Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices showed weak performance on January 30, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 2.08% to 27,387.11 points, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 2.47%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreasing by 2.1% [1][2] - For the month, the Hang Seng Index recorded a cumulative increase of 6.85%, briefly surpassing 28,000 points, marking a four-year high, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 4.53% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 3.67% [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with Kuaishou and Xiaomi dropping over 3%, and Tencent falling by 2.57% [2][4] - Precious metals experienced a significant sell-off, with gold, aluminum, and copper prices retreating sharply [2] - The application software sector continued to decline, with Kingdee International dropping by 7.7% and Kingsoft falling nearly 4% [2] - Local retail stocks in Hong Kong saw widespread declines, with Chow Tai Fook down by 6.7% [2] - Some education stocks rose against the trend, with China Spring rising over 22% and New Oriental increasing by 5.5% [2][14] Specific Stock Movements - Kingdee International's stock price fell to 12.95 HKD, down 7.7% [5] - Kuaishou's stock price decreased to 80.15 HKD, down 3.38% [5] - Tencent's stock price fell to 606.00 HKD, down 2.57% [5] - Precious metal stocks like Chifeng Jilong Gold and Shandong Gold saw declines of over 14% [7] - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price dropped by 10.90% to 60.50 HKD [9] Educational Sector Insights - New Oriental reported a net revenue of 1.19 billion USD for Q2 of FY2026, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, with a net profit of 45.45 million USD, up 42.3% [14] - The management expressed confidence in exceeding annual targets, with a profit margin expansion of 300 basis points [14] Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 3.218 billion HKD, with 2.036 billion HKD from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and 1.182 billion HKD from the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect [20] Market Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to trend positively due to earnings recovery, improved liquidity, low valuations, and policy support, with a structural rebound anticipated in Q1 [22]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively rose this month, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 6.85% to close at 27,387.11 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 3.67% to 5,718.18 points, and the China Enterprises Index up by 4.53% to 9,317.09 points [2] - The Hang Seng Index showed resilience, climbing from a low of 26,498.35 points at the beginning of the month to a recent high of 28,056.10 points before a slight pullback [3] Sector Performance - High-performing sectors this month included AI, consumer goods, and real estate, driven by favorable policies and strong earnings [4] - Notable stock performances included: - Zhizhu (02513.HK) surged by 94.66%, recognized as the "first global large model stock" with strong market confidence in its AGI technology [4] - Woan Robotics (06600.HK) also rose by 94.67%, benefiting from AI and smart manufacturing policies [4] - Mingming Hen Mang (01768.HK) increased by 73.71%, supported by impressive revenue growth of 75.2% year-on-year [4][5] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869.HK) saw a 61.90% increase, driven by rising demand for optical fiber due to AI computing infrastructure [5] Declining Stocks - Declining stocks included: - Zhu Feng Gold (01815.HK), which fell by 22.13% due to fluctuations in international gold prices [8] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) decreased by 16.46% as lithium carbonate futures prices dropped significantly [9] Institutional Insights - Institutional perspectives suggest a continuation of the spring market rally, focusing on dual drivers of policy and earnings [10] - Everbright Securities noted that the Hong Kong market is transitioning from being driven by funds to being driven by earnings, with a structural