预计2026年津巴布韦锂矿产量为23.5万吨，约占2026年全球锂资源产量的12%。 预计2026年津巴布韦锂矿产量为23.5万吨，约占2026年全球锂资源产量的12%。 下游需求即将进入旺季，锂盐库存仍较低，在锂矿出口禁令解除之前，碳酸锂短期供应紧缺加剧，锂价有望大幅 上涨至20-25w的区间。 （目前16.6万） 在津巴布韦有矿的企业，有【中矿资源、盛新锂能、雅化集团】，他们相对来说是利空的 结论，不受出口禁令影响的华友钴业（锂钴镍三重涨价）、大中矿业（资源在国内，即将投产）、盐湖股份（国 内锂资源增速最快）。 若中矿资源、盛新锂能、雅化集团短时下挫过快，也可以考虑关注，因为津巴布韦禁止出口也是为了推高锂矿价 格，而锂矿价格上涨，也利好在津巴布韦有矿的企业。 下游需求即将进入旺季，锂盐库存仍较低，在锂矿出口禁令解除之前，碳酸锂短期供应紧缺加剧，锂价有望大幅 上涨至20-25w的区间。 （目前16.6万） 在津巴布韦有矿的企业，有【中矿资源、盛新锂能、雅化集团】，他们相对来说是利空的 结论，不受出口禁令影响的华友钴业（锂钴镍三重涨价）、大中矿业（资源在国内，即将投 ...

【有色ETF汇添富（159652）标的指数前十大成分股】 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601899 | 紫金矿业 | 有色金属 | 1.52% | 14.47% | | 2 | 603993 | 洛阳镇业 | 有色金属 | 4.43% | 7.55% | | 3 | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 有色金属 | 5.52% | 5.58% | | 4 | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 有色金属 | 2.80% | 4.58% | | ਟ | 601600 | 中国铝业 | 有色金属 | 3.05% | 4.01% | | 6 | 600489 | 中金黄金 | 有色金属 | 2.29% | 3.40% | | 7 | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 有色金属 | 0.71% | 3.26% | | 8 | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 有色金属 | 1.82% | 3.24% | | ਰੇ | 000426 | 兴业银锡 | 有色金属 | 2.86% | 2.85% ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The global market is currently in an observational phase with no clear consensus-driven trends. The short - term market is unlikely to have a unilateral trend, and the Fed's interest - rate cut narrative may be the next potential catalyst [2]. - The RMB exchange rate has shown strength. Short - term strategies for export and import enterprises are proposed, such as export enterprises locking in forward exchange settlement and import enterprises adopting a rolling purchase strategy [3][4]. - The stock index is expected to be bullish, while the bond market should focus on the Two Sessions' news [5][6]. - The container shipping market for the European route is expected to be weak in the short term, with a shift in trading logic [7][10]. - In the new energy market, the speculative sentiment of lithium carbonate is strong, and industrial silicon and polysilicon are in a situation of weak supply and demand [12][15]. - In the non - ferrous metal market, copper prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level, aluminum and its related products are expected to fluctuate and consolidate, zinc is expected to fluctuate strongly, nickel - stainless steel is expected to fluctuate at a high level, tin is expected to fluctuate at a high level, and lead is expected to fluctuate and adjust [18][22][23][25][27][28]. - In the oil and fat feed market, oilseeds have strong expectations but weak reality, and oils are expected to improve [29][31]. - In the energy and oil and gas market, high - sulfur fuel oil is under pressure, low - sulfur fuel oil is strong, and asphalt prices may decline [34][35]. - In the precious metal market, platinum - palladium is expected to be in a long - term bull market, and gold - silver is strategically bullish in the short term [38][40][41][43]. - In the chemical market, pulp and offset paper are expected to fluctuate at a low level, pure benzene - styrene should pay attention to geopolitical trends, LPG is affected by geopolitics, PX - PTA is expected to be easy to rise and difficult to fall, MEG - bottle chips are expected to fluctuate widely, methanol can consider a positive spread strategy, plastics PP are expected to fluctuate and decline, and rubber is expected to fluctuate in a range [45][47][50][52][56][59][61][64]. - In the black market, rebar and hot - rolled coils are expected to be weak, iron ore may recover seasonally, coking coal and coke need to focus on the resumption rhythm, and ferrosilicon and ferromanganese should wait for the hedging opportunity [79][80][81][84]. - In the agricultural and soft commodity market, the price of live pigs