表[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 行业研究|深耕安徽 2025 年 8 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 科创名城再蓄力，先进产业塑星海 ——"深耕安徽"系列专题报告之合肥篇 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 聚焦安徽十年跨越式发展，我们推出《"深耕安徽"系列专题报告》， 为企业家解读安徽省产业政策规划、为投资人挖掘产业投资机遇、为 政府机构梳理产业链上下游关键节点。作为深耕安徽区域篇中聚焦省 会合肥的重要篇章，本文从政策与产业视角复盘合肥产业变迁以及背 后的发展规律，并详细拆解"6+5+X"核心产业在合肥的发展和布局， 在分析区域发展规律的同时呈现出可以按图索骥投资合肥，布局合肥 的产业链地图。 二十年中部崛起最强黑马，科创引领接续发力 合肥市位于安徽省中部，1952 年被确立为安徽省会，下辖四区（蜀山、 庐阳、瑶海、包河）、四县（长丰、肥东、肥西、庐江）、一县级市（巢 湖）。2024 年，合肥市实现 GDP 总值 13,508 亿元，同比增长 6.1%。 GDP 总量在全国各省会、直辖市及计划单列市中位列第 17 位，较 2000 年上升 10 个位次。2000 年-2024 年 ...

8月25日，拼多多发布了截至6月30日的2025年第二季度财报。受高质量发展加大投入的影响，拼多多本季度营收增速放缓至7%，单季营 收1040亿元。 二季度，为了与商家共同应对新挑战，拼多多在"百亿减免"等惠商举措的基础上推出"千亿扶持"新战略，将高质量发展投入提升到了一 个全新的量级，也首次在电商行业开启了"千亿级别"的惠商行动。 "过去这个季度，在商家及产业遭遇挑战的关键时刻，公司上下全力推进'千亿扶持'惠商战略，加大投入反哺产业生态，坚定护航商家穿 越周期。"拼多多集团执行董事、联席CEO赵佳臻表示，在真金白银的持续投入下，平台生态效用持续显现，产业侧加快实现新质转型，用 户侧的消费潜力进一步释放，供需两侧都实现了高质量发展。 "当下，外部环境的快速变化还在持续，电商行业围绕新业态的竞争也愈加激烈，我们将继续专注高质量发展，坚持消费者导向，为产 业的长足发展创造空间。"拼多多集团董事长、联席CEO陈磊表示，在持续加大投入的过程中，短期业绩难免会有波动，我们更愿意立足长 远，把长期价值放在短期利益之前，扎实做好生态建设，促进产业转型升级，持续普惠消费者。 "百亿减免"一周年，千万商家降佣增效 最近，拼多多 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues its strong momentum with major indices reaching new highs, driven by favorable policies and industry upgrades, indicating a potential continuation of this strong market trend [1][2]. Major Index Performance - A-share indices collectively surged, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.51% to 3883.56 points, Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index increasing by 2.26% and 3.00% respectively, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index up by 3.2% [2]. - The total market turnover reached 3.14 trillion yuan, a significant increase of nearly 600 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, marking a historical high in trading volume [2]. - The Hong Kong market also saw gains, with the Hang Seng Index up by 1.94% to 25829.91 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 3.14% to 5825.09 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 2.39% [2]. Industry Hotspots and Driving Logic - The A-share market exhibited notable sector rotation, with technology growth and cyclical resource sectors driving the market. The telecommunications sector surged by 4.85%, supported by themes related to computing power and AI hardware [3]. - The non-ferrous metals sector rose by 4.63%, bolstered by demand from the new energy supply chain and high-end manufacturing [3]. - The real estate sector increased by 3.32% due to local policy optimizations, while the comprehensive sector and steel sector also showed positive performance, indicating a strong market response to growth-stabilizing policies [3]. - In the Hong Kong market, the materials sector led with a 4.42% increase, followed by non-essential consumer goods and information technology sectors, which rose by 3.41% and 2.46% respectively [3]. Underperforming Sectors and Driving Logic - All 31 A-share industries recorded gains, but the beauty care and textile sectors lagged, reflecting ongoing market divergence regarding consumer recovery [4]. - In the Hong Kong market, sectors such as online education, fintech, and stablecoins experienced declines, indicating a cautious risk appetite for high-valuation stocks [4]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - With supportive policies and capital inflows creating a positive cycle, the economic recovery expectations and industry upgrade logic are driving the stock market steadily upward [5]. - The market is showing significant sector rotation, suggesting a need to avoid chasing high prices. The alternating performance between cyclical sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals and technology growth sectors will be key to maintaining market momentum [5]. - Low-valuation sectors such as real estate and consumer goods are beginning to show potential for recovery under policy catalysts, necessitating a dynamic balance between valuation safety margins and industry prosperity [5].

