今日（28 日）上午港股市場氣氛有啲反覆。回顧上日（25日），快手（01024）股價跌咗 4.86%，全日收報72.5 元，成交額 49.52 億元，睇得出賣壓都幾明顯。不過截 至今日上午10點33分，快手股價企穩喺72 元附近，究竟係短線底部定仲有下調空間，真係值得留意。 從技術角度睇，多個指標綜合起來，總結信號為「買入」，強度 12，算幾強勁。多條移動平均線呈現「強力買入」信號，反映中長期走勢仲係向好；但多 個震盪指標就偏「中立」，RSI 指標 57，都係中性區域，顯示短期市場仲有啲猶豫。 支持位同阻力位方面，第一支持位喺 66.2 元，再下邊就係 61.1 元；阻力位嘅話，第一個係 78.7 元，更高啲到 83.9 元。依家股價處喺中間位置，系統評估上 升概率有 55%，近 5 日振幅達 13.2%，波動相當大，投機空間都幾夠。 回顧之前嘅產品表現，7 月 23 日推薦嘅法興熊證（59208）同摩通熊證（53656），兩日後分別升咗 60% 同 70%，同期快手股價跌咗 6.93%，充分顯示咗槓 桿產品嘅放大效應，但風險都要留意。 窩輪方面，如果睇好快手反彈，國君認購證（25903）有 7 倍槓桿，行使 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows bullish sentiment with investors expecting an increase to 26,000, while some anticipate a pullback to 25,000 [1] - Current resistance is at 25,928 points, with a potential challenge to 26,700 points if breached [1] - Support is noted at 24,864 points, indicating cautious positioning for both bullish and bearish investors [1] Group 2: AIA Group (01299.HK) - AIA's stock price reached a high of 74.75 HKD, signaling a strong buy recommendation [3] - There is potential for the stock to challenge 77.6 HKD in the near term [3] Group 3: Ping An Insurance (02318.HK) - Ping An's stock hit a new high of 57.65 HKD, closing above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong bullish momentum [6] - Resistance levels are identified at 59.2 HKD and 61.1 HKD, with support at 52.8 HKD [6] Group 4: Xiaomi Corporation (01810.HK) - Xiaomi is experiencing significant selling pressure, with investors looking for support levels [9] - A buyback strategy is being considered with a recovery price set at 55.5 HKD [9] Group 5: Sands China (01928.HK) - Sands China is currently in a sideways trading pattern, with a recent rebound noted [12] - Technical analysis suggests a buy signal, with resistance at 19.6 HKD and 20.1 HKD [12] Group 6: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical opened high but closed lower, with a potential resistance at 78.2 HKD [14] - Investors are considering waiting for a drop to 70 HKD before re-evaluating their positions [14]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its upward momentum in the coming weeks, potentially breaking through the previous high set on October 8, leading to a significant market rally [1]. Funding Aspects - Recent funding conditions have seen five major positive developments, with substantial capital inflows into the stock market: - Southbound funds recorded a single-day purchase of HKD 20.184 billion in Hong Kong stocks, bringing the total net purchase for the year to HKD 820.028 billion, surpassing last year's total of HKD 807.9 billion, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - Public funds have shown improvement, with mixed funds growing by CNY 121.3 billion to CNY 3.68 trillion in June, alongside a slight increase in share volume [2]. - The M1-M2 spread has narrowed, indicating a potential shift in liquidity dynamics [3]. - Public bond funds experienced their largest single-day redemption since January, with nearly CNY 100 billion sold, suggesting a possible reshuffling of asset allocations [3]. - Life insurance products are expected to see a decrease in interest rates, with the current standard rate set at 1.99%, down 14 basis points from the previous 2.13% [3]. Technical Aspects - Three technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook, with a short-term target above 3700: - The gap analysis from the island reversal gap on May 7 to the continuation gap on July 21 indicates a potential upward movement above 3700 [4]. - A descending flag pattern formed since October 8 has been effectively broken in June, also suggesting a target above 3700 [4]. - The wave count indicates a strong trend, currently in a 3-3 formation, supporting the bullish sentiment [5]. Summary - The market is poised for a strong upward attack in the short term, with a focus on maintaining appropriate positions. For those less adept at stock selection, ETFs are recommended as a viable investment option [6].

