行业研究丨深度报告丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时选 股？ %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 历史上 A 股牛市中保险及券商表现如何？不同类型牛市下表现何异？节奏及持续性如何？站 在当前如何展望？我们梳理了 2012 年以来几次 A 股上涨周期中保险及券商指数涨跌及行业相 对表现，并进一步梳理一级行业月度涨跌轮动以探究行情节奏，最后结合当前时点进行分析展 望。我们认为当前估值上非银进入配置性价比区间，择时应合理配合政策及监管节奏增配，配 置上推荐高弹性保险与金融 IT。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 21 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时 2] 选股？ [Table_Summary2] 历史 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the establishment of a digital research platform by CICC, aimed at providing efficient, professional, and accurate research services through the integration of insights from over 30 specialized teams and a comprehensive coverage of more than 1,800 stocks [1]. Group 1: Research Services - CICC's digital research platform, "CICC Insight," offers a one-stop service that includes research reports, conference activities, fundamental databases, and research frameworks [1]. - The platform utilizes advanced model technology to enhance the research experience for clients [1]. Group 2: Research Focus and Updates - Daily updates on research focus and timely selection of articles are provided through the "CICC Morning Report" [4]. - Senior analysts are available for live interpretations of market hotspots, enhancing the accessibility of expert insights [4]. Group 3: Data and Frameworks - The platform features over 160 industry research frameworks and more than 40 premium databases, facilitating comprehensive industry analysis [10]. - An AI search function is integrated into the platform, allowing users to filter key points and engage in intelligent Q&A [10].

Core Viewpoint - The joint notification issued by eight Chinese regulatory bodies emphasizes that virtual currencies do not hold the same legal status as fiat currencies and that activities related to virtual currencies are illegal financial activities within China [1][2][4]. Group 1: Virtual Currency Regulation - The notification reiterates the prohibition of virtual currency activities in China, stating that they are illegal financial activities [2][4]. - It specifies that stablecoins linked to fiat currencies, particularly the Chinese yuan, cannot be issued abroad without approval from relevant authorities [4]. - The notification highlights the risks associated with virtual currencies, including cross-border transmission of risks and the potential for illegal fundraising and securities trading [4][7]. Group 2: Real-World Asset Tokenization - The notification defines real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and establishes a regulatory framework that prohibits RWA tokenization activities within China while imposing strict regulations on overseas activities [1][5]. - It emphasizes that any RWA tokenization activities must comply with the principle of "same business, same risk, same rules" and require approval from relevant regulatory bodies [5][6]. - The notification aims to combat illegal financial activities and protect national security and social stability by strictly regulating RWA tokenization [5][7]. Group 3: Enforcement and Compliance - The notification outlines the responsibilities of provincial governments in managing and controlling virtual currency mining activities, reinforcing the ban on such operations [8]. - It calls for strict enforcement against illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and RWA tokenization, with legal consequences for violations [7][8]. - The notification encourages research into the technological foundations of virtual currencies, such as blockchain, while promoting controlled exploration of digital currency applications in cross-border payments [8].

Strategy - The price of gold exceeding $5,500 per ounce marks a significant milestone, indicating that the total value of existing gold is now comparable to the total amount of U.S. Treasury bonds, a first since the 1980s, suggesting potential shifts in the global financial system established post-Bretton Woods [3] - The A-share market has shown strong performance, driven by positive feedback from stock market performance and capital inflows, with sectors like non-ferrous metals, oil and petrochemicals, AI applications, and commercial aerospace being particularly active [4][5] - The current market environment supports a slow bull market, with growth style stocks favored, while low-position rebound opportunities are emerging [5] Macroeconomy - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman has raised concerns about potential tightening of monetary policy, but the current liquidity dynamics and fiscal trends suggest that the expansion of the Fed's balance sheet is unlikely to change significantly [5] - The increasing U.S. fiscal financing needs and the stability of the financial system are heavily reliant on the Fed's provision of ample liquidity, especially with midterm elections approaching [5] Industry - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid growth, with space photovoltaics emerging as a key area for power system upgrades, driven by the deployment of low Earth orbit constellations and advancements in satellite technology [9]

转自：智通财经 智通财经2月7日讯（记者高艳云）2026年伊始，港股IPO市场仍保持高速态势。 今年以来，港股IPO融资额高达675.5亿元，同比增1029.23%，尚处于聆讯处理中的企业高达376家。就 此，甚至由此引发市场对IPO"堰塞湖"现象的担忧，但令人欣喜的是，港交所明确表示已安排足够人手 及资源，并称有信心保持40个工作日内完成审核并提供两轮意见的服务承诺。 中资券商在IPO保荐、承销两业务中均保持领先地位，其中中金公司位居年内港股IPO上市保荐、承销 两业务的冠军地位，华泰金控(香港)与中金香港在承销业务中断层领先其他券商；中金香港与中信香港 分别在聆讯处理中的项目分别多大103个、102个，各自占据近三成市场份额，优势显著。 开年IPO融资激增逾10倍 Wind数据统计显示，截至2月6日，港股股权融资总额880.15亿元，同比增614.95%，数量为84起，同比 增71.43%。 其中IPO融资总额为675.50亿元，同比增1029.23%，上市家数达18家，同比增125%；配售总额为181.98 亿元，同比增239.24%，数量为49起，同比增58.06%；供股总额为10.63亿元，同比增2 ...

