身处汽车产业链的天博智能：突击分红6亿多，7.46亿的应收，48亿的应付、吕氏父子95.57%的表决 权，内控质量堪忧。 账上躺着7个亿收不回来的欠条，手里握着3个亿卖不掉的存货，兜里揣着20亿的扩产计划， 心里装着6个亿落袋为安的分红。这家"单项冠军"的上市之路，怕不是一部黑色幽默大片？ 最近，汽车热管理界的"扛把子"——天博智能科技（山东）股份有限公司（以下简称"天博智能"）向主 板发起了冲锋，保荐人是大名鼎鼎的中信建投 。招股书一抛出来，那数据叫一个亮眼：调温器全球第 三、国内第一，2024年中国销量前十的车企全是它的客户，妥妥的"隐形冠军"范儿 [p. 3, 21]。 乍一看，这是一出"鲁企崛起"的励志大戏。但咱这双眼睛，自从被A股教育过后，看东西就自带"财报 显微镜"和"合规放大镜"。这一照可不得了，这哪是冲刺上市，这分明是在冲喜啊！ 满篇写的都是：钱，收不回来；权，一手遮天；罚，刚交完钱；厂，还没盖好。 一、7.46亿的应收，48亿的应付。 二、 吕氏父子的"王朝"：95.57%的表决权，就问你们服不服？ 再看公司治理这块，那更是"家天下"的典范。 实控人吕新民、吕亚玮父子，俩人直接加间接持股也就 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 杠杆资金净流出规模续创25年4月以来新高 ——流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报 2026年2月24日 证券分析师：姚佩 执业编号：S0360522120004 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 联系人：朱冬墨 邮箱：zhudongmo@hcyjs.com 本报告由华创证券有限责任公司编制 卖的出价或询价。本报告所载信息均为个人观点，并不构成对所涉及证券的个人投资建议。 请仔细阅读PPT后部分的分析师声明及免责声明。 @2021 华创 版权所有 核心结论 证 券 研 究 报 告 • 资金流动性： 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 2 证 券 研 究 报 告 资金流动性：1）资金供给端：偏股型公募新发规模重回历史高位、杠杆资金净流出规模续创25年4月以来新高、 股票型ETF净流出规模扩大、回购金额收缩至历史低位；2）资金需求端：股权融资/产业资本净减持规模均小幅 扩张、南向资金净流入收缩至历史中高位。 | 资金供给 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 资金供给主体(亿元) | 上 期 | 本 期 | 近 ...

Real Estate - The real estate market is entering a new adjustment phase, with policies indicating an increase in the proportion of existing home sales starting from March [2] - Developers are shifting focus to quality competition as their funding issues ease, moving away from the risks associated with pre-sales [2][25] - Homebuyers are now more inclined to physically inspect properties, reflecting a shift from speculative buying to practical decision-making [2][25] - In second and third-tier cities like Zhengzhou and Tianjin, the decline in housing prices is slowing, with homeowners adopting a wait-and-see attitude [2] - The market is transitioning from a general decline to a more differentiated performance, with core areas in first-tier cities maintaining demand despite external pressures [2] Automotive Industry - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to exceed 55% after March, becoming a dominant force in the automotive market [4] - Tax reductions on vehicle purchases are impacting low-priced models, while subsidy reductions are prompting manufacturers to focus on cost-effectiveness [4] - Consumers are shifting from impulsive buying to practical considerations, emphasizing range and reliability in their vehicle choices [4] - The automotive market is experiencing a slow recovery after a decline in sales during the first quarter, with new policies stimulating consumption [10] - Exports are projected to exceed 7 million units, with Chinese brands increasing their share in overseas markets [10][22] Deposit Market - The deposit market has seen a deepening of low interest rate trends since March, with one-year fixed deposit rates stabilizing around 1.35% [6][12] - Households are shifting their investment strategies towards more stable financial products due to shrinking income from deposits [6][12] - The focus on safety and risk diversification is becoming more pronounced among residents, leading to a decrease in high-risk investments [6][18] - The banking sector is adjusting its liability structure in response to pressure on net interest margins, with short-term product rates entering a low range [6][12] Overall Market Trends - The real estate market is experiencing a prolonged bottoming period, with sellers no longer eager to sell at a loss and buyers cautiously testing the waters [14][20] - The automotive industry is moving towards rational competition, with a focus on quality rather than just scale, as consumer preferences evolve [27][32] - The deposit market is characterized by low yields, with households prioritizing capital preservation over high returns [29][34]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the solid-state battery industry, projecting GWh-level mass production by 2027, driven by collaborative innovation across the entire supply chain [2][6][12]. Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is rapidly forming a collaborative innovation pattern across "materials, equipment, manufacturing, and applications," with significant advancements expected in materials and processes [6][20]. - Major players like CATL and BYD are expected to dominate the market, focusing on high-end applications in electric vehicles and energy storage [20][21]. - The demand for high-performance batteries is increasing due to the rapid growth of the global electric vehicle market, with solid-state batteries emerging as a strong competitor [20][21]. Summary by Sections Development - Global solid-state batteries are expected to achieve GWh-level mass production by 2027, with a focus on material innovation and process optimization [6][9]. - The supply chain is anticipated to mature over the next 3-5 years, with commercial viability expected around 2030 [9][10]. Process - The electrolyte film formation process is critical, influencing the thickness and ionic conductivity of solid electrolyte membranes [22][23]. - Two main technical routes for semi-solid batteries are identified: one focuses on reducing electrolyte liquid usage, while the other emphasizes in-situ curing processes [22][23]. Equipment - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach 12 billion yuan by 2026, with significant demand for new equipment such as dry electrode preparation and isostatic pressing [31][32]. - The value share of equipment in the front and middle stages of solid-state battery production is expected to increase significantly compared to traditional liquid batteries, with a combined share of around 80% [32][36]. Key Company Updates - Naconor has successfully delivered high-speed wide-format dry electrode equipment to leading domestic manufacturers, marking a significant milestone in solid-state battery production [4.1][21]. - Lingge Technology has secured contracts for solid-state sulfide systems and is advancing its solid electrolyte pilot line [4.2][26]. - Litong Technology is developing isostatic pressing equipment to enhance the interface density between solid electrodes and solid electrolytes [4.3][41]. - Wuhan Blue Electric is focusing on high-precision testing equipment for solid-state batteries, capable of stable testing under low currents [4.4][30].

