广州赛特智能科技有限公司是国内领先的人工智能与机器人全场景解决方案提供商。其已在城市环卫与医疗配送 等多个细分赛道形成规模化商业化应用，目前已获得中信证券、华西证券（002926）、粤财基金(广东省产业发展 基金)、鲲鹏资本(国家大交通基金)、白云金控等机构投资。同时，该企业获得了广州当地多家银行机构的信贷支 持，其中，中行广州番禺支行在2020年企业经营收入只有10万元时，按照其研发费用的5倍，快速为其核定1000万 元免抵押"科企支持贷"，解了企业的燃眉之急；后又增信至2000万元支持该企业发展，目前贷款余额为1320万 元。图为赛特智能在环卫场景应用的情景。 ...

当前全球商业航天发射领域正在发生深刻的成本重构。成本结构层面，传统火箭以一次性硬件制造为主 导，占比约67%，而新兴商业火箭通过可重复使用设计将硬件成本占比压缩至24%左右，形成"以复用 换成本"的可持续模式。其中火箭层面具体成本拆分，助推器占火箭总成本60%，二级占20%，整流罩 占10%，发射操作本身占10%。成本演化趋势来看，国内外商业航天企业正基于不同的发展路径推进成 本优化。以SpaceX为代表的企业通过十余年技术积累，已形成"复用程度提升—发射频次增长—单位成 本下降"的持续优化模式。与此同时，中国商业航天企业正加速实现技术突破与成本收敛，在自主型号 研发与规模化应用方面取得积极进展，呈现出系统化追赶态势。 全球发射放量直接兑现到发射服务商和整箭制造商，核心可复用部件与高频更换部件间接受益 发射服务商直接从单次发射费用和高频任务中获得现金收入，发射频次越高、单笔合同额越大，发射环 节利润弹性越显著。在发射需求释放背景下，发射服务与整箭交付作为直接面向客户的收费环节，收入 与发射任务数量或呈现对应关系，直接受益于发射放量大背景。此外，一子级和整流罩等高价值部件多 次周转使用，对发动机、主结构、控制系 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) experienced a decline of over 4%, currently trading at HKD 67.25 with a transaction volume of HKD 122 million [1] Group 1: Policy Changes - Starting from December 18, 2025, Hainan Free Trade Port will officially implement a full island closure, introducing a series of policies including import tax item catalog, tax policies for goods circulation, restricted item lists, and duty-free policies for domestic sales of processed goods [1] - Huaxi Securities (002926) indicated that with the continuous deepening of the company's retail network layout in Hainan, along with the gradual recovery of high-end consumption and optimization of Hainan Free Trade Port policies, the company's business operations are expected to continue to improve [1] Group 2: Business Developments - China Duty Free Group announced that it has received a bid notification from Shanghai International Airport, confirming that its wholly-owned subsidiary has won the bid for duty-free store projects at Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport [1] - The company has signed contracts for the transfer of operating rights for the duty-free store projects at Shanghai Pudong International Airport T2 terminal and S2 satellite hall, as well as the T1 terminal at Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport [1] - The market is currently focused on the upcoming disclosure of the bid candidates for the capital airport [1]

