货币政策
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下周一,6000亿元!注入流动性
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-12 13:34
中国人民银行12月12日消息,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,12月15日,中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元买断式逆 回购操作,期限为6个月(182天)。 对此,东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青分析,一是10月安排5000亿元地方政府债务结存限额,用于化解存量债务及扩大有效投资,这意味着年底前两个月会 加发5000亿元地方债,12月政府债券发行规模会处于较高水平;二是10月5000亿元新型政策性金融工具投放完毕后,接下来会带动配套贷款较快增长;三 是12月银行同业存单到期量达到3.7万亿元,较上月明显增加,为年内最高水平。以上都会在一定程度上造成资金面收紧。 "着眼于应对潜在的流动性收紧态势,央行继续通过买断式逆回购向银行体系注入中期流动性,引导资金面处于较为稳定的充裕状态。这在助力政府债券 发行,引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度的同时,也将释放数量型政策工具持续加力信号,显示货币政策延续支持性立场。"王青说。 目前,央行中短期流动性的投放方式已经基本固定,即每月5日前后开展3个月期买断式逆回购、15日前后开展6个月期买断式逆回购、25日前后开展中期 借贷便利(MLF)操作。 "央行继 ...
中国央行将开展6000亿元买断式逆回购操作
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-12 13:32
编辑:王永乐 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 中新社北京12月12日电 (陶思阅)中国人民银行12日发布公告称,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,12月15 日,中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元(人民币,下同)买断式逆 回购操作,期限为6个月(182天)。 数据显示,12月有4000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购到期。因此,中国央行此次操作意味着当月6个月期买 断式逆回购加量续作,加量规模2000亿元。 "此举有助于熨平短期资金波动,保持市场流动性处于充裕状态。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青说,着 眼于应对潜在的流动性收紧态势,中国央行继续通过买断式逆回购向银行体系注入中期流动性。这在助 力政府债券发行,引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度的同时,也将释放数量型政策工具持续加力信 号,显示货币政策延续支持性立场。(完) 来源:中国新闻网 中国央行将开展6000亿元买断式逆回购操作 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview"),看更多精彩财经资讯。 ...
美联储保尔森:货币政策仍具限制性,明年通胀很大几率回落
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 13:27
钛媒体App 12月12日消息,美联储保尔森表示,近期降息后,货币政策仍具限制性。明年通胀有很大几 率回落。(广角观察) ...
11月金融数据出炉
第一财经· 2025-12-12 13:11
2025.12. 12 本文字数:2440,阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 杜川 12月12日,央行发布最新数据,M2和社会融资规模增速均保持在较高水平,持续为经济回升向好 创造适宜的货币金融环境。 具体来看,11月末,广义货币(M2)余额336.99万亿元,同比增长8.0%,比上年同期高0.9个百 分点,在上年同期基数提高的背景下,仍保持较高增速;社会融资规模存量440.07万亿元,同比增 长8.5%,比上年同期高0.7个百分点;1-11月,社会融资规模增量为33.39万亿元,同比多3.99万 亿元。 综合融资成本持续维持在低位,充分体现了适度宽松的货币政策状态。第一财经从央行获悉,贷款利 率保持在低位水平。11月份企业新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约 30个基点;个人住房新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约3个基点。 政府加杠杆支撑社融增长 随着财政赤字率提升,政府债券对社会融资规模的贡献度明显提高。 初步统计,2025年前11个月,社会融资规模增量累计为33.39万亿元,比上年同期多3.99万亿元。 其中,政府债券净融资13.15万亿元,同比多 ...
央行,重磅会议!