Core Insights - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor, with a target price raised to HKD 120, indicating a potential upside of 27.5% from the closing price of HKD 94.15 [1] - The revenue for Q4 2025 reached USD 659.9 million, a 3.9% increase quarter-over-quarter, aligning closely with previous guidance [1] - The gross margin for Q4 2025 was 13.0%, which is the median of the prior guidance range of 12-14%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous quarter [1] Production Capacity and Financial Projections - Huahong's ninth factory is accelerating production, with an expected increase of 42 kwpm in 12-inch equivalent capacity in 2025, potentially reaching a total capacity of 83 kwpm by the end of 2026 [2] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected at USD 1.81 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 34%, with forecasts of USD 1.62 billion and USD 2.40 billion for 2026 and 2027, respectively [2] - Revenue projections for 2026 and 2027 have been adjusted to USD 2.843 billion and USD 3.349 billion, respectively, with gross margin estimates of 14.2% and 16.2% for the same years [2] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,081.91, reflecting a 1.41% increase over the past five days and a 5.66% increase year-to-date [5] - Key global indices showed varied performance, with the Dow Jones down 1.66% and the S&P 500 down 1.04% [3] - Commodity prices have seen significant movements, with Brent crude oil rising by 7.36% over the past three months and gold futures increasing by 19.95% [3]

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 3454 字，阅读全文约需 11 分钟 长城汽车持续保持强势皮卡领军地位，国内外表现均较平稳。受出口持续同比增长促进，长城汽车、上 汽大通、江淮汽车、长安汽车、郑州日产表现较强。在国内皮卡零售市场，长城汽车、江铃汽车、郑州日产、 吉利雷达、江西五十铃等表现较好，国内"皮卡一超多强"格局继续保持。 皮卡出口： 2026年1月全国皮卡出口2.7万辆，同比增长44%，环比下降5%，行业出口占比继续保持高 位。2024年皮卡出口占比皮卡总销量的45%， 2025年皮卡出口达到50%，2026年1月皮卡出口达到54%，大量 中国皮卡新品牌依托出口而强势增长，推动中国自主皮卡出口提升较好。 新能源皮卡： 2026年1月新能源皮卡0.6万辆，同比增长18%，环比增长6%；形成超强于皮卡总体增速的 较好走势。相对于电动轻卡的物流需求暴增，电动化是商用车获得路权的最佳提升方式。随着电动化和乘用化 的发展，皮卡市场的空间逐步改善。1月新能源皮卡销量中：比亚迪皮卡海外销量3,150辆、吉利雷达电动皮卡 1,241辆、郑州日产785辆、长安增程皮卡410辆，其它皮卡企业的新能源车也有一定规 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current premium rates of AH shares, indicating significant disparities among various companies, with some showing extremely high premiums while others exhibit negative premiums, suggesting potential investment opportunities and market inefficiencies [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Top AH Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) leads with a premium rate of 757.14%, followed by Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric (00187) at 285.62% and Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) at 282.18% [1]. - The top ten AH stocks by premium rates show a wide range, with the lowest being Goldstone Investment (02009) at 185.88% [1]. Group 2: Bottom AH Premium Rates - The bottom three AH stocks by premium rates include Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750) at -15.66%, Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) at -10.47%, and China Merchants Bank (03968) at -4.17% [2]. - This indicates a potential undervaluation in these stocks compared to their A-share counterparts [2]. Group 3: Top AH Deviation Values - Leading in deviation values, Xian Dao Intelligent (00470) has a deviation of 42.09%, followed by China Duty Free Group (01880) at 21.67% and Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) at 20.63% [3]. - These high deviation values suggest that these stocks may be trading significantly above their historical averages, indicating potential overvaluation [3]. Group 4: Bottom AH Deviation Values - Northeast Electric (00042) has the lowest deviation value at -50.71%, indicating a significant drop from its historical premium rates [4]. - Other companies with low deviation values include Shandong Molong (00568) at -29.48% and Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) at -29.19%, suggesting they may be undervalued compared to their historical performance [4].

