来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：市场投研资讯） ⭕事件描述 港股市场方面，恒生指数上涨2.42%报25858.83，恒生科技上涨3.00%报5933.17，恒生中国企业指数上 涨2.45%报9232.67，恒生港股通高股息率指数上涨1.35%。A股市场方面，上证指数上涨0.63%，沪深 300上涨0.53%，万得全A上涨0.79%，红利指数上涨0.75%。 行业主题方面：中信港股通一级行业中，商贸零售（+3.93%）、机械（+2.89%）、传媒（+2.86%）领 涨，有色金属（-0.46%）、基础化工（-0.04%）领跌。 概念方面： 人民币升值指数（+6.36%）、航空指数（+5.64%）、民航机场指数（+5.45%）领涨，黄金 珠宝指数（-3.64%）、在线教育指数（-2.85%）、贵金属指数（-2.53%）领跌。 ⭕ 事件评论 2025 年 10 月 20 日，港股市场大市成交额达到2391.6 亿港元，南向资金净卖出 26.70亿港元。 港股主要 指数普遍上涨， 从宏观来看主要是因为：10 月 18 日上午， 中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立 峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔举行视频 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 市场策略丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 1020 港股日评：中美释放贸易缓和信号，港股 修复 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 10 月 20 日，港股市场大市成交额达到 2391.6 亿港元，南向资金净卖出 26.70 亿港 元。港股主要指数普遍上涨，从宏观来看主要是因为：10 月 18 日上午，中美经贸中方牵头人、 国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔举行视频通话，双 方就双边经贸关系中的重要问题进行了坦诚、深入、建设性的交流，同意尽快举行新一轮中美 经贸磋商。市场预期中美经贸关系将缓和，这有效缓解了市场对贸易摩擦升级的担忧叠加市场 押注美联储 10 月议息会议将降息 25bp，外部流动性宽松预期增强，带动港股市场上涨。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 [Table_Title 1020 港股日评：中美释放贸易缓和信号，港股 2] 修复 [Table_Su ...

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The basic chemical industry is currently under pressure due to global trade sentiment, with a focus on cyclical bottoming and potential recovery in leading companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Yangnong Chemical, Hengli Petrochemical, and Hualu Hengsheng [4][5] - The basic chemical sector has experienced a decline of 5.83% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.61 percentage points [5][18] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the basic chemical sector is 3951.07, with a 52-week high of 4195.72 and a low of 3081.91 [1] Market Performance - The basic chemical sector has underperformed the CSI 300 index year-to-date, with a decline of 18.96 percentage points compared to the index's increase of 33.31% [18] - This week, the sector's performance was marked by significant fluctuations, with notable gainers including Sanfu Co. (up 33.17%) and Chengxing Co. (up 25.12%) [6][18] Price Movements - Key products in the lithium battery materials sector have seen price increases, with liquid chlorine rising by 184.91% and lithium cobalt oxide by 19.74% [8][23] - Conversely, R22 prices have dropped significantly by 51.52% [9][25] Key Companies and Investment Ratings - Wanhua Chemical: Buy rating, closing price at 61.5, market cap of 192.56 billion, 2025E EPS of 135.5 [11] - Yangnong Chemical: Buy rating, closing price at 68.8, market cap of 27.89 billion, 2025E EPS of 13.9 [11] - Hengli Petrochemical: Buy rating, closing price at 24.6, market cap of 52.29 billion, 2025E EPS of 37.3 [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the robust growth of NetDragon's gaming business, particularly the strong long-term operational capabilities of the "Magic Domain" IP series, supported by AI production centers that enhance cost efficiency and gaming experience [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 4.86 billion, 5.31 billion, and 5.84 billion CNY, and net profits of 450 million, 650 million, and 830 million CNY for the years 2025 to 2027 [1] - The report assigns a target price of 16.7 HKD for 2025, based on a valuation of 18x PE, and initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2 - The company is strategically investing in multiple lines within AI technology and the broader entertainment sector, including a partnership with Zhongke Wenge to develop AI models and applications outside mainland China [2] - In 2023, NetDragon invested 20 million USD in Rokid and signed a five-year strategic cooperation agreement to enhance the interaction between high-quality education and gaming with Rokid's hardware ecosystem [2] - The company is positioning itself in the group broadcasting sector by holding a 46% stake in Hangzhou ShuaiKu Network Technology, which is a leading international MCN agency with over 700 million fans and significant monthly engagement [2]

