Core Insights - The next focus of the Chinese economy is on enjoyment and leisure, emphasizing the importance of balancing work with the enjoyment of life [2][3] - The government is actively supporting leisure and entertainment industries, as evidenced by recent policies aimed at expanding service consumption [3][4] Economic Context - China's production capacity is unmatched globally, but the challenge lies in overproduction, leading to excess supply in various industries [4] - To combat this, the government is implementing measures to control production capacity while seeking new growth models beyond traditional goods production and consumption [4][5] Policy Initiatives - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have introduced policies to promote service consumption, including considerations for school holidays and financial support for leisure activities [3][4] - The aim is to create time and space for citizens to engage in leisure activities, which in turn can stimulate economic growth and job creation [4][5] Cultural Shift - There is a need to update traditional views on work and leisure, recognizing that enjoyment and leisure can also be productive and contribute to economic development [5][6] - The narrative shifts from a solely labor-focused mindset to one that values both hard work and the enjoyment of life, which is essential for a balanced and prosperous society [5][6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Despite challenges such as extreme weather and trade friction, China's economy has shown resilience, achieving an 8.0% growth in exports in July and a 9.9% increase in equipment manufacturing, indicating a potential to meet the annual growth target of around 5% [1][4]. Economic Resilience Structure - Export diversification has effectively mitigated the decline in exports to the U.S., with total exports growing by 6.1% in the first seven months, while exports to ASEAN, Africa, Latin America, and the EU increased by 13.5%, 24.5%, 7.3%, and 7.0% respectively [4]. - Industrial structure upgrades are injecting new momentum into the economy, with high-tech industrial value-added growing by 9.5%, significantly above the overall industrial growth rate of 6.3%. Equipment manufacturing value-added rose by 9.9%, and investment in equipment and tools increased by 15.2%, contributing 2.2 percentage points to overall investment growth [4]. - The service sector has made a notable contribution to economic growth, with a 5.5% increase in service value-added in the first half of the year, accounting for 60.2% of economic growth [5]. Future Export Growth Points - The trade war initiated by the U.S. is primarily affecting goods trade, leaving service trade relatively unaffected. Knowledge-intensive service exports, particularly in innovative pharmaceuticals, are expected to become new growth points for China's exports [7]. - China's R&D capabilities are strong, with the highest number of R&D personnel globally, and the cost of high-quality talent is lower compared to developed economies, which supports the potential for growth in service exports [7]. Service Consumption Growth - There is significant potential for increasing the share of service consumption in China, which is currently at 46%. As GDP per capita rises to $20,000 by 2035, service consumption could increase by over 10% [8]. - Service consumption is less prone to demand exhaustion compared to durable goods, making it a more stable driver of long-term consumption growth [8]. Policy Recommendations - The government is advised to increase subsidies in the service consumption sector to encourage habit formation and structural upgrades in consumption [9]. - Enhancing the supply of quality services, particularly in cultural and entertainment sectors, is recommended to foster new growth in service consumption [9]. - Targeted support in areas such as elderly care, childcare, and retraining is suggested to address both immediate and long-term needs [10]. Fiscal and Monetary Policy Coordination - The current "fiscal heat, credit cold" phenomenon is attributed to a front-loaded fiscal stimulus and structural changes in credit demand, with a shift towards high-quality development [11]. - Coordinated efforts between fiscal and monetary policies are essential to address the imbalance, with suggestions for direct fiscal subsidies to lower financing costs for the real economy [13]. - The focus should be on quality rather than quantity in credit provision, with expectations that economic growth will meet targets without further interest rate cuts in the short term [14].

Economic Overview - Zhanjiang's economy remains stable with strong industrial support and continuous growth in infrastructure investment, while the consumer market shows increased activity and some industries experience rapid growth [1] - Fixed asset investment faces certain pressures in some areas [1] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value of Zhanjiang increased by 9.7% year-on-year, indicating strong resilience [1] - Mining industry grew by 16.8%, while manufacturing increased by 9.3% [1] - Specific industries showing high growth include textiles and apparel (69.9%), communication equipment and computer manufacturing (59.3%), printing and recording media reproduction (49%), automotive manufacturing (24.6%), and petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing (23.0%) [1] Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment rose by 22.3%, with significant increases in flood control and drainage management (81.5%) and railway transportation (35.2%) [1] Financial Support - By the end of July, the total balance of deposits in financial institutions reached 514.708 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, while the loan balance was 450.805 billion yuan, growing by 6.4% [1] - Household deposits amounted to 385.577 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.2% increase [1] Investment Structure - Industrial investment accounts for 54.1% of fixed asset investment, indicating ongoing structural optimization [2] - Investment in steel smelting and processing surged by 366%, while industrial technological transformation investment grew by 25.6%, highlighting the significant impact of major projects on economic growth [2]

