张忆东：逢低吸纳科技领域"性价比最高"的核心资产 智通财经4月28日电，在由兴证全球基金、智通财经、腾讯新闻共同主办的中国投资人峰会上，兴业证 券全球首席策略分析师张忆东表示，当前市场需以积极防御应对短期"螺蛳壳里做道场"格局，即在指数 震荡、结构性行情轮动中保持逆向交易策略，避免过度追逐市场情绪。他表示，贸易摩擦实质性协议落 地前，投资者可适度防御，但中期仍坚定看多中国资产。布局方向上，建议逢低吸纳科技领域"性价比 最高"的核心资产，并关注短期超跌的新消费标的，此外，面对新旧秩序转换期的全球动荡，黄金、军 工等传统避险资产及另类配置仍是抵御风险的重要对冲工具。张忆东强调，短期谨慎与中期乐观并不矛 盾，核心在于把握结构性机会与战略节奏。（智通财经记者 吴雨其） ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations after a high opening, with the index finding support around 3293 points, while sectors like automotive parts, general equipment, consumer electronics, and communication equipment performed well, whereas precious metals, jewelry, commercial retail, and food and beverage sectors lagged [1] - The fiscal policy is expected to become more proactive by 2025, and the central bank may consider lowering reserve requirements and interest rates to maintain ample market liquidity and support economic recovery [1] - The market is currently in a phase of sectoral divergence, with large-cap blue chips in finance and real estate benefiting from continued institutional inflows, while the technology growth sector continues to adjust [1] Group 2 - The market showed mixed performance with rapid rotation of hotspots, and the overall sentiment improved as concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve eased, leading to a decrease in global risk aversion [2] - Domestic macro policies are expected to focus on stimulating consumption, stabilizing the real estate market, supporting the stock market, and promoting private enterprises in the second quarter [2] - The market is advised to focus on sectors with certainty and safety margins, particularly those related to performance, domestic demand, and self-sufficiency [2] Group 3 - The countdown to mass production of Tesla's Optimus robot is underway, with a target of one million units by 2029, which has catalyzed activity in the robotics sector [3] - The approval of Meituan's drone logistics qualifications has stimulated significant stock movements in related companies, with the sector's trading volume surpassing 50 billion [3] - The sustainability of the robotics and low-altitude economy sectors remains uncertain, depending on the emergence of new leading companies [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage sector is expected to gradually recover, supported by resilient operations and structural opportunities within the industry [4][16] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In 2024, Anhui's large-scale liquor enterprises achieved revenue of 37.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, with total profits reaching 12.77 billion yuan, up 13.2% [4][21] - The liquor industry in Lüliang aims for a revenue target exceeding 70 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on enhancing production capacity and quality [4][22] - The Sichuan liquor group targets a revenue of 40 billion yuan in 2025, emphasizing innovation and brand development [5][22] - Xishui aims for a liquor output value exceeding 30 billion yuan in 2025, continuing to strengthen its position as a major liquor production base [6][23] Key Company Performances - Qiaqia Food reported a revenue of 7.131 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 4.79%, driven by high-end products [7][24] - Budweiser Asia Pacific's 2024 revenue was approximately 45.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.0%, with a notable decline in the Chinese market [10][25] - Dongpeng Beverage launched a new product "Fruit Tea" aimed at the lower-tier market, reflecting a growing demand for cost-effective, large-packaged beverages [11][26] Investment Recommendations - For liquor, focus on companies like Luzhou Laojiao, Jiuzi Liquor, and others that cater to both high-end and real estate segments [16][30] - In the beer sector, consider Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer for their product optimization and market expansion strategies [16][30] - For soft drinks, Dongpeng Beverage and Bai Run Co. are recommended for their national expansion and clear product matrix [16][30] - In the frozen food segment, companies like Anji Food and Qianwei Central Kitchen are highlighted for their potential growth [16][31] - For snacks, attention is drawn to Salted Fish and Qiaqia Food for their channel expansion and performance recovery [16][31]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent investment activities of Yang Dong, a prominent private equity figure, who has been actively increasing his stakes in various Hong Kong stocks, particularly in Country Garden Services, indicating a bullish outlook on the Hong Kong market [1][2][4]. Group 1: Investment Activities - On February 14, Shanghai Ningquan Asset Management increased its stake in Country Garden Services by acquiring 900,000 shares at an average price of 5.13 HKD per share, bringing its total holdings to 168 million shares, surpassing the 5% threshold for a formal stake [1][4]. - As of February 28, Ningquan Asset had increased its holdings in 10 companies in the Hong Kong market, including major firms like Xinyi Energy, Datang Renewable, and Vanke Enterprises, reflecting a strong confidence in the market [2][14]. - The firm has also shown a pattern of increasing stakes in other stocks, such as Datang Renewable and Xinyi Energy, indicating a strategic approach to building a diversified portfolio [8][9][11]. Group 2: Company Performance - Country Garden Services, once valued at over 200 billion HKD, has faced significant challenges, including substantial asset impairments and a stock price decline of approximately 90%, now valued at under 20 billion HKD [3][5]. - Despite the downturn, Yang Dong's strategy of buying into Country Garden Services aligns with his historical investment philosophy of capitalizing on undervalued assets [4][5]. - The company reported a revenue of 21.05 billion HKD for the first half of 2024, a modest increase of 1.5%, but its core net profit dropped by about 31.7%, indicating pressure on profitability and cash flow [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Ningquan Asset's recent monthly report suggests that equity assets are a favorable choice for domestic investors, with a focus on structural opportunities in the market for the year ahead [2][16]. - The firm anticipates a "slow bull" market characterized by fluctuations, which could present opportunities for gains despite the current volatility [15][16]. - The asset allocation strategy indicates a preference for sectors such as real estate, basic chemicals, and utilities, with adjustments made based on market conditions [16][17].