周一（6月23日）亚市盘中，国际黄金小幅下探，截至发稿报3362.37美元/盎司，跌幅0.16%，今日金价开盘于3367.49美元/盎司，最高上探 3387.79美元/盎司，最低触及3351.69美元/盎司。 从日K级别来看，上周开盘3452算是一个短期见顶了，一周的跌势证明黄金的避险只是短期影响，虽然美联储鹰转鸽，周五也以一根阴十字 K收盘，黄金今日高开走低回补缺口，最低3350止跌反弹，截止发文与3362附近震荡交投。周评内容主要是看金价震荡，虽然消息面有影 响，但是多空都有缘由，故给出的策略还是看金价震荡运行。上方3378的空单看58有效，下方50多单看69目前最高给到65缺乏延续。 现在盘面上看，3378周评的压制还是继续作关注，下方支撑依然关注3350早盘回落的位置，只不过高开回落后需要关注延续度。接下来的操 作思路建议是上方触及3368附近去布空，保护3375位置，看下方3350早盘低点破位去到3340的位置； 没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作，秦氏金升浸染金融行业十余载，有丰富的实战操盘经验和独特的交易理念，我们拥有全球稳健的交 易系统在这里，对黄金、原油、等投资领域研究多年，具有扎实的理论基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has added to market uncertainty [1][2][4]. Geopolitical Tensions - The U.S. confirmed successful strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites, escalating concerns over regional stability and prompting fears of further conflict [2]. - Iranian officials have threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route, in response to U.S. actions, indicating potential for increased military engagement [2]. Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced a decline of $64.95 or 1.89% last week, closing at $3468.52 per ounce, following a brief surge due to geopolitical tensions [1]. - Despite the recent drop, the demand for gold is expected to rise as investors seek refuge amid escalating geopolitical risks [3]. Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate, with 7 out of 19 officials suggesting no rate cuts are advisable this year, marking the fourth consecutive meeting without a change [4][5]. - The Fed's latest dot plot indicates a median federal funds rate of 3.9% for 2025, suggesting potential for future rate cuts depending on economic conditions [4]. Market Sentiment and Expectations - Market expectations for a rate cut by the end of the year hover around 50 basis points, with any hawkish comments from Fed officials likely to impact the dollar and interest rate outlook [6]. - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming testimonies from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell for insights into future monetary policy [5]. Gold Holdings and Investment Trends - Central banks are expected to increase their gold reserves, with 95% of surveyed banks anticipating growth in their holdings over the next 12 months [7]. - The SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold ETF, saw an increase in holdings by 9.75 tons, reaching a total of 950.24 tons, marking the fifth consecutive week of accumulation [7]. Technical Analysis - Gold prices are currently in a bullish trend, with key resistance levels identified between $3400-$3424 and $3450-$3500 per ounce, while support levels are noted at $3372-$3360 and $3315-$3300 per ounce [7]. Domestic Market Insights - In the domestic market, gold futures have shown resilience, with key support at 775 CNY per gram and resistance levels identified between 790-795 CNY per gram [8].

止损，永远是对的，错了也对！ 死扛，永远是错的，对了也错！ 横批：止损无条件！ 如果没有交易原则，那么，一切技术等于零！ 黄金，原油果真高开，但对多头不好的消息是，高开后上演了大跌，黄金缺口完全回补，且破了周五尾盘低点，目前最低触及周五多头突破口3355-60区 间！ 原油，白银，美股期货，美元和沪金银及融通金参考周末分析！！！ 上述个人观点，仅供参考！ 周末分析，我们强调黄金必定高开，原油也是高开，只是幅度大小罢了。但是，黄金高开3400不是还要跌，只有上去3400才是强势。目前来看，黄金高开 3385最高3398.5下跌，符合我们预期，只是时间太早，无法执行做空策略，错过空单利润，如果有参考周末思路做空黄金的，30美元以上的利润轻松到手。 美国空袭伊朗，全球金融市场大地震；黄金避险回归，多头能否一飞冲天？ 当前，黄金触及突破口短线止跌，我们关注反弹，低多也参与了，能反弹到哪里，要看多头的力度和消息指引。伊朗太怂，黄金多头都看不起他！接下来， 日内两档关键压力，第一3370-75是日内强弱分水岭，然后3380-85区域压力，多空分水岭3400关口，突破走多头！早盘下跌测试5周均线和20日均线3350区 域， ...