Core Insights - The GT World Challenge showcased a blend of top racing talent and advanced technology, highlighted by the presence of Altec and its AI tool "TAI" [1][2] Group 1: Brand Integration and Experience - Altec's branding was prominently displayed at the event, with eye-catching logos and videos that enhanced the racing atmosphere, reflecting the confidence of Chinese automotive technology on an international stage [2] - The "TAI" AI tool allowed attendees to create their ideal GT car through simple descriptions, providing a unique interactive experience that received positive feedback from guests [2] Group 2: Technological Innovation - "TAI" is not just a standard AI drawing tool; it integrates advanced image generation models and automotive industry knowledge, enabling quick and accurate visualizations of user concepts [3] - The tool addresses challenges faced by designers in creative expression and efficiency, showcasing Altec's commitment to innovation and technology in the automotive sector [3] - Altec aims to continue expanding the boundaries of automotive design and user experience through ongoing technological advancements, aligning with the industry's shift towards smart solutions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's export growth is entering a new phase in 2024-2025, with an overall high growth rate expected, driven by various factors including fiscal expansion in developed economies and increased global demand for new industrial products [2][5][6]. Export Growth Analysis - In September, China's exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year, maintaining a high level, with a month-on-month growth of 2.1%, consistent with seasonal averages [3][5]. - The third quarter saw a year-on-year export growth of 6.6%, aligning with expectations, despite a seasonal low of 1.0% month-on-month [5]. - For the fourth quarter, a simple calculation suggests a year-on-year growth of 3.6% if the month-on-month growth aligns with the seasonal average [5]. Historical Context - From 2000 to 2011, China's export growth averaged 21.8%, significantly outpacing global export growth of 11.0% [6]. - The period from 2012 to 2019 saw a decline in China's export growth, averaging only 3.7%, while global export growth was around 0.7% [7]. - The years 2020 to 2023 experienced high volatility in exports, with China’s growth fluctuating in response to global supply chain disruptions [7]. Future Projections - In 2024, global exports are projected to grow by 2.3%, while China's exports are expected to grow by 5.8% [8]. - The article predicts that in 2024-2025, China's export growth will exceed global growth by more than double, driven by factors such as fiscal policies in developed countries and increased demand for high-tech products [6]. Regional Export Dynamics - Exports to ASEAN and Africa have shown significant growth, with cumulative year-on-year increases of 14.7% and 28.3% respectively in the first nine months of the year [10]. - Exports to Africa have been particularly strong, with a year-on-year growth of 56.4% in September [10]. Product Export Performance - High-end product exports are experiencing substantial growth, with exports of integrated circuits increasing by 32.7% and general machinery by 24.9% [11]. - In contrast, labor-intensive products like textiles and clothing have seen a decline in exports, with a combined year-on-year decrease of 5.8% [11]. Import Trends - In September, imports grew by 7.4% year-on-year, with significant increases in iron ore, copper, and integrated circuits [12]. - The acceleration in imports may be linked to policy-driven financial tools and project initiations, indicating potential improvements in investment for the fourth quarter [12].

Core Viewpoint - Haier Biomedical's major shareholder, Qingdao Guoxin Financial Holdings Co., Ltd., has increased its stake, reflecting confidence in the future of the life sciences industry and recognition of Haier Biomedical's governance, industry position, business capabilities, operational results, and risk management [1] Group 1: Shareholder Information - The controlling shareholder of the increased stake is Qingdao Guoxin Financial Holdings Co., Ltd., with actual control by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the Qingdao Municipal People's Government [1] - The investment is based on the shareholder's long-term positive outlook on the life sciences sector and the company's performance [1] Group 2: Future Plans and Strategies - Haier Biomedical aims to deepen its focus on four major industries and enhance the integration of AI technology with life sciences and medical innovation scenarios [1] - The company plans to accelerate its globalization process to provide returns to investors [1]

