摩尔线程、沐曦股份之外，壁仞科技、天数智芯、燧原科技也争相叩开资本市场的大门。寒武纪等一众 企业披露业绩的同时，百度的昆仑芯、阿里的平头哥接连走到台前。 "小作文"可以呼应投资者高预期下的焦虑，但不能成为股价大跌的唯一由头。 从投资者的视角看，无论是寒武纪，还是紧随其后上市的摩尔线程、沐曦股份，大家都面临着背负高预 期之后，如何兑现、何时兑现的考题。硬件的稳定性、性价比、供应能力都是市场的重要考察因素。 附在股价上的预期，自然比单纯的数字更复杂。营收增长幅度、亏损收窄情况、盈利预期的变化，都可 能变成"小作文"制造焦虑的诱导因素。在这个过程中，稍有风吹草动，让市场产生不安情绪自然在所难 免。 从行业自身的视角看，寒武纪需要正视的不仅是资本市场对于芯片题材祛魅，还有同行竞争加剧、同业 态百花齐放。 寒武纪从最初的"高处不胜寒"，到数家国产芯片企业先后奔赴资本市场，股市上相关概念股的稀缺时代 也将结束。 刚刚交出亮眼的业绩，寒武纪就迎来了猝不及防的大跌。 2月4日，寒武纪股价收跌5.32%，报1068元/股，总市值4504亿元。此前一天，公司股价跌去12.88%，市 值从约5300亿元回落到4563亿元，几乎半天 ...

A股2025年年度业绩预告披露正式收官。笔者认为，投资者可从行业景气度、内生增长韧性、困境反转 三个角度切入，参透上市公司业绩预告背后隐藏的投资"玄机"。 首先，锚定行业景气度，是解读业绩预告的首要前提。 行业赛道的冷暖，直接决定了企业业绩的基本盘。Wind资讯数据显示，在已披露去年业绩预告的上市 公司中，电子（半导体）、汽车零部件、电力设备行业是预增主力。具体来看，半导体领域，寒武纪受 益于行业算力需求的持续增长，预计2025年归属母公司的净利润超过18.5亿元，大幅扭亏；汽车零部件 领域，博俊科技受益于全国乘用车市场稳定增长及新能源汽车快速上量，预计去年盈利增超35%；电力 设备领域，明阳智能受益于全球新能源装机规模持续扩大，风机交付规模与销售收入同比显著扩张，预 计去年净利润同比增长超131.14%。这些行业或借国产化加速的东风，或乘新能源渗透率提升的浪潮， 持续夯实业绩增长的"压舱石"。 其次，聚焦经营韧性，辨别内生增长真实成色。 真正的增长应源于主营业务深耕，而非短期因素加持。例如，中科三环预计2025年扣非净利润大幅扭 亏，核心在于公司持续优化运营效率，稳步拓展市场份额；山外山作为国产血液净化设备 ...

刚刚交出亮眼的业绩，寒武纪就迎来了猝不及防的大跌。 2月4日，寒武纪股价收跌5.32%，报1068元/股，总市值4504亿元。此前一天，公司股价跌去12.88%，市 值从约5300亿元回落到4563亿元，几乎半天蒸发了超过700亿元。 表面看，导火索是一篇流传不广的"小作文"，公司小范围交流中给出的2026年营收指引仅为200亿元， 远低于市场预期。寒武纪很快辟谣，但难挡股市大跌。 自上市起，高估值的寒武纪一直背负着高预期。这种高预期既有国产替代浪潮的大势之趋，也有AI时 代对于芯片需求的蒸蒸日上。 预期之下，以寒武纪为代表，大量国产芯片企业脱颖而出，成为资本市场耀眼的明星。它们普遍估值 高、上市快、融资规模大，在资本市场起起伏伏，关注度也极高。 "小作文"可以呼应投资者高预期下的焦虑，但不能成为股价大跌的唯一由头。 从投资者的视角看，无论是寒武纪，还是紧随其后上市的摩尔线程、沐曦股份，大家都面临着背负高预 期之后，如何兑现、何时兑现的考题。硬件的稳定性、性价比、供应能力都是市场的重要考察因素。 附在股价上的预期，自然比单纯的数字更复杂。营收增长幅度、亏损收窄情况、盈利预期的变化，都可 能变成"小作文"制造焦 ...

