4月30日周三，欧元/美元在1.14关口下方维持窄幅震荡格局，市场屏息等待欧美关键经济数据落地。技 术面显示，汇价正面临关键方向选择——此前连续三个月的上升通道已触及斐波那契76.4%强阻力位， 多空博弈进入白热化阶段。 周线级别，14周相对强弱指标（RSI）仍处于上升趋势，但若本周收盘跌破1.1271（61.8%回撤位），将 确认短期顶部形成。当前1.1300-1.1370区域成为多空争夺关键区间，该区域的突破方向将决定短期趋势 延续或反转。 市场情绪：谨慎乐观中的双向风险 尽管欧元区经济数据边际改善，但市场情绪仍维持谨慎基调。一方面，意大利GDP超预期为欧元提供支 撑，另一方面，德国经济疲软引发对欧元区复苏可持续性的担忧。CFTC持仓数据显示，截至4月23日当 周，欧元净多头头寸增加2.3万手，但未突破2024年高位，显示资金追涨意愿有限。 货币政策分化预期持续发酵。随着美国3月核心PCE物价指数预计回落至3.3%，市场对美联储年内降息 预期升温；而欧洲央行官员近期频频释放"不急于降息"信号，利率期货定价显示欧央行首次降息时点晚 于美联储约3个月。这种政策差预期构成欧元中期支撑，但需警惕周五美国非农就业数 ...

杜绝弄虚作假，以实事求是为准。大家好，我是冷艺婕。（添加冷老师即刻给出每日操作思路精准策 略） 原油下周小级别趋势单明确解析：原油我一直强调顺应趋势跟进。趋势一直是空头，反弹中是不断给出 高空思路。行情不会一直走单边。总是在震荡中徘徊走出单边。我们需要耐心继续布局高空下看。周一 建议反弹空。目前阻力在64.3附近，周初此位之下可短空。第二阻力在66.5一线。 金融分析师冷艺婕 | 20:46 B | | | HI ® (60) | | | | 111 9 000 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 | 风 | 用设 血度义 | | | 13 제 | 用地 | 自家文 | | 设置 | | 3335.93 => 3338.21 | | | 68.40 | 3335.59 -> 3346.64 | | | 331.50 | | | | USOIL JUN25, buy 0.30 | | | 2025-04.23 12:27:40 | XAUUSD, buy 0.30 | | | 2025-04.23 12 ...

第一，黄金方面：这一周下来，只有昨日布局失败，日内走的也相对揪心； 原本前日隔夜弱势收盘，第二天早间先拉升则要试探继续压制看跌，选择的位 置是3338一线，即昨日跌幅反抽618分割阻力，也是顶底转换位置，同时是日线趋势线反压点，多重共振，较好的参考点，结果一早的持续拉升力度超预 期，越过3338，冲击3366一线；然后计划等3380一线前日高点去继续尝试看跌，却不给机会；当午后冲高回落，重新打回反压线之下，则提示3334、3345分 批看跌，3345差两三美金未触及，3334么持仓七八个小时，一直无法很好下跌，美盘前保守选择了小赚出局，结果没多久，迎来30美金下挫；小时线大阴下 破，则尾盘再跟随一次短线看跌，依托618分割阻力3330下，结果目标差2美金未给到，后半夜慢慢震荡洗盘走高； 郑氏点银：黄金短期继续看调整不变，今晚二次看跌 第二，白银方面：日线大阳上攻，昨日研报计划回踩33顶底支撑跟随看涨，价格并未给到机会； 今日行情分析解读： 第一，黄金日线级别：昨日收报一根大阳，实体部分几乎吞没前一日阴K，表面上看似想要企稳样子，实际上它依然收盘未能突破站上MA5日，同时也处于 3057-3245前几处历史高位 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a non-bullish and non-bearish state, having seen a bottom but with weak bullish momentum. The ability to break the downward trend line depends on trading volume [1][5]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to close above 3281 to break the downward trend line formed since 3439, with a focus on trading volume for further upward movement [1]. - The closing prices for the week were as follows: opened at 3273, reached a low of 3270, a high of 3313, and closed at 3295, resulting in a 0.56% increase [2]. - Weekly technical indicators show a low opening small bullish candle, with the closing price below the weekly life line and key areas, indicating a mid-term bearish outlook and a short-term weak balance between bulls and bears [4]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels are at 3288, 3280, and strong support between 3277-3258, while resistance levels are at 3310, 3317, and strong resistance between 3327-3342 [9]. - The market must maintain above 3288 to avoid further declines, with potential adjustments down to 3233 if significant losses occur [5]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to oscillate between the upper and lower gaps, with a focus on filling the upper gap first for bullish sentiment, and the lower gap for bearish sentiment [6]. - The next week's critical levels are: monthly life line at 3239, weekly life line at 3309, and daily life line at 3289 [7]. - Closing above 3310 is acceptable, above 3330 is favorable, and above 3350 indicates strong bullish momentum [8].