rebound expected in Q1 [10] - CITIC Securities highlighted three key investment directions: "14th Five-Year Plan" policies, sectors benefiting from policy reversals, and areas likely to gain from the spring rally [10] Education and Technology Sector - The education sector saw significant gains, with China Spring (01969.HK) rising by 22.76% due to AI integration in educational applications [11] - Longfei Optical Fiber (06889.HK) also experienced a slight increase, reflecting ongoing high demand for computing power [13] Commodity Market Impact - The commodity market faced volatility, with gold and other precious metals experiencing significant price fluctuations, impacting related stocks negatively [15][18] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange announced margin adjustments to curb excessive speculation, which may further influence market stability [17]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline on the last trading day of January, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 2.08% to close at 27,387.11 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 2.47% and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 2.1% [1] Monthly Performance - For the month, the Hang Seng Index recorded a cumulative increase of 6.85%, briefly surpassing the 28,000 points mark, reaching a four-year high [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 4.53%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 3.67% over the same period [1] Sector Performance - Some education stocks saw gains, with China Spring rising over 22% and New Oriental increasing by 5.5% post-earnings [1] - Precious metals experienced a significant drop, with spot gold falling below the 5,200 USD mark, and companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold and Shandong Gold declining over 14%, while Ganfeng Lithium dropped nearly 11% [1] - The application software sector continued to decline, with Kingdee International falling by 7.7% and Kingsoft dropping nearly 4% [1] - Local retail stocks in Hong Kong faced widespread declines, with Chow Tai Fook decreasing by 6.7% [1] - CK Hutchison Holdings fell by 4.6% following a ruling by the Panama Supreme Court declaring a port contract unconstitutional [1]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock index opened lower and continued to decline, closing down 2.08% at 27,387.11 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.1% to 5,718.18 points [1] - Major technology stocks experienced declines, with Alibaba down 2.37%, Tencent down 2.57%, and JD Group down 1.92% [1] - Gold stocks plummeted, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining down over 14% and Shandong Gold Mining down over 14% [1] - Lithium mining stocks also fell, with Ganfeng Lithium down nearly 11% and Tianqi Lithium down over 10% [1] - Education and storage chip concepts rose, with New Oriental up 5.52% and China Spring up 22.76% [1] Company Insights - Guoquan (02517.HK) expects revenue of approximately 7.75 billion to 7.85 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 19.8% to 21.3%, with net profit projected at 443 million to 463 million yuan, up 83.7% to 92.0% [2] - Hengrui Medicine (01276.HK) has received acceptance for a new indication application for its innovative drug, which may provide a new treatment option for patients with unresectable liver cancer [2] - Gilead Sciences-B (01672.HK) reported positive top-line results for its oral FASN inhibitor in treating acne [2] - Baiaosaitu-B (02315.HK) anticipates revenue of 1.369 billion to 1.389 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.61% to 41.65%, with net profit expected to rise by 384.26% to 443.88% [2] - Nocera (09969.HK) expects total revenue of approximately 2.365 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year growth of about 134%, and aims to achieve profitability with a net profit of around 633 million yuan [2] Financial Projections - Dazhong Public Utilities (01635.HK) projects net profit between 350 million to 500 million yuan in 2025, an increase of 50.12% to 114.46% [3] - Chunli Medical (01858.HK) expects net profit of 245 million to 288 million