中金发布研报称，维持中国旺旺(00151)"跑赢行业"评级，维持目标价5.83港币,主因公司品牌力强，上 半财年业绩承压，归母净利润同比下滑7.8%。收入微增，但乳饮品类受成本上升及需求疲弱影响小幅 下滑，而休闲食品与新兴渠道表现较好。 中金主要观点如下： 业绩表现 下半财年收入有望保持稳健，费用投入力度或将延续 该行预计公司3QFY25销售表现有所承压，主要受春节错期影响;预计下半财年公司收入有望保持稳健增 长，零食量贩渠道有望延续高速增长。利润端，该行预计下半财年毛利率&利润率有望环比持平，公司 或延续费用投入力度，持续拉升新品及新兴渠道表现。 风险提示 1HFY25利润小幅低于市场预期公司公布1HFY25业绩：收入111.08亿元，同比+2.1%;归母净利润17.17亿 元，同比-7.8%;利润表现小幅低于市场预期，主因营业费用投入超预期。 需求疲弱，竞争加剧，原材料价格大幅上行。 发展趋势 米果及休闲食品表现好于乳饮料，新兴渠道实现良好增长。1HFY25公司收入增长稳健，分品类看， 1HFY25米果类/乳饮类/休闲食品类收入分别同比+3.5%/-1.1%/+7.7%。具体看：1)米果产品销量同增中 个 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，维持中国旺旺(00151)"跑赢行业"评级，维持目标价5.83港币,主因 公司品牌力强，上半财年业绩承压，归母净利润同比下滑7.8%。收入微增，但乳饮品类受成本上升及 需求疲弱影响小幅下滑，而休闲食品与新兴渠道表现较好。 中金主要观点如下： 业绩表现 1HFY25利润小幅低于市场预期公司公布1HFY25业绩：收入111.08亿元，同比+2.1%;归母净利润17.17亿 元，同比-7.8%;利润表现小幅低于市场预期，主因营业费用投入超预期。 发展趋势 下半财年收入有望保持稳健，费用投入力度或将延续 该行预计公司3QFY25销售表现有所承压，主要受春节错期影响;预计下半财年公司收入有望保持稳健增 长，零食量贩渠道有望延续高速增长。利润端，该行预计下半财年毛利率&利润率有望环比持平，公司 或延续费用投入力度，持续拉升新品及新兴渠道表现。 风险提示 需求疲弱，竞争加剧，原材料价格大幅上行。 米果及休闲食品表现好于乳饮料，新兴渠道实现良好增长。1HFY25公司收入增长稳健，分品类看， 1HFY25米果类/乳饮类/休闲食品类收入分别同比+3.5%/-1.1%/+7.7%。具体看：1)米 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 690 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.55%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 61 million yuan, down 14.8% year-on-year [2][5] - The company has shown resilience as a typical large single-product company, with significant contributions from the snack wholesale channel [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 28.9%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, but stable compared to the previous quarter [5] - The company is in a transitional phase between old and new product engines, with a focus on nurturing new large single products [5] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,065 million yuan in 2023 to 2,790 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.7% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 210 million yuan in 2023 to 325 million yuan in 2027 [4] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 30% in the coming years, with a slight dip in 2025 [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.46 yuan in 2023 to 0.72 yuan in 2027 [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2,468 million yuan, 2,591 million yuan, and 2,790 million yuan respectively [4] - The net profit forecasts for the same years are 252 million yuan, 285 million yuan, and 325 million yuan respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and net profit, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 139.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.15%, and net profit of 3.83 billion yuan, up 361.22% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is positioned as a leading brand in the snack wholesale channel, benefiting from seasonal demand and an expanding store network, which reached 15,400 locations by mid-2025 [6][7] - The gross margin improved to 12.14% in Q3 2025, reflecting enhanced product mix and increased bargaining power with suppliers [6][7] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from economies of scale, with net profit margins showing a notable increase [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 365.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.37%, and a net profit of 8.55 billion yuan, up 917.04% year-on-year [4][6] - Q3 2025 saw a gross margin of 12.14%, with a net profit margin of 5.15%, marking a significant improvement from previous quarters [6][7] Growth Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 506.75 billion yuan, 620.99 billion yuan, and 703.98 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 57%, 23%, and 13% respectively [7][8] - Net profit projections for the same period are 12.04 billion yuan, 19.16 billion yuan, and 24.16 billion yuan, with growth rates of 310%, 59%, and 26% respectively [7][8] Market Position - The company is recognized as a leader in the snack wholesale industry, with a clear competitive advantage and ongoing expansion plans [6][7] - The company is expected to continue enhancing its market position as new store formats are developed and existing operations are optimized [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown a positive revenue growth rate, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 1.81 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.5% year-on-year to 173 million yuan [8] - The revenue growth is expected to improve, particularly in core product categories such as fish products, which are projected to grow at double-digit rates. The snack wholesale channel is also performing well, with expectations for continued revenue acceleration as more SKUs are introduced [8] - Marginal improvements in profit margins are anticipated, with a gross margin of 28.9% in Q3 2025, despite a slight year-on-year decline of 1.1 percentage points. The net profit margin for Q3 was 8.8%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, but there are expectations for further improvements in Q4 due to cost reductions and better scale effects [8] Financial Forecasts - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.505 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.85%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 