may continue to decline, cotton is recommended to go long on dips, sugar's rebound space is limited, eggs may fluctuate at a low level in the short term and rise in the medium term, apples are supported by delivery contradictions, dates are expected to fluctuate at a low level, and logs can be observed [85][88][91][92][100][102][103]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Futures - **Macro**: The indirect negotiation between Iran and the US ended with "significant progress". The US initial jobless claims were 212,000, the Bank of Korea maintained the benchmark interest rate at 2.5%, and the Bank of Japan may consider raising interest rates [1]. - **RMB Exchange Rate**: The on - shore and off - shore RMB against the US dollar both broke through the 6.84 mark. Short - term strategies for export and import enterprises are provided [3][4]. - **Stock Index**: The stock index is expected to be bullish, with attention on the sustainability of trading volume [5]. - **Treasury Bond**: The bond market is bearish, and attention should be paid to the news of the Two Sessions [5][6]. - **Container Shipping for European Route**: The market is weak, with a shift in trading logic from expecting price increases to facing price cuts in the off - season [7][10]. Commodities New Energy - **Lithium Carbonate**: The speculative sentiment is strong, and upstream enterprises are recommended to hedge by shorting at high prices [12][14]. - **Industrial Silicon & Polysilicon**: They are in a situation of weak supply and demand. Short - term prices may break through the support level, and medium - term strategies are to go long at low prices [15][16]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level, and different trading strategies are proposed [18][21]. - **Aluminum Industry Chain**: Aluminum, alumina, and cast aluminum alloy are expected to fluctuate and consolidate. Different trading strategies are recommended according to different products [22][23]. - **Zinc**: It is expected to fluctuate strongly, and attention should be paid to the negative feedback of tariff news [23][24]. - **Nickel - Stainless Steel**: They are expected to fluctuate at a high level, and attention should be paid to US tariff and Indonesian supply - side factors [25][26]. - **Tin**: It is expected to fluctuate at a high level, and attention should be paid to the approval progress in Indonesia and the actual resumption progress in Myanmar [27]. - **Lead**: It is expected to fluctuate and adjust, and interval operations are recommended [28]. Oil and Fat Feed - **Oilseeds**: They have strong expectations but weak reality. After the market returns to fundamentals, shorting and reverse - spread opportunities can be considered [29][30]. - **Oils**: They are expected to improve, and long - position opportunities at low prices can be considered for palm oil [31][32]. Energy and Oil and Gas - **Fuel Oil**: High - sulfur fuel oil is under pressure, and low - sulfur fuel oil is strong. The market shows a differentiated pattern [34]. - **Asphalt**: Prices may decline, especially when the demand after the Spring Festival is lower than expected [35]. Precious Metals - **Platinum - Palladium**: They are expected to be in a long - term bull market, but attention should be paid to various risk factors [38][40]. - **Gold - Silver**: They are strategically bullish in the short term, and long - position strategies on dips are recommended [41][43]. Chemicals - **Pulp - Offset Paper**: They are expected to fluctuate at a low level, and interval trading strategies are recommended [45][46]. - **Pure Benzene - Styrene**: Attention should be paid to geopolitical trends, and long - position strategies on dips are recommended for styrene [47][49]. - **LPG**: It is mainly affected by