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2025年第24周周报:猪的几个重要指标跟踪-20250615
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-15 08:11
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The pig sector is experiencing low price fluctuations, with the average price of live pigs at 14.39 CNY/kg as of June 14, remaining stable compared to the previous week. The profitability for self-breeding is approximately 72 CNY per head, down by 53 CNY from the previous week. The price of piglets has reached a three-month low [1][15] - The pet industry is witnessing significant growth driven by consumption upgrades, with domestic brands rising strongly. For instance, Tmall's pet sales exceeded last year's first-day sales within 100 minutes, and 653 brands saw sales double year-on-year. The pet food export volume from January to April 2025 reached 110,200 tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.17% [3][4][17][18] - The poultry sector is facing challenges due to uncertainties in breeding imports, particularly for white chickens, with a 40.66% year-on-year decline in breeding stock updates from January to May 2025. The yellow chicken market is expected to benefit from improved consumer demand as supply tightens [5][20][22] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - The average price of live pigs is 14.39 CNY/kg, with self-breeding profitability at 72 CNY per head, indicating a significant drop in profitability [1][15] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in average weight for slaughtered pigs, while demand is weakening due to seasonal factors and rising temperatures [19] - The sector is expected to face losses due to strong supply and weak demand, with potential for capacity reduction [19] Pet Sector - The pet industry is experiencing a consumption upgrade, with significant sales growth on platforms like Tmall and Douyin, indicating a shift towards high-value products [3][17] - Pet food exports are growing, with a total export value of 3.26 billion CNY from January to April 2025, reflecting a robust market [4][18] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., Petty Co., and Lusi Co. [4][18] Poultry Sector - The white chicken breeding sector is facing a 40.66% decline in breeding stock updates due to import uncertainties, while the yellow chicken market is seeing a tightening supply [20][21] - The average price for yellow chickens has fluctuated, with a notable decrease in prices in certain regions [22] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies that can capitalize on breeding opportunities and market recovery, such as Shengnong Development and Yisheng Co. [21][22] Planting Sector - The focus is on achieving self-sufficiency in food security, with an emphasis on improving crop yields through advanced breeding strategies [24] - Key recommendations include seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong, as well as agricultural resource companies [24] Feed and Animal Health Sector - The feed sector is recommended for companies like Haida Group, which is expected to see market share growth and sustained performance [25] - The animal health sector is shifting towards new products and markets, with a focus on pet health products and significant growth potential [26]
米荒米贵苦了日本民众
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-13 20:59
最近一段时期,大米再次成为日本社会的热词,个中原因主要在于米价不断攀升,而日本政府却迟迟没 能找到短期见效的应对举措。有媒体以"从去年夏天开始的日本大米风波仍在持续"为题吐槽,在近一年 的时间里,日本民众从大米"一粒难求"的"米荒1.0阶段",迈入了如今"有大米但吃不起"的"米贵2.0阶 段"。 去年夏天大米短缺问题刚刚暴发时,日本农林水产省曾以"储备粮投入市场周期长,新米即将上市"为 由,拒绝开仓放粮。自新米上市以来,大米供应短缺问题虽然暂时得以缓解,但价格居高不下。即便自 今年3月起,日本政府开始分批次放出储备粮,大米价格依旧高企。数据显示,今年5月12日至18日的一 周时间里,日本超市5公斤装大米平均售价达到4285日元,约合214元人民币,是去年同期的两倍。 关于大米风波的原因,日本农林水产省曾给出过两种解释: 第一种是"游客吃光说",认为日元贬值导致访日游客大幅增加,有限的大米都被游客们吃光了。不过对 于这种解释,日本各界并不买账,只是喧闹一阵就偃旗息鼓了。 第二种是"中间商囤积说",称投机者通过点对点向农户直接收购大米,导致20多万吨大米从市场上"消 失",其目的是哄抬米价,赚取高额利润。但日本媒 ...