Market Overview - Major indices in China opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.34%, Shenzhen Component down 0.85%, and ChiNext down 1.17% [1] - The CPO, export tax refund, and fiberglass sectors experienced significant declines [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3857.26, down 0.34%, with 367 gainers and 1669 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13112.61, down 0.85%, with 353 gainers and 2311 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 3138.66, down 1.17%, with 146 gainers and 1168 losers [2] US Market Performance - US stock indices closed lower, with the Nasdaq down nearly 2% as investors withdrew from AI-related stocks [3] - Dow Jones: 47,885.97, down 0.47%; S&P 500: 6,721.43, down 1.16%; Nasdaq: 22,693.32, down 1.81% [3] - Major Chinese concept stocks mostly declined, with Alibaba down 1.47% and JD down 0.87% [3] Industry Insights - CITIC Securities highlights that the supply-side constraints for third-generation refrigerants will continue until 2026, with strong demand driven by new energy vehicles and air conditioning [4] - CICC forecasts that the Chinese liquor industry will see improved financial statements by 2026, with a gradual recovery in demand and reduced inventory risks [5] - CITIC Jinpu predicts that 2025 will be a breakthrough year for server liquid cooling, benefiting domestic manufacturers as new solutions are introduced [6] - Zhao Shang Securities notes that the explosive demand for energy storage will drive the lithium battery equipment sector into a new growth cycle [7][8] - Huaxi Securities anticipates that pro-natalist policies will continue to emerge, benefiting the maternal and infant consumer goods market [9] - Huatai Securities states that the approval of L3 autonomous driving will accelerate the restructuring of the smart driving industry chain, with significant investment opportunities in key areas [10]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market has experienced significant volatility, particularly in ultra-long government bonds, with the 30-year government bond becoming a focal point for institutional trading and analysis as the year-end policy negotiation period approaches [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The yield on the 10-year government bond has risen from 1.81% in mid-November to approximately 1.85%, with a peak of 1.87%, while the 30-year government bond yield increased from 2.14% to 2.28%, reaching a yearly high [1]. - The yield curve has steepened, with the spread between the 10-year and 30-year bonds widening from 33 basis points to 43 basis points [1]. Group 2: Institutional Behavior - The rise in the 30-year bond yield is attributed to a divergence in trading behaviors among institutions, particularly between banks, brokerages, and funds, reflecting deeper concerns about the macroeconomic environment and asset pricing [3]. - Brokerages have been significant net sellers, with a total net sell of 65.9 billion yuan in bonds over the period from November 20 to December 15, while funds also sold off 45.8 billion yuan during the same timeframe [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Factors - The supply pressure for ultra-long bonds has increased, with over 1 trillion yuan of 30-year bonds issued since 2025, a 30% increase compared to the total issuance in 2024 [4]. - The lack of sufficient buying power from banks and insurance companies has led to a "liquidation" phenomenon, where the marginal pricing power has shifted back to insurance and other institutional investors [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is focused on whether the supply-demand structure for ultra-long bonds can improve and if institutional buying capacity will increase [5]. - There is potential for a short-term stabilization in the 30-year bond risk after recent adjustments, although the overall trend remains weak [5]. - If supply pressures ease and institutional buying gradually increases, ultra-long bonds may return to stability, improving the investment environment for wealth management products [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that pro-natalist policies are expected to continue, which will directly reduce family childbirth costs and boost fertility intentions, particularly benefiting lower-tier markets [1] - Short-term benefits are anticipated for maternal and infant consumer goods, including retail channel merchants, brands and manufacturers of maternal and infant products, and pediatric drug manufacturers, as well as postpartum care centers [1] - Long-term support will require complementary policies in childcare and education, which will benefit early education and youth training institutions [1]

Group 1 - The pace of cash dividends among listed securities firms has accelerated significantly as the year-end approaches, with multiple firms announcing dividend plans in mid-December [1] - Specific announcements include Changcheng Securities planning to distribute a cash dividend of 0.76 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 307 million yuan, with a payment date of December 19 [1] - Other firms like Xingye Securities and Shouchuang Securities have also announced substantial cash dividends, contributing to a total expected payout of over 1 billion yuan from at least five firms in the last two weeks [1] Group 2 - The total cash dividends distributed by listed securities firms in 2023 has approached 55 billion yuan, with 13 firms, including Guotai Junan and Huatai Securities, each distributing over 1 billion yuan [2] - Guotai Junan leads with a dividend payout of approximately 7.5 billion yuan, while Huatai Securities,招商证券, and 中信证券 have also exceeded 4 billion yuan in dividends [2] Group 3 - As of December 16, 2023, 35 listed securities firms have announced dividend plans for 2025, with a total proposed payout exceeding 21.8 billion yuan, led by 中信证券 with nearly 4.3 billion yuan [4] - The announced dividends for 2025 include significant amounts from firms such as Guotai Haitong and Huatai Securities, with several firms also planning mid-term dividends [5][6]