2026年首月，A股市场完成9家公司首发上市，合计募集资金90.53亿元。从发行结构看，北交所成为当月IPO主阵地，5家企业登陆该板块，占比超五成；募 资端呈现"头部集中、袖珍分散"特征，4个项目募资超10亿元，均由头部券商承揽，而北交所5家企业募资均未过10亿元。券商阵营中，头部效应持续放大， 中金公司以2家保荐项目、44.74亿元募资额领跑市场，行业前三券商募资总额占比超八成。市场层面，IPO发行进入"新常态化"，在审企业达319家，北交所 占比超六成，战略性新兴产业成为申报主力。面对市场中各类信息与走势波动，我始终以量化大数据为核心线索，观察资金行为的真实轨迹。 | | | | 1月券商保存情况一览 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 본을 | 机构简称 | 募集资金(亿元) | 承销家数(家) | 承销及保荐费用(亿元) 承销及保存费用(亿元 | | | | 中金公司 | 44.74 | 2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | | 2 | 中信证券 | 15.61 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.17 | | 3 | 甲万宏源承销保存 | 12.38 ...

Group 1: Transformer Industry - The transformer production capacity is fully utilized, with orders increasing significantly since June 2022, driven by a global "transformer shortage" [1][2] - China is the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for approximately 60% of global capacity, which supports domestic companies in securing international orders [2] - Major companies like Igor are expanding production capacity in multiple countries, with forecasts indicating a sustained industry recovery for 3-5 years [2] Group 2: Large Bore Engine Industry - Large bore engines are essential for ensuring continuous operation of AI data centers, with significant growth opportunities in the power supply sector [3][4] - Weichai Power has broken the monopoly of international giants in the large bore engine market, with a projected 259% increase in sales of data center power generation equipment by 2025 [4] - The company is expanding its product offerings to meet the stringent power requirements of data centers, including customized solutions [3][4] Group 3: Core Components Industry - The demand for core components is surging, particularly due to the explosion of self-supply power needs in North American data centers [6][7] - Tianrun Industrial is enhancing production capabilities with advanced automated lines, aiming to significantly increase output in the coming years [7] - The global market for data center generator sets is expected to double from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating strong growth potential [7]

Group 1 - A total of 685 listed companies have received broker research teams as of February 6, indicating a proactive approach by institutional funds for asset allocation in 2023 [1] - Leading brokerages, such as CITIC Securities with 213 research sessions, dominate the market, while other firms like Changjiang Securities and Guotai Junan also show significant activity with over 150 sessions each [1] - The most frequently researched company is Dajin Heavy Industry, with 83 sessions, followed by Naipu Mining Machinery with 50 sessions, and several others exceeding 40 sessions [1] Group 2 - The research focus has shown high industry concentration, with the industrial machinery sector leading at 70 companies, followed by electronic components and electrical equipment [2] - The current trend in broker research serves as an important reference for identifying market themes, with a recommendation to consider multiple broker consensus, particularly in the "technology + dividend" theme [2] - Intensive research not only enhances the brokerage's investment research capabilities but also connects various business lines, potentially leading to improved net asset returns and valuation recovery [2]

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage industry is actively issuing bonds to supplement capital and enhance financial strength, with a significant increase in bond issuance observed in early 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Overview - In February 2023, several brokerages received approval to issue large-scale bonds, including Southwest Securities (up to 14 billion yuan) and China International Capital Corporation (up to 20 billion yuan for long-term bonds and 15 billion yuan for short-term bonds) [1]. - As of February 6, 2023, 28 brokerages had issued a total of 157 bonds, raising 419.35 billion yuan, a 457.65% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. - The breakdown of bond issuance includes 97 securities company bonds (293.53 billion yuan), 18 subordinated bonds (46.62 billion yuan), and 42 short-term financing bonds (79.2 billion yuan) [1]. Group 2: Purpose of Fundraising - The primary uses of the funds raised through bond issuance include repaying maturing debts, supplementing liquidity, and supporting overseas business development [2]. - There has been a notable increase in the issuance of technology innovation bonds, with three brokerages issuing four such bonds totaling 5.7 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [2]. Group 3: International Market Engagement - Five brokerages successfully issued bonds in the international market, raising a total of 1.617 billion USD since the start of 2023, with Huatai Securities, CITIC Securities, and GF Securities leading in issuance amounts [2]. - The international bond issuance is seen as a crucial channel for brokerages to supplement capital [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The bond issuance scale is expected to continue growing through 2026, driven by favorable capital market conditions and high demand for funds in brokerage services such as brokerage and margin trading [3]. - Brokerages are accelerating their international expansion, which will further enhance their capital-raising capabilities through multiple channels [3].