中国经济，正在蓄力待发。还在唱衰中国经济的人，要么蠢，要么坏。 2025 年 7 月，中国全社会用电量达到 10226 亿千瓦时，不仅是咱们国家第一次单月用电量突破万亿，更是人类历史上头一遭。 这个数字有多厉害？东盟 10 个国家、近 7 亿人口全年的用电量加起来也就差不多这么多。 用电量这东西最实在，机器不转电表就不动，比起可能存在统计差异的 GDP，它才是反映经济真实活力的 "照妖镜"。 一、万亿电背后：经济活力的真实写照 电力就像经济的 "脉搏"，用电量上去了，说明经济活动肯定错不了。 7 月份第一产业用电量同比增长 20.2%，看起来是农业用电在猛增，其实背后是大棚温控、智能灌溉这些现代农业设备用得越来越多，农业正在往 "电气化" 转型。 第二产业作为用电主力，5936 亿千瓦时的用电量撑起了半壁江山，其中高技术制造业表现特别亮眼，新能源汽车制造的用电量更是暴涨 25.7%，看得出来 咱们的产业升级正在实打实推进。 第三产业用电量增长 10.7% 也很有看头。 现在商场、影院这些消费场所暑期人气旺，更重要的是 5G 基站、云计算中心这些数字新基建用电动不动就是 "电老虎"，再加上全国几千万辆新能源汽车 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 中材科技 (China National Materials Group Corporation) - **Industry**: Specialty Electronic Fabrics and Glass Fiber Industry Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - 中材科技 reported a revenue of 13.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.5% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 billion yuan, up 115% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in fiberglass and blade businesses, as well as rapid growth in specialty electronic fabrics and electronic yarns [5][6] Market Demand and Trends - The demand for CTE (Coefficient of Thermal Expansion) products has significantly increased since Q2, with expectations for demand to double in Q4 and potentially continue to double in 2026 [13][14] - The low dielectric electronic yarn (DJ) market is experiencing strong demand and rising prices, particularly for first-generation fabric products [28] - The wind power industry remains robust, with high demand for high-strength and high-modulus glass yarns, driven by applications in electric vehicles and unmanned aerial vehicles [2][35] Production Capacity and Expansion Plans - 中材科技 plans to expand its production capacity from 300 weaving machines to 400-500 by the end of the year and to 800 by mid-2026, aiming to meet the growing market demand [16] - The company has completed small sample tests for 2.8 mm CTE products, with plans for larger-scale testing in the coming months [14] Export and Market Challenges - The export volume of fiberglass has significantly declined, with a 15% drop in July compared to previous months, although the exit of overseas production capacity may benefit domestic companies [23] - The company anticipates that European tax policies may impact exports in the second half of the year, but the overall effect is expected to be minimal [6] Future Outlook - 中材科技 expects to maintain revenue and profit growth, with projected fiberglass sales of approximately 1.3 million tons for the year [6] - The company is optimistic about the market demand driven by domestic computing power improvements and is actively adjusting supply to meet this growth trend [18] Emerging Technologies and Product Development - The industry is seeing a shift towards new products and technologies, particularly in the fields of AI and renewable energy, which are expected to drive future growth [24][36] - New materials such as quartz fiber and basalt fiber are gaining attention, with potential applications in high-end manufacturing and construction [24] Industry Dynamics - The glass fiber industry is experiencing a trend towards larger production scales and increased automation, which is expected to reduce production costs and improve competitiveness [25] - The market is also witnessing a focus on energy efficiency and environmental compliance, particularly in light of stricter carbon emission regulations [26] Additional Important Insights - The specialty electronic fabric industry is seeing strong performance, particularly with the push from domestic computing power, which is expected to further drive demand in the coming months [3] - The company has achieved significant milestones in the CTE and QBU product lines, being the only domestic company capable of mass delivery in the CTE sector [20] - The overall market sentiment is positive, with expectations for continued growth in emerging sectors such as electronics, wind power, and new energy vehicles [36]

