Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Clean Energy** sector in **China**, specifically highlighting the **Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project** which commenced construction on July 19, 2025, in Nyingchi, Tibet [1] Company and Project Details - The **Yarlung Zangbo River Lower Reaches Hydropower project** is operated by the newly-established **China Yajiang Group Corporation** and consists of five cascade power stations with a planned investment of approximately **Rmb1.2 trillion** [1] - For comparison, the **Three Gorges** and **Baihetan projects** had investments of **Rmb250 billion** and **Rmb220 billion**, respectively [1] Investment Implications - Key beneficiaries identified within the coverage include **UHV transmission equipment players** such as: - **Pinggao (600312.SS)** - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** - **NARI Tech (600406.SS)** - **Sieyuan (002028.SZ)** [2] - Opportunities are also seen for: - **Hydropower plant engineering companies** - Key hydropower equipment manufacturers like **Dongfang Electric (600875.CH/1072.HK)** and **Harbin Electric (1133.HK)** [2] - Potential for the development of **"hydro-solar-wind bases"** to leverage solar and wind power during the dry season for stable renewable energy output [2] Capacity and Output Estimates - The **Medog hydropower station** is designed with an installed capacity of approximately **60 GW**, significantly higher than the **Three Gorges' 22.5 GW** and **Baihetan's 16 GW** [5] - Estimated annual electricity output for the Medog station is around **300 billion kWh**, compared to **80-90 billion kWh** for the Three Gorges and **~60 billion kWh** for Baihetan [5] - The electricity generated will be transmitted to other regions in China via **UHV lines**, while also catering to local demand in Tibet [5] Valuation Methodology - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** uses a discounted cash flow model with a WACC of **8.0%**, reflecting a cost of equity of **9.5%** and an after-tax cost of debt of **4.5%** [8] - **Sieyuan Electric Co. Ltd. (002028.SZ)** employs a similar discounted cash flow analysis with a WACC of **7.5%** [9] - **Henan Pinggao Electric (600312.SS)** also uses discounted cash flow methodology with a WACC of **8.2%** [10] - **NARI Technology (600406.SS)** follows a discounted cash flow approach with a WACC of **8.0%** [16] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks** include: - Better-than-expected progress in orders - Market share gains - Higher-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network [12][13][14] - **Downside Risks** include: - Delays in the working progress of orders - Lower-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network - Increased competition affecting margins [12][18][19] Analyst Ratings - The report includes various companies in the **China Utilities** sector with ratings such as **Overweight** and **Equal-weight** for companies like **CGN Power Co., Ltd.** and **China Gas Holdings** [78][80] Conclusion - The Clean Energy sector in China, particularly hydropower, presents significant investment opportunities driven by large-scale projects like the Yarlung Zangbo and Medog stations, with various companies positioned to benefit from this growth.

雅下水电梯度大与输电远，激活投资机遇 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 电力设备及新能源行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 建议关注雅下水电投资启动，梯度大与输电远激活投资机遇： 风险提示 水电项目建设节奏不及预期、输配电环节投资强度不及预期。 国家/地区 中国 行业 电力设备及新能源行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 22 日 看好（维持） 严东 yandong@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860523050001 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 ⚫ ⚫ 建设容量大，投资体量大。雅鲁藏布江下游水电站（下文简称"雅下水电"）工程 建设容量约 6000-7000 万千瓦，相当于 3 个三峡水电工程体量。工程主要采取截弯 取直、隧洞引水的开发方式，由于其重要的战略地位以及较高的项目技术难度，项 目总投资约 1.2 万亿元，约为 6 个三峡水电工程体量。雅下水电建设容量大，投资 体量大，带动水电产业链景气度提升。 ⚫ 水势梯度大、设备施工投资强度提升。雅鲁藏布江水能资源丰富，其下游大拐 ...