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment is bearish, with multiple indicators suggesting a strong sell recommendation across various time frames. Group 1: Market Sentiment - The summary indicates a strong sell recommendation with a total of 4 buy signals and 8 sell signals across different time frames [2]. - The moving average indicators (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, MA100, MA200) consistently show sell signals, reinforcing the bearish outlook [4][5]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The RSI(14) is at 37.808, indicating a bearish trend, while the Stochastic indicator shows an overbought condition at 98.842 [5]. - The MACD(12,26) shows a buy signal at 0.200, but other indicators like CCI(14) at -182.5631 and Williams %R at -1.845 suggest a strong sell [6]. - The overall technical indicators reflect a strong sell sentiment, with 1 buy, 6 sell, and 4 neutral signals [6]. Group 3: Support and Resistance Levels - Key support and resistance levels are identified, with classic pivot points at S3: 25193.6, S2: 25299.8, and R1: 25524.6 [6]. - Fibonacci levels also provide similar support and resistance insights, with S2 at 25363.0 and R1 at 25528.5 [6].

Group 1: Commodity Market Insights - Spot gold is trading below the pivot point, with the first support level at 3355.87 [1] - Spot silver's key support level is at 38.92 [1] - WTI crude oil is approaching the first resistance level at 65.98, which is a critical point to watch [1] Group 2: Currency Market Insights - The US Dollar Index maintains a bullish trend, with the first resistance level at 97.53 [1] - The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate has a key support level at 1.1713 [1] - The British Pound to US Dollar exchange rate's support level is at 1.3528 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou (01024) has shown strong performance recently, with the stock price reaching 79.35 HKD, up 1.93%, and a high of 79.95 HKD, indicating robust short-term upward momentum despite some technical indicators suggesting potential short-term pullback risks [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has broken through key moving averages, MA10 at 69.26 HKD and MA30 at 63.5 HKD, with a MACD golden cross indicating expanding momentum [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 77, entering the overbought territory, while the Williams indicator shows a sell signal, suggesting a potential divergence in technical signals [1][2]. - Immediate support is at 69.2 HKD, with a potential drop to 64 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is at 83.3 HKD, with a challenge to 89.7 HKD if broken [2]. Derivative Instruments - On July 21, when Kuaishou rose by 9.03%, related call options saw significant gains, with Morgan Stanley's call option 25717 increasing by 71% and UBS's call option 25723 rising by 68% [4]. - The current market offers diverse trading options for investors, with HSBC's call option 15133 being a preferred choice due to its 5.3x leverage and a strike price of 90.29 HKD, suitable for medium-term investors [7]. - For short-term traders, HSBC's bull certificate 59410 offers a 5.2x leverage with a recovery price of 66 HKD, while UBS's bull certificate 59046 provides a slightly higher leverage of 5.5x with a recovery price of 67 HKD, both maintaining low premium levels [7][11]. Market Sentiment - The strong performance of Kuaishou is attributed to the recovery in the short video industry and technical breakthroughs above key moving averages [4]. - There is market speculation regarding whether Kuaishou can maintain its technical breakout amid increasing competition in the short video sector, with potential scenarios of testing support at 69.2 HKD or directly challenging resistance at 83.3 HKD [11].