此次活动组织中央主要媒体和省市媒体，深入湖北各地的重点企业、园区等创新发展一线，聚焦湖北加 快形成新质生产力的实践探索，展示湖北"十四五"时期经济社会高质量发展的显著成就。 8月25日，由中宣部组织的2025年"活力中国调研行"湖北主题采访活动在武汉启动。 8月25日上午举行的2025年"活力中国调研行"湖北主题采访情况介绍会上，湖北省副省长黎东辉表 示，"十四五"以来，湖北省经济总量先后站稳4万亿、跨越5万亿、迈上6万亿，提前一年实现了"十四 五"规划目标，走出了一条昂扬向上的发展曲线，展现出经济稳定增长、社会安定和谐、人民安居乐 业、干部干事创业的活力图景。 那么，湖北的活力来自于哪里呢？"主要来自于支点建设的战略牵引、科技创新的强力驱动、现代产业 的坚实支撑、双向开放的互促共济、区域协同的竞相发力和民生福祉的持续增进。"黎东辉指出，湖北 大力实施能级跨越、科创引领等"七大战略"，系统构建"1+7+N"政策保障体系，引领各项工作向支点建 设聚焦聚力，推动支点建设成势见效。今年上半年，全省GDP增长6.2%，固定资产投资增长6.5%、社 会消费品零售总额增长6.9%、进出口总额增长28.4%，各项经济指标持 ...

值得注意的是，制造业投资在相当大程度上缓冲了地产投资的影响。根据我们的测算，前七月房地产投 资对总体固定资产投资累计增速的影响为1.5个百分点，而同期制造业投资的拉动为2.1个百分点。 在美国对华24%关税重压下，我国7月出口却逆势增长8.0%；当房地产投资持续影响投资，装备制造却 以9.9%的增速扛起大旗——在极端天气与贸易摩擦的双重夹击中，中国经济何以实现"稳中有进"，完成 全年5%的经济增长目标？ 近日，针对相关问题，21世纪经济报道记者专访了兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委。他表示，结合最新经 济数据来看，出口多元化与产业升级，正在重构中国经济的韧性底盘，根据其团队的估算，在考虑抢出 口、以旧换新补贴前置、房地产小阳春等因素的影响后，下半年经济或温和放缓，但以知识密集型服务 出口和服务消费为代表的经济新动能已初露头角，有望助力全年5%左右的经济增长目标实现。 经济韧性格局重构 《21世纪》：在极端天气、外需不确定性下，中国经济"稳中有进"的韧性主要来自哪些支撑？ 鲁政委：一是出口多元化有效对冲了对美出口的下降。以美元计价，前七月数据显示，我国出口累计增 长6.1%，虽然对美出口在关税影响下累计下降12.6% ...