Group 1: Agricultural and Rural Development - The 2026 Central Document emphasizes modernizing agriculture and rural areas, aiming for comprehensive rural revitalization as a primary focus [2] - It highlights the importance of enhancing agricultural policies, ensuring food security, and improving rural living conditions to support China's modernization [2] Group 2: State-Owned Enterprises and Innovation - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is pushing for the development of strategic emerging industries and the transformation of traditional industries [3] - There is a focus on fostering technology-driven enterprises and enhancing collaboration between state-owned enterprises and research institutions to drive innovation [3] Group 3: Energy and Fuel Prices - Starting February 3, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices will increase by 205 yuan and 195 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to an increase of 0.16 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline [4] Group 4: Technological Advancements and Investments - Shanghai is prioritizing the development of future industries such as brain-computer interfaces and fourth-generation semiconductors [5] - The Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center has secured over 700 million yuan in market financing, marking a significant step towards market operation and industrialization [5] Group 5: Robotics and AI Innovations - Zhejiang University has launched the Bolt humanoid robot, which is currently the fastest in the world, capable of running at 10 meters per second [6] - A new AI-assisted puncture navigation robot has received approval for market entry, showcasing advancements in AI technology for clinical applications [6] Group 6: Market Movements and Stock Performance - The South Korean stock market experienced significant volatility, with the composite index dropping over 5% before rebounding and triggering a trading halt [9] - Major indices in the US and A-shares showed positive performance, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.05% and the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.29% [14][15] Group 7: Semiconductor Industry Developments - Samsung and SK Hynix are planning to expand their advanced NAND flash memory production capacity, with Samsung discussing a monthly investment of 40,000 to 50,000 wafers [10] - Samsung Electro-Mechanics is advancing its semiconductor glass substrate project, aiming for commercialization by 2027 [11] Group 8: Corporate Mergers and Strategic Moves - Elon Musk announced the merger of SpaceX and xAI to create a space-based data center, emphasizing the need for AI infrastructure in space to meet growing energy demands [12]

相比较去年8月1595.88元的高点，寒武纪股价已经下跌了超30%。 | 今开 | 1255.00 | | 最高 | 1257.78 | | 成交量 | 11.92万手 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨收 | 1242.00 | | 最低 | 1070.00 | | 成交额 | 137.81亿 | | 换手率 | 2.85% | | 市盈(TTM) | 241.69 | | 总市值 | 4536亿 | | / / 0 -- | TO | 口口 | EE I/ | 三 | 天/ | EI/ | 古々 .. | 此前，1月31日晚间，寒武纪发布业绩预告，预计2025年度实现营收60亿元到70亿元，同比增长410.87%到496.02%；实现净利18.5亿元到21.5亿元，扭亏 为盈；扣除非经常性损益后实现净利16亿元到19亿元。 寒武纪亦在业绩预告中提示，本次业绩预告是公司财务部门的初步核算，尚未经注册会计师审计，具体准确的财务数据以公司正式披露的经审计后的 《2025 年年度报告》为准。 值得注意的是，近日，福布斯更新了截至2026年 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index showed minor fluctuations, closing up by 0.05%, but structural issues in the market are prominent [1] - The U.S. Navy has increased its military presence in the southern waters of Iran, with around 32 vessels reported as of February 3 [1] - Gold stocks, such as WanGuo Gold International, saw a rise of over 7% [1] Trade Agreements - The U.S. has reduced tariffs on Indian imports from 50% to 18%, but details of the trade agreement remain unclear [1] - India is shifting towards a more pragmatic approach in its economic development, moving away from previous over-optimism [1] Technology Sector - The technology sector is facing challenges, particularly in AI and gaming, with significant stock declines in companies like TIS and Trend Micro [3] - Samsung Electronics' market value surpassed 1 trillion Korean won (approximately 68.8 billion USD) due to strong demand for storage chips [2] - Chinese companies in the semiconductor space, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Han's Laser, are experiencing stock declines [2] Energy Sector - Hydrogen energy is gaining traction, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology planning to increase green hydrogen production to 250,000 tons per year by 2025 [3] - Companies like Guofu Hydrogen Energy and Zhongshun Energy have seen stock increases of over 18% and 12%, respectively [3] Coal Industry - Indonesia's government has announced significant coal production cuts, impacting China's coal supply by 5.3% [4] - Major coal companies like Yanzhou Coal and China Coal Energy have seen stock increases of over 8% due to these developments [4] Aerospace and Technology - SpaceX announced the acquisition of xAI, aiming to integrate AI with space technology, which could lead to significant advancements in energy production and storage [5] - Companies in the solar energy sector, such as GCL-Poly and Xinyi Solar, are also performing well, with stock increases of over 2% [6] Real Estate Market - China Construction Bank is supporting the acquisition of second-hand housing for rental projects in Shanghai, which is expected to improve inventory turnover in major cities [6] - Real estate companies like Yuexiu Property and China Resources Land have seen stock increases of over 5% [6] Aviation Sector - The Spring Festival travel season has begun, with a 5.3% year-on-year increase in passenger volume on the first day [7] - Major airlines like China Eastern and China Southern have reported significant stock increases of over 5% due to improved performance and cost management [7] Digital Economy - The Guangdong government is promoting digital consumption and smart services, focusing on areas like autonomous driving and smart tourism [8] - Companies involved in autonomous driving, such as Youjia Innovation and Horizon Robotics, are expected to benefit from these initiatives [8] Company-Specific Developments - China Shipbuilding Defense announced a new contract for the construction of 16 container ships, valued between 736 million to 896 million USD, which is expected to positively impact cash flow and future performance [9] - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections of 9.4 to 11.2 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 149.61% to 196.88% [9]