2025.12.17 本文字数：2672，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 周楠 继摩尔线程之后，又一国产GPU龙头登陆A股市场，再度点燃市场热情。12月17日，沐曦股份 （688802.SH）登陆科创板，上市首日涨幅高达692.95%。当天，三大指数悉数收涨，创业板涨超3%。 当前，距离2025年收官仅剩10个交易日，市场调整将如何演绎？跨年行情又会否如期而至？多家券商做 出了预判。 "考虑本轮上涨行情的底层逻辑并未动摇，我们认为市场中期趋势仍然向好。"中金公司研究部国内策略 首席分析师李求索说。 对于跨年行情，第一财经梳理发现，券商首席普遍持乐观预判。国泰海通首席策略分析师方奕认为，交 易层面，保收益降仓位已步入尾声，岁末年初的再配置与机构资金回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃成 交，跨年攻势已经开始。 资金层面上，有券商提到，近期，A股成交额和换手率再度回升，显示资金正在积极寻找跨年行情的机 会。 资金面和情绪面现回暖迹象 12月17日，三大指数集体反弹，截至收盘，沪指报收3870.28点，涨1.19%；深成指和创业板指分别收涨 2.4%和3.39%。两市成交额1.81万亿，较上一交易日增加约870亿元。 ...

华西证券主要观点如下： 事件 商务部2025年12月16日公布对原产于欧盟的进口相关猪肉及猪副产品反倾销调查的最终裁定，最终认定 原产于欧盟的进口相关猪肉及猪副产品存在倾销，国务院关税税则委员会根据商务部的建议作出决定， 自2025年12月17日起，对原产于欧盟的进口相关猪肉及猪副产品征收反倾销税。反倾销税率为 4.9%-19.8%。 欧盟为我国重要的猪肉进口来源，前三季度进口占比超过50% 2025年前十个月，中国进口相关猪肉及猪副产品193万吨，其中从欧盟进口99万吨，占比51%，欧盟成 员国西班牙为我国第一大猪肉及副产品进口国，前十个月进口46万吨，占比24%。前三季度我国猪肉产 量4368万吨，猪肉及副产品进口量176万吨，占产量比例4%，欧盟进口91万吨，进口占比51.49%，总产 量占比2.08%，反倾销裁定落地有望部分程度缓解国内猪肉供应压力。 智通财经APP获悉，华西证券发布研报称，反倾销税落地有望部分程度缓解国内供应压力，叠加亏损推 动的主动去产能和政策引导的被动去产能同时进行，看好产能去化带来的价格反转，继续推荐生猪养殖 板块，具体标的选择方面，推荐关注成本低、低负债且有成长性的优质标的， ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market showed slight strengthening on December 17, with long-term bonds performing better, as government bond futures rose across the board and interbank bond yields fell by approximately 2 basis points [1][2]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.63% to 112.14, the 10-year main contract up by 0.10% to 108.005, and the 5-year main contract up by 0.06% to 105.84 [2]. - The yield on the 30-year government bond "25超长特别国债06" decreased by 2.5 basis points to 2.254%, while the 10-year government bond "25附息国债16" yield fell by 0.95 basis points to 1.843% [2]. International Bond Market - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 10-year yield down by 3.12 basis points to 4.143% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield increasing by 2.1 basis points to 1.974% [4]. Primary Market - The Ministry of Finance reported weighted average winning yields for 28-day and 91-day government bonds at 1.1220% and 1.2957%, respectively, with bid-to-cover ratios of 2.09 and 2.69 [5]. Liquidity Conditions - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of 468 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1430 billion yuan for the day [6]. - Short-term Shibor rates mostly declined, with the overnight rate down by 0.1 basis points to 1.275% [6]. Institutional Views - Huaxi Fixed Income noted that the bond market's short-term fundamentals are not the main pricing driver, with concerns over redemption fee regulations and long-term bond supply overshadowing expectations for loose monetary policy [7]. - Zheshang Bank indicated that the overall liquidity is stable, and there are no significant adverse policies or events affecting the bond market, suggesting that further declines are unlikely [8]. - CITIC Securities mentioned that seasonal factors may lead to a slight contraction in the scale of wealth management products, but this is expected to recover quickly in early January [8].