Simon:前期高位在30.23元，目前技術信號總結為"買入"15個買入和4個賣出。能否挑戰高位呢？數據系統分析的阻力位在30.1元和32.2元，有機會升穿之前 高位。 1、恆指：看多投資者認為繼續大成交，資金未有減退，已突破阻力，下一個目標26600，過夜牛證。看空投資者則同時部署Put和熊證 Simon:全日收在最高位25538.7點，從周線圖看，恆指升穿周線圖的保力加通道頂部。如果反手部署，投資者都會問選擇認沽證好還是熊證？兩者之間最大 的區別就是牛熊證有收回風險，如果市場繼續升，而買入貼價熊證，會出現即刻被收回的風險。如果看淡走勢，考慮買下跌工具搏一搏的話，選擇認沽證， 不會有收回風險。如果升勢情況下，熊證則有機會被收回，認沽證則還等待一段時間。回到指數分析，目前買賣信號總結為"買入"，整體偏向樂觀向好。阻 力位25795點和26580點。 2、中信証券 (06030.HK)： 這周能破前高嗎？窩輪市場上有投資者尾盤入Call Simon:走勢引人矚目。升穿保力加通道頂部，盤中最高見552元。近期有一定的升幅，窩輪牛熊證選擇獲利離場是合理的。信號總結為"強力買入"，上方阻 力位在572元和586元。 ...

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is strong with a "Strong Buy" recommendation based on various indicators [3][6]. - The moving averages indicate a consistent "Buy" signal across different periods, with MA5 at 14075.8, MA10 at 14062.1, and MA20 at 14034.3 [5][6]. - Technical indicators show a predominance of "Buy" signals, with 12 indicators suggesting a buy and none indicating a sell [3][6]. Group 2 - The RSI(14) is at 77.092, indicating an overbought condition, while the MACD(12,26) shows a value of 41.500, suggesting a buy [8]. - The ADX(14) is at 57.626, which also supports a buy signal, indicating a strong trend [8]. - The pivot points indicate key levels, with the main pivot point at 14073.8, suggesting potential support and resistance levels for future price movements [9].

回顧近期產品表現，7 月 16 日提及的幾款產品真係「爆晒冷」！法興認購證（27190）兩日後升幅高達 41%，中銀認購證（29376）都有 36%，最犀利的係 滙豐牛證（57042），勁升 59%，遠超同期正股 10.08% 的漲幅！呢啲數據充分證明，喺強勢行情入面，窩輪同牛證可以靠槓桿將收益放大幾倍，揀對產品 真係可以賺到笑。 理想汽車(02015)今日（21 日），截至11點左右，股價微跌1.12%，最新報123.1元，成交額高達12.43 億元，顯示市場對這隻新能源車龍頭股的關注度絲毫未減。雖然 股價出現輕微調整，但技術走勢依然強勁，RSI(75)處於強力買入區域，MACD指標保持買入信號，保力加通道持續擴張，反映上升動能依然充沛。特別值得注意的 是，股價在5日線(113.72元)獲得良好支撐，短線調整可能提供絕佳的吸納機會。 短期支持位在114.6元(即市支持)及106.7元(7月低位)，若失守則需留意105元(6月低位)的支撐力度。上方阻力位分別為129.2元(保力加通道上軌)及139.7元(年 內高位)，若能突破129.2元阻力，後市有望挑戰140元心理關口。目前股價處於114.6-139.7元 ...

小概率：于3347（P点）之下看跌（穆迪枢轴线） 点击输入图片描述（最多30字） 其他技术点评： 目前QE箭头向上，代表多头强劲，预示行情向上的概率大，故而可以采取低多的策略，可以在15分钟 寻找做多信号，第一支撑位置：3345。上方压力3364 注：以上为日内策略于实时更新，也可能因市场波动，导致关键位置的改变，令策略失效，上述内容仅 供参考学习，不构成任何投资建议，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 白银（日内） 大概率：于38.19（P点）之上看涨（穆迪枢轴线） 黄金（日内） 大概率：于3347（P点）之上看涨（穆迪枢轴线） 大概率：于1.1628（P点）之下看跌（穆迪枢轴线） 小概率：于1.1628（P点）之上看涨（穆迪枢轴线） 小概率：于38.19（P点）之下看跌（穆迪枢轴线） 点击输入图片描述（最多30字） 其他技术点评： 目前QE箭头向下，代表空头强劲，预示行情向下的概率大，故而可以采取高空的策略，可以在15分钟 寻找做空信号，第一压力位置：38.37。下方支撑37.79 注：以上为日内策略于实时更新，也可能因市场波动，导致关键位置的改变，令策略失效，上述内容仅 供参考学习，不构成任何投资建议，投资有风险 ...