geopolitics, and the short - term pricing is dominated by the Iran - US situation [50][51]. - **PX - PTA**: They are expected to be easy to rise and difficult to fall, and long - position strategies on dips and short - spread strategies for processing fees are recommended [52][55]. - **MEG - Bottle Chips**: They are expected to fluctuate widely, and short - selling is not recommended in the short term [56][58]. - **Methanol**: A positive spread strategy for the 5 - 9 contract can be considered, and attention should be paid to geopolitical factors [59][60]. - **Plastic PP**: They are expected to fluctuate and decline, and attention should be paid to the demand after the resumption of work by downstream enterprises and the inventory removal speed [61][63]. - **Rubber**: It is expected to fluctuate in a range, and different trading strategies are recommended for different types of rubber [64][71]. - **Urea**: It is recommended to buy at a low price, and the market price is expected to rise steadily [72]. - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Soda ash is expected to fluctuate with limited price movement, and glass prices are restricted by supply recovery and high inventory in the middle - stream [74][75]. - **Propylene**: It is affected by cost and supply - demand factors, and the market is still supported fundamentally [76][77]. Black Metals - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: They are expected to be weak, and although the market may hype up expectations near the Two Sessions, the fundamentals are still weak [79]. - **Iron Ore**: It may recover seasonally, and low - buying opportunities or positive - spread strategies can be considered at low valuations [79][80]. - **Coking Coal & Coke**: They need to focus on the resumption rhythm of mines and steel mills after the Spring Festival, and the price may face short - term supply - demand mismatch or downward pressure [81][83]. - **Ferrosilicon & Ferromanganese**: They are affected by manganese ore news, and hedging opportunities after the emotional release can be waited for [84]. Agricultural and Soft Commodities - **Live Pigs**: The price is expected to continue to decline, and a sell - call option strategy is proposed [85][87]. - **Cotton**: It is recommended to go long on dips, and attention should be paid to the peak - season demand and US trade policy [88][90]. - **Sugar**: The rebound space is limited, although there is some upward driving force [91]. - **Eggs**: They may fluctuate at a low level in the short term and rise in the medium term [92][93]. - **Apples**: The short - term demand is weak after the Spring Festival, but the delivery contradiction provides support [100][101]. - **Dates**: They are expected to fluctuate at a low level, and attention should be paid to the post - festival replenishment demand [102]. - **Logs**: The futures price is expected to fluctuate weakly, and an observation strategy is recommended [103].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月27日，有色ETF华安（512940）开盘跌0.78%，报1.022元。有色ETF华安（512940）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘跌0.43%，洛阳钼业跌0.35%，北方稀土涨0.05%，华友钴业跌1.14%，中国铝业跌0.82%，中 金黄金跌0.23%，山东黄金涨0.71%，赣锋锂业跌2.00%，兴业银锡跌1.04%，厦门钨业涨0.00%。 有色ETF华安（512940）业绩比较基准为中证有色金属矿业主题指数收益率，管理人为华安基金管理有 限公司，基金经理为许之彦，成立（2026-02-04）以来回报为3.32%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

碳酸锂期货日报 行业 日期 2026 年 2 月 27 日 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员：余菲菲 研究员：彭婧霖 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 图1：碳酸锂现货价及价差 图2：碳酸锂期货持仓量成交量 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 碳酸锂期货冲高回落，总持仓小增 2957，市场继续交易津巴布韦锂矿禁令，日内 雅化集团、华友钴业以及中矿资源回应，一度缓解市场对该禁令的担忧，多头有 止盈离场。钢联晚盘现货电碳报价涨 10700 至 176000，澳矿涨 90，锂云母涨 155， 三元持平，铁锂涨 2000-2100，产业链涨价潮持续，本周碳酸锂社库较节前去库 2839 吨至 100093 吨。短期随着供应端炒作 ...

