Group 1 - The central bank has been actively engaging in net liquidity injection operations to maintain a balanced and slightly loose funding environment in the market [1][13] - The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated, reaching a high of 1.73% before retreating to 1.70%, with an overall increase of approximately 1 basis point for the week [1][5] - The upcoming week will see over 1.6 trillion yuan in reverse repos maturing, with a significant decrease in net government bond payments expected [1][6] Group 2 - The yield curve for government bonds showed mixed movements, with the 10-year yield decreasing by 4.96 basis points, while the 30-year yield increased by 0.7 basis points [2][3] - The issuance of interest rate bonds last week totaled 61 issues amounting to 394.21 billion yuan, a significant decrease compared to previous weeks [6] - The upcoming week is set to see the issuance of 32 interest rate bonds totaling 434.89 billion yuan, including 2.76 billion yuan in government bonds [6] Group 3 - The U.S. Treasury market experienced a sell-off in May, with yields across various maturities rising by over 20 basis points, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [7][8] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes highlighted increased uncertainty regarding the economic outlook, with potential risks of rising unemployment and inflation [11][12] - Analysts suggest that the widening yield spread between 30-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries reflects concerns over the safety of long-term bonds, with expectations of limited interest in purchasing them unless credible fiscal signals are provided [12]

日本央行行长植田和男：即使关税得到确定后，不确定性仍然很高。 将在6月会议上评估市场走势和运转状况。 ...

台积电(TSM.N)CEO：尚未看到客户行为因为关税不确定性发生任何变化；未来几个月情况或将变得更 加明朗。 ...

Core Viewpoint - AbbVie is navigating challenges from the loss of exclusivity of its blockbuster drug Humira, but it is successfully replacing its revenue with new drugs Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are showing strong sales growth and have a promising pipeline ahead [4][10][20]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Conditions - AbbVie stock has declined 12.6% over the past three months and is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, largely due to broader macroeconomic uncertainties [1] - The U.S. and China have imposed high tariffs that have negatively impacted global stock markets, although these tariffs are currently on pause, the uncertainty remains [2] - AbbVie has outperformed the industry and the S&P 500 index, gaining 5% so far this year compared to a 3% decrease for the industry [12][14] Group 2: Product Performance - AbbVie lost patent protection for Humira, leading to a significant decline in its sales, which dropped almost 50% in Q1 2025 due to biosimilar competition [4][10] - Skyrizi and Rinvoq generated combined sales of $5.1 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting over 65% growth, particularly strong in the inflammatory bowel disease market [5][6] - AbbVie expects combined sales of Skyrizi and Rinvoq to reach approximately $24.7 billion in 2025 and over $31 billion by 2027, driven by market share gains and new indications [6] Group 3: Pipeline and Acquisitions - AbbVie has a robust pipeline with several early/mid-stage candidates that have blockbuster potential, expecting multiple regulatory submissions and approvals in the next 12 months [7] - The company has been active in acquisitions, signing over 20 early-stage deals since early 2024, enhancing its pipeline in immunology, oncology, and neuroscience [9] - AbbVie is entering the obesity treatment market with the acquisition of rights to develop GUB014295, marking its expansion into a new therapeutic area [9] Group 4: Future Outlook - AbbVie anticipates a return to robust revenue growth in 2025, driven by its ex-Humira platform, which saw over 21% sales growth in Q1 2025 [20] - The company expects mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025 with a high single-digit CAGR through 2029, supported by strong performances from Skyrizi and Rinvoq [21] - Rising earnings estimates and a solid pipeline provide a favorable outlook for AbbVie, making it a stock to consider for long-term investment [22]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market is currently facing uncertainty and volatility, particularly due to trade tariffs impacting the U.S. economy, yet Advance Auto Parts has managed to adapt and show resilience in this challenging environment [1][2]. Company Performance - Advance Auto Parts stock experienced a significant rally of 41.7% following the announcement of its latest quarterly earnings, despite the earnings figures not justifying such a reaction [3][4]. - All performance metrics for Advance Auto Parts, including revenue, gross profit margins, and operating income, were down over the past 12 months, yet management's performance exceeded bearish expectations during tariff uncertainties [4][6]. Management Strategy - Unlike many competitors in the retail sector, Advance Auto Parts maintained its financial guidance and forecasts, signaling confidence to investors [5][6]. - The company reported a net outflow of $156 million from operations, a significant change from the net inflow of $3 million in the same quarter last year, attributed to a $114 million investment in inventories to secure pre-tariff prices [8][9]. Competitive Advantage - This strategic investment in inventory may provide Advance Auto Parts with a pricing power advantage over competitors, allowing it to offer better prices to consumers as tariff costs rise [10]. - Analysts, including Michael Lasser from UBS Group, have responded positively to the company's management actions, raising the valuation target for Advance Auto Parts stock from $36 to $50 per share [11][12]. Market Sentiment - The short interest in Advance Auto Parts stock has declined by 3.8% over the past month, indicating that bearish sentiment may be priced in, suggesting potential for the stock to perform well in the automotive parts sector [13].

