可能是大寒之日上海飘雪。同日，另 一 场 寒 潮 却 无 声 无 息 ， 恒 生 生 物 科 技 指 数 （ HSHKBIO ） 成 交 额 跌 破 1 0 0 亿 港 币 ， 与 2 0 2 5年最高点相比下降近8 0 %，1 5家港股1 8A公司日成交额不足1 0 0万港币。 创新药在研发主战场外，正在开辟争夺流动性的第二战场。 技术和资本，一体两面，是创新药企的两大属性。早期生物科技没有自我造血功能，全 靠资本输血。成熟创新药企在每一个重要节点，跃升到更高发展阶段，也靠资本支持。 当前，通过港股1 8A通道上市的生物科技企业已达8 5家(含摘B)，还有超过8 0家递表排 队，而流动性却在指缝间溜走。自研能力不够硬，又不做市值管理的公司，等于自动退 出流动性争夺战，被边缘化，被遗忘，直至丧失融资能力。 阿基米德Biotech . 生物科技第三方独立观察，提前感知行业边际变化，客观中立，深入浅出，松弛愉悦 流动性。 作者 / 阿基米德君 来源 / 阿基米德Biotech （ID：ArchimedesBio ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Insights - The overall and weighted holdings of public funds in the pharmaceutical sector reached a new low since 2018 in Q4 2025, with the pharmaceutical heavy holdings accounting for 8.0% of all public funds, down 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][9] - The total scale of pharmaceutical funds in Q4 2025 was 394.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.2% from the previous quarter, with active pharmaceutical funds at 177.7 billion yuan, down 14% [20] - The proportion of passive pharmaceutical funds has increased significantly from 18% in Q1 2018 to 55% in Q4 2025, indicating a shift towards passive investment strategies in the sector [20] Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q4 2025, the pharmaceutical sector saw a decrease in active fund holdings, with active pharmaceutical funds accounting for 33% of the total pharmaceutical heavy holdings, up 2 percentage points, while non-pharmaceutical active funds accounted for 26%, down 5.1 percentage points [3][13] - The top five holdings by market value in public funds included Heng Rui Medicine (31.7 billion), WuXi AppTec (29.6 billion), and Innovent Biologics (16.6 billion) [6] - The top three increases in active fund holdings were for Tigermed (1.7 billion), Yimeng Biologics (1.4 billion), and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1.3 billion) [6] Sector-Specific Trends - The report highlights a shift in fund holdings towards innovative drugs and CXO services, while traditional Chinese medicine and high-value consumables are underweighted [6] - The report notes that the proportion of holdings in traditional Chinese medicine and biotech has increased, while holdings in BioPharma and CXO have decreased significantly [6][28] - The overall market value of holdings in the Bio-Tech sector reached 7.25% in Q4 2025, marking the highest level since Q1 2018, with active pharmaceutical funds holding 4.9% [28]

Core Viewpoint - By 2025, China's innovative pharmaceuticals are expected to demonstrate significant global competitiveness, with record overseas transactions and many companies turning profitable [1][2]. Domestic Review - The global competitiveness of Chinese innovative drugs is highlighted, with a record-breaking overseas transaction total exceeding $135 billion in 2025, and upfront payments reaching $7 billion. The average deal size has increased from $600 million to $900 million [2]. - A comprehensive support system from policy, including review and approval processes to medical insurance payments, is being established, leading to a rapid increase in market share for innovative drugs, particularly in oncology and immunology, which now exceeds 32% [2]. - Companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics have already turned profitable, with others like CanSino Biologics and Zai Lab expected to follow suit in the next three years, indicating a positive cycle of capital influx, R&D iteration, and value realization [2]. Overseas Review - The S&P Biotechnology Index has risen over 50% from its bottom in the second half of 2025, driven by interest rate cuts that have shifted funds from tech stocks to biotech [3]. - Major pharmaceutical companies (MNCs) are actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to supplement their pipelines, particularly in oncology and immunology, as they face a "patent cliff" with key drugs like Keytruda and Opdivo losing patent protection by 2027-2028 [3]. Assessment - Chinese companies are becoming significant partners for the top 20 MNCs, with Chinese transaction amounts accounting for 40% of the global innovative drug market. China is transitioning from a "fast-follower" to a "smart-innovator" in fields like PD-1 bispecific antibodies, ADCs, and small nucleic acids, leading in pipeline numbers and clinical progress [4]. - The speed and cost advantages of Chinese innovative drug companies are notable, with patient recruitment occurring at 2-5 times the speed of international counterparts and costs being half that of Western companies [4]. Key Tracks and Investment Opportunities - Bispecific antibodies are expected to surpass $120 billion in global sales, with Chinese companies leading the development of second-generation IO products [5]. - ADCs are seeing significant contributions from China, with over half of the global pipeline, and are expected to achieve proof of concept (POC) validation by 2026 [5]. - Combination therapies in oncology are showing synergistic effects, with key clinical data expected in 2026 [5]. - The market for iRAS inhibitors