焦点事件 英伟达市值蒸发1.77万亿元 美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指涨0.03%，标普500指数跌0.54%，纳指跌1.18%。大型科技股多数下 跌，英伟达跌超5%，市值蒸发2592亿美元（约合人民币1.77万亿元），创去年4月16日以来最大单日跌 幅，这也是英伟达连续第三次在发布整体好于预期的财报后下跌。有分析师指出，英伟达在财报层面很 少失手，但当前市场环境需要公司解答的问题显然不止于卖出多少芯片。 宁波银行管理层大调整！两名70后接任董事长、行长 资产规模超3万亿的宁波银行管理层迎来大调整。 2月26日，宁波银行发布公告，宣布一系列人事变动。核心调整包括选举庄灵君为新任董事长，同意聘 任冯培炯为新任行长，两人均为"70后"，掌舵超过20年的陆华裕就此迎来谢幕时刻。目前，A股上市银 行中年龄最小的董事长为青农商行梁衍波，其出生于1978年8月，庄灵君上任后，将刷新这一记录。 第 823期 2026-02-27 宏观要闻 商务部回应近期将举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商 商务部2月26日举行例行发布会。商务部新闻发言人何咏前在回应近期将举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商相 关提问时表示，中美双方通过中美经贸磋商机制，在各层 ...

Group 1: Amer Sports Performance - Amer Sports reported a 27% year-on-year revenue growth for FY2025, reaching $6.566 billion, with an adjusted net profit of $545 million, up from $236 million in 2024 [7][8] - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 28% year-on-year to $2.101 billion, with an adjusted net profit of $176 million, compared to $90 million in Q4 2024 [8] - The management guidance for 2026 indicates a revenue growth of 16-18% at constant exchange rates, with an operating profit margin of 13.1-13.3% [8] Group 2: Silver Economy and Sports Industry - The aging population in China is creating significant opportunities in the silver economy, particularly in the sports industry and products catering to older adults [9][10] - The sports apparel market is projected to reach ¥437.7 billion by 2025, with outdoor trail running shoes expected to grow over 150% [9] - The demand for professional running shoes priced above ¥200 is anticipated to maintain double-digit growth, driven by increased health awareness among the elderly [9] Group 3: Lithium Industry Insights - The lithium market is experiencing tightening supply and low inventory levels, with global lithium demand expected to reach approximately 200,000 tons LCE in 2026 [12][14] - Domestic lithium supply is not yet at large-scale production levels, and there are potential disruptions in supply due to regulatory changes and production delays [13] - The anticipated demand from both power and energy storage batteries is expected to drive lithium prices upward, with projections suggesting prices may exceed ¥200,000 per ton in the near term [14] Group 4: Chemical Industry Policy Impact - Recent tax incentives for marine oil and gas exploration are aimed at reducing import costs for essential equipment, thereby enhancing domestic oil and gas supply capabilities [15][16] - The policy is expected to improve the internal rate of return for marine exploration projects and support the development of deep-sea oil fields [16] Group 5: Matrix Holdings Performance - Matrix Holdings is positioned as a leading high-end interior design company, with a significant recovery in profitability expected as the real estate market stabilizes [19][20] - The company anticipates a substantial increase in net profit for 2025, projected to be between ¥58 million and ¥80 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 72%-137% [19] - The introduction of an "AI + Design" platform is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability in the design process [20] Group 6: Anfu Technology's Strategic Shift - Anfu Technology has transitioned from retail to becoming a leader in the small battery sector through its acquisition of Nanfu Battery, which has shown consistent revenue growth [21][22] - The company plans to acquire the remaining shares of Nanfu Battery to enhance profitability further [22] - Anfu is also investing in high-tech sectors, including AI and semiconductor manufacturing, to diversify its business model [21][22]

中信建投（601066）期货分析师张维鑫表示，受长假期间国际大宗商品价格上涨影响，碳酸锂期价延续 了春节假期前的上涨趋势。此外，3月份以后，现货市场供需格局或进一步偏紧，该预期也支撑了碳酸 锂价格。 春节假期结束后，碳酸锂市场表现强势。2月26日，碳酸锂期货跳空高开，主力合约LC2605盘中最高触 及187700元/吨，涨幅一度超11%，随后涨幅收窄，当日报收173660元/吨，涨幅为3.47%。 业内人士认为，碳酸锂期价节后持续走强，是基本面和消息面共振的表现。 据华友钴业相关负责人介绍，此次津巴布韦相关政策主要是对违规出口的监管，公司的采矿证是当地矿 业部颁发的，目前还不能确定具体影响有多大。 雅化集团相关负责人也对记者表示，短期内，该政策对其公司业务会有一定影响，不过公司已经提前把 在津巴布韦生产的锂精矿全部发运出来了，整体影响相对有限。值得关注的是，雅化集团可以继续申请 出口，但需要按照出口许可流程补充相关资料，公司已经着手推进。 "从目前主流企业的反馈看，津巴布韦相关政策影响偏短期，且部分企业已有库存矿规划，预计整体影 响有限。"林嘉旎表示，津巴布韦相关政策主要是为了打击走私及促进锂资源的本土加工业 ...