Economic Resilience and Growth - China's exports grew by 8.0% in July despite a 24% tariff pressure from the US, with equipment manufacturing showing a 9.9% growth rate [2][3] - The diversification of exports and industrial upgrades are restructuring the resilience of the Chinese economy, with high-tech industries showing a 9.5% increase in industrial added value [3][4] - The service sector contributed significantly to economic growth, with a 5.5% increase in added value in the first half of the year, accounting for 60.2% of economic growth [4] Export Dynamics - The decline in exports to the US was offset by increases in exports to ASEAN (13.5%), Africa (24.5%), Latin America (7.3%), and the EU (7.0%) [3] - The "rush to export" effect is expected to have a manageable impact, with an estimated 1.7% of 2024's total export amount being pre-empted [5] - Knowledge-intensive service exports, particularly in innovative pharmaceuticals, are anticipated to become new growth points for China's exports [6] Service Consumption Growth - There is significant potential for growth in service consumption, with projections indicating an increase in the share of service consumption from 46% in 2024 to over 10% by 2035 as GDP doubles [7] - Key areas for service consumption growth include health services and cultural entertainment, which are expected to see increased demand as income levels rise [7][9] - The development of service consumption is seen as a long-term growth driver, with less risk of demand overextension compared to durable goods [7] Policy Recommendations - Recommendations include increasing subsidies in the service consumption sector to encourage habit formation and structural upgrades [8] - Enhancing the quality of supply in cultural and entertainment services is suggested to foster new growth in service consumption [9] - Targeted support in areas such as elderly care, childcare, and retraining is recommended to address both immediate and long-term needs [10] Financial and Monetary Policy Coordination - The current "hot fiscal, cold credit" phenomenon is attributed to a shift in credit demand towards high-quality development sectors [11] - Coordination between fiscal and monetary policies is essential, with suggestions for fiscal interest subsidies to lower financing costs for the real economy [12] - The focus should be on quality rather than quantity in credit provision, with expectations that economic growth will meet targets without further interest rate cuts [14]

Group 1: Electricity Consumption Growth - In July, China's total electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, reflecting strong economic activity, with a year-on-year growth of 8.6% [1] - The highest electricity load reached 1.508 billion kilowatts, an increase of 57 million kilowatts compared to last year's peak [1] - Urban and rural residential electricity consumption in July reached 203.9 billion kilowatt-hours, a significant year-on-year increase of 18% [1] Group 2: Economic Drivers of Electricity Demand - The third industry showed robust growth in electricity consumption, with a total of 1.13 trillion kilowatt-hours from January to July, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.8% [2] - The internet and related services sector saw a remarkable year-on-year growth of 28.2% in electricity consumption during the same period [2] - Hangzhou's digital economy led the charge with a 15.7% increase in electricity consumption in the information transmission, software, and IT services sector [2] Group 3: Electric Vehicle Impact - The charging and swapping service industry for electric vehicles experienced a significant year-on-year growth of 42.6% in electricity consumption from January to July [3] - The number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure units increased by 93.2% year-on-year, reaching 16.696 million by the end of July [3] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China's passenger car market is expected to reach 56.7% in August, which is anticipated to further boost electricity consumption in the charging service sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The July economic indicators released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that despite short-term shocks from extreme weather and a complex international environment, the economy is exhibiting stable growth in production supply, consumption, and investment, with new driving forces continuously expanding [1][3]. Economic Operation Characteristics - The economic operation in July has five main characteristics: 1. Stable growth in production supply 2. Continued growth in consumption and investment 3. Resilience in foreign trade 4. Overall stability in employment and prices 5. Steady growth of new driving forces [3][4]. - In July, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.7% year-on-year, maintaining rapid growth. The urban survey unemployment rate rose to 5.2%, a seasonal increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but remained stable compared to the same period last year [3]. Consumption and Investment Trends - Service consumption has driven overall consumption to maintain a steady upward trend. In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with retail sales of goods growing by 4%. From January to July, service retail sales increased by 5.2% [5]. - Investment growth has slowed due to extreme weather and project construction delays, but the scale of investment continues to expand. From January to July, investment in equipment and tools increased by 15.2% [5]. New Quality Productivity and High-Quality Development - High-tech manufacturing has shown positive development, with the added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increasing by 9.3% year-on-year, outpacing the growth rate of overall industrial output. The production indices for information transmission software and IT services, as well as leasing and business services, grew by 11.9% and 8%, respectively [6][7]. - The online consumption sector has also seen rapid growth, with the online retail sales of physical goods increasing by 6.3% year-on-year from January to July, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [7].