is projected to exceed $8 billion in the U.S., with critical breakthroughs anticipated in 2026 [5]. - Small nucleic acids are expanding into broader applications, with key products expected to commercialize and deliver critical data in 2026 [5]. - Protein degradation technologies are advancing rapidly, with numerous autoimmune disease targets expected to yield data in 2026 [5]. - The metabolic and cardiovascular fields are also poised for breakthroughs, with new targets addressing issues like muscle loss associated with GLP-1 therapies [5]. Main Lines and Recommended Focus - Recommended companies in the bispecific antibody space include CanSino Biologics, Innovent Biologics, and others [7]. - ADC-focused companies include I-Mab, Kelun-Biotech, and others [7]. - Small nucleic acid companies to watch include Ribobio, BIBO, and others [7]. - Strategic combinations to consider include CanSino Biologics, BeiGene, and others [8]. - Flexible combinations include BIBO, Eifang Biologics, and others [8]. - Stable combinations include Hengrui Medicine, China National Pharmaceutical Group, and others [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that innovative drugs are expected to show significant excess returns in 2025, driven by continuous BD overseas expansion, excellent clinical data, and policy support [1] - The CXO sector is anticipated to experience substantial growth due to the recovery in demand and improved investment environment in the global pharmaceutical industry [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on new technologies, particularly bispecific antibodies, small nucleic acid drugs, AI healthcare, and brain-computer interface innovations [3] Group 2 - Domestic supply and demand are relatively stable, with national health expenditure showing a year-on-year growth of 4.7% from January to November 2025, marking a positive turnaround after two years of decline [2] - The medical insurance fund's income and expenditure growth rates continue to decline, with total income of 2.63 trillion yuan (+2.9%) and expenditure of 2.11 trillion yuan (+0.5%) from January to November [2] - The report suggests that the commercialization of new drug forms is entering a critical phase, with significant clinical data supporting the application of B-cell depletion therapies in autoimmune diseases [3] Group 3 - Investment recommendations include focusing on innovative overseas expansion and new technology directions, with suggested stocks such as Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and others [4] - The report highlights the potential for explosive growth in the global market for brain-computer interfaces, supported by policy incentives and technological breakthroughs [3]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, particularly focusing on the overseas expansion of innovative drugs and the adoption of new technologies [1][4]. - The investment rating for the sector is maintained at "outperform the market" [2]. Group 1: Market Overview and Trends - The overseas market for innovative drugs and the CXO industry is expected to perform exceptionally well in 2025, driven by continuous business development (BD) activities, strong clinical data, and supportive policies [4]. - The domestic supply and demand remain stable, with a shift in payment systems favoring innovation. National health expenditure increased by 4.7% year-on-year in the first 11 months of 2025, marking a recovery after two years of decline [4]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in new drug forms such as dual antibodies and small nucleic acid drugs, as well as innovations in AI healthcare and brain-machine interfaces [4]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with global competitiveness and differentiated innovation capabilities, as well as domestic CXO leaders with high barriers in cost control, technology accumulation, and production capacity [4]. - Recommended stocks include Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, Kelaiying, Aier Eye Hospital, and several others, with specific mention of H-shares like Kelun-Bio and CanSino Biologics [4][5]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - The report provides a detailed strategy portfolio for 2026, listing companies along with their projected net profits and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating a generally positive outlook for the sector [5]. - The pharmaceutical sector's overall performance in 2025 was strong, with significant gains in sub-sectors such as medical services and chemical pharmaceuticals, driven by BD collaborations and clinical data releases [12][23]. Group 4: Fund Holdings and Market Sentiment - As of Q4 2025, the net asset value of pharmaceutical funds decreased by 9.0%, with a notable shift where passive funds surpassed active funds for the first time since 2019 [25][32]. - The report indicates a decline in the proportion of pharmaceutical holdings in both active and non-pharmaceutical funds, with a concentration in chemical preparations and other biological products [32][40].

Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) has initiated two new Phase III clinical trials (ROSETTA Lung-201 and ROSETTA Lung-202) for Pumitamig, a PD-L1/VEGF-A dual antibody, indicating a strong commitment to advancing its oncology pipeline [1][7]. Group 1: Clinical Trials - ROSETTA Lung-201 aims to enroll 850 patients with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who have not experienced disease progression after platinum-based chemotherapy, evaluating the efficacy and safety of Pumitamig compared to durvalumab as a subsequent treatment [1][8]. - ROSETTA Lung-202 plans to include 750 previously untreated patients with advanced NSCLC and PD-L1 expression ≥50%, assessing the efficacy and safety of Pumitamig versus pembrolizumab as a first-line treatment [3][10]. Group 2: Development History - Pumitamig was initially discovered by Prometheus Biosciences, which granted global development, production, and commercialization rights outside of China to BioNTech in November 2023. Prometheus was subsequently acquired by BioNTech for a total of $950 million [1][8]. - In June 2025, BMS acquired global collaboration and commercialization rights for Pumitamig from BioNTech for $11.1 billion, highlighting the strategic value placed on this asset [1][8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - To date, Pumitamig has been involved in five head-to-head Phase II/III or III clinical trials against PD-(L)1 drugs, with positive control drugs including pembrolizumab, nivolumab, durvalumab, and atezolizumab [5][12]. - BMS is noted for its proactive approach in advancing clinical development for introduced products, particularly in the context of PD-(L)1 dual antibodies [5][12].

（於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司） 香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 告 之 內 容 概 不 負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部 或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Akeso, Inc. 康 方 生 物 科 技（ 開 曼 ）有 限 公 司 誠 如 該 公 告 所 披 露 ， 正 大 天 晴 由 兩 名 股 東 持 有 6 % 權 益 。 本 公 司 謹 此 補 充 ， 正 大 天 晴 的 兩 名股 東 分 別 為 連 雲 港 彼 達諮 詢 中 心（ 一 家 於 中 國 成 立 之 合 夥企 業 ， 其 普 通合夥人為孫鍵並擁有39名有限合夥人 ），持有正大天晴5 %股權；及江蘇朗泰科 技 實 業 有 限 公 司（ 一 家 於 中 國 成 立 之 有 限 公 司 ， 由 張 沁 控 制 ）， 持 有 正 大 天 晴 1 % 股權。 上述補充資料並不影響該公告所載之其他資料，該等資料維持不變。 承董事會命 （股 份 代 號：9926） 持續關連 ...

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The report highlights the ongoing decline in the national population and birth rates, with a significant increase in the elderly population, which is expected to drive demand for home medical devices and supplies [5][21] - The report emphasizes the long-term positive trend in the innovative drug sector, supported by the strength of China's innovative drug companies in global competition [7] - The medical device sector is showing signs of improvement, with major companies reporting better performance in Q3, indicating a potential recovery in the industry [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - As of January 26, 2026, the closing index stands at 8623.36, with a 52-week high of 9323.49 and a low of 6876.88 [1] Recent Market Performance - During the week of January 19-23, 2026, the A-share pharmaceutical sector fell by 0.39%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.23 percentage points but underperforming the ChiNext index by 0.05 percentage points [6][24] - The medical device sector is expected to attract more investment as the pressure from centralized procurement diminishes [9][30] Population and Demographics - By the end of 2025, the total population of China was 1,404.89 million, with a natural population growth rate of -2.41% [15] - The elderly population (aged 65 and above) reached 22,365 million, accounting for 15.9% of the total population, indicating a trend towards an aging society [18][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the elderly care medical sector, such as Yuyue Medical, Kefu Medical, and Loxin Medical, due to the anticipated increase in demand for home medical devices [5][22] - In the innovative drug sector, companies like Innovent Biologics and Kintor Pharmaceutical are highlighted as beneficiaries of the growing global participation of Chinese innovative drug firms [7][27] - For the medical device sector, companies such as Mindray and Hunan Aohua are recommended due to their improving performance and market position [9][30] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in the medical device sector as procurement policies become more reasonable and the pressure from centralized procurement decreases [30] - The innovative drug sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with more innovative projects anticipated in 2026 [26][28]