联合国粮农组织发布《粮食展望》报告
人民网-国际频道 原创稿· 2025-06-13 09:10
人民网罗马6月12日电 (记者郑彬)日前,联合国粮农组织发布了最新一期《粮食展望》报告,在 对全球粮食生产前景保持乐观预期的同时,也指出粮食安全仍面临来自极端天气等不利因素的影响。 报告指出,预计未来一年内全球小麦产量将出现小幅增长,其中欧盟地区产量将增加13%,表现最 为亮眼,印度地区小麦产量也将因种植面积的扩大有望创历史新高。杂粮作物方面,预计产量将同比增 长3.4%,这主要得益于巴西、欧盟以及美国等地区杂粮作物产量的大幅上升,此外,南部非洲地区玉 米产量也将有望得到提高。报告还首次公布了对全球稻米产量的预测。受亚洲地区增长预期的影响,预 计2025年全球稻米总产量将达到5.515亿吨,同比增幅达0.9%,其中国际稻米贸易预计将达到创纪录的 6050万吨,同比增长1.4%。 与此同时,报告还公布了粮农组织对2024年全球粮食进口费用的最新评估数据。据统计,2024年全 球粮食进口费用同比增长了3.6%,达到近2.1万亿美元,其中咖啡、茶叶、可可和香料的进口费用大幅 上涨了29.3%,水果和蔬菜的进口费用增长了8.1%,肉类产品的费用则增长了5.6%。相比之下,其他农 产品的进口费用则有所下降,其中谷物的进 ...
盐湖股份(000792) - 000792盐湖股份投资者关系管理信息20250613
2025-06-13 07:53
Production Capacity and Structure - The company has established a potassium fertilizer production capacity of 500,000 tons per year, with the potassium fertilizer subsidiary responsible for approximately 400,000 tons, accounting for 80% of total capacity [2] - The remaining 100,000 tons are produced by subsidiaries with unique processes, enabling differentiated production and supply of various potassium fertilizer products [2] Market Outlook - In 2024, China's total potassium chloride imports are projected to reach 12.63 million tons, a 9% year-on-year increase, with an import dependency of 67% [2] - The demand for potassium fertilizer is expected to remain stable and increase due to national strategies aimed at ensuring food security and enhancing agricultural productivity [2] - Geopolitical factors have led to significant price fluctuations in potassium fertilizer, with international prices rising due to supply constraints from major producers [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its potassium salt resource reserves through geological exploration and resource acquisitions to ensure long-term supply stability [3] - A project cooperation agreement has been signed for the control of potassium mining projects in Canada and Spain, focusing on resource evaluation and economic feasibility [4] Technological Advancements - The company has developed five core processing technologies for potassium extraction, establishing itself as a leader in the industry [5] - The new lithium salt integrated project is expected to enhance lithium recovery rates by approximately 25% and significantly reduce energy consumption [7] Cost Management - The company emphasizes meticulous cost control across all operational aspects, aiming to reduce production costs through standardized management and efficiency improvements [10] - Strategies include optimizing sales and logistics costs, as well as labor costs, to enhance overall profitability [10] Shareholder Returns - The company is exploring diversified shareholder return methods and is committed to maintaining a stable profit distribution policy [9] - The integration into the China Minmetals Corporation framework is expected to enhance operational efficiency and competitive advantage [12] Future Development Strategy - The company aims to build a world-class salt lake industry base, focusing on sustainable development and resource optimization [12] - It plans to leverage the advantages of the China Minmetals Corporation to enhance its role in national strategic resource security and green development [13]
灌溉“大国粮仓” 贡献金融“粮”策
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-06-12 03:17
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of policy-based grain reserve enterprises in ensuring national food security, highlighting the collaboration between the agricultural sector and financial institutions to support grain storage and procurement efforts [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Laohukou Hualiang Grain Reserve Co., Ltd. is a key enterprise in the grain system of Xiangyang, Hubei, responsible for significant grain storage tasks assigned by central and local governments [1]. - The company faces high operational funding demands during the peak grain procurement season from June to December, necessitating substantial financial support to ensure adequate grain reserves [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Support - China Bank's Xiangyang branch provided a timely loan of 10 million yuan to Laohukou Hualiang, facilitating the company's large-scale grain procurement and ensuring stable and sufficient grain reserves [2]. - The bank's professional credit team conducted thorough research on the company's storage plans and financial needs, leading to a tailored credit support scheme [2][3]. Group 3: Agricultural Financial Services - China Bank focuses on the entire agricultural value chain, offering diverse financial products to support various stages from seed selection to grain processing and sales [3][4]. - The bank has introduced multiple agricultural financial products, including "High-Standard Farmland Loan" and "Grain Planting Loan," to meet the needs of farmers and agricultural enterprises [4]. - As of now, the bank has issued over 840 million yuan in agricultural loans, significantly contributing to the stability and increase of grain production [4]. Group 4: Commitment to Food Security - The collaboration between China Bank and Laohukou Hualiang exemplifies the bank's commitment to supporting the national food security strategy and ensuring the efficient operation of policy-based grain reserve enterprises [4]. - The bank aims to continuously enhance its financial services in the agricultural sector, focusing on timely and adequate financial support to meet the needs of grain reserve enterprises [4].