证券时报· 2025-12-12 13:11
Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing the central government's economic policies and strategies for the upcoming year, focusing on macroeconomic stability and financial management to support high-quality development and economic growth [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Policy Direction - The meeting highlighted that despite external pressures and internal challenges, China's economy has made significant progress, achieving key development goals for the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The central bank is tasked with adhering to the principles of Xi Jinping's thought and the directives from the 20th National Congress, ensuring a stable and progressive approach to monetary policy [3][4]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Financial Support - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [5]. - There will be a flexible use of various monetary policy tools, such as interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments, to maintain ample liquidity and support the real economy [5]. Group 3: Financial Stability and Risk Management - The meeting stressed the importance of preventing and mitigating financial risks, particularly in key sectors, to maintain overall financial stability [6]. - A robust monitoring and early warning system for financial risks will be established to ensure the smooth operation of financial markets and institutions [6]. Group 4: Financial Openness and International Cooperation - The central bank aims to promote high-level financial openness while safeguarding national financial security, engaging in global financial governance, and advancing the internationalization of the Renminbi [6]. - Efforts will be made to develop a comprehensive cross-border payment system for the Renminbi and to steadily advance the digital currency initiative [6].
2025年11月金融数据解读:存款流向改变
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-12-12 13:11
Monetary Supply Trends - M1 growth rate decreased to 4.9% year-on-year in November 2025, down from 6.2% in the previous month[1] - M2 growth rate also fell to 8.0% year-on-year, compared to 8.2% previously[1] - New social financing (社融) reached 2.49 trillion yuan, an increase of 159.7 billion yuan year-on-year, maintaining a growth rate of 8.5%[1] Deposit and Loan Dynamics - New RMB loans amounted to 390 billion yuan in November, a decrease of 190 billion yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 6.4%[1] - Resident deposit growth rate continued to decline, estimated at 9.56% in November, down from 9.69%[1] - Total new deposits in financial institutions were 1.41 trillion yuan, with resident deposits increasing by 670 billion yuan and corporate deposits by 645.3 billion yuan[3] Social Financing Insights - The increase in social financing was primarily driven by corporate bond financing and off-balance-sheet financing, while government bond financing and RMB loans to the real economy were the main drag[4] - Effective social financing growth rate (excluding government financing) was 6.00%, up from 5.92%[6] - Government bond financing growth rate fell to 18.8%, down from 19.2%[6] Market and Policy Outlook - The central bank is expected to maintain a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, with potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions anticipated[7] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery as key considerations for monetary policy[7] - The market expects 1-2 interest rate cuts in 2026, totaling a reduction of 10-20 basis points[7]
刚刚!央行、金融监管总局,重磅发声!
券商中国· 2025-12-12 12:53
Core Viewpoint - The meetings held by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) and the National Financial Regulatory Administration emphasized the importance of implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, focusing on macroeconomic stability and financial management to support economic growth and high-quality development in the upcoming year and the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2][7]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Policy Direction - The PBOC acknowledged the achievements made over the past year despite external pressures and internal challenges, highlighting the effectiveness of the central leadership in navigating economic development [3]. - The meetings outlined the necessity of adhering to the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought and the decisions made during the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party, emphasizing a stable yet progressive approach to economic policy [4][7]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Financial Management - The PBOC plans to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on enhancing the effectiveness of both existing and new policies to stimulate domestic demand and optimize supply [4][5]. - There is a commitment to maintaining liquidity at adequate levels and ensuring low financing costs for the real economy, while also coordinating with fiscal policies to support key sectors such as technology innovation and small and medium-sized enterprises [5][6]. Group 3: Risk Prevention and Financial Stability - The meetings stressed the importance of preventing and mitigating financial risks, particularly in key areas, to maintain overall financial stability and support high-quality economic development [5][8]. - The regulatory bodies are tasked with enhancing their monitoring and assessment capabilities to preemptively address potential financial risks and ensure the stability of financial markets [8][9]. Group 4: Financial Sector Reforms and International Cooperation - The PBOC and the National Financial Regulatory Administration are focused on advancing financial reforms, enhancing regulatory frameworks, and promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi [5][9]. - There is an emphasis on strengthening financial cooperation on a global scale and improving the cross-border payment systems for the Renminbi, alongside the development of digital currency initiatives [5][9].