中东局势变数仍在！黄金避险光芒会否再次闪耀？订单流给出什么交易信号？阿汤哥正在实时分析，点 击观看 相关链接 实时黄金订单流分析 ...

2025年6月13日亚市早盘，以色列对伊朗发动先发制人空袭的消息瞬间点燃市场。黄金价格如离弦之箭，单日飙升逾60美 元，接连突破3400、3410、3420、3430美元四大关口，最高触及3444.37美元/盎司，创下近五周新高。 这一走势推动现货黄金上周收于创纪录高点，标志着2025年黄金避险属性的又一次强势验证。 一、地缘危局，避险需求激增的导火索 资本从股市转向黄金：在特朗普关税政策引发股市震荡的背景下，投资者正从美国股市撤离。盛宝银行大宗商品策略主管 奥莱·汉森表示："这正是我们目前所看到的情况。" 中东紧张局势的急剧升级成为金价飙升的直接推手。以色列防长公开证实"空袭"行动，美国总统特朗普此前关于"中东危 险"的预警及美军人员撤离动向，加剧了市场对冲突扩大的恐慌。 战火点燃的避险买盘：黄金作为传统避险资产获强力支撑。以色列突袭伊朗后，交易时段涌入的避险资金将金价推高至 3440美元上方，国内实时金价同步攀升至794.4元/克。 政策不确定性的累积效应：回顾2025年初至今，黄金已上演多次历史性行情。3月15日，现货黄金首次突破每盎司3000美元 大关，自年初涨幅达14%。而到3月27日，纽约期金盘中 ...

华泰期货表示，目前地缘因素持续发酵，原油价格大幅走高，或使得近期持续走低的通胀数据在未来有所回升，叠加美国总统特朗普持续向美联储施压并敦 促其降息，因此未来实际利率变动预期仍将大概率向下，而这对于黄金价格则是较为有利的因素，不过目前原油价格并未进一步走高，而美联储短时内对于 降息态度也相对谨慎，故黄金行情或暂陷震荡格局。 全球贸易局势的复杂化进一步为黄金市场增添变数。七国集团(G7)领导人正在加拿大举行年度峰会，试图在乌克兰和中东问题上达成共识。然而，特朗普对 俄罗斯的公开支持以及对G7联合声明的抵制，使得峰会成果充满不确定性。此外，美国与英国达成包含汽车配额和钢铝关税的贸易协议，而与日本的关税 谈判尚未取得突破，日本首相石破茂表示难以预测达成协议的时间。这些贸易政策的不确定性可能加剧全球经济波动，间接支撑黄金的避险需求。 6月17日午盘，在国际黄金市场，现货黄金价格突破3400美元/盎司关口，最高报3403.37美元/盎司，开盘价3384.16美元/盎司，最新报价3392.95%，日内上涨 0.28%；COMEX黄金期货主力合约报3411美元/盎司，日内下跌0.18%。黄金ETF基金（159937）下跌0. ...