Core Viewpoint - Pingdingshan City is focusing on "two guarantees" and implementing "ten strategies" to stabilize the economy, foster new quality, transform momentum, prevent risks, and improve people's livelihoods, achieving a steady and positive economic development trend despite external challenges [1][3][31] Economic Analysis - In 2024, Pingdingshan's GDP reached 283.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0%. The primary industry added value was 20.3 billion yuan (2.8% growth), the secondary industry 121.1 billion yuan (5.2% growth), and the tertiary industry 141.8 billion yuan (3.2% growth) [3][5] - The per capita GDP for 2024 was 57,819 yuan, reflecting a 4.9% increase year-on-year [3] Industrial Development - The city's industrial output value increased by 5.3% in 2024, with 18 out of 37 industrial sectors showing growth, and 14 sectors achieving double-digit growth [5][7] - In the first quarter of 2025, the industrial output value grew by 11.1%, indicating a significant acceleration [5] New Industries and Production Capacity - High-growth manufacturing and high-tech industries in Pingdingshan saw value-added growth of 7.5% and 5.2% respectively in 2024, contributing to the overall industrial growth [7] - In the first quarter of 2025, high-tech industry value-added surged by 53.2%, a remarkable increase compared to the previous year [7] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Pingdingshan grew by 6.6% in 2024, with high-tech manufacturing investment soaring by 55.0% [9] - The number of ongoing projects with investments over 100 million yuan reached 341, with a year-on-year investment increase of 7.4% [9] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in Pingdingshan reached 124.9 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 5.4% increase [11] - In the first quarter of 2025, retail sales grew by 7.2%, reflecting a positive trend in consumer spending [11] Industrial Structure - Pingdingshan is focusing on seven major industrial clusters and twelve key industrial chains, including new materials, advanced equipment manufacturing, and renewable energy [13][31] - The city aims to enhance its modern industrial system through technological innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries [31] Policy Support - A series of policies have been implemented to support the development of the "seven clusters and twelve chains," optimizing the business environment and providing strong momentum for industrial growth [15][31] - Recent initiatives include the establishment of a collaborative mechanism for industry chain development and significant funding support for key technological projects [15][31] Listed Companies - Pingdingshan has five listed companies, including Pingmei Shenma (601666.SH), Shenma Co. (600810.SH), Dongfang Carbon (832175.BJ), and Pinggao Electric (600312.SH), with a total market capitalization of 59.7 billion yuan [28][29]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The Japanese ruling coalition lost its majority in the recent Senate elections, marking the first time since 1955 that it has lost control of both houses, raising concerns about future fiscal policy changes [2] Group 2: Mechanical Equipment - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, significantly exceeding many major infrastructure projects in China [2][5] - The project is expected to generate about 300 billion kilowatt-hours annually, which is three times the output of the Three Gorges project, and will create substantial demand for related mechanical equipment [5][7] Group 3: Power Equipment and New Energy - In June 2025, China's inverter exports reached 6.59 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 10.3%, with a total of 5.129 million units exported [4] - The Yarlung Zangbo project is anticipated to drive approximately 720 billion yuan in new orders for hydropower equipment and 500 billion yuan for transmission and transformation equipment, benefiting leading companies in these sectors [5][7] Group 4: Construction and Building Materials - The Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project is expected to boost demand for construction materials such as cement and functional materials due to its high technical requirements and standards [7] - The project is the largest planned hydropower station globally, with a total investment of around 1.2 trillion yuan, which will likely enhance the construction sector's activity [7] Group 5: Consumer Goods - The dairy industry in China is currently experiencing a restructuring phase, with expectations of a return to supply-demand balance by 2026, driven by a decrease in raw milk production and moderate improvement in terminal demand [9] - Major dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu are focusing on improving profit margins as they navigate through the current market conditions [9][10] Group 6: Key Companies - Huaxin Cement is expanding its global footprint through acquisitions, which is expected to enhance its scale and profitability [10] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation's merger with China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry is progressing smoothly, which is anticipated to improve operational efficiency and competitiveness in shipbuilding [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The equity market continues to rise, with equity funds showing a net value increase of 3.06%, particularly in the healthcare theme funds which have demonstrated significant performance advantages [2] - Passive funds are seeing a shift, with inflows into financial real estate and dividend-themed ETFs, while large-cap broad-based ETFs are experiencing outflows [2] Group 2: Industry Research - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan and an installed capacity of 60-81 million kilowatts, benefiting the "duopoly" in hydropower equipment [4] - The project is expected to generate substantial construction and material orders, significantly boosting infrastructure investment growth in China [5] Group 3: Real Estate Market - As of July 20, 2025, new home transactions in 20 cities totaled 441,000 units, a decrease of 3.5%, while second-hand home transactions increased by 12.8% [6] Group 4: Steel Industry - The expectation for the exit of outdated production capacity has risen, with rebar prices reaching a new high since April 2025, indicating potential recovery in steel sector profitability [8] Group 5: Pharmaceutical Industry - The recent updates on the 2024 medical insurance fund and centralized procurement policies indicate a strong growth momentum for the innovative drug sector, with several companies successfully launching innovative drugs internationally [9] Group 6: Chemical Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to introduce a stable growth plan for the petrochemical industry, which is expected to optimize the industry structure by phasing out outdated production capacity [10] Group 7: Machinery Industry - The engineering machinery sector is anticipated to benefit from the commencement of the Yarlung hydropower project, with domestic sales recovering and export volumes maintaining growth [10] Group 8: Company Research - The report on Mai Fushi indicates a strong market position due to its comprehensive product matrix and high customer retention, with projected revenues of 2.36 billion, 3.17 billion, and 4.13 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [11]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company Overview - The company operates in the electrical equipment industry, focusing on high-voltage transmission products and solutions, particularly GIR (Gas Insulated Ring) technology. [2][3] Key Points and Arguments Customer Structure and Revenue Impact - The customer base is diversified, including state grid companies (40%-50%), local governments (30%-40%), and enterprises in the chemical and transportation sectors. [2][3] - Local government debt management and infrastructure spending cuts have negatively impacted revenue, but a significant improvement in orders and revenue is expected in the second half of 2025. [2][3] GIR Business Developments - Ongoing projects include the Shaoxing, Hangzhou Gongshu, and CRRC wind power plant, with total project values nearing 1 billion. [2][4] - The company is tracking major projects like the Gan Electric project and Zhejiang Ring Network ultra-high voltage project, with a total value exceeding 1 billion. [2][4] - The Yaxia project, with a total investment of 1.5 trillion, presents a substantial market opportunity due to its geographical and technical requirements, potentially involving thousands of kilometers of equipment demand. [2][4] Production Capacity and Competitors - The company has a full range of GIR production capacity, expecting to release 50-60 kilometers of capacity by the end of the year and achieve 120-200 kilometers of dual-shift capacity by the end of next year. [2][10] - Major domestic competitors include Pinggao, Xidian, and their subsidiaries, while international competitors include ABB, Siemens, and AZZ. [2][10] Profit Margins and Product Development - The gross margin for the 110kV JL project is between 30%-40%, while the 20kV project has a margin of about 50%. Future projects like the 750kV Jaguar may exceed 60% gross margin. [3][10] - The company is developing C4 environmentally friendly gas as a substitute for SF6, with a significantly lower greenhouse effect value and a current price of 1-2 million per ton, achieving a gross margin over 60%. [3][17] International Market Performance - The overseas market is focused on high-margin regions, with sales in Russia reaching 17 million in the first half of 2025, and a gross margin exceeding 60%. [3][28] - The company is actively participating in reconstruction projects in Ukraine and has plans to establish overseas factories and sales companies in regions like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. [28][29] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant improvement in performance in the second half of 2025, despite ongoing pressures from government investment impacts. [26] - The internal target for overseas equipment sales in 2026 is over 100 million, with optimistic projections reaching 150-200 million. [29] Additional Important Information - The company is innovating in technology development, focusing on small current decompression technology and new insulation materials. [22] - The Yaxia project requires advanced JL technology due to its extreme geographical conditions, with potential demand reaching thousands of kilometers. [19][20] - The company is also exploring the use of C4 gas in various applications, contributing to its strategic positioning in the environmental sector. [14][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the power equipment and renewable energy sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan and an installed capacity of 60-81 million kilowatts, expected to generate 300 billion kilowatt-hours annually, equivalent to three Three Gorges power stations [2][3]. - The domestic hydropower equipment market is characterized by a "dual oligopoly" structure, with Dongfang Electric and Harbin Electric projected to secure a significant share of the orders for the new hydropower project due to their established market positions [3][4]. - Both Dongfang Electric and Harbin Electric have reported robust growth in new orders, with Dongfang Electric achieving 101.14 billion yuan in new orders in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.88%, and Harbin Electric reporting a 30.55% increase in contract signing [4]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is located in Nyingchi, Tibet, and involves the construction of five stepped power stations, with a total investment of around 1.2 trillion yuan and an annual power generation capacity of 300 billion kilowatt-hours [2]. Market Dynamics - The hydropower equipment sector is dominated by Dongfang Electric and Harbin Electric, with market shares of 45% and 50% respectively in conventional hydropower and large-scale installations [3]. Financial Performance - Dongfang Electric's new orders reached 101.14 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 16.88% increase, while Harbin Electric's contract signing amounted to 56.87 billion yuan, a 30.55% increase, indicating strong demand for power equipment [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on Dongfang Electric and Harbin Electric due to their expected growth in orders and revenue from the Yarlung Tsangpo project and other power generation sectors [5]. Additionally, companies involved in power transmission and grid equipment, such as XJ Electric and Pinggao Electric, are also recommended for investment consideration [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [12] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the