237.43 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 18.5% year-on-year [1][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.53 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.36 based on the latest diluted EPS [1][9] - The company is expected to gradually recover from the bottom of its fundamentals, with net profits forecasted to increase to 348.21 million yuan in 2026 and 392.97 million yuan in 2027, corresponding to growth rates of 46.66% and 12.86% respectively [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Qiyunshan Food Co., Ltd. has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showcasing impressive financial metrics, particularly in gross margin and operating cash flow, which outshine its competitor Liuliu Guoyuan [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Qiyunshan Food's total revenue has shown a growth trend from 2022 to 2024, with figures of 217 million, 247 million, and 339 million yuan respectively [1] - The flagship product, South Jujube Cake, has been the largest contributor to revenue, with sales of 193 million, 209 million, and 294 million yuan during the same period [1] - The gross margins for Qiyunshan Food from 2022 to 2024 were 47.2%, 48.8%, and 48.6%, respectively, indicating stability compared to Liuliu Guoyuan's declining margins [3][4] Pricing and Cost Structure - The average selling price of South Jujube Cake has discrepancies in the prospectus, reported as decreasing from 40.5 yuan/kg in 2023 to either 39.3 yuan/kg or 34.3 yuan/kg in 2024 [1][4] - Raw material costs for both Qiyunshan Food and Liuliu Guoyuan have shown similar trends, with slight increases in the prices of their core ingredients [3][4] Customer Structure and Relationships - Qiyunshan Food's customer base heavily relies on snack wholesale channels, similar to Liuliu Guoyuan, which may pressure margins due to discounting practices [2][4] - The company has a significant reliance on a local distributor, suspected to be linked to the company, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest [6][7] Market Position and Strategy - Despite lower brand recognition and revenue size compared to Liuliu Guoyuan, Qiyunshan Food maintains a higher gross margin, attributed to effective marketing and an expanding distribution network [2][3] - The company has increased its number of offline distributors from 140 in December 2022 to 199 by December 2024, indicating a strategic expansion [2]

Core Viewpoint - Qiaqia Food Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the snack industry due to rising raw material costs and intensified competition [1][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.752 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.05% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 88.64 million yuan, down 73.68% from 337 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - Net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 76.12% year-on-year [1]. Cost and Margin Pressure - The increase in raw material costs, particularly sunflower seeds, has significantly impacted the company's expenses [3]. - Gross margin dropped to 20.31% in the first half of 2025, a decrease of approximately 8 percentage points compared to previous years [4]. - The company's reliance on low-margin, high-volume sales is being challenged by rising costs and price sensitivity among consumers [3]. Market Dynamics - The snack industry is experiencing a shift towards bulk retail channels, which accounted for 37% of snack consumption in 2024, surpassing supermarkets and e-commerce [6]. - New entrants in the snack market, such as Mingming Hen Mang and Wancheng Group, are leveraging efficient supply chains to offer lower prices and higher profit margins, further squeezing traditional brands like Qiaqia [6]. Product and Channel Strategy - Qiaqia is attempting to diversify its product offerings and enhance its digital presence, launching new products like the Mountain Wild series and ice cream [8]. - The company aims to improve sales and gross margins through product structure optimization and increased marketing efforts, including live streaming on platforms like Douyin [4][8]. - As of June 30, 2025, Qiaqia's digital platform served approximately 560,000 terminal outlets, indicating a focus on digital transformation [8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that Qiaqia's revenue may see slight adjustments due to ongoing cost pressures and competitive market conditions, with a potential for improved growth in emerging channels [8]. - The company is also looking to expand into Southeast Asia and other international markets to drive future growth [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 2.941 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.58%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 373 million yuan, up 16.7% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 790 million, 1.033 billion, and 1.279 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 24%, 31%, and 24% [7] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the strong performance of konjac products, which saw significant increases in sales [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 6.578 billion