Summary of Tongguan Gold Conference Call Company Overview - Tongguan Gold has completed a reverse merger and transformed its business by acquiring and integrating mining assets in the Tongguan and Su Bei regions, significantly increasing gold production and profits, leading to exponential growth [2][4] - The company is strategically positioned with major shareholders including the chairman and Zijin Mining, which holds 3.8% of the shares [2][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Production and Resource Quality**: - Average gold grades in Tongguan and Su Bei regions are 7.46 g/t and 10.21 g/t respectively, with a total resource of 55 tons and an average grade of 8.26 g/t, which is above industry averages, providing a solid foundation for future production growth [2][9] - **Growth Strategy**: - Internal growth is driven by existing mine development and efficiency improvements, while external growth is achieved through new mine explorations and acquisitions [2][13] - **Financial Performance**: - The company expects gold production to reach 2.78 tons in 2025, 3.45 tons in 2026, and 4.1 tons in 2027, with revenues projected at HKD 24.15 billion, 28.03 billion, and 33.6 billion respectively, and net profits of HKD 6.81 billion, 8.43 billion, and 10.85 billion [4][16][17] - **Market Conditions**: - The gold industry is in an upward cycle, supported by increased demand for gold as a safe haven due to U.S. economic pressures and geopolitical risks, with expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts further boosting gold prices [2][14][15] Additional Important Information - **Recent Developments**: - In 2025, the company has made several strategic moves including acquiring shares in construction teams, consolidating exploration rights, and entering a dual-binding agreement with Zijin [5] - **Financial Risks**: - The company faces risks related to gold price volatility and potential delays in mining rights acquisition, which could impact production growth [4][18] - **Valuation and Investment Outlook**: - The company is currently valued at approximately 17 times PE, with significant upside potential compared to peers, supported by strong management and a clear cost-reduction trend [17] Conclusion - Tongguan Gold is well-positioned for future growth with strong resource quality, strategic acquisitions, and favorable market conditions, although it must navigate inherent risks in the gold mining sector.

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent decline in gold prices despite heightened demand for safe-haven assets due to ongoing tensions in the Middle East [1] Group 1 - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has led to a surge in demand for gold as a safe-haven investment [1] - There is a concern regarding the risks associated with chasing gold prices at their current high levels [1]

周一（6月16日）亚市早盘，截至当前，国际现货黄金最新金价是3438.30美元/盎司，涨幅0.14%。最高价3452.50%，最低价3418.78%。黄金ETF基金 （159937）上涨0.58%，换手率0.28%，成交金额8240万。 来源：Wind 上周尾声，受地缘局势的进一步加剧推动了避险情绪的升温，国际黄金一度站上3446.79美元/盎司。这一波上涨是多重宏观因素的叠加效应，包括地缘政治 风险、美联储货币政策转向、美元疲软以及全球央行增持黄金储备等。 今日（6月16日），受地缘局势的再次升级影响，金价仍有可能继续受益于避险情绪。东证期货表示，短期市场关注重点转到中东地区的军事冲突，市场风 险偏好下降，波动增加，黄金或维持偏强走势，但同时多空博弈也在增加。 华西证券认为，长期看，受减税政策影响，美国债务风险依旧存在。此外，受特朗普上诉影响，关税问题依旧存在不确定性。5月数据显示，美联储年内降 息概率上升。此外，以色列表示行动将持续数日，不确定伊朗是否会采取报复行动，地缘局势依旧不明朗。受不确定性影响，看好未来黄金价格，受益于金 价上涨，黄金资源股盈利预期增强，估值目前处于较低水平。 华福证券表示，中长期 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a decline on June 13, 2025, with major indices closing lower: Shanghai Composite Index down 0.75%, Shenzhen Component Index down 1.10%, and ChiNext Index down 1.13% [1] - Sectors such as mining, precious metals, and aerospace showed gains, while beauty care, cultural media, and bioproducts faced losses [1] Oil Market Insights - According to Xinda Securities, the average price of Brent crude oil is expected to be around $70 per barrel for the year, with a high-low-high-low trend anticipated across the four quarters [2] - The potential for oil price increases is linked to risks in the Iranian region, while downward risks are associated with Saudi Arabia [2] - Iran's oil supply accounts for 3% to 4% of global supply, and escalating conflicts could threaten the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transport route [2] Gold Market Analysis - Minsheng Securities highlighted that global monetary expansion and rising geopolitical tensions are enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - The ongoing U.S. interest rate cut cycle is expected to support further increases in gold prices, indicating a bullish trend in the gold market [3] Military Trade Dynamics - Zhongtai Securities noted that recent geopolitical conflicts have led to a reassessment of military trade logic, suggesting significant growth potential in military exports [3] - China's military trade currently represents 5.9% of the global market, which is considerably lower than the U.S. at 43% and Russia at 9.6%, indicating room for expansion [3]