金十图示：2025年04月15日（周二）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（日图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 20988.1 | 21256.2 | | | 买入 | 买入 | | MA10 | 21287.4 | 21481.5 | | | 买入 | 卖出 | | MA20 | 22554.4 | 22069.9 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA50 | | 22740.3 | 22208.9 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | MA100 | | 21269.7 | 21490.3 | | | | 买入 | 卖出 | | MA200 | | 19989.5 | 20433.6 | | | | 买入 | 买入 | | 买入:6 总结:中性 | 卖出:6 | | | | 技术指标 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年04月16日 北京时间03:01 | | | | 名称 | 价格 | 动作 | | RSI(14) 1110 | 43.357 ...

金十图示：2025年04月15日（周二）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（一小时图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 21467.7 | 21442.7 | | | 卖出 | 卖用 | | MA10 | 21491.7 | 21455.7 | | | 卖出 | 菜出 | | MA20 | 21449.2 | 21374.2 | | | 卖出 | 买人 | | 每小时 | | 5小时 | 每日 | 每周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总结 | 英出 | | | | | 移动平均线 | | 卖出 | 买入5 | 卖出7 | | 技术指标 | | 卖出 | 买入2 | 卖出5 | | MA50 | | 21029.0 | 21050.6 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 求人 | 求人 | | MA100 | | 20515.9 | 21115.7 | | | | 买入 | 求人 | | MA200 | | 21703.1 | 21598.3 | | | | 英H | ...

金十图示：2025年04月11日（周五）香港恒生指数期货技术面一览（日图） | 时期 | 简单移动平均线 | 指数移动平均线 | | --- | --- | --- | | MA5 | 20163.1 | 20924.3 | | | 买入 | 买入 | | MA10 | 21635.0 | 21474.9 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | MA20 | 22847.5 | 22199.3 | | | 卖出 | 卖出 | | 每小时 | | 5小时 | 毎日 | 每周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总结 | 強力卖出 | | | | | 移动平均线 | | 卖出 | 买入4 | 卖出8 | | 技术指标 | | 强力卖出 | 买入2 | 卖出8 | | ะ | 技术指标 >> | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年04月12日 北京时间03:00 | | | | 名称 | 价格 | 动作 | | RSI(14) N10. | 39.553 | 卖出 | | STOCH(9,6) | 76.439 | 买入 | | STOCHRSI(14) | ...

Core Viewpoints - The current macroeconomic environment is generally favorable for equity, bond, industrial products, and gold assets, while the technical analysis indicates a downward trend for equity, bond, and industrial products, and an upward trend for gold assets [1][3][21]. Macroeconomic Perspective - The analysis categorizes macroeconomic indicators into upward and downward trends, assessing their impact on asset returns. A significant difference in average returns is noted based on the trend direction of these indicators [3][4]. - The macroeconomic indicators suggest a positive outlook for equity, bond, industrial products, and gold assets [5][6]. Technical Perspective - The trend indicators for various asset classes show that as of March 31, 2025, equity, bond, and industrial products are trending downwards, while gold is trending upwards [10][11]. - The equity asset valuation is currently low, with a historical 5-year ERP percentile of 78.36% [14][15]. Asset Flow Indicators - As of February 2025, the equity asset's net inflow is 462 billion, indicating a state of capital inflow [17][18]. Summary of Views - The combined scores from macro and technical analyses indicate a bullish outlook for equity and gold, a neutral stance for industrial products, and a bullish view for bonds [19][21]. Asset Allocation Performance Tracking - Historical performance data shows that the fixed ratio combined with macro and technical indicators yielded a return of 1.20% in March 2025, with an annualized return of 11.92% since March 2006 [2][27]. - The volatility-controlled and risk-parity combinations yielded returns of 1.72% and 1.18%, respectively, with annualized returns of 9.33% and 9.66% since March 2006 [28].

第七届新财富最佳投 您在2024年度第七届新财富最佳投资顾问评选中 获得"新财富最佳投资顾问"荣誉称号 战绩展示 挖掘中国优秀投资顾问,提升机构财富管理水平, 2024年第七届新财富最佳投资顾问总决赛历经7月, 层层选拔,代表着国内投资顾问专业能力比拼的最高 竞技赛事落下了帷幕。 本届评选活动共有来自96家证券公司的36616名投资顾问 参与角逐,竞争异常激烈,凭着过硬的专业能力和服务能 力,来自北京分公司北京劲松九区营业部资深投资顾问李 享会从全国近四万名参赛选手中脱颖而出,获得全国第9 名的优异成绩并斩获: 新财富 最佳投资顾问 新财富最佳 ETF投资收益奖 2024年5月6日-2024年10月31日,2024年第七届新财富 最佳投资顾问评选大赛中的模拟ETF组合累计收益率 32.93%,排名 65/2038,选股胜率80.43%。 组合管理人:李享会 所属机构：申万宏源证券 所属分支机构：北京劲松九区证券营业部 从业年限：16年 总收益率：32.93% 最大回撤：11.80% 持仓占比 : 29.36% 持仓个数:2 排名：65 / 2038 换手率 : 2742.11% 选股胜率：80.43% 创建时 ...