Core Insights - The event marked the delivery of the Geely Galaxy M9 in Jinan, emphasizing the theme "AI makes life better" and showcasing Geely's commitment to customer experience [1][5]. Group 1: Product Features - The Galaxy M9 has achieved over 23,000 pre-orders within 24 hours of its launch, establishing its position as a benchmark in the 200,000-level SUV market [5]. - The vehicle features a spacious design with a length of over 5.2 meters and a wheelbase of 3 meters, accommodating diverse family needs for daily commuting and weekend outings [5]. - It is equipped with the Qianli Haohuan H5 driver assistance system, which boasts 200 TOPS computing power and laser radar for comprehensive road condition perception, making it suitable for Jinan's complex urban environment [5]. Group 2: Customer Engagement and Benefits - Each customer received a delivery gift box containing original floor mats and brand merchandise, enhancing the significance of the delivery moment [8]. - Geely is offering significant incentives for Jinan customers, including a limited-time 10,000 yuan trade-in bonus and a financing plan of "120,000 yuan for 3 years at 0% interest" [8]. - Existing Geely car owners can enjoy an additional 30,000 star points subsidy, reflecting the brand's appreciation for loyal customers [8]. Group 3: Service Commitment - The Jinan Star User Center aims to ensure quick delivery after order placement and will provide personalized vehicle guidance and free software upgrades to enhance customer satisfaction [8]. - The delivery event is positioned as a new starting point for intelligent travel experiences, with Geely committed to continuously meeting user needs through quality products and services [8].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Focus - **AI Technology Sector**: The call discusses various aspects of the AI technology sector, including overseas and domestic computing power, edge AI, and application endpoints [1][4][5]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Investment Opportunities in AI Technology**: - Four key areas to focus on: overseas computing power (e.g., Xuchuang, New Yisheng), domestic computing power (e.g., SMIC, Huahong), edge AI (e.g., Luxshare Precision, Lens Technology), and application endpoints [1][4]. - Overseas computing power is currently undervalued, while domestic computing power has high long-term certainty due to China's need to catch up with the U.S. in AI capabilities [1][4]. - Edge AI companies are expected to benefit from major tech firms launching new AI smartphones, although their Q3 performance may not fully reflect this potential [1][4]. 2. **Market Adjustment and Timing**: - The technology sector has been adjusting since September 3, with historical adjustments lasting between 40 to 60 trading days. The current adjustment is nearing its end, with many leading stocks approaching a 20-30% decline [2][3]. 3. **Storage Industry Performance**: - The storage industry is experiencing strong price trends, with significant price increases for DDR4 and SSD products. The outlook for Q3 and Q4 remains optimistic due to AI-driven demand [3][19]. 4. **Gaming Sector Insights**: - The gaming sector performed well during the National Day holiday, with revenues exceeding summer levels by 50%. Q3 is noted as the strongest quarter since 2019, with several companies showing triple-digit profit growth [3][15]. 5. **Quantum Computing**: - Quantum computing holds significant importance in global academia and research, with key players like Guandun Quantum and Hexunqi being highlighted for their potential [1][5]. 6. **Domestic Software Development**: - The domestic software sector is still at a low level but has substantial growth potential. Key areas include Xinchuang, Hongmeng, industrial software, and EDA [1][6]. 7. **Impact of U.S.-China Relations**: - The technology sector's volatility is influenced by U.S.-China tensions, but the AI computing direction remains strong. The supply chain for optical modules is stable, and demand is robust [3][7]. 8. **Future Market Recovery**: - A market recovery is expected by Q4 2026, with overseas computing power companies like Xuchuang and New Yisheng showing strong performance despite current market concerns [10][12]. Other Important Insights - **AI's Influence on Gaming**: AI technology is expected to significantly impact the gaming industry, with potential for cost reduction and efficiency improvements leading to blockbuster AI game products by 2026 [18]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies such as Giant Network, Kaiyin Network, and ST Huayun are recommended for their strong performance and growth potential [15][17]. - **Price Trends in Storage**: Recent price increases in the storage industry are driven by supply control and demand from AI applications, indicating a long-term positive outlook [19]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the AI technology sector, market trends, and specific company performances.

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on October 15, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with both the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rising over 1% [1] - Popular ETFs, particularly the Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230), saw an increase of nearly 2.5%, with leading stocks such as Chow Tai Fook, Haidilao, and Bilibili showing significant gains [1] - The price of gold surged, with spot gold exceeding 1210 yuan per gram, marking an increase of approximately 400 yuan per gram year-to-date, prompting brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook to raise their gold jewelry prices by 10% to 35% [1] Group 2 - Changjiang Securities suggests that the Hong Kong stock market may reach new highs driven by three key areas: AI technology and new consumption, which have substantial growth potential [2] - Continuous inflow of southbound funds into the Hong Kong market is expected to enhance marginal pricing power, especially if domestic interest rates remain low [2] - The transition from loose monetary policy to loose credit in China, along with potential further interest rate cuts in the U.S., could improve global liquidity and support the Hong Kong market's upward trajectory [2]