央行重磅数据发布
中国基金报· 2025-12-12 12:33
政府债券对社融增长形成显著支撑 初步统计数据显示,2025年11月末社会融资规模存量为440.07万亿元,同比增长8.5%。其 中,今年新增政府债务总规模11.86万亿元,比去年增加2.9万亿元,普通国债、特别国债和 地方政府专项债额度都明显增加。 【导读】央行重要数据出炉:M2和社会融资规模增速均保持在较高水平,持续为经济回升向 好创造适宜的货币金融环境 中国基金报记者 李树超 张玲 12月12日,中国人民银行披露的最新金融统计数据显示,11月末,社会融资规模存量、广义 货币(M2)分别同比增长8.5%、8%。前11个月,社会融资规模增量同比多3.99万亿元,政 府债券对社融增长形成了显著支撑。 业内专家表示,当前社会融资规模和M2增速比名义GDP增速高出约一倍,充分体现了适度宽 松的货币政策状态,为经济高质量发展营造了适宜的金融总量环境。 2025年前11个月,社会融资规模增量累计33.39万亿元,比上年同期多3.99万亿元,政府债 券对社融增长形成了显著支撑。 业内专家表示,今年以来,宏观政策加大逆周期调节力度,对提振内需、稳定经济发挥了积 极作用,也为金融总量合理增长提供了支撑。特别是随着财政赤字率提 ...
前11月社融增量超33万亿元 信贷投放提质换挡
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-12 12:28
今年以来保持较大发行力度的政府债券,以及直接融资的加快发展,持续带动社融规模的增长。今年前 11个月,政府债券净融资13.15万亿元,占社融增量近四成。 全年安排的新增政府债务总规模为11.86万亿元,比去年增加2.9万亿元,其中国债、特别国债和地方政 府新增专项债券额度都有所增加,相应带动政府债券在社会融资规模中占比提升。政府部门通过发债加 杠杆,有力带动了全社会的信用扩张,对社融规模增长形成重要支撑。 目前来看,1.3万亿元超长期特别国债已发行完毕,2万亿元置换债券和4.4万亿元主要用于项目建设的新 增专项债券基本发完。近期,财政部宣布提前下达部分2026年新增地方政府专项债务限额。经市场机构 初步测算,今年我国政府债券净融资额有望突破12万亿元。 11月末,社融规模增量保持较快增长,政府债券净融资、企业债券、股权融资等继续发挥支撑作用;信 贷投放提质换挡,普惠小微贷款、制造业中长期贷款、科技贷款继续较快增长,增速持续高于全部贷款 增速。 只看贷款增长情况越来越难以完整反映金融支持实体经济的成效。前述业内专家表示,社会融资成本低 位运行,说明实体经济融资需求被合理满足;重点领域信贷投放占比提升,说明金融资 ...
中国11月末社融存量440.07万亿元 同比增8.5%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-12 12:17
中国11月末社融存量440.07万亿元 同比增8.5% 中新社北京12月12日电 (陶思阅)中国央行12日发布数据显示,初步统计,2025年11月末社会融资规模存 量为440.07万亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长8.5%。其中,对实体经济发放的人民币贷款余额为267.42 万亿元,同比增长6.3%。 从增量看,初步统计,2025年前11个月社会融资规模增量累计为33.39万亿元,比上年同期多3.99万亿 元。其中,对实体经济发放的人民币贷款增加14.93万亿元,同比少增1.28万亿元。 分析人士认为,当前社会融资规模增速比名义GDP增速高出约一倍,充分体现了适度宽松的货币政策状 态,为经济高质量发展营造了适宜的金融总量环境。 随着财政赤字率提升,政府债券对社会融资规模的贡献度提高。今年新增政府债务总规模11.86万亿 元,比去年增加2.9万亿元,普通国债、特别国债和地方政府专项债额度都明显增加,相应带动政府债 券在社会融资规模中占比提升。 同时,与社会融资规模增速相比,贷款增速略低,既体现了多元化融资方式对银行贷款的替代,也与地 方化债和中小银行改革化险的下拉作用有关。(完) 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:张嘉怡 ...