yuan in 2025, a rise of 96.01% to 130.41% [3] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) anticipates net profit between 100 million to 115 million yuan in 2025, an increase of approximately 64.7% to 89.5% [4] - China Railway (00390.HK) has recently won several major projects with a total bid amount of approximately 43.292 billion yuan [5] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) expects net profit between 4.5886 billion to 4.7235 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 70.0% to 75.0% [6] - New天绿色能源 (00956.HK) expects to complete a cumulative power generation of 15.2104 million MWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.71% [7] Institutional Views - Guoyuan International suggests that Hong Kong stocks may continue to outperform U.S. stocks due to fiscal cliff and geopolitical factors, benefiting from a trend of diminishing dollar credit [8] - Huatai Securities believes that technology and cyclical "consumables" are likely to lead the rebound in Hong Kong stocks, supported by improved macro data and stable funding conditions [9] - CITIC Securities anticipates that the spring market for Hong Kong stocks will continue, with large-cap stocks showing relative gains and growth sectors supported by policy performing better [9]

2025财年前6个月，东方甄选营收增加5.7%至23亿元。若剔除与辉同行直播间产生的总营收金额，东方 甄选营收由截至2024财年前6个月的20亿元增加17.0%。同时，东方甄选由亏转盈，从2024财年前6个月 的净亏损9650万元转为2025年同期的净利润为2.39亿元。 东方甄选在财报中强调，其自营产品营收从2024财年前六个月的17亿元增加18.1%至2025财年前六个月 的20亿元。东方甄选解释，公司持续加强供应链管理体系，扩大产品类别，增加产品供应数量和SPU。 东方甄选自营产品及直播电商业务总GMV为41亿元。截至2025年11月30日，东方甄选已累计推出801款 自营产品，自营产品GMV在报告期内占总GMV约52.8%，有效带动了整体销售与利润的长期增长。 本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者于玉金 北京报道 通过对品类扩充，东方甄选自营产品GMV有效带动整体销售与利润的长期增长，2025财年前6个月，东 方甄选恢复了总营收与净利润的同比双增长。1月28日，东方甄选（1797.HK）公布了2026财年中期业 绩，2025年6月1日至11月30日，其总营收23亿元，同比增长5.7%，净利润 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company [5][11] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of USD 1.191 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.7%. The education business (including cultural tourism) generated USD 974 million, up 13% YoY, while other businesses (primarily EastBuy) saw revenue of USD 217 million, a 22.9% YoY increase [3][7] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 73 million, surging 68.6% YoY, with a Non-GAAP net margin of 6.1%, expanding by 2 percentage points YoY [3][7] - The overseas study business growth has bottomed out, with revenue from overseas test preparation and consulting at USD 252 million, a 1% YoY increase, indicating a slowdown of 29.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [8][11] - New business segments, including K9 non-academic subject tutoring and learning tablets, achieved a revenue growth of 21.6% YoY to USD 366 million, with the number of learning centers increasing to 1,379, up 21% YoY [4][9] - Operating margins are improving, with the Non-GAAP operating margin expanding by 4.7 percentage points YoY to 7.5% in 2QFY26, driven by margin improvements in new businesses [10][11] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for FY26-FY28 have been raised to USD 5.5 billion, USD 6.11 billion, and USD 6.89 billion, respectively, from previous estimates of USD 5.38 billion, USD 5.98 billion, and USD 6.73 billion [5][11] - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for FY26-FY28 have been adjusted to USD 570 million, USD 629 million, and USD 700 million, respectively, up from previous forecasts of USD 555 million, USD 610 million, and USD 679 million [5][11] - The company is moderating its full-year learning center expansion pace to 10% to improve capacity utilization rates, indicating a strategic shift towards operational efficiency [11]

Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's total revenue for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased by 15% year-on-year to $1.191 billion, exceeding market consensus by 3% and surpassing the company's previous guidance of 9% to 12% [1] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating profit surged by 223% year-on-year to $89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, with a corresponding Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, which is 2.8 percentage points higher than the consensus estimate of 4.7% [1] Future Outlook - Looking ahead, the overall industry situation has not yet recovered, and the merger of the company's test preparation and study abroad consulting businesses is expected to lead to a decline in study abroad revenue [1] - Based on the upward revision of performance expectations, the target price has been raised from HKD 49 to HKD 52, with a rating of "outperform the market" [1] Operational Efficiency - The company has observed ongoing effectiveness in cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures, with progress noted in teacher allocation optimization and product diversification across various dimensions, including OMO, 1V1, small class courses, and subject expansion [1] Business Sustainability - The company's K12 business shows sustainable growth potential, while the study abroad segment faces revenue pressure; however, the company is determined to improve the profitability of this segment [1] - Despite maintaining low double-digit revenue growth, investors are encouraged to focus more on profit growth, as the management has demonstrated a strong commitment to delivering returns to investors [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental-S (09901) [2][7] Core Insights - New Oriental's revenue for 2QFY26 reached USD 1.191 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.7%. The education business (including cultural tourism) generated USD 974 million, up 13% YoY, while other businesses (primarily EastBuy) saw revenue of USD 217 million, a 22.9% YoY increase. Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 73 million, surging 68.6% YoY, with a non-GAAP net margin of 6.1%, expanding by 2 percentage points YoY [5][9] - The overseas study business growth has bottomed out, with revenue from overseas test preparation and consulting at USD 252 million, a 1% YoY increase, indicating a slowdown of 29.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [10] - New business segments, including K9 non-academic tutoring and learning tablets, showed robust growth with a 21.6% YoY increase in revenue to USD 366 million. The number of learning centers increased to 1,379, up 21% YoY [11] - Operating margins are improving, with the non-GAAP operating margin expanding by 4.7 percentage points YoY to 7.5% in 2QFY26. The education business's non-GAAP operating margin was 6.6%, up 3.5 percentage points YoY [12] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for FY26-FY28 have been raised to USD 5.5 billion, USD 6.11 billion, and USD 6.89 billion, respectively. Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for the same period have also been increased to USD 570 million, USD 629 million, and USD 700 million [7][13] - The financial data for FY24 to FY28 indicates a steady growth trajectory, with revenue expected to grow from USD 4.314 billion in FY24 to USD 6.887 billion in FY28, and net profit increasing from USD 464 million to USD 700 million over the same period [16]

机构：光大证券 研究员：陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅 事件：FY26Q2 新东方实现净营收11.91 亿美元，同比+14.7%；实现归母净利润4545万美元，同比 +42.3%；实现Non–GAAP 归母净利润7290 万美元，同比+68.6%。 FY26Q2 核心业务多点开花，全年收入指引上调。 FY26Q2 经营利润大幅提升，经营效率优化成果显著。 FY26Q2 公司Non-GAAP 经营利润为8913 万美元，同比+206.9%。Non-GAAP 经营利润率为7.5%，同比 +4.7pcts，盈利能力大幅改善。利润率的提升主要得益于： 一是聚焦核心经营，未盲目扩张教学点，重点强化教学质量管控、优化市场费用投放；二是降本增效工 作稳步推进。公司降本增效分两阶段推进，第一阶段聚焦精简冗余成本，通过削减非必要市场开支、压 降房租、人员末位淘汰等举措实现；第二阶段主要通过组织架构调整实现规模效应，并依托AI 技术推 进人机替代，进一步降本提效。展望未来，随着后续收入持续增长，以及公司持续推进降本增效措施、 优化成本结构，预计经营利润将继续保持良好改善态势。 盈利预测、估值与评级：考虑到公司各业务发展势头向好，降本增效 ...

机构：华西证券 研究员：唐爽爽/李佳妮 事件概述 新东方发布FY26Q2（截至2025 年11 月30 日）业绩，公司FY26Q2 净收入/归母净利/Non-GAAP 归母净 利（剔除股权激励和公允价值变动损益影响）为11.91/0.455/0.729 亿美元，同比增长 14.7%/42.3%/68.6%。收入超预期主要由于新教育业务增速回升、东方甄选复苏，利润增速高于收入主 要由于毛利率提升1.2PCT、销售费用率下降2.6PCT。 出国教育业务增速分化，核心板块展现增长韧性。1）FY26Q2 海外考试准备和出国咨询业务同比变化 分别为+4.1%/-3.0%（FY26Q1 为1.0%及2.0%）。2）大学生及成人考试业务同比增长12.8%（FY26Q1 为14.4%）。 FY2026Q2 归母净利率提升幅度低于毛利率，主要由于其他收入占比下降、公允价值变动收益转负，部 分抵消了费用率优化的正向影响。（ 1 ） FY2026Q2 公司毛利率/ 归母净利率分别为53.3%/3.8% ， 同比 提升1.2/0.7PCT。（2）从费用率来看，FY2026Q2 销售/管理费用率分别为16.3%/31.4%，同比下降 ...