夏粮收购忙,支农“金”满仓!农发行济阳区支行倾力护航夏粮收购
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-06-12 02:22
作为夏粮收购信贷资金供应的主渠道,下一步,农发行济阳区支行将继续坚持把信贷支持夏粮收购作为当前工作的重中之重,与政府、企 业沟通不断线、服务不断档,保障在第一时间掌握夏收信息,密切关注小麦市场和价格情况,不断优化金融服务,确保夏收工作平稳有序 开展,充分发挥政策性银行职能,做维护国家粮食安全的"压舱石",全力守护大国粮仓。 (通讯员 卢慧) 座谈会上,杨玲详细了解小麦容重、水分等质量指标检测标准,询问当前收购价格、日均入库量及农户售粮情况。并向企业介绍农发行在 夏粮收购工作中将立足主责主业,坚决扛牢服务国家粮食安全政治责任,结合收购企业及市场实际,严格落实收购政策,做好信贷资金供 应。截至6月10日,已完成对济南第三粮库有限公司授信4.3亿元,真正做到了"钱等粮"。后续农发行将根据企业用款需求,跟进了解资金 支付,大力提升金融服务水平,做到节假日服务不断档、不脱节,开辟办贷绿色通道,提供"7×24"小时全天候服务,充分发挥收购资金供 应主渠道作用,保障收购期间资金结算顺畅,及时兑付农民售粮款,确保"粮出手、钱到手",为打赢夏收"第一仗"保驾护航,进一步提 升"粮食银行"品牌形象。 在粮库收购现场,杨玲一行实地 ...
林武在东营滨州调研时强调 锲而不舍落实中央八项规定精神推动作风建设不断取得新进展新成效
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2025-06-12 01:08
Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the importance of implementing the spirit of the Central Eight Regulations and reducing formalism to alleviate burdens on grassroots levels while ensuring effective governance and service delivery [1][2] - The focus is on enhancing service awareness and optimizing service processes in government service centers to better assist enterprises and address their difficulties [2] - There is a strong emphasis on addressing urgent public concerns and integrating efforts to resolve pressing livelihood issues through community engagement and problem-oriented approaches [2] Group 2 - The current period is critical for agricultural production, particularly for the summer harvest and planting, with a focus on monitoring and improving grain yield and quality [3] - The need for robust weather monitoring and effective logistics for grain collection, storage, and sales is highlighted to ensure food security and timely agricultural practices [3] - The initiative aims to strengthen high-standard farmland construction and optimize agricultural planting structures to enhance productivity and establish a higher-level grain storage system [3]
周乃翔在聊城调研时强调 坚决扛牢粮食安全责任 全力夺取夏粮和全年粮食丰收
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2025-06-11 01:02
周乃翔指出,各级各有关方面要切实增强做好"三夏"工作的责任感紧迫感,落实落细粮食生产帮包 机制,充分发挥各类新型农业经营主体和服务组织的作用,强化农资、供水、装备等支撑保障,给农业 插上科技的翅膀,加强粮食生产、收获、储备、加工等各环节减损,确保粮食丰产丰收。要落实粮食收 储政策,加强市场监管,保障种粮收益,调动农民种粮积极性。要切实稳定播种面积,提高夏种质量, 细化田管技术方案,确保"种后即管"。要加强气象精准预报和风险预警,落实农业防灾减灾关键措施。 要加大农机安全、麦田防火等宣传培训,确保"三夏"安全形势稳定。(记者 袁涛) 当前全省夏粮收获正在紧张有序进行。周乃翔来到东昌府区道口铺街道代屯村"吨半粮"产能区,实 地察看小麦收割现场,详细了解麦收进度、小麦单产、农机服务保障、农机作业安全等情况。他说,今 年夏粮生产形势良好、丰收在望,要科学组织抓好小麦收割,提高农机作业效率,深入挖掘机收减损潜 力,确保应收尽收、颗粒归仓。要抢抓农时压茬播种,组织农技人员深入田间地头开展技术指导服务, 全力保障秋粮稳产丰产。 在创聚农服中心,周乃翔听取高端农机装备配备、联农带农机制建设等情况介绍,希望中心加大农 机推广运 ...