人民财讯8月25日电，《金融时报》记者近日专访了招商基金研究部首席经济学家李湛博士，深入剖析 宏观经济结构创新背后的深层逻辑，探讨经济增长新动力与可持续发展路径。李湛博士对2025年下半年 宏观经济的整体展望充满信心。尽管面临一定的挑战，但总体来看，2025年下半年宏观经济形势有望在 政策的有力支持下保持稳定增长。政策的协同发力将为经济增长提供坚实的基础，消费和投资的双轨并 行将推动内需市场的持续回暖，产业升级和科技创新将为经济增长注入新的动力。在全球经济格局中， 中国经济将继续发挥引领作用。通过推动产业升级和科技创新，中国经济将不断提升在全球产业链中的 地位，为全球经济复苏提供新的动力。同时，通过扩大内需市场，中国经济将为全球企业提供更多的市 场机会，促进全球经济的协同发展。此外，中国在应对通缩压力、稳定物价水平等方面的政策经验，也 将为其他国家提供有益的借鉴，推动全球经济的稳定发展。 ...

Economic Growth and Policy Support - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, reflecting strong growth resilience and vitality, supported by effective policy measures and a recovering domestic demand market [1][2] - Fiscal policy saw an increase in the issuance of government bonds, with over 555 billion yuan in special bonds issued in the first half of the year, an 18 percentage point increase compared to the same period last year [1] - Monetary policy maintained ample liquidity, with a decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), reducing financing costs for enterprises and stimulating market activity [1][2] Domestic Demand and Investment - The continuous recovery of the domestic demand market provided significant support for economic growth, driven by policies such as trade-in programs and upgrades in the service sector [2] - Infrastructure investment countered the downward pressure from the real estate market, while manufacturing investment, particularly in high-tech industries, showed notable growth [2] - Despite external pressures, diversification in market expansion and policy-supported measures to shift to domestic sales helped alleviate export pressures [2] Future Economic Outlook - The overall outlook for the second half of 2025 is optimistic, with expectations of stable growth supported by strong policy measures [3] - The dual-track approach of consumption and investment is anticipated to continue driving the recovery of the domestic market, while industrial upgrades and technological innovation will inject new momentum into economic growth [3] - China's economic role in the global landscape is expected to strengthen, providing new opportunities for global enterprises and contributing to collaborative global economic development [3] Policy Directions - A meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee on July 30, 2025, outlined the direction for economic work in the second half of the year, emphasizing stability in employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [4] - The coordinated upgrade of fiscal and monetary policies will focus on four key areas: technological innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and foreign trade [4] - The macroeconomic policies for the second half of 2025 will prioritize sustainable development, structural optimization, and high-quality economic growth [4]

Market Overview - A-shares exhibited strong performance with major indices collectively rising, including the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.86% to 3858.59 points, and the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices rising by 1.61% and 2.22% respectively [2] - The total market turnover exceeded 2.1 trillion yuan, indicating high participation from investors, with equity ETFs reaching a record high of 4 trillion yuan [2] - The Hong Kong market also saw significant gains, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.08% to 25866.49 points, driven by technology and property stocks [2] Industry Highlights and Driving Logic - The A-share market displayed notable sector rotation, with the communication sector leading with a 4.12% increase, supported by digital economy policies [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector rose by 3.72% due to global resource price recovery and economic recovery expectations [3] - The real estate sector rebounded collectively with a 3.47% increase, reflecting positive market response to growth-stabilizing policies [3] - In the Hong Kong market, the raw materials sector surged by 4.29%, and the property sector increased by 4.21%, driven by expectations of global liquidity easing [3] Underperforming Sectors and Driving Logic - The consumer sector in A-shares showed increased internal divergence, with traditional essential consumer areas performing relatively flat [4] - The banking sector lagged behind, aligning with the trend of capital migrating towards high-elasticity stocks [4] - In the Hong Kong market, the healthcare sector faced pressure, with some stocks experiencing volatility due to short-term earnings expectation adjustments [4] Investment Strategy Recommendations - The current market is supported by a positive cycle of policy support and capital inflow, with economic recovery and industrial upgrade logic driving steady market growth [5] - Short-term market characteristics include significant sector rotation, with high-low switching trends within the technology growth sector [5] - It is recommended to strategically invest in quality stocks with policy benefits and technical barriers while being cautious of volatility risks in high-positioned stocks [5]