Group 1: Investment Trends - In the first seven months of the year, national fixed asset investment increased by 1.6% year-on-year, a decline of 1.2 percentage points compared to the growth rate from January to June [1] - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) grew by 3.2% year-on-year, which is a decrease of 1.4 percentage points from the previous six months [1] Group 2: Foreign Trade Outlook - Despite weak global economic growth and various external uncertainties impacting foreign trade, the country will continue to promote high-level opening-up and maintain its complete industrial system advantages [2] - Foreign trade enterprises are actively adapting to challenges, and the sustained effectiveness of stable foreign trade policies will continue to support steady foreign trade development [2] Group 3: Price Trends and Economic Policies - Recent efforts to expand domestic demand and build a unified domestic market have improved some market supply-demand relationships, leading to positive price changes [5] - The foundation for a reasonable price recovery will be continuously strengthened due to more proactive macro policies, ongoing consumption stimulation actions, and regulatory measures against disorderly competition among enterprises [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report provides an overview of the performance and investment strategy of the Wanjia Economic New Momentum Mixed Securities Investment Fund for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting its focus on high-quality listed companies related to new economic momentum and the fund's financial performance during the reporting period [1][5]. Fund Product Overview - The fund primarily invests in high-quality listed companies related to the theme of new economic momentum, employing a bottom-up investment approach based on fundamental analysis [1]. - The fund's total share amount at the end of the reporting period was approximately 1.28 billion shares [1]. - The fund's investment strategy includes various asset allocation strategies, stock investment strategies, bond investment strategies, and derivatives strategies [1]. Financial Indicators and Fund Net Value Performance - For the reporting period from April 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, the net value growth rates for Wanjia Economic New Momentum Mixed A and C were -0.27% and -0.40%, respectively, compared to benchmark returns of 1.33% [3][5]. - Over the past six months, the net value growth rate for Mixed A was 29.05%, while Mixed C was 28.73% [3][5]. - The one-year performance for Mixed A was 68.21%, and for Mixed C, it was 67.37% [3][5]. Investment Portfolio Report - As of the end of the reporting period, the fund's total assets included approximately 1.96 billion yuan in stocks, accounting for 92.98% of the total assets [6]. - The fund held approximately 40.3 million yuan in bonds, representing 1.92% of total assets [6]. - The fund's investment in the manufacturing sector was valued at approximately 999.68 million yuan, making up 47.81% of the total assets [6]. Management Report - The fund manager has committed to managing the fund's assets with integrity and diligence, ensuring compliance with relevant laws and regulations [4][5]. - The report indicates that the fund manager has not engaged in any unfair trading practices during the reporting period [4][7]. Fund Share Changes - The total shares for Mixed A increased from approximately 400.91 million to 474.46 million, while Mixed C increased from approximately 756.80 million to 802.36 million during the reporting period [6][8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the significant increase in new A-share accounts in the first half of the year reflects the effectiveness of capital market reforms and is driven by multiple factors including policy guidance, the rise of new economic drivers, and investor asset reallocation [1][4] Group 2 - The steady growth in new A-share accounts indicates an improvement in investors' expectations regarding the capital market's fundamentals and corporate profitability, with total trading volume reaching 162.68 trillion yuan, significantly higher than 101 trillion yuan in the same period last year [2] - The increase in new accounts is correlated with market performance, influenced by economic fundamentals, as seen in February when daily trading volume reached 1.84 trillion yuan, attracting more investors due to the strong performance of sectors like artificial intelligence [3] - The high growth in new A-share accounts is beneficial for the securities industry, with expectations of continued high growth in the mid-term performance of listed brokerages, enhancing market confidence [3]

Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for June 2025 is 49.7%, up from 49.5% in May, aligning with market expectations[2] - The production index increased by 0.3 percentage points to 51.0%, while the new orders index rose by 0.4 percentage points to 50.2%[5] - Large and medium enterprises showed improved sentiment, with large enterprises' PMI rising to 51.2% and medium enterprises' PMI to 48.6%, while small enterprises' PMI fell to 47.3%[5] Economic Recovery Indicators - External disturbances have weakened, leading to a recovery in new export orders, which continue to rise[3] - High-energy-consuming industries are stabilizing, with their PMI increasing by 0.8 percentage points to 47.8%[15] - The service sector's business activity index slightly decreased to 50.1%, primarily due to the end of holiday effects, but remains in the expansion zone[27] Price and Inventory Trends - The raw material purchase price index rose to 48.4%, and the factory price index increased to 46.2%, both recovering from previous declines[23] - The raw material inventory index increased by 0.6 percentage points to 48.0%, indicating improved production activity[23] Construction Sector - The construction sector's business activity index rose significantly to 52.8%, reflecting a positive trend in housing construction activities[32] - The government is implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market, which is expected to further improve supply-demand dynamics[33]