群众工作札记 | 全力保障“三夏”生产
打好麦收攻坚战,农机保障是关键。县农业农村局成立夏收工作指导组,组建16个应急机收作业队和7 个小麦抢收机械维修服务队,做好农机安全排查、检修调试、农机手培训等相关工作,提前对机具信 息、作业服务供需等情况进行摸排,加强装备调配和技术指导,保障机具以良好状态投入作业。在高速 公路出入口、主要路口、乡镇设立跨区作业绿色通道和接待服务站,为过往农机手提供防暑降温等物 资,发放安全生产宣传手册和机收作业指南,介绍县域内的小麦分布、作业路线、维修网点、加油站点 等,对于农机手求助第一时间现场处置,确保跨区作业高效完成。 夏粮收储,关系农民"钱袋子"。为确保夏粮收储平稳有序进行,我们采取"四不两直"方式,深入国有粮 食购销企业,详细查看收购政策、执行质价标准、严格扦样质检流程、安全储粮等方面的落实情况,严 查压级压价、缺斤少两、"打白条"等损害群众利益行为,让农民放心卖粮。 "三夏"时节不仅是夺取夏粮丰收的关键阶段,更是稳定秋粮生产、调整农业结构的重要时期。为夯实秋 粮丰收基础,县农业农村局制定提升粮食产能工作方案,压实夏种任务,提高优质农产品播种面积。组 织214名农技指导员深入田间地头,进村入户开展包村联户服务,指 ...
机声隆隆麦飘香
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-08 22:06
同时,东阿县共投入小麦联合收割机2700余台,玉米播种机等其他各类机械1万余台,全力确保夏粮颗 粒归仓,秋粮应种尽种、种足种好。 "开镰喽!"在山东聊城市阳谷县狮子楼街道刘灿明村,随着农机手邵贵帅一声吆喝,收割机开足马力驰 骋在麦田中,一排排小麦被整齐地切割、脱粒。 既要"产得出"又要"储得好"。"以前,粮食霉变损失大,现在集中晾晒省心又省力。"在大布乡高庄村, 村民王月英边整理小麦边笑着说。今年,占地7000平方米的现代化晾晒场在夏收中发挥着关键作用,成 为保障粮食归仓的坚实后盾。据了解,该晾晒场的烘干塔配备了智能化温控系统和光伏发电设备,年可 处理5000吨粮食,效率提升40%。目前,已累计烘干小麦近千吨。 为确保今年"三夏"期间生产安全,济南市莱芜区强化服务保障,搞好技术推广服务,组织农机事故应急 演练,培训机手160人次。"全区已备好联合收获机510台套,拖拉机2000余台,玉米播种机800多 台。"济南市莱芜区农业农村局农业技术推广服务中心负责人李立国说。 随着联合收割机的轰鸣声在田间响起,菏泽市鄄城县93万亩小麦陆续开镰收割。在彭楼镇李庄村,麦粒 从收割机出粮口倾泻而下。"今年风调雨顺,再加上科学 ...