long-term impact of hydropower on the grid, particularly focusing on GIL corridors, hydropower station automation, and external transmission channels [3] - The construction of the Yaxia hydropower project is expected to replicate the successful model of large-scale wind power bases in the northwest, with a target of over 120 million kilowatts of pumped storage capacity by 2030 [3] - The GIL corridor is anticipated to create significant investment opportunities, with an estimated investment of 300 billion for 2000 km of transmission lines [3] - Automation in hydropower stations is expected to enhance grid stability and efficiency, benefiting companies that provide control and monitoring equipment [3][4] - The planning capacity of the Motuo hydropower station is projected to exceed 70 GW, with a focus on supporting external transmission channels [4] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the recent initiation of the Yaxia hydropower project and its implications for the southwestern clean energy base construction [3] - It emphasizes the expected growth in the GIL corridor and the automation of hydropower stations, which will drive demand for related equipment [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in GIL corridors, such as Pinggao Electric, China West Electric, and Changgao Electric, as well as those in hydropower station automation like Guodian NARI and Huazi Technology [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the electric equipment sector [20]. Core Insights - Yushu Technology has initiated IPO counseling, indicating a potential growth trajectory in the robotics sector, with a projected revenue exceeding 1 billion yuan in 2024 [5][17]. - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a "reverse involution" effect, leading to price increases in silicon materials and wafers, with multi-crystalline silicon N-type materials averaging 41,700 yuan/ton, up 12.4% week-on-week [7][18]. - The report highlights the importance of supply-side reforms in the photovoltaic sector, with recommendations to focus on leading companies such as Tongwei Co., Ltd. and Aiko Solar [9][19]. Summary by Sections Yushu Technology and Robotics - Yushu Technology has completed counseling registration with the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Bureau, with its CEO Wang Xingxing controlling 34.763% of the shares. The company is expected to be evaluated for IPO readiness between October and December [5][17]. - The company has achieved significant sales in quadruped and humanoid robots, with its flagship product, Unitree Go1, selling over 50,000 units, capturing over 60% of the global consumer quadruped robot market [5][17]. Photovoltaic Industry Dynamics - The domestic silicon material companies have adjusted their pricing strategies to be based on "not lower than full cost," leading to a significant increase in transaction volumes and prices [7][18]. - The average transaction price for multi-crystalline silicon N-type materials is reported at 41,700 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 12.4%, while N-type granular silicon averages 41,000 yuan/ton, up 15.2% [7][18]. - Silicon wafer prices have also risen significantly, with 183N wafers averaging 1.05 yuan/piece (up 22.09%), 210RN wafers at 1.15 yuan/piece (up 15.00%), and 210N wafers at 1.35 yuan/piece (up 13.45%) [8][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies in the robotics supply chain, such as Obsidian Technology and Daotong Technology, as Yushu's market entry may boost these firms [9][19]. - For the photovoltaic sector, it recommends focusing on leading companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. for silicon materials, and Fuyao Glass for photovoltaic glass, as well as Aiko Solar for new technologies [9][19]. Market Performance - The electric equipment sector saw a slight increase of 0.57%, ranking 14th among 28 sub-industries, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index [40][41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly enhance electricity supply and contribute to carbon neutrality goals. The project will utilize abundant hydropower resources and promote the development of solar and wind energy in the surrounding areas [3]. - The project has an installed capacity of nearly 70 million kilowatts and an annual power generation capacity of 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which can meet the annual electricity needs of 300 million people and replace 90 million tons of standard coal, reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 300 million tons [3]. - The project is anticipated to strengthen the synergy between computing and electricity, benefiting the AIDC computing power industry chain [3]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five cascade power stations and is expected to take about 10 years to complete, with production anticipated to start after 2035 [3]. - The project will enhance the utilization of "West-to-East Power Transmission" and support the national strategy of "East Data West Calculation" [3]. Investment Insights - The total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan may be adjusted upwards, with the investment in power transmission and transformation estimated to reach between 189 billion to 315 billion yuan [3]. - The report suggests that the actual investment may exceed initial estimates due to construction difficulties and uncertainties related to interest rates [3]. Beneficiaries in the Industry - The hydropower equipment supply chain is expected to benefit, with key players including Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric, among others [3]. - The report highlights the stable demand for high-voltage transmission equipment and identifies major suppliers such as State Grid NARI, China XD Electric, and others as potential beneficiaries [3]. - The GIL (Gas Insulated Transmission Line) segment is entering a long-term growth cycle, with companies like China XD Electric and Pinggao Electric expected to benefit from the Yarlung Zangbo project [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the hydropower equipment and high-voltage equipment supply chains, specifically mentioning companies like Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and State Grid NARI [3]. - It also suggests monitoring the AIDC industry chain, including companies like Megmeet and Jinpan Technology [3].