有意思的是，作为一部体现赛车运动的电影，《飞驰人生3》吸引了一汽奥迪、一汽-大众、领克、阿维 塔、理想、比亚迪、蔚来等近10家车企在片中现身。如影片中的核心战车为一汽奥迪A3拉力赛车，原 型是奥迪A3 Sportback量产车；与之对标的是8.5代高尔夫GTI拉力赛车，原型即为大众8.5代高尔夫 GTI；领克Z20是推动"油电对决"主线的核心新能源赛车，原型是领克于2024年底推出的纯电紧凑型 SUV等，形成了传统燃油、豪华性能、新能源、智能汽车同台竞技的银幕阵容，上演了一场堪称"汽车 品牌春晚"的营销大戏。 2月24日，IMAX Corporation宣布在中国春节档这一年度观影高峰再创佳绩，为期七天的假期中累计斩 获1.93亿人民币票房。春节档票房前五的影片中，有三部为IMAX影片，IMAX中国以仅占全国1%的银 幕数，贡献了3.4%的票房占比。 其中， 猫眼文化传媒出品的赛车题材力作《飞驰人生3》，上映首周斩获1.66亿人民币IMAX票房，成 为自去年现象级作品《哪吒之魔童闹海》之后IMAX国产影片的最佳成绩。作为IMAX与导演韩寒的第 四次合作，《飞驰人生3》也创下系列最高IMAX票房纪录。 据悉，今 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangdong Huicheng Vacuum Technology Co., Ltd., is engaged in the research, production, and sales of vacuum coating equipment, with a focus on advanced semiconductor manufacturing technologies and a strong client base including major companies like Apple and Foxconn [2][3][7]. Company Overview - Guangdong Huicheng Vacuum Technology Co., Ltd. was established on August 14, 2006, and is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in vacuum coating equipment and related technical services [7]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes: 49.29% from industrial vacuum coating equipment, 19.27% from other consumer products, 10.64% from scientific research, 9.91% from consumer electronics, and 5.88% from technical services and other [7]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 304 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.65 million yuan, down 72.62% year-on-year [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 55 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [8]. Market Activity - On February 24, the stock price of Huicheng Vacuum increased by 0.38%, with a trading volume of 133 million yuan and a turnover rate of 2.87%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 11.414 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a net inflow of 288,300 yuan from major investors today, with a total of 801 million yuan in trading volume, indicating a lack of control by major investors and a highly dispersed share distribution [4][5]. Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 131.21 yuan, with recent reductions in shareholding but at a slowing rate. The current stock price is fluctuating between a resistance level of 118.24 yuan and a support level of 112.19 yuan, suggesting potential for range trading [6]. Client Base - The company’s primary clients include well-known enterprises and research institutions such as Apple, Foxconn, BYD, Jabil, and others, indicating strong recognition and integration into the supply chains of major industry players [2][3][8].

异动分析 汽车热管理+空气能热泵+新能源汽车+人民币贬值受益+特斯拉概念 1、苏州众捷汽车零部件股份有限公司主营业务是从事汽车热管理系统精密加工零部件的研发、生产和 销售。主要产品包括汽车空调热交换器及管路系统、油冷器、热泵系统、电池冷却器、汽车发动机系统 等汽车零部件。 2、根据2025年7月7日互动易：公司产品已应用于二氧化碳热泵系统 3、2025年7月7日互动易：公司的主要产品有电池冷却器零部件包括新能源汽车电池热管理系统冷却器 中的法兰、进出水管、连接件、支架等产品。 4、根据2024年年报，公司海外营收占比为78.17%，受益于人民币贬值。 5、根据2025年4月14日互动易：公司已经成为特斯拉、比亚迪供应商。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月24日，众捷汽车涨11.07%，成交额3.23亿元，换手率33.17%，总市值49.54亿元。 主力持仓 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额2713.14万，占总成交额的9.09%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为38.17元 该股筹码平均交易成本为38.17元，近期该股有吸 ...