海关总署数据显示，2025年，我国锂辉石进口总量620.9万吨。其中，从津巴布韦进口锂精矿119.1万 吨，占比19.2%，折合约11万吨碳酸锂当量（ LCE）。 春节假期结束后，碳酸锂市场表现强势。2月26日，碳酸锂期货跳空高开，主力合约LC2605盘中最高触 及187700元/吨，涨幅一度超11%，随后涨幅收窄，当日报收173660元/吨，涨幅为3.47%。 业内人士认为，碳酸锂期价节后持续走强，是基本面和消息面共振的表现。 中信建投期货分析师张维鑫表示，受长假期间国际大宗商品价格上涨影响，碳酸锂期价延续了春节假期 前的上涨趋势。此外，3月份以后，现货市场供需格局或进一步偏紧，该预期也支撑了碳酸锂价格。 "春节长假前夕，市场以谨慎观望为主，并未表现出强烈的增仓态势，碳酸锂价格上行动力稍显不 足。"创元期货分析师余烁解释称，当前来看，在大宗商品市场中，碳酸锂属于基本面较强的品种，长 假风险释放之后，碳酸锂基本面仍具韧性，市场对后市持乐观态度。 2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部宣布立即暂停所有原矿及锂精矿出口（含在途货物），旨在加强矿产监管与 问责。 未来仅持有效采矿权及获批选矿厂的企业具备出口资格，禁止代理及第三 ...

转自：新华财经 •商务部回应近期将举行第六轮中美经贸磋商 •市场监管总局新规要求外卖增设"无堂食"专项标识 •中国人民银行：进一步支持境内银行业金融机构与境外机构开展人民币跨境同业融资业务 •伊朗外长：美伊日内瓦谈判取得"良好进展" 新一轮谈判预计于下周举行 •2026年国家药品抽检工作会在长沙召开。会议指出，各级药品监管部门和药检机构务实创新、通力合作，持续提升药品抽检科学性和靶向性，风险排查更 加细致深入，线索处置更加严格高效，有力维护群众用药安全，为保障全国药品安全形势稳定向好、助推医药产业高质量发展提供坚实的专业支撑。(新华 财经） •东方财富26日晚间公告称，接到公司控股股东、实际控制人其实通知，为支持教育事业发展，促进人才培养及科技创新，其实计划向上海交通大学教育发 展基金会捐赠其持有的公司2000万股无限售流通股，占公司总股本的0.13%。(新华财经） •当地时间2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部发文称，已暂停所有原矿和锂精矿的出口，即刻生效。上市公司盛新锂能、中矿资源、天华新能、雅化集团等均在津巴 布韦有锂矿等布局。华友钴业相关负责人表示，此次津巴布韦的"禁令"主要是对违规出口的监管，公司的采矿证是当 ...