Group 1: Copper Market Overview - On May 27, LME copper prices fell due to a strong dollar and uncertainty regarding U.S. tariffs, with prices reaching a two-week high earlier in the session [1] - LME three-month copper closed down $13.50 or 0.14% at $9,596.5 per ton, after hitting a peak of $9,640 since May 14 [1] - U.S. Comex copper dropped 2% to $4.74 per pound, with a premium over LME copper reaching $855 per ton [4] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Ivanhoe Mines announced a suspension of its production forecast due to seismic activity at its giant mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which is Africa's largest copper producer [6] - Morgan Stanley analysts indicated that if the Kakula mine remains closed for the rest of the year, it could lead to a supply reduction of approximately 150,000 tons, potentially increasing copper prices [6] - The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) reported a global refined copper market surplus of 17,000 tons in March, down from an 18,000-ton surplus in February [7] Group 3: Economic Indicators - China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that from January to April, profits of large industrial enterprises in China totaled 21,170.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [6] - In April, profits of large industrial enterprises in China grew by 3.0% year-on-year [6] - ICSG noted that the global refined copper market had a surplus of 289,000 tons in the first three months of the year, compared to a surplus of 268,000 tons in the same period last year [8]

拼多多财报前瞻：第一季度利润可能因关税不确定性而下滑 金十数据5月27日讯，拼多多(PDD.O)将于周二公布其2025年第一季度业绩。根据FactSet调查的八位分 析师的一致预估，拼多多第一季度的净利润可能为261.25亿元人民币（约36.4亿美元），去年同期为280 亿元人民币；营收预计为1044.1亿元人民币，高于去年同期的868.1亿元人民币。花旗认为，拼多多的营 收增速放缓将是焦点，该行将其对拼多多2025年和2026年的营收预测分别下调0.6%和2.3%，理由是该 公司在美国的销售和营销规模缩小，以及该公司继续转向提供成本效益的半管理模式。与此同时，拼多 多国内业务收入可能会受到其加强商家支持举措的影响。此外，投资者将关注管理层对拼多多海外平台 Temu的评估展望，花旗认为，受关税不确定性影响，Temu在未来几个月可能会面临更多的销售阻力。 ...

Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing intense competition between bulls and bears, with multiple favorable factors supporting its long-term value despite short-term price volatility [1] - Geopolitical risks and tariff uncertainties are acting as a "double insurance," driving funds into gold as a core risk-hedging tool amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East and slow progress in Russia-Ukraine negotiations [1] - The expectation of interest rate cuts and concerns over the long-term credibility of the US dollar are providing structural support for gold prices, as the market anticipates 1-2 rate cuts within the year [2] Group 2 - A significant price correction occurred in mid-May, with London gold prices dropping to $3,120 per ounce, a decline of over 8%, primarily driven by technical factors such as easing US-China tariffs and a rebound in the dollar index [4] - Wall Street institutions suggest that if the US enters a "stagflation" scenario, gold prices could potentially reach $4,500, indicating a long-term investment opportunity despite short-term selling pressure [4] - The company offers various incentives for new customers, including cash bonuses and trading rebates, to facilitate easier market entry and capitalize on potential market fluctuations [4][5]

Economic Performance - In April, industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, exceeding the expected growth of 5.2% but down from the previous month's growth of 7.7%[10] - From January to April, fixed asset investment grew by 4.0% year-on-year, below the expected 4.3% and the previous value of 4.2%[10] - Social retail sales in April rose by 5.1% year-on-year, lower than the expected 5.5% and the previous month's growth of 5.9%[10] Sector Analysis - The production sector showed a slowdown but maintained rapid growth, with service industry growth steady and equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing performing well[7] - Despite increasing tariff impacts, export growth of 8.1% in April exceeded expectations of 0.8%, partially mitigating tariff disruptions[11] Consumer Trends - Consumption showed signs of slowing down, but structural highlights were evident, with both social retail sales and service retail sales showing recovery trends[12] - Significant growth in specific consumer goods was noted, with home appliances and communication equipment sales increasing by 38.8% and 19.9% respectively[12] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment growth was below expectations across all three major components, indicating a need for policy support[13] - Infrastructure investment growth was recorded at 10.9% year-on-year, while real estate investment declined by 10.3%[14] Future Outlook - The report suggests that while short-term tariff impacts may ease, long-term uncertainties remain, with ongoing supply exceeding demand posing risks to economic stability[8] - Recent policies aimed at boosting domestic demand are expected to enhance consumption and stabilize market confidence, with close monitoring of policy implementation and US-China tariff negotiations recommended[8]

金十数据5月26日讯，日本国债在东京早盘上涨，受关税不确定性挥之不去的支撑，这可能支撑国债的 避险吸引力。此前特朗普推迟对欧盟50%关税至7月9日生效，该关税原定于6月1日生效。日本国债收益 率曲线在早盘交易中明显趋平，超长期国债收益率降幅远超中期国债收益率。五年期日本国债收益率下 跌1个基点，至1.020%，40年期国债收益率下跌7个基点，至3.480%。 受关税不确定性影响，日本国债上涨 ...