yuan in 2025, 7.835 billion yuan in 2026, and 9.027 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 24%, 19.1%, and 15.2% [6] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was reported at 29.66%, a decrease of 2.87 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 12.67% [7] - The company’s earnings per share are projected to be 2.90 yuan in 2025, 3.79 yuan in 2026, and 4.69 yuan in 2027 [6] Product and Channel Performance - In H1 2025, the company’s revenue from various product categories was as follows: spicy snacks (1.32 billion yuan), baked potato products (459 million yuan), dried fruits and jellies (428 million yuan), deep-sea snacks (363 million yuan), and egg snacks (309 million yuan) [7] - The company’s direct supermarket channel revenue decreased by 42%, while revenue from distribution and other new channels increased by 30.09% [7] - The company is expected to continue expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, which is anticipated to accelerate growth in konjac and quail egg products [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 49% equity of its subsidiary, Nanjing Wanyou Commercial Management Co., Ltd., for cash, which is expected to enhance the company's profits [2][3] - The acquisition will increase the company's stake in Nanjing Wanyou from 26.01% to 75.01%, with a total transaction value of 1.379 billion yuan [5][8] - The acquisition is projected to improve the company's net profit margin from 53.67% to 63.37%, resulting in an estimated 18% increase in net profit for shareholders [5][8] Financial Performance and Projections - The company reported a total market value of approximately 29.03 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 25.29 billion yuan as of August 15, 2025 [4] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 546.39 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 69%, and net profit is expected to reach 9.03 billion yuan, reflecting a 208% increase [7][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 4.81 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.16 [7][8] Recent Performance - The company's stock performance over the past year shows a significant increase of 621.5%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index increased by 25.7% [4] - The company's revenue for April to May 2025 was reported at 80.18 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.80 billion yuan, indicating a net profit margin of approximately 3.5% [5][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and distribution channels, despite facing challenges in profit margins and traditional sales channels [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue and net profit were 7.131 billion and 849 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 4.79% and 5.82% [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue and net profit were 2.374 billion and 223 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.99% but a decline in net profit by 24.79% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit dropped to 1.571 billion and 77 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 13.76% and 67.88% [1]. Product Performance - Key products showed robust growth, with revenue from sunflower seeds, nuts, and other products reaching 4.381 billion, 1.923 billion, and 773 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.60%, 9.74%, and 8.04% [1]. - The company is focusing on establishing its brand in the sunflower seed market and has launched new products like "Da Shou" peanuts, which have seen rapid sales growth [1]. - The high-end sunflower seed product "Kuaizhen" is expanding through new channels such as high-end membership stores and boutique supermarkets [1]. Channel Development - New channels such as volume sales and e-commerce are growing rapidly, while traditional channels are under pressure [2]. - In 2024, revenue from southern, northern, eastern regions, e-commerce, and overseas markets were 2.266 billion, 1.343 billion, 2.121 billion, 779 million, and 569 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.88%, -3.25%, 9.47%, 8.86%, and 10.28%, respectively [2]. - The number of distributors decreased by 99 to 1,380, but average distributor income increased by 6% to 4.11 million yuan per distributor [2]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin and net margin improved by 2.02 and 0.12 percentage points to 28.78% and 11.92%, respectively, in 2024 [3]. - In Q4 2024, due to rising raw material prices, the overall cost increased as the company utilized both reserve and newly procured raw materials [3]. - For Q1 2025, gross margin and net margin decreased to 19.47% and 4.93%, with changes in expense ratios reflecting a mixed trend [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.4 billion, 7.8 billion, and 8.2 billion yuan in 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 3%, 6%, and 5% [4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 720 million, 850 million, and 920 million yuan, with a projected year-on-year decline of 15% in 2025, followed by increases in subsequent years [4]. - The company aims to enhance business growth quality and maintain a "buy" rating based on its strategic initiatives [4].