随着2025年度A股上市公司业绩预告披露正式收官，中国经济新旧动能加速转换的图景也愈发清晰。巨灵财经数据显示，截 至2026年1月30日，A股5352家上市公司中（剔除上市未满一年公司），共有2963家发布了2025年年报、快报或业绩预告， 披露率达55.36%。其中，1069家公司实现预喜（含预增、略增、扭亏、续盈），预喜率为36.08%，较2024年的33.38%实现 小幅回升，盈利态势逐步回暖。 从整体数据来看，2025年A股行业分化态势尤为突出。非银金融、有色金属等行业表现亮眼，盈利增速显著；房地产、光伏 等传统行业则深陷调整期，持续承受业绩压力；而以半导体、通信设备为代表的新质生产力相关板块，更是迎来业绩爆发 期。这种行业增减的鲜明对比，不仅直观反映了各行业景气度的差异，更清晰展现出中国经济正逐步摆脱传统要素依赖模 式，向创新驱动的高质量发展稳步迈进。 非银金融、有色金属领衔，优势赛道表现亮眼 从各行业具体表现来看，2025年预喜率排名前五的行业分别是非银金融、有色金属、美容护理、汽车和公用事业。这些行业 凭借自身核心优势或行业周期红利，跻身业绩预喜的核心阵营，其中非银金融板块的集体预增表现最为突出 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" investment rating for the semiconductor industry, indicating a cautious outlook amidst ongoing recovery and price increases in the sector [4]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry showed signs of recovery in January 2026, with prices continuing to rise, driven by demand from AI computing, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and storage price increases [4][5]. - Global semiconductor demand is improving, with slight growth in PCs and smartphones, and rapid growth in TWS headphones, wearable devices, and smart home products. AI servers and new energy vehicles are expected to maintain high growth rates [4]. - Despite high inventory levels, certain segments driven by AI demand are experiencing significant growth, leading to price increases from upstream wafer foundries [4][5]. - The report highlights that the semiconductor sector's performance in January 2026 saw a 16.23% increase, outperforming the broader market [11][13]. Summary by Sections Monthly Market Review - The semiconductor sector's performance in January 2026 was a 16.23% increase, while the overall electronic sector rose by 9.38% [11][13]. - The semiconductor valuation metrics indicate a PE of 98.68% and a PB of 82.16%, reflecting high historical percentiles [21][22]. Semiconductor Supply and Demand Tracking - Semiconductor prices continued to rise in January, with storage prices increasing significantly, reflecting a recovery in demand [4][5]. - AI server shipments are projected to grow over 28% in 2026, leading to increased prices for storage and CPU chips [5][20]. Downstream Demand Data - The report notes that AI servers, new energy vehicles, TWS headphones, and wearable devices are showing strong demand recovery, while smartphone sales may decline due to rising storage prices [4][5]. - Global smartphone shipments saw a slight increase of 2.28% in Q4 2025, while PC shipments increased by 9.61% year-on-year [4][5]. Industry News Highlights - Major CSP companies like Meta and Microsoft reported significant capital expenditures, indicating strong investment in AI infrastructure [5][20]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in AIOT, AI-driven innovation, and domestic supply chain replacements as potential investment opportunities [5].

国联民生（601456）证券股份有限公司研究员吕伟、方竞、郭新宇2月2日发布研报《寒武纪- U(688256)2025年业绩预告点评：国产算力龙头迎来重要业绩拐点》称，维持寒武纪"推荐"评级。 中国经济网北京2月4日讯寒武纪(688256.SH)今日收报1068.00元，跌幅5.32%。寒武纪股价连续3个交易 日下跌。 ...

1、行情 早盘市场亏钱效应较为强烈，但收盘一看居然指数翻红、整体涨多跌少。 题材方面，氢能源早盘突然发力大涨，京城股份、昇辉科技（20CM）、美锦能源、致远新能（20CM）、华电科工先后涨停，新锦动力、春晖 智控、厚普股份、蜀道装备等集体大涨； 煤炭板块全天单边暴涨，陕西黑猫、兖矿能源、中煤能源、云煤能源、晋控煤业、山西焦煤、宝泰隆、潞安环能、山西焦煤、山煤国际、大有能 源、恒源煤电、开滦股份先后涨停； 光伏板块携催化震荡走强，双良节能、国晟科技、泽润新能（20CM）、天通股份2连板，亚玛顿、中来股份（20CM）、拓日新能、晶科能源 （20CM）、时创能源（20CM）、TCL中环、协鑫集成等集体涨停，晶盛机电、阿石创、易成新能、天合光能等大涨； 此外，民航、能源股、量子科技等均有局部强势表现，AI应用、存储、黄金、航天等集体重挫。 截至收盘，沪指、深成指分别收涨0.85%、0.21%，创业板指小幅收跌0.4%，市场超3200股上涨，2100余股下跌，三市累计成交额不足2.5万亿。 2、腾讯控股 昨天辟谣的两个兄弟，今天表现都不是很好。 寒武纪竞价低开2.48%，全天单边震荡下跌